[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 27 Jun 2025 中国电子 China (Overseas) Technology HDC 2025（3）华为 CloudRobo 平台发布：三模型重构具身智能生态 CloudRobo Platform Unveiled: Reshaping the Embodied Intelligence Ecosystem 姚书桥 Barney Yao 吴叡霖 Louis Ng barney.sq.yao@htisec.com louis.yl.ng@htisec.com [Table_yemei1] 热点速评 Flash Analysis 事件 2025 年 6 月 20 日，华为在东莞举行的 HDC 2025 开发者大会上正式发布 CloudRobo 具身智能平台 ，明确"华为云不 做机器人本体，让一切联网设备成为具身智能机器人"的战略定位。该平台以盘古大模型 5.5 为底座，整合数据合 成、仿真验证、云边协同部署等端到端能力，首次提出三大核心模型架构（多模态生成、规划、执行大模型）， 实现技术闭环。其突破性在于：1）数据效率革命：通过多模 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or specific companies [2]. Core Insights - The wholesale prices of major baijiu brands have generally fallen, with Moutai's prices dropping significantly. For instance, the wholesale price of Feitian Moutai (case) is now 1,950 yuan, down by 190 yuan from last month, and down 290 yuan year-to-date [29][35]. - The discount rates for soft drinks, condiments, and beer have decreased compared to the end of May, indicating a potential increase in consumer demand or pricing power for these categories [30][31]. - The average discount rate for liquid milk products has increased slightly, suggesting a shift in pricing dynamics within this segment [32]. Summary by Sections Baijiu Pricing - Feitian Moutai (case) is priced at 1,950 yuan, down 190 yuan from last month and down 290 yuan year-to-date. The price has decreased by 460 yuan compared to the same period last year [35]. - Wuliangye's eighth-generation price is stable at 920 yuan, with a slight decrease of 25 yuan from last month [35]. - Other brands like Luzhou Laojiao and Shanxi Fenjiu also show minor price adjustments, reflecting a broader trend in the baijiu market [29][35]. Consumer Goods Discounts - The average discount rate for soft drinks has improved from 88.7% to 94.8%, indicating a reduction in discounting practices [30][31]. - For condiments, the average discount rate increased from 83.4% to 87.7%, suggesting stronger pricing power [30][31]. - Beer products also saw a rise in average discount rates from 78.7% to 81.2%, reflecting a similar trend [30][31]. Liquid Milk and Other Products - The average discount rate for liquid milk products has slightly increased from 69.7% to 68.8%, indicating a potential tightening in pricing strategies [32]. - Infant formula and convenience foods have maintained stable pricing, with discount rates remaining relatively unchanged [32][33].

[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 27 Jun 2025 电子 Technology HDC2025（1）破局与重构：HarmonyOS 6 的技术突围与生态进化 Breakthrough and Reconfiguration: HarmonyOS 6's Technological Breakout and Ecosystem Evolution 姚书桥 Barney Yao 吴叡霖 Louis Ng barney.sq.yao@htisec.com louis.yl.ng@htisec.com [Table_yemei1] 热点速评 Flash Analysis [Table_summary] (Please see APPENDIX 1 for English summary) 事件 2025 年 6 月 20 日，华为在东莞举行的 HDC 2025 开发者大会上正式发布 HarmonyOS 6 开发者测试版，重点聚焦 AI 能 力升级与生态扩展，推出包括毫秒级低延迟交互技术、鸿蒙智能体框架（HMAF）以及"碰一碰分享"等创新互联功 能。为强化开发者支持，华为同步启 ...

研究报告 Research Report 26 Jun 2025 西锐 Cirrus Aircraft (2507 HK) 首次覆盖: 全球领先的私航飞机制造商与航空安全技术革新先锋 [Table_yemei1] 观点聚焦 Investment Focus Global Leader in Private Aviation Manufacturing and Safety Innovation: Initiation [Table_Info] 首次覆盖优于大市 Initiate with OUTPERFORM 评级 优于大市 OUTPERFORM 现价 HK$40.15 目标价 HK$60.00 HTI ESG 2.6-3.3-3.5 E-S-G: 0-5, (Please refer to the Appendix for ESG comments) 市值 HK$14.69bn / US$1.87bn 日交易额 (3 个月均值) US$22.44mn 发行股票数目 365.99mn 自由流通股 (%) 15% 1 年股价最高最低值 HK$45.01-HK$17.46 注：现价 HK$40.15 为 2025 ...

[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 26 Jun 2025 New Industrials 天然气市场呈现区域分化格局，欧洲气价强势上涨而亚洲维持小幅震荡 Natural gas prices diverge regionally: Europe sees strong gains while Asia remains range-bound 杨斌 Bin Yang 杨钰其 Yuqi Yang 毛琼佩 Olivia Mao bin.yang@htisec.com yq.yang@htisec.com olivia.qp.mao@htisec.com [Table_yemei1] 热点速评 Flash Analysis [Table_summary] (Please see APPENDIX 1 for English summary) 核心观点： 1）全球基建和建筑装备：数据中心：OpenAI 与微软重谈合作关系，Altman 称双方仍高度互利。能源建设：美国： FERC 引入管理美国输电系统容量的新方法；NERC 承认低估了 MISO 区域的资源充足性。欧洲：芬兰数据中心配 ...

Group 1 - The capacity and inventory cycles are expected to bottom out and recover, enhancing the momentum of enterprise profit recovery [1][6][53] - The current capacity cycle has been in a downward trend since the second half of 2021 and is nearing its end, while the inventory cycle is also expected to transition from a bottoming phase to a replenishment phase within the year [1][2][11] - The recovery of the capacity cycle is typically driven by strong fiscal support policies, as seen in previous cycles [8][14] Group 2 - The downstream capacity cycle is approaching a turning point, with upstream capacity utilization still declining and the mining industry requiring more time for capacity reduction [2][15] - The inventory cycle shows significant differentiation across upstream, midstream, and downstream sectors, primarily due to varying demand improvements [2][15] - Demand improvements are concentrated in sectors with strong policy support, emerging industries, and export-oriented industries, while traditional sectors like real estate remain weak [15][16] Group 3 - The manufacturing sector is currently in a dual bottom phase for both capacity and inventory cycles, with the manufacturing capital expenditure declining significantly since its peak in 2021 [14][40] - The industrial sector is experiencing a passive destocking phase, with inventory levels expected to gradually recover as revenue growth improves [14][17] - The midstream equipment manufacturing sector is showing signs of recovery, driven by policy support and increased consumer demand for electronics and vehicles [30][37] Group 4 - The downstream consumer manufacturing sector is also in a destocking phase, with revenue growth rebounding since the beginning of 2024 [40][48] - Specific industries within the downstream sector, such as agricultural and food processing, are entering active replenishment phases, indicating a positive outlook for inventory levels [48][49] - The overall economic recovery will depend on the strength of consumer and investment demand, which will gradually transmit to the production side [53]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the company [4][19]. Core Insights - The company, Multi-Point Intelligence, is a leader in retail digitalization, driven by its core operating system and AIoT solutions, which are opening new market opportunities globally [1][4]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at RMB 22.37 billion, RMB 26.35 billion, and RMB 30.25 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 20.3%, 17.8%, and 14.8% respectively. Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be RMB 1.01 billion, RMB 1.99 billion, and RMB 3.14 billion, with growth rates of 104.6%, 96.4%, and 58.0% respectively [4][8][19]. Financial Summary - Revenue and profit forecasts indicate a strong growth trajectory, with operating income expected to rise from RMB 18.59 billion in 2024 to RMB 30.25 billion by 2027, alongside a significant recovery in net profit from a loss of RMB 2.195 billion in 2024 to a profit of RMB 314 million by 2027 [3][8][10]. - The company’s gross profit margin is projected to improve from 40.34% in 2025 to 42.30% in 2027, indicating enhanced operational efficiency [3][10]. Business Model and Strategy - Multi-Point Intelligence focuses on two main business segments: the retail operating system (Dmall OS) and AIoT solutions, which are essential for the digital transformation of retail [20][29]. - The Dmall OS system is designed to enhance store operations, financial integration, and human resource management, with a strong emphasis on high-frequency, essential modules that exhibit SaaS characteristics [8][29]. - The AIoT solutions are positioned as a key driver for intelligent upgrades in retail scenarios, integrating AI agents and IoT devices to improve efficiency and reduce costs [9][31]. Market Position and Growth Potential - The retail digitalization market in Asia is projected to reach RMB 94.7 billion by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22.5% from 2024 to 2029, indicating significant growth potential for the company [4][8]. - The company has expanded its international presence, serving clients in 10 countries and regions, with overseas revenue reaching RMB 1.58 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 27.9% [41][42]. Customer Base and Retention - As of 2024, the company serves 591 clients, with a notable retention rate of 114%, showcasing strong customer loyalty and the effectiveness of its solutions [37][41]. - Key clients include major retail players such as Metro AG and 7-Eleven, which enhances the company's credibility and market penetration [37][41].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 46.70 [5][11]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve EPS of RMB 0.72, RMB 0.90, and RMB 1.14 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting strong growth potential [5][11]. - The report highlights the company's strong AI integration capabilities and its recent breakthroughs in AI solutions, which are expected to enhance its operational efficiency and market position [12][13][14]. Financial Summary - The company's projected revenue for 2025 is RMB 2,658 million, with a growth rate of 14.0% compared to 2024 [3][7]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach RMB 195 million in 2025, representing a 25.3% increase from 2024 [3][6]. - The projected PE ratio for 2025 is 44.57, with a valuation premium applied due to the company's strong market position [5][11]. Revenue Breakdown - The company's total revenue is expected to grow from RMB 2,331 million in 2024 to RMB 2,658 million in 2025, with a gross margin improvement from 58% to 61% [7]. - The technical services segment is projected to generate RMB 1,258.50 million in revenue for 2025, with a gross margin of 55% [7]. Market Position and Strategy - The company aims to create an AI+ era through its innovative framework of "one model, two cores, three intelligent agents," which integrates physical and digital worlds [12][14]. - Collaborations with partners like Huawei Cloud are emphasized as crucial for building an inclusive AI service ecosystem, enhancing the company's competitive edge in the digital economy [14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a full-year performance guidance with expectations for flat profit and cautious gross margin, while net profit margin is expected to improve year-on-year due to optimized expense ratios [3][10]. Core Viewpoints - The overall sales revenue for retail and wholesale operations in 1Q FY25 declined by a mid-single-digit percentage year-over-year, aligning with the company's progress plan amid a stable consumer environment [2][8]. - Direct-to-consumer online sales accounted for 40% of total direct sales in 1Q FY25, up from 30-40% for the full year last year, indicating a strategic shift towards online channels [2][10]. - The company is focusing on improving online efficiency and optimizing inventory management, with a cautious approach to discounting and inventory control [2][10][12]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - Total sales revenue (pre-tax) for retail and wholesale operations in 1Q FY25 saw a mid-single-digit percentage decline year-over-year, attributed to a high base from the previous year [2][8]. - Offline foot traffic remained weak, with same-store foot traffic declining by double digits, while direct-to-consumer online sales grew significantly [2][8]. Promotional Activities - The promotional atmosphere during the 618 shopping festival was strong, with the company effectively managing multiple small peaks, resulting in profits meeting expectations [3][9]. - Consumer behavior showed rational decision-making, with increased acceptance of new products and a willingness to pay for quality [3][9]. Operational Strategy - The company continues to optimize its channel area, with a 1.3% quarter-on-quarter decrease in gross sales area of directly operated stores, a slower pace than the previous quarter [4][11]. - Collaborative brands are expected to see improved order volumes, with proactive adjustments in product offerings and a focus on high-quality items [12][13]. Brand Partnerships - The company adheres to an exclusive partnership model in China, recently announcing exclusive agency rights for several brands, including high-end outdoor and running brands [5][13]. - The introduction of new brands is aimed at enhancing consumer engagement and expanding market reach, particularly in the outdoor and running segments [5][13].

[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 25 Jun 2025 New Industria 高利率成本加重美国基础设施建设负担。美国发电及输配电建设项目的融资渠道包括联邦项目（通过 IRA 和 IIJA，每 个项目 20-30 亿美元）、公用事业费率支付者模式（仅输电项目每年就达 400 亿美元）、私人投资（公私合作项目、 ITP 等）以及州政府主导的资金支持。联邦政府的资金支持在建设中至关重要，但仍然需要私人资本和州政府作为补 充，在建设过程中，许可延迟和成本分摊纠纷等事件都会影响建设进度，如冗长的审批流程（7-12 年）导致资金锁 定期延长，增加了融资成本，利率走低可缓解政府支出及项目融资的压力，利于加快项目的建设。 数据中心建设支出中融资比例较高，降息有利于项目加快落地。美国超大规模 AI 数据中心项目带动大量资本需求， 数据中心开发融资通常涉及覆盖项目成本 65%-80%的贷款，资金来源主要包括主流贷款机构、房地产投资银行、私 募信贷基金以及专注于基础设施的贷款机构等，常见融资利率区间因贷款机构类型和融资结构而异，项目融资一般 约为基准利率加上 3.25%-3.50%利差 ...