Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector [4] Core Viewpoints - Recent policy guidance has led to a rapid decline in post-slaughter weight, allowing for a rebalancing of volume and price, with positive expectations for pig prices [3] - The long-term perspective indicates that the bottom of the production capacity cycle is becoming clearer, suggesting a potential long-term profit upturn for the sector [3] - The report highlights investment opportunities in various segments, including pig farming, feed, and planting chains, as well as the pet food sector [3] Summary by Sections Pig Farming Sector - In June, 13 listed pig companies collectively slaughtered 16.2681 million pigs, a month-on-month increase of 2.65% and a year-on-year increase of 47.55% [2][13] - The average selling price of pigs decreased by approximately 3% month-on-month and about 20% year-on-year, with prices ranging from 13.23 to 15.57 yuan/kg [14][15] - The average weight of slaughtered pigs in June was 125.06 kg, down 0.77 kg from May, indicating a trend towards reducing weight [17] Market Dynamics - The national average price for live pigs was 14.81 yuan/kg as of July 11, reflecting a week-on-week decline of 3.52% [28] - The demand for pork is weakening due to high temperatures affecting consumption and rising storage costs, leading to a gradual loosening of supply-demand dynamics [28] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies such as Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff, and Juxing Agriculture, as well as companies in the feed and animal health sectors like Haida Group and Ruipu Biological [3] - In the planting chain, opportunities are highlighted for companies like Suqian Agricultural Development and Beidahuang [3] Other Segments - The pet food industry is experiencing growth, with increasing recognition of domestic brands and continuous growth of leading companies [3]

Group 1 - The A-share market has shown signs of recovery, with major indices mostly rising, particularly the ChiNext Index which increased by 2.4% [13][14][16] - The real estate, steel, and non-bank financial sectors performed relatively well this week, with respective increases of 6.1%, 4.4%, and 4.0% [16][19][34] - The manufacturing sector is predicted to have the highest mid-year report performance growth, with an estimated year-on-year growth rate of approximately 10.0% [33][34] Group 2 - Industries expected to show high mid-year report performance growth include light industry, non-ferrous metals, and non-bank financial sectors, with predicted net profit growth rates of 34.2%, 33.0%, and 19.1% respectively [33][34] - The construction materials, electronics, and telecommunications sectors are anticipated to have significant performance improvement, with expected growth rate improvements of 11.4%, 7.9%, and 6.1% respectively [34][39] - The current mid-year earnings forecast disclosure rate is only 4.1%, indicating limited reference value for investors [39][42] Group 3 - The overall pre-announcement rate for A-share companies is 72%, with many industries showing high pre-announcement rates, particularly in real estate and non-bank financial sectors [39][40] - The environmental protection, transportation, and media sectors are expected to show significant improvement in mid-year earnings forecasts, with respective improvement rates of 139.5pct, 111.0pct, and 96.7pct [41][44] - The market is expected to experience a bullish trend in the second half of the year, with a focus on sectors that are likely to outperform in mid-year reports [57][58]

2025 年 7 月 12 日 公司研究 奶酪消费趋势向好，25H1 归母净利实现高增 从市场地位看，以凯度消费者指数为例，2024 年妙可蓝多奶酪销售额市占率超 过 37%，25Q1 销售额市占率提升至 39%以上，稳居市场第一。 未来随着新品驱动和渠道扩张，公司 BC 两端有望共同发力支撑增长；经营恢复 下，公司利润弹性有望释放。 盈利预测、估值与评级：我们维持公司 2025-2027 年归母净利润预测分别为 2.16/3.24/4.57 亿元，折合 2025-2027 年 EPS 分别为 0.42/0.63/0.89 元，对应 PE 分别为 67x/45x/32x。公司 C 端奶酪龙头地位稳固，奶酪行业增长空间较大， 我们维持"增持"评级。 ——妙可蓝多（600882.SH）2025 年半年报预告点评 要点 事件：公司发布 2025 年半年报预告，经追溯口径预计 25H1 实现归母净利润 1.2-1.45 亿元，同比增长 68.1-103.1%；预计实现扣非归母净利润 0.9-1.15 亿元， 同比增长 58.2%-102.2%。其中经追溯口径预计 25Q2 实现归母净利润 3760-6260 万元，同 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - From July 7 to July 11, 2025, the secondary - market prices of China's listed public REITs showed an overall correction, with a weighted REITs index return rate of - 1.26%. Compared with other mainstream asset classes, REITs performed weakly [1][11]. - The trading volume and enthusiasm in the REITs market decreased. The total net inflow of main funds was 7.483 million yuan, and the total amount of block trades reached 628.09 million yuan, an increase from the previous week [2][3][32]. - There were no new REITs products listed in the primary market this week, and the status of the first - issue project of "Huaxia Zhonghe Clean Energy Closed - end Infrastructure Securities Investment Fund" was updated to "Feedback Received" [4][44]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Secondary Market 3.1.1 Price Trends - **At the major asset level**: The secondary - market prices of China's listed public REITs corrected. The returns of China's public REITs were - 1.26%, ranking at the bottom among mainstream asset classes [11]. - **At the underlying asset level**: Both equity - type and franchise - type REITs showed a downward trend, with franchise - type REITs having a smaller decline. Among different underlying asset types, energy - type REITs had the smallest decline this week [16][18]. - **At the single - REIT level**: 8 REITs rose and 60 REITs fell. The top three in terms of increase were Harvest JD Warehouse Infrastructure REIT, CICC China Greentown Commercial REIT, and Southern SF Logistics REIT [22]. 3.1.2 Transaction Volume and Turnover Rate - **At the underlying asset level**: The total trading volume of public REITs this week was 2.75 billion yuan, and the ecological and environmental protection - type REITs led in the average daily turnover rate during the period. The top three in terms of trading volume were transportation infrastructure, park infrastructure, and consumption infrastructure; the top three in terms of average daily turnover rate were ecological and environmental protection, affordable rental housing, and consumption infrastructure [26]. - **At the single - REIT level**: The performance of single - REIT trading volume and turnover rate continued to be differentiated. The top three in terms of trading volume were Huaxia Hefei High - tech REIT, Huaxia Beijing Affordable Housing REIT, and Harvest JD Warehouse Infrastructure REIT; the top three in terms of trading amount were Huaxia Beijing Affordable Housing REIT, Huaxia China Resources Commercial REIT, and CICC Anhui Expressway REIT [29]. 3.1.3 Main Net Inflow and Block Trade Situation - **Main net inflow situation**: The total net inflow of main funds this week was 7.483 million yuan, indicating a decline in market trading enthusiasm. The top three underlying asset types in terms of net inflow were consumption infrastructure, energy infrastructure, and affordable rental housing. The top three REITs in terms of net inflow were CICC China Greentown Commercial REIT, Huaxia China Resources Commercial REIT, and CITIC Construction Investment State Power Investment New Energy REIT [32]. - **Block trade situation**: The total amount of block trades this week reached 628.09 million yuan, an increase from the previous week. The highest single - day block - trade turnover was on Thursday, July 10, 2025. The top three REITs in terms of block - trade turnover were Huaxia China Resources Commercial REIT, Huaxia Beijing Affordable Housing REIT, and Huaxia Shenzhen International REIT [33]. 3.2 Primary Market 3.2.1 Listed Projects - As of July 11, 2025, the number of China's public REITs products reached 68, with a total issuance scale of 177.061 billion yuan. Transportation infrastructure had the largest issuance scale, followed by park infrastructure [38]. - No new REITs products were listed this week [39]. 3.2.2 Projects to be Listed - There were 28 REITs in a to - be - listed state, including 16 first - issue REITs and 12 to - be - expanded REITs. The status of the first - issue project of "Huaxia Zhonghe Clean Energy Closed - end Infrastructure Securities Investment Fund" was updated to "Feedback Received" [44].

2025 年 7 月 12 日 总量研究 市场呈现反转风格，大宗交易组合超额收益显著 ——量化组合跟踪周报 20250712 要点 量化市场跟踪 大类因子表现：本周全市场股票池中，Beta 因子和估值因子分别获取正收益 0.48%、0.26%；市值因子和盈利因子分别获取负收益-0.24%、-0.42%，市场 表现为小市值风格；动量因子获取负收益-0.44%，市场表现为反转风格；其余 风格因子表现一般。 单因子表现：沪深 300 股票池中，本周表现较好的因子有单季度净利润同比增 长率 (1.83%)、单季度营业利润同比增长率 (1.75%)、净利润率 TTM (1.52%)。 表现较差的因子有早盘后收益因子(-1.76%)、动量弹簧因子 (-1.73%)、成交量 的 5 日指数移动平均 (-1.49%)。 中证 500 股票池中，本周表现较好的因子有市净率因子(2.57%)、下行波动率占 比 (2.07%)、市销率 TTM 倒数 (1.33%)。表现较差的因子有动量弹簧因子 (-1.23%)、单季度总资产毛利率(-1.22%)、总资产毛利率 TTM (-1.16%)。 流动性 1500 股票池中，本周表现较好的 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the non-bank financial sector [1]. Core Insights - The recent notification from the Ministry of Finance emphasizes the importance of long-term assessments for state-owned commercial insurance companies, aiming to enhance their stable operation and increase their market participation [1][3]. - The adjustment in the assessment criteria for net asset return rates and capital preservation rates aims to encourage long-term investment strategies among insurance companies [3][4]. - The report highlights that the long-cycle assessment will help alleviate the impact of short-term market fluctuations on performance, thereby increasing the willingness of insurance funds to enter the market [8][9]. Summary by Sections Background - The regulatory environment is being optimized to promote long-term investments, with a series of measures introduced to address the barriers faced by insurance funds in making long-term investments [2]. - Key measures include increasing the A-share investment ratio and stability of commercial insurance funds, as well as simplifying the regulatory ratios for equity assets [2]. Content - The assessment weight for the 3-5 year cycle has been raised to 70%, with the new evaluation method combining annual, 3-year, and 5-year indicators [3][4]. - The notification introduces a new assessment requirement for the preservation and appreciation rate of state-owned capital, aligning it with the assessment method for net asset return rates [4]. Impact - The long-cycle assessment system is expected to facilitate the entry of insurance funds into the market, particularly in a low-interest-rate environment, which has been squeezing profit margins for insurance companies [8][9]. - Increasing the proportion of equity investments is anticipated to enhance the investment yield elasticity for insurance companies, thereby providing a buffer against interest margin losses [9]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that despite potential pressures on new business growth, the ongoing optimization of product structures and the increase in floating income products will support the net profit value (NBV) [15]. - It recommends specific insurance stocks that are likely to benefit from these trends, including New China Life Insurance, China Life Insurance, and China Pacific Insurance [15].

2025 年 7 月 12 日 公司研究 显示业务利润显著改善，新能源光伏业务仍承压 事件：公司发布 2025 年半年度业绩预告，上半年公司整体实现营收 826 亿-906 亿元，同比增长 3%-13%；归母净利润 18 亿元-20 亿元，同比增长 81%-101%； 扣非后归母净利润实现 15 亿-16.5 亿元，同比增长 168%-195%；其中，半导体 显示业务预计实现净利润超 46 亿元，同比超 70%。 点评： 公司不断优化面板产品结构，大尺寸化进程带动业绩增长：大尺寸显示领域，供 给侧格局进一步优化，高端化及大尺寸化趋势拉动面积需求继续增长，主要产品 价格相对稳定、随需求淡旺季窄幅波动。公司充分发挥产线布局、产品技术和效 率效益优势，盈利能力增强。中尺寸领域，t9 产能顺利爬坡，IT 产品销售和收 入大幅增长，业务盈利持续改善。小尺寸领域，OLED 业务高端化战略成效显著， 多款差异化产品实现头部客户供应。公司将继续完善显示业务布局和产品结构， 巩固竞争优势。乐金显示（中国）有限公司已于 2025 年第二季度起并入公司合 并范围；公司对深圳市华星光电半导体显示技术有限公司 21.5311%股权的收 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company is expected to see improved profitability due to ongoing upgrades in optical specifications and accelerated shipments in the automotive sector [2][3] - The mobile camera module shipments have shown a positive year-on-year growth for the first time in 2025, while lens shipments are expected to recover in the second half of the year [1][2] - The automotive lens shipments have significantly increased, with a projected growth rate of 26% in global shipments by 2025, benefiting the company as a leading player in this market [3] Summary by Sections Mobile Camera Modules - In June, mobile camera module shipments increased by 11.1% month-on-month and 0.7% year-on-year, marking the first positive year-on-year growth in 2025 [1] - The first half of 2025 saw a year-on-year decline of 21.0% in mobile camera module shipments, attributed to a focus on mid-to-high-end projects and a high base from the previous year [1] - The report anticipates a recovery in shipments during the second half of 2025 due to the traditional peak season for Android devices [1] Mobile Lenses - Mobile lens shipments in June decreased by 3.1% month-on-month and 12.7% year-on-year, primarily due to a focus on mid-to-high-end projects [1] - For the first half of 2025, mobile lens shipments declined by 6.4% year-on-year, which is below the annual growth guidance of 5% [1] - A recovery in mobile lens shipments is expected in the second half of 2025 due to increased demand from major clients [1] Automotive Lenses - June saw a 3.2% month-on-month increase and a 44.6% year-on-year increase in automotive lens shipments [3] - The first half of 2025 recorded a 21.7% year-on-year increase in automotive lens shipments, exceeding the annual growth guidance of 15%-20% [3] - The company is projected to benefit significantly from the anticipated growth in the automotive lens market, with an expected shipment growth rate of nearly 25% in 2025 [3] Financial Forecasts - The report has revised the net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 upwards by 9% and 6% respectively, now estimating net profits of 3.83 billion and 4.84 billion RMB [4] - The company is expected to achieve a gross margin of nearly 10% for mobile camera modules and nearly 30% for mobile lenses in 2025 [2] - Revenue projections for the company show a steady increase from 31.68 billion RMB in 2023 to 62.07 billion RMB in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 17.9% [4]

商业化要素齐备，无人物流时代开启 ——无人物流车跟踪报告 2025年7月11日 分析师：倪昱婧，CFA（执业证书编号：S0930515090002） 分析师：邢萍（执业证书编号：S0930525050001） 核心观点 风险提示：无人物流车量产进展不及预期、物流需求减少、政策与市场风险。 请务必参阅正文之后的重要声明 1 无人物流车当前以中短途运输为主：当前无人物流车主要应用于中短距离的支线运输/末端配送，我 们判断，1）无人物流车可有效解决偏远地区/高峰时段用工短缺问题，配送效率高+应用范围广；2） 无人物流车的核心应用场景为城市配送（快递/外卖/零售/商超等），或有望重构城市配送产业生态。 商业化落地要素齐全，无人物流车有望率先放量：我们判断，无人物流车在政策/技术/成本三方面或 均已具备相对成熟条件，有望在L4级自动驾驶商业化场景中率先实现大规模放量：1）政策：一方面 无人物流车支持政策范围已涵盖二三线城市、且有明确的安全/责任规定，另一方面，2024年至今国 内各地加速发放无人物流车上路牌照；2）技术：与其他L4级自动驾驶场景相比，无人物流车主要针 对低速+固定路线场景，算法+算力要求均相应降低；3） ...

2025 年 7 月 11 日 晨会速递 分析师点评 市场数据 【基化】制冷剂高景气延续，Q2 业绩高增长——巨化股份（600160.SH）2025 年半 年度业绩预告点评(买入) 制冷剂景气上行，公司盈利能力持续提升，我们上调公司 2025-2027 年盈利预测， 预计 2025-2027 年公司归母净利润分别为 41.91 亿元（上调 11%）/51.41 亿元（上 调 10%）/62.86 亿元（上调 8%），折合 EPS 分别为 1.55 元/1.90 元/2.33 元。维持 公司"买入"评级。 风险提示：下游需求不及预期，技术迭代风险，产品价格大幅 波动。 【有色】2025 上半年业绩同比高增，冶炼分离及稀土金属加工成本进一步降低—— 北方稀土（600111.SH）2025 年半年度业绩预增点评(增持) 北方稀土公告，预计 2025 年半年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润 9 亿元-9.6 亿 元，同比增加 1882.54%到 2014.71%。镨钕和镧铈价格同比上涨叠加冶炼分离等加 工成本进一步降低增厚业绩。推进绿色冶炼升级改造项目，一期进入产线联动调试收 尾阶段。下游应用仍保持增长，未来稀土行业 ...