Investment Ratings - Power Equipment: Buy (Maintain) [1] - Public Utilities: Buy (Maintain) [1] - Environmental Protection: Buy (Maintain) [1] Core Insights - The introduction of implementation details for Document 136 by Shandong and Guangdong provinces has clarified expectations regarding installed capacity and electricity prices, with a focus on market-based pricing to reflect supply and demand dynamics for renewable energy [3] - Shandong's guidelines favor existing projects with a mechanism price based on coal-fired benchmark prices, while new projects will face competitive bidding with a minimum application rate of 125% [3] - Guangdong's regulations are more favorable for new projects, particularly offshore wind, with a mechanism application cap of 90% and a 14-year execution period for offshore wind projects [3] Summary by Sections Investment Aspects - Photovoltaics: Production and prices in the supply chain have declined, with market acceptance of weaker domestic demand for 2025 and 2026. Some companies' stock prices have reverted to mid-2024 levels. A rebound opportunity may arise with new supply-side policies or company restructuring. Recommended to focus on Tongwei Co [4] - Wind Power: With a favorable output curve and better economic viability compared to photovoltaics, wind power is expected to recover as more provinces release Document 136 details. Suggested companies include Mingyang Smart Energy, Yunda Wind Power, and Goldwind [4] - Energy Storage and Power Equipment: Continued focus on high growth in Europe, Southeast Asia, and Africa for energy storage in 2025. Recommended companies include Deye Technology and Haibo Technology. Future attention should be on virtual power plants and integrated cloud distribution, with recommendations for Weisheng Information and Guoneng Rixin [4] - Thematic Investments: Focus on solid-state batteries and controllable nuclear fusion, with recommendations for Xinyuan Materials and Hezhong Intelligent [4] Wind Power - New installed capacity for onshore wind in 2024 is projected at approximately 75.8 GW, a year-on-year increase of 9.68%. Offshore wind capacity is expected to be around 4.0 GW, a decrease of 40.85% [6][7] - In the first quarter of 2025, domestic wind power installations reached 14.62 GW, a year-on-year decrease of 5.68% [6][7] Coal Prices - As of May 16, 2025, the price of 5500 kcal thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port was 629 CNY/ton, down 14 CNY from the previous week [25] - The price of imported thermal coal from Indonesia was 700 CNY/ton, a decrease of 5 CNY, while Australian coal remained stable at 720 CNY/ton [25] Electricity Market - The weighted average electricity price in Guangdong and the real-time market clearing price in Shanxi have shown fluctuations, reflecting the dynamics of the electricity market [28]

Group 1 - The report indicates that the A-share market has shown an upward trend, with major indices such as the ChiNext Index, SSE 50, and CSI 300 leading in gains, while the STAR 50 and CSI 500 experienced slight declines [1][15][17] - Since early April, there has been a significant outperformance of small-cap indices compared to large and mid-cap indices, with the CSI 2000 and Wind Micro-cap Index rising by 16.4% and 22.1% respectively from April 8 to May 16 [2][20][26] - The report highlights that the small-cap indices have benefited from a rebound after a prior decline, as well as from improved market sentiment following substantial progress in US-China trade talks [2][26][27] Group 2 - Historical patterns suggest that the divergence between small and large-cap stocks may converge in the future, as market sentiment shifts from riskier small-cap stocks to more stable large-cap stocks during prolonged market rallies [3][34][36] - The report emphasizes that mid to long-term capital inflows into the A-share market are likely to favor large-cap stocks, as these are typically preferred by institutional investors seeking stability and predictable performance [3][35] - The report also notes that the profitability of large-cap stocks is currently stronger, with the ROE (TTM) for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 at 9.8% and 6.0% respectively, compared to lower figures for small-cap indices [3][37] Group 3 - The report suggests a potential rotation between defensive and growth styles in the market, with defensive sectors focusing on stable or high-dividend industries, while growth sectors emphasize thematic growth and independent cyclical industries [4][58][59] - It identifies specific industries to watch under different market sentiment scenarios, with utilities, banks, and construction being favored in a declining sentiment environment, while media, defense, and technology sectors may perform better if sentiment improves [4][59][60] - The report provides a scoring framework for industry allocation, indicating that public utilities and banks score highly under current conditions, suggesting a preference for these sectors in the near term [4][65]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the coal mining industry [6] Core Viewpoints - Coal prices are accelerating downward, with a focus on the demand boost during the summer electricity peak [1] - High coal inventory levels are contributing to the price decline, and a recovery in demand is necessary for price stabilization [4] - The report suggests a defensive approach to the current sector, recommending companies with high long-term contract ratios and stable profits, such as China Shenhua and China Coal Energy [4] Summary by Sections Coal Price Trends - As of May 16, the inventory of coal at ports in the Bohai Rim is 32.53 million tons, down 1.57% week-on-week but up 33.72% year-on-year, at a record high for the same period [1][4] - The average closing price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port (5500 kcal weekly average) is 619 RMB/ton, down 19 RMB/ton (-3.05%) week-on-week [2][4] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The operating rate of 110 sample washing coal plants is 62.1%, down 0.3 percentage points week-on-week and down 5.8 percentage points year-on-year, remaining at a five-year low [3] - The average daily pig iron output is 2.447 million tons, down 0.4% week-on-week but up 3.3% year-on-year [3] Key Company Financials - China Shenhua: EPS forecast for 2025 is 2.5 RMB, with a PE ratio of 16 [5] - China Coal Energy: EPS forecast for 2025 is 1.31 RMB, with a PE ratio of 8 [5] - Shanxi Coking Coal: EPS forecast for 2025 is 0.37 RMB, with a PE ratio of 17 [5] Inventory Tracking - The coal inventory at Qinhuangdao port is 7.6 million tons, up 0.93% week-on-week and up 48.15% year-on-year [4] - The independent coking plant's coking coal inventory is 7.5256 million tons, down 2.92% week-on-week [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the banking industry, indicating a projected investment return exceeding the market benchmark index by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [1]. Core Insights - The banking sector demonstrates strong resilience in fundamentals, with stable profitability and asset quality. In Q1 2025, commercial banks achieved a net profit of 656.8 billion, with a year-on-year profit growth decline of 2.3% [4][5]. - The report highlights that the decline in profit growth is consistent with the previous year, with non-interest income contributing 25% to total revenue, an increase of 2.5 percentage points compared to 2024 [5][6]. - The report emphasizes the stability of asset quality, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 1.51%, slightly up by 1 basis point from the end of the previous year [23][24]. Summary by Sections Profitability and Revenue - In Q1 2025, the profitability of commercial banks decreased by 2.3%, with state-owned banks showing a profit growth of 0.1%, while joint-stock banks, city commercial banks, and rural commercial banks experienced declines of 4.5%, 6.7%, and 2% respectively [5][7]. - The report notes that the net interest margin (NIM) narrowed to 1.43%, down 9 basis points year-on-year, with state-owned banks having a NIM of 1.33% [15][18]. Credit and Asset Quality - The report indicates that credit issuance remains strong, with total assets of commercial banks growing at a rate of 7.2% year-on-year. New loans and non-credit assets increased by 9.1 trillion and 4.6 trillion respectively [8][9]. - The NPL ratio remains stable at 1.51%, with a provision coverage ratio above 200%, indicating a robust capacity to absorb potential losses [23][24]. Capital Adequacy - As of Q1 2025, the risk-weighted assets (RWA) of commercial banks grew by 6.4%, leading to a slight decline in capital adequacy ratios across various bank types [29][30]. - The core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio for commercial banks stands at 10.7%, reflecting a decrease from the previous year [29]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on banks with strong fundamentals and high dividend yields, particularly large state-owned banks, which exhibit solid investment value due to their high dividend rates [31][44]. - It also highlights the potential of mid-sized banks with convertible bonds, which have shown strong performance recently [44][46].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the petrochemical and transportation sectors [5]. Core Insights - The demand for carbon fiber continues to improve, with significant price increases from leading manufacturers like Jilin Chemical Fiber, indicating a stabilization in average prices [1][2]. - The carbon fiber industry is expected to benefit from growing demand in wind power, sports leisure, and aerospace sectors, with global demand projected to reach 156,100 tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 35.7% [2]. - The report suggests that leading manufacturers with scale and cost advantages will see improved profitability as carbon fiber prices stabilize [2]. Summary by Sections Carbon Fiber Market - Jilin Chemical Fiber has raised prices for various carbon fiber products, with increases of 5,000 CNY/ton for 3K/6K products and 3,000 CNY/ton for others, leading to a stabilization in average prices [1]. - The average gross profit in the carbon fiber industry has improved to -870 CNY/ton as of May 15, 2025, an increase of 1,210 CNY/ton since the beginning of the year [1]. Demand Growth - In 2024, the demand for carbon fiber in the wind power sector is expected to reach 44,000 tons, a 120% increase year-on-year, while the sports leisure sector will demand 28,500 tons, up 51.6% [2]. - Domestic demand for carbon fiber in China is projected to be 84,000 tons in 2024, a 21.7% increase, with domestic supply growing by 27.6% [2]. Equipment Manufacturers - Domestic equipment manufacturers like Jinggong Technology are expected to benefit from the rising demand for carbon fiber production equipment, as the industry faces supply chain security concerns [3]. - Jinggong Technology is noted as the only domestic supplier with over 50% market share in carbon fiber production line equipment [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on undervalued, high-dividend, and well-performing companies in the "three barrels of oil" and oil service sectors, including China National Petroleum, Sinopec, and CNOOC [4]. - It also highlights opportunities in domestic material companies benefiting from the trend of domestic substitution, such as Jingrui Electric Materials and Tongcheng New Materials [4].

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Buy" [5] Core Views - The report indicates a weakening trend in pig prices, with the national average price for external three yuan pigs at 14.61 yuan/kg, down 1.42% week-on-week. The average price for 15 kg piglets is 36.23 yuan/kg, down 1.74% week-on-week. The report suggests that the industry is approaching a turning point in inventory levels as the market conditions evolve [1][24] - The white feather broiler and chick prices have also declined, with the white feather broiler price at 7.40 yuan/kg, down 0.67% week-on-week, and chick price at 2.85 yuan/bird, down 2.06% week-on-week. The report highlights a decrease in procurement willingness due to increased inventory and slow sales of frozen products [1][33] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance - The agricultural and forestry sector underperformed the market, with the agricultural index rising only 0.05% compared to the Shanghai Composite Index's 0.76% increase [14] - The performance of sub-sectors varied, with animal health and feed sectors showing positive growth, while poultry farming and planting sectors experienced declines [14][18] 2. Key Data Tracking - The average weight of pigs at slaughter is at a new high since early 2023, indicating potential inventory reduction in the near future [24] - The average price of corn is 2374.90 yuan/ton, up 0.48% week-on-week, while soybean meal prices have decreased by 5.93% to 3115.71 yuan/ton [2][47] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the pig farming sector, suggesting that the industry is nearing a turning point in inventory levels, which could lead to a long-term profit increase. Key companies to watch include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and Juxing Agriculture [4][73] - For the post-cycle sector, companies like Haida Group and Ruipu Biological are recommended due to the recovery in feed and veterinary demand [4][73] - In the planting chain, companies such as Suqian Agricultural Development and Beidahuang are highlighted as having strong investment opportunities due to the upward trend in grain prices [4][73] - The pet food sector is also noted for its growth potential, with companies like Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co. being recommended [4][73]

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Buy" [5] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates a weakening trend in pig prices, with the national average price for external three yuan pigs at 14.61 yuan/kg, down 1.42% week-on-week. The average price for 15 kg piglets is 36.23 yuan/kg, down 1.74% week-on-week [24][1] - The report highlights that the industry is approaching a turning point in inventory levels, with the average post-slaughter weight of pigs reaching a new high since early 2023, suggesting a potential recovery in profitability after inventory reduction [4][24] - In the poultry sector, both white feather broiler and chick prices have declined, with white feather broiler prices at 7.40 yuan/kg, down 0.67% week-on-week, and chick prices at 2.85 yuan/bird, down 2.06% week-on-week [33][2] Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The agricultural sector underperformed the market, with the agricultural index rising only 0.05% compared to the Shanghai Composite Index's 0.76% increase [14] - The performance of sub-sectors within agriculture varied, with animal health and feed sectors showing positive growth while poultry and planting sectors faced declines [14][18] 2. Key Data Tracking - The average price of corn is 2374.90 yuan/ton, up 0.48% week-on-week, while soybean meal prices fell by 5.93% to 3115.71 yuan/ton. Wheat prices increased by 0.33% to 2468.89 yuan/ton [2][47] - The report notes that the average weight of pigs at slaughter is 92.02 kg, with a slight increase of 0.17% week-on-week, indicating stable supply conditions [22][24] 3. Investment Recommendations - For the pig farming sector, the report recommends stocks such as Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and Juxing Agriculture, anticipating a long-term upward trend in profitability following inventory reduction [4][73] - In the planting chain, the report suggests focusing on companies like Suqian Agricultural Development and Beidahuang, as the upward trend in grain prices is expected to continue [4][73] - The pet food sector is highlighted as a growth area, with recommendations for companies like Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co., as the domestic market continues to expand [4][73]

Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. Report's Core View From May 12 to May 16, 2025, the secondary - market prices of China's listed public REITs showed an overall fluctuating upward trend. The weighted REITs index closed at 137.87 with a weekly return of 1.7%. Compared with other mainstream asset classes, REITs ranked second in terms of return. In terms of different project attributes and underlying asset types, there were also varying degrees of price increases. The trading volume and turnover rate of REITs showed differentiation, and the net inflow of main funds continued. There were no new REITs listed in the primary market this week, but the status of several REITs' initial projects was updated [1][10]. Summary According to the Directory Secondary Market Price Trend - **At the large - asset level**: The secondary - market prices of China's listed public REITs showed an overall fluctuating upward trend. The weighted REITs index closed at 137.87 with a weekly return of 1.7%. Compared with other mainstream asset classes, the return ranking from high to low was: US stocks > REITs > convertible bonds > A - shares > pure bonds > crude oil > gold [1][10]. - **At the underlying - asset level**: Both equity - type REITs and franchise - type REITs showed an upward trend, with equity - type REITs having a larger increase. In terms of underlying asset types, consumer - type REITs had the largest increase this week. The top three underlying asset types in terms of weekly return were consumer - type, park - type, and affordable housing - type [16][18]. - **At the single - REIT level**: This week, public REITs showed mixed performance, with 52 REITs rising and 13 falling. The top three in terms of increase were Huaxia Nanjing Transportation Expressway REIT, Jiashi Wumei Consumption REIT, and CICC Xiamen Anju REIT. The top three in terms of decrease were Guojin China Railway Construction REIT, AVIC Shougang Green Energy REIT, and AVIC Jingneng Photovoltaic REIT [22]. Trading Volume and Turnover Rate - **At the underlying - asset level**: The trading volume of public REITs this week was 2.442 billion yuan, and the average daily turnover rate of warehousing and logistics REITs was the highest among others. The top three REITs asset types in terms of trading volume were transportation infrastructure, park infrastructure, and warehousing and logistics. The top three in terms of average daily turnover rate were warehousing and logistics, affordable rental housing, and energy infrastructure [26]. - **At the single - REIT level**: The trading volume and turnover rate of single REITs continued to show differentiation. The top three in terms of trading volume were Hongtu Innovation Yantian Port REIT, Dongwu Suyuan Industrial REIT, and Guotai Junan Dongjiu New Economy REIT. The top three in terms of trading amount were Guotai Junan Dongjiu New Economy REIT, Dongwu Suyuan Industrial REIT, and CICC Anhui Expressway REIT [29]. Net Inflow of Main Funds and Block Trading - **Net inflow of main funds**: The total net inflow of main funds this week was 26.7254 million yuan, and the market trading enthusiasm continued. The top three underlying asset types in terms of net inflow of main funds were warehousing and logistics, park infrastructure, and energy infrastructure. The top three single REITs in terms of net inflow were Hongtu Innovation Yantian Port REIT, Huaxia Shenzhen International REIT, and Huaxia China Resources Commercial REIT [32]. - **Block trading**: The total block trading amount this week reached 220.67 million yuan, a decrease compared with last week. There were block trading transactions on 4 trading days this week, and the highest single - day block trading amount was on May 13, 2025, which was 82.28 million yuan. The top three single REITs in terms of block trading amount were CICC Yinli Consumption REIT, Huaxia China Resources Commercial REIT, and Hua'an Zhangjiang Industrial Park REIT [33]. Primary Market Listed Projects As of May 16, 2025, the number of public REITs products in China reached 65, with a total issuance scale of 17.3026 billion yuan. In terms of underlying asset types, transportation infrastructure had the largest issuance scale, reaching 6.8771 billion yuan, followed by park infrastructure REITs with an issuance scale of 2.7062 billion yuan. No new REITs were listed this week [37][38]. Projects to be Listed According to the project dynamic disclosures of the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, there were 27 REITs in the state of being to be listed, including 15 initial REITs and 12 REITs to be expanded. This week, the status of the initial project of "Chuangjin Hexin Electronic City Industrial Park Closed - end Infrastructure Securities Investment Fund" was updated to "declared"; the status of the initial project of "Huaxia Kaide Commercial Asset Closed - end Infrastructure Securities Investment Fund" was updated to "feedback received"; the status of the initial project of "Bank of China Sino - Sinotrans Warehousing and Logistics Closed - end Infrastructure Securities Investment Fund" was updated to "feedback received" [41].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Geely Automobile, with an updated target price of HK$23.47, corresponding to a 13.5x PE for 2025E [4]. Core Insights - Geely's 1Q25 performance exceeded expectations, with total revenue increasing by 24.5% year-on-year to HK$72.495 billion, and net profit attributable to shareholders rising by 263.6% year-on-year to HK$5.672 billion [1]. - The improvement in product mix and cost efficiency from internal integration are key drivers of the company's performance, with total sales increasing by 47.9% year-on-year to 704,000 units, and new energy vehicle sales up by 135.4% year-on-year [2]. - The privatization of Zeekr and its integration into Geely aims to enhance operational efficiency and profitability, with expected improvements in R&D, management, and marketing efficiencies [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1Q25, Geely's total revenue was HK$72.495 billion, with a gross margin of 15.8%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached HK$5.672 billion, reflecting significant year-on-year growth [1]. - The company forecasts revenue growth rates of 46.4% for 2025E and 9.4% for 2026E, with net profit estimates of approximately HK$16.16 billion for 2025E [5]. Sales and Product Development - Geely's total sales volume in 1Q25 was 704,000 units, with new energy vehicles accounting for 48.2% of total sales. The Galaxy and Zeekr brands showed substantial growth, with sales increasing by 214% and 25% respectively [2]. - The company is expected to launch several new models in 2Q25, which are anticipated to further boost sales and performance [2]. Strategic Initiatives - The integration of Zeekr as a wholly-owned subsidiary is expected to enhance profitability and operational efficiency, with management projecting overall efficiency gains of over 5% post-integration [3]. - Geely's focus on smart technology across its brands aims to strengthen its competitive position in the mainstream price segment [3].

- The report tracks the performance of various factors in different stock pools, including the CSI 300, CSI 500, and Liquidity 1500 stock pools[1][2][3] - In the CSI 300 stock pool, the best-performing factors this week were single-quarter net profit year-on-year growth rate (1.02%), single-quarter EPS (1.00%), and PE ratio factor (0.89%)[12][13] - In the CSI 500 stock pool, the best-performing factors this week were EPTTM percentile (1.30%), PB ratio factor (1.07%), and operating cash flow ratio (0.97%)[14][15] - In the Liquidity 1500 stock pool, the best-performing factors this week were post-morning return factor (2.27%), momentum spring factor (1.43%), and PE TTM reciprocal (1.33%)[16][17] - The PB-ROE-50 portfolio achieved positive excess returns in the CSI 500 and CSI 800 stock pools this week, with excess returns of 0.88% and 0.43% respectively[24][25] - The institutional research portfolio tracking strategy achieved positive excess returns this week, with the private equity research tracking strategy achieving an excess return of 0.22% relative to the CSI 800[26][27] - The block trading portfolio achieved a positive excess return of 0.36% relative to the CSI All Share Index this week[30][31] - The directed issuance portfolio achieved a positive excess return of 0.48% relative to the CSI All Share Index this week[35][36]