Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector [5]. Core Viewpoints - The acquisition of Metsera by Pfizer, valued at approximately $4.9 billion, underscores the significant potential and long-term growth prospects of the weight loss drug market, particularly in the GLP-1 segment [2][24]. - The report emphasizes the urgent demand for next-generation therapies, such as oral formulations and multi-target drugs, indicating a competitive landscape in the global GLP-1 research race [2][24]. - The Chinese weight loss drug industry is poised for growth, with a focus on companies that demonstrate strong sales execution and advanced research capabilities [3][24]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology index fell by 2.20%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.27 percentage points, ranking 24th among 31 sub-industries [1][16]. Key Company Insights - Companies to watch include Innovent Biologics (H), Heng Rui Medicine, Borui Medicine, Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical, Nawei Technology, WuXi AppTec (A+H), and Kelaiying (A+H) as they are expected to benefit from the expanding GLP-1 industry chain [3][24]. Annual Investment Strategy - The report suggests a structural selection of investment opportunities based on payment willingness and ability, focusing on three payment channels: hospital payments, out-of-pocket payments, and overseas payments [25]. - Key areas of interest include hospital policy support for innovative drugs and devices, expanding public demand for blood products, home medical devices, and the weight loss drug industry chain [25]. Company Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report provides earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for key companies, indicating a "Buy" rating for WuXi AppTec and Innovent Biologics, and an "Overweight" rating for Heng Rui Medicine [4]. Market Trends - The global weight loss drug market is experiencing rapid growth, with Pfizer's acquisition of Metsera highlighting the increasing market space associated with obesity-related health issues [28]. - The report notes that the commercialization of domestic weight loss drugs will hinge on sales capabilities and research advancements [3][24]. Important Company Announcements - Recent announcements include clinical trial updates and new drug applications from various companies, indicating ongoing innovation and development within the sector [27]. Financial Data - The basic medical insurance income for the first seven months of 2025 reached 1,684.7 billion yuan, with expenditures amounting to 1,369.7 billion yuan, reflecting the financial landscape impacting the pharmaceutical industry [30]. Price Trends - The report notes a decline in antibiotic prices and stability in cardiovascular raw material drug prices, which may influence the cost structure for pharmaceutical companies [36][43]. Conclusion - The report presents a positive outlook for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector, particularly in the weight loss drug market, driven by significant acquisitions and a growing demand for innovative therapies [2][24].

2025 年 9 月 29 日 晨会速递 分析师点评 市场数据 总量研究 【宏观】8 月工业企业利润缘何高增？——2025 年 8 月工业企业盈利数据点评 8 月工业企业利润同比增速大幅回正，主要受去年低基数因素推动，上年同期利润同 比降幅达到两位数，若计算两年平均增速则与上月持平。从结构来看，8 月工业企业 利润呈现量降、价升、利润率改善的格局，体现出"反内卷"政策对行业格局的重塑， 利润分配更多向上游行业倾斜，中游装备制造业利润占比下降。四季度，受上年低基 数因素延续影响，预计工业企业利润同比增速将继续保持在正值区间。 【策略】把握布局窗口——2025 年 10 月 A 股及港股月度金股组合 2025 年 10 月 A 股金股组合：中芯国际、寒武纪-U、海康威视、奥来德、华友钴业、 三一重工、海尔智家、招商银行、招商蛇口、上海临港。 2025 年 10 月港股金股组 合：阿里巴巴-W、百度集团-SW、中芯国际、华虹半导体、心动公司。 【策略】把握震荡布局窗口——策略周专题（2025 年 9 月第 4 期） 国庆节后市场有望继续上行。历史来看，国庆节后随着市场热度的回暖，市场通常表 现较好。对于本轮行情而言 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of the company [6]. Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading integrated oilfield service provider in China, focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvement while deepening transformation [1][4]. - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, benefiting from the "Belt and Road" initiative, with significant growth in overseas revenue and new contracts [2][4]. - The company aims to enhance production efficiency by optimizing human resources and asset management, leading to a significant reduction in workforce and an increase in revenue per employee [3][4]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates across five major business segments: geophysical services, drilling engineering, logging, downhole special operations, and engineering construction, covering the entire oil and gas industry chain from exploration to abandonment [1][17]. - It has established a strong international presence, executing projects in over 30 countries and becoming a key contractor for national oil companies in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Ecuador [1][27]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 37.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.6%, and a net profit of 492 million yuan, up 9.0% [32]. - The company forecasts net profits of 909 million, 1.099 billion, and 1.315 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.05, 0.06, and 0.07 yuan per share [4][5]. Operational Efficiency - The company plans to reduce various institutions by 271 and teams by 124 in 2024, saving operational costs of 150 million yuan [3]. - The workforce has decreased from 81,340 in 2016 to 60,162 in 2024, a reduction of 26%, while revenue per employee has increased by 155% [3]. Market Expansion - The company has seen a 4% year-on-year increase in overseas revenue to 9.28 billion yuan and a 72% increase in new contracts to 19.62 billion yuan [2]. - Major breakthroughs in key markets such as Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Ecuador have been achieved, with significant contracts signed [29]. Research and Development - The company is committed to increasing R&D investment, maintaining a research intensity of 2.5%-3% in 2024, and aims to enhance technological innovation and core competencies [3][38]. - The company has received multiple awards for its technological advancements and has a robust patent portfolio [38][42].

- **Quantitative Timing Model: Volume Timing Signal** - **Model Name**: Volume Timing Signal - **Construction Idea**: The model uses volume indicators to assess market sentiment and provide timing signals for broad-based indices[23] - **Construction Process**: The model evaluates the trading volume of major indices (e.g., Shanghai Composite Index, CSI 300, etc.) and assigns a cautious view when volume contracts significantly[23][24] - **Evaluation**: The model provides a cautious perspective on market timing, especially during periods of volume contraction[23] - **Quantitative Sentiment Indicator: HS300 Upward Stock Count Ratio** - **Indicator Name**: HS300 Upward Stock Count Ratio - **Construction Idea**: The indicator measures the proportion of stocks within the CSI 300 index that have positive returns over a given period to gauge market sentiment[24] - **Construction Process**: - Formula: $ HS300\ Upward\ Stock\ Count\ Ratio = \frac{\text{Number of CSI 300 stocks with positive returns over N days}}{\text{Total number of CSI 300 stocks}} $ - The indicator is smoothed using two different window periods (N1=50, N2=35) to capture short-term and long-term trends[24][28] - **Evaluation**: The indicator effectively captures upward opportunities but struggles to predict downward risks. It is prone to missing gains during sustained market exuberance[25] - **Quantitative Sentiment Indicator: Moving Average Sentiment Indicator** - **Indicator Name**: Moving Average Sentiment Indicator - **Construction Idea**: The indicator uses an eight-moving-average system to assess the sentiment and trend of the CSI 300 index[31] - **Construction Process**: - Calculate the eight moving averages (parameters: 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233) for the CSI 300 index closing price[31] - Assign values based on the number of moving averages above or below the current price: - If the current price exceeds five moving averages, signal a bullish sentiment[32] - Smooth the sentiment indicator using two moving average windows (N1>N2) to generate buy/sell signals[31][32] - **Evaluation**: The indicator provides clear sentiment signals and aligns well with CSI 300 index trends[34] - **Market Alpha Environment Indicator: Cross-Sectional Volatility** - **Indicator Name**: Cross-Sectional Volatility - **Construction Idea**: Measures the dispersion of returns among index constituents to evaluate the alpha generation environment[36] - **Construction Process**: - Calculate the standard deviation of returns for index constituents (e.g., CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000) over different time periods (quarterly, semi-annual, annual)[38] - Compare the volatility levels to historical percentiles to assess the alpha environment[38] - **Evaluation**: The indicator shows improved short-term alpha opportunities for CSI 300 and CSI 500, while CSI 1000 remains average[36] - **Market Alpha Environment Indicator: Time-Series Volatility** - **Indicator Name**: Time-Series Volatility - **Construction Idea**: Measures the volatility of index constituent returns over time to assess alpha generation potential[38] - **Construction Process**: - Calculate the weighted time-series volatility for index constituents (e.g., CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000) over different time periods (quarterly, semi-annual, annual)[41] - Compare the volatility levels to historical percentiles to evaluate the alpha environment[41] - **Evaluation**: CSI 500 shows favorable alpha conditions, while CSI 300 and CSI 1000 remain average or below average[38] Backtesting Results for Models and Indicators - **Volume Timing Signal**: - Signal: Cautious for all major indices (Shanghai Composite, CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, etc.)[24] - **HS300 Upward Stock Count Ratio**: - Recent Value: Approximately 60%[25] - **Moving Average Sentiment Indicator**: - Current Sentiment: CSI 300 index is in a bullish sentiment zone[34] - **Cross-Sectional Volatility**: - CSI 300: Quarterly average volatility = 2.04%, percentile = 73.50% - CSI 500: Quarterly average volatility = 2.19%, percentile = 67.46% - CSI 1000: Quarterly average volatility = 2.40%, percentile = 66.14%[38] - **Time-Series Volatility**: - CSI 300: Quarterly average volatility = 0.63%, percentile = 61.70% - CSI 500: Quarterly average volatility = 0.45%, percentile = 74.60% - CSI 1000: Quarterly average volatility = 0.24%, percentile = 59.76%[41]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the petrochemical industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The "Petrochemical Industry Steady Growth Work Plan" has been released, aiming to promote technological innovation and transformation upgrades in the industry [1] - The plan addresses challenges such as intensified competition in the basic organic raw material market, insufficient supply of high-end fine chemicals, slowing domestic demand growth, and increasing external uncertainties [1] - Key measures include strengthening industrial technological innovation, expanding effective investment, stimulating market demand, fostering high-quality growth engines, and enhancing international cooperation [1][2] - The report emphasizes that industry leaders are expected to benefit from the transformation and upgrading efforts, with a focus on controlling new refining capacity and supporting the renovation of outdated facilities [3] Summary by Sections Section 1: Industry Growth and Transformation - The plan supports the development of key industries such as integrated circuits, new energy, and medical equipment, focusing on high-end chemical products [2] - Major breakthroughs have been achieved by leading companies like China National Petroleum Corporation and Sinopec in areas such as metallocene polyethylene and carbon fiber [2] Section 2: Industry Stability and Leader Benefits - The report highlights that the petrochemical industry is expected to achieve stable growth through transformation, with industry leaders likely to benefit from controlled capacity additions and accelerated upgrades of outdated facilities [3] - The plan aims to prevent overcapacity risks in the coal-to-methanol sector while promoting the modernization of coal chemical projects [3] Section 3: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a positive outlook for major oil companies and oil service sectors, recommending attention to companies like China National Petroleum Corporation, Sinopec, and CNOOC [4] - It also highlights the potential for improved profitability in refining, coal chemical, and ethylene sectors [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future investment returns [6]. Core Insights - The company has signed contracts for two major projects in the Middle East, with a total contract value of approximately 217 billion RMB, representing 25% of the company's revenue for 2024 [2][3]. - The funding from a planned A-share issuance of 16.75 billion shares, amounting to 5.913 billion RMB, will support these projects, enhancing the company's capabilities in international markets and contributing to high-quality development [3]. - The company has shown a 9.86% year-on-year increase in new overseas contracts, which accounted for 31.58% of total new contracts signed in the first half of 2025 [4]. Summary by Sections Project Contracts - The company has secured contracts for the UAE LNG pipeline project worth 5.13 billion USD (approximately 36.88 billion RMB) and the Iraq seawater pipeline project valued at 25.24 billion USD (approximately 180.32 billion RMB) [1][2]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 738 million RMB, 825 million RMB, and 929 million RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.13, 0.15, and 0.17 RMB per share [4][10]. Market Position - The company ranks 36th in the ENR International Contractors 250 list and 6th among the top ten global oil and gas engineering companies, reflecting its strong international brand influence [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, specifically an "Accumulate" rating [5]. Core Views - The strategic restructuring of the controlling shareholder is expected to achieve deep synergy within the industrial chain, enhancing operational efficiency and reducing homogeneous competition [2][3]. - The merger between China Pingmei Shenma Group and Henan Energy Group is a significant move, as both are major players in the energy sector with substantial assets and resources [2]. - The company is positioned to benefit from preferential policies in tax and capacity allocation due to its status as a key enterprise in Henan Province [3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The controlling shareholder, China Pingmei Shenma Group, is formed from two Fortune 500 companies with an asset scale exceeding 280 billion yuan, ranking 168th in the 2024 China Enterprise 500 list [2]. - Henan Energy Group, a major provincial enterprise, has coal reserves of 28.4 billion tons and a chemical product capacity of nearly 10 million tons [2]. Strategic Implications - The restructuring is expected to create a seamless "coal-coke-chemical-new energy" industrial chain, allowing the company to access high-quality coal and coke resources, thereby reducing costs and promoting high-end, green development [3]. - The company is likely to receive regional policy benefits that will support its growth trajectory [3]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 45 million yuan, 89 million yuan, and 132 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.04, 0.09, and 0.13 yuan [3]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 12.92 billion yuan in 2023 to 19.68 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of approximately 12.6% [4]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides a P/E ratio forecast of 248 for 2025, decreasing to 85 by 2027, indicating an improving valuation outlook as earnings grow [4][12]. - The company is identified as a leader in the nylon chemical industry, with ongoing capacity expansion and a focus on high-value downstream sectors [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, specifically an "Accumulate" rating [5]. Core Views - The strategic restructuring of the controlling shareholder is expected to achieve deep synergy within the industrial chain, enhancing operational efficiency and reducing homogeneous competition [2][3]. - The merger between China Pingmei Shenma Group and Henan Energy Group is a significant move, as both are major players in the energy sector with substantial assets and resources [2]. - The company is positioned to benefit from preferential policies in tax and capacity allocation, which may promote its development [3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The controlling shareholder, China Pingmei Shenma Group, is formed from two Fortune 500 companies with an asset scale exceeding 280 billion yuan, ranking 168th in the 2024 China Enterprise 500 list [2]. - Henan Energy Group, a key provincial enterprise, has coal reserves of 28.4 billion tons and a chemical product capacity of nearly 10 million tons [2]. Strategic Restructuring - The restructuring aims to integrate the "coal-coke-chemical-new energy" industrial chain, which could lead to cost reductions and a shift towards high-end, green development in the company's nylon chemical industry [3]. - The merger is seen as a key initiative for the provincial government's state-owned enterprise reform [2]. Financial Forecasts - The company is projected to have net profits of 45 million yuan, 89 million yuan, and 132 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.04 yuan, 0.09 yuan, and 0.13 yuan [3]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 12.92 billion yuan in 2023 to 19.68 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of approximately 12.6% [4]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides a P/E ratio forecast of 248 for 2025, decreasing to 85 by 2027, indicating an improving valuation outlook as earnings grow [4][12]. - The company is identified as a leader in the domestic nylon chemical industry, with ongoing capacity expansion and a focus on high-value downstream sectors [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the semiconductor materials sector [6] Core Viewpoints - Terminal demand is expanding, with the global semiconductor industry continuing to improve. In the first half of 2025, demand from AI computing, data centers, and intelligent driving is expected to drive growth, following a recovery in 2024. The industry chain remains robust [1] - Global semiconductor sales are projected to reach approximately $405 billion in the first seven months of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 20.4%. The Chinese market is expected to grow to about $113.5 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 11.1% [1] - The semiconductor materials market is set to grow significantly, with a forecasted global market size of $70 billion in 2025, reflecting a 6% year-on-year increase. The Chinese market for key materials is expected to reach approximately 174.08 billion yuan, growing by 21.1% [2][4] Summary by Sections Semiconductor Industry Overview - The global semiconductor market is projected to reach $700.9 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 11.2%. The Asia-Pacific region is expected to account for about $370.6 billion, growing by 9.8% [1] - By 2026, the global semiconductor market is anticipated to further increase to $760.7 billion, with an 8.5% year-on-year growth [1] Capacity Expansion and Material Demand - The expansion of wafer production capacity is accelerating, particularly in advanced processes. By 2028, global monthly capacity for 12-inch wafers is expected to reach 11.1 million pieces, with a CAGR of approximately 7% from 2024 to 2028 [2] - The demand for semiconductor materials is expected to rise significantly, driven by increased wafer production capacity [2] Domestic Technological Advancements - Significant progress has been made in domestic semiconductor equipment, with Shanghai Microelectronics showcasing EUV lithography machine parameters, marking a breakthrough in high-end lithography technology [3] Market Growth in Specific Segments - The market for photolithography resists, wet electronic chemicals, and electronic specialty gases is steadily growing. The demand for wet electronic chemicals is projected to reach 4.685 million tons in 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 3.9% [4] - The global market for electronic specialty gases is expected to reach $6.4 billion in 2025, growing by 6.7% year-on-year, while the Chinese market is projected to reach 27.9 billion yuan, with a growth of 6.3% [4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in core material sectors such as photolithography resists, wet electronic chemicals, and electronic specialty gases, which possess technological advantages and customer validation [5]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - From September 22 to September 26, 2025, the secondary - market prices of China's listed public REITs declined slightly compared to the previous week. Among mainstream asset classes, REITs had a relatively lower return rate. Only energy - type REITs showed an increase in price, while other types generally declined. The trading volume, turnover rate, and net inflow of institutional funds also showed different trends among different underlying asset types and individual REITs. There were no new REIT products listed in the primary market this week, but the status of 3 REIT projects was updated [1][11]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Secondary Market 3.1.1 Price Trends - **At the large - scale asset level**: China's listed public REITs had a negative return rate of - 0.77% this week. Compared with other mainstream asset classes, the return rate ranking from high to low was: gold > crude oil > A - shares > convertible bonds > pure bonds > US stocks > REITs [11]. - **At the underlying asset level**: Both equity - type and franchise - type REITs' secondary - market prices declined. The weighted index of equity - type REITs was 157.26 with a return rate of - 0.89%, and that of franchise - type REITs was 118.06 with a return rate of - 0.59%. Among different underlying asset types, only energy - type REITs rose, with a return rate of 0.03%. The top three underlying asset types in terms of return rate were energy, ecological and environmental protection, and warehousing and logistics, with weighted indices of 153.78, 124.00, and 124.86 respectively, and return rates of 0.03%, - 0.08%, and - 0.46% [17][19]. - **At the single - REIT level**: Among the 74 REITs, 10 rose, 1 remained unchanged, and 63 declined. The top three in terms of increase were Bosera Jinkai Industrial Park REIT, CSC Guodian New Energy REIT, and CICC Liandong Science and Technology Innovation REIT, with increases of 1.64%, 0.98%, and 0.71% respectively. The top three in terms of decline were CICC Chongqing Liangjiang REIT, Huaxia Joy City Commercial REIT, and Jiashi Wumei Consumption REIT, with declines of 3.95%, 2.99%, and 2.7% respectively [24]. 3.1.2 Transaction Volume and Turnover Rate - **At the underlying asset level**: The total trading volume of public REITs this week was 1.86 billion yuan, and the average daily turnover rate of new infrastructure - type REITs was the highest. The top three in terms of trading volume were transportation infrastructure, energy infrastructure, and park infrastructure, with trading volumes of 488 million, 299 million, and 274 million yuan respectively. The top three in terms of average daily turnover rate were new infrastructure, ecological and environmental protection, and energy infrastructure, with rates of 1.08%, 0.79%, and 0.52% respectively [25]. - **At the single - REIT level**: The trading volume and turnover rate of single REITs continued to show differentiation. The top three in terms of trading volume were Southern Runze Technology Data Center REIT, Guojin China Railway Construction REIT, and CICC Xiamen Anju REIT, with trading volumes of 160 million, 150 million, and 140 million shares respectively. The top three in terms of trading amount were Guojin China Railway Construction REIT, Southern Runze Technology Data Center REIT, and CICC Anhui Expressway REIT, with trading amounts of 124 million, 94 million, and 81 million yuan respectively. The top three in terms of turnover rate were Huatai Jiangsu Expressway REIT, Huaxia Huadian Clean Energy REIT, and ICBC Mengneng Clean Energy REIT, with rates of 6.84%, 6.46%, and 6.34% respectively [28]. 3.1.3 Main Force Net Inflow and Block Trading - **Main force net inflow situation**: The total net inflow of the main force this week was 26.88 million yuan, indicating a decline in market trading enthusiasm. At the underlying asset level, the top three in terms of net inflow were park infrastructure, new infrastructure, and consumption infrastructure, with net inflows of 15.51 million, 10.59 million, and 7.95 million yuan respectively. At the single - REIT level, the top three were Chuangjin Hexin Shounong REIT, Southern Runze Technology Data Center REIT, and Huaxia Huarun Commercial REIT, with net inflows of 14.67 million, 10.93 million, and 8.37 million yuan respectively [32]. - **Block trading situation**: The total block trading amount this week was 42.11 million yuan, a decrease compared to the previous week. There were block trading transactions on 4 trading days this week, and the highest single - day block trading amount was on September 25, 2025, reaching 14.34 million yuan. The top three in terms of block trading amount were Southern Runze Technology Data Center REIT, China Merchants Expressway REIT, and CSC Mingyang Smart New Energy REIT, with trading amounts of 17.99 million, 7.81 million, and 7.01 million yuan respectively [33]. 3.2 Primary Market 3.2.1 Listed Projects - As of September 26, 2025, there were 74 public REIT products in China, with a total issuance scale of 19.4332 billion yuan. Among them, transportation infrastructure - type REITs had the largest issuance scale of 6.8771 billion yuan, followed by park infrastructure - type REITs with an issuance scale of 3.1835 billion yuan. There were no new REIT products listed this week [37][38]. 3.2.2 Projects to be Listed - According to the project announcements of the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges, there were 17 REITs in the to - be - listed state, including 12 initial - offering REITs and 5 to - be - expanded REITs. This week, the project status of Huaxia Zhonghai Commercial Asset Closed - end Infrastructure Securities Investment Fund, CSC Shenyang International Software Park Closed - end Infrastructure Securities Investment Fund, and Huaxia Anbo Warehousing and Logistics Closed - end Infrastructure Securities Investment Fund was updated to "approved" [41][42].