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天融信(002212):盈利能力修复,看好新业务拓展
Great Wall Securities· 2025-05-08 13:52
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a stock price increase of 5% to 15% relative to the industry index over the next six months [4]. Core Views - The company is focused on improving operational efficiency and restoring profitability, achieving a turnaround in 2024 with a net profit of 0.83 billion yuan, despite a revenue decline of 9.73% [2][3]. - The company is expanding into cloud computing and intelligent computing infrastructure, enhancing its profit margins and market competitiveness [2][3]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue**: The company reported revenues of 3,124 million yuan in 2023, projected to decline to 2,820 million yuan in 2024, before recovering to 3,114 million yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 10.4% [1][3]. - **Net Profit**: The company experienced a net loss of 371 million yuan in 2023, but is expected to achieve a net profit of 83 million yuan in 2024 and 130 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a significant recovery [1][3]. - **Gross Margin**: The gross margin improved by 0.85 percentage points in 2024 and is projected to increase further by 10.15 percentage points in the first quarter of 2025 [2]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: The EPS is expected to rise from -0.31 yuan in 2023 to 0.07 yuan in 2024, and further to 0.11 yuan in 2025 [1][3]. Market and Business Strategy - The company is actively responding to industry trends and market conditions by maintaining marketing investments and exploring new business opportunities, particularly in integrated machine solutions [3]. - The report highlights the company's strategic focus on enhancing revenue quality and controlling costs, which has led to improved profitability despite declining revenues [2][3].
中国移动(600941):费用良好控制,扣非净利润增长亮眼
Great Wall Securities· 2025-05-08 13:52
证券研究报告 | 公司动态点评 2025 年 05 月 08 日 中国移动(600941.SH) 费用良好控制,扣非净利润增长亮眼 | 财务指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 1,009,309 | 1,040,759 | 1,084,471 | 1,134,357 | 1,189,940 | | 增长率 yoy(%) | 7.7 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.9 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 131,766 | 138,373 | 146,055 | 154,681 | 164,408 | | 增长率 yoy(%) | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.6 | 5.9 | 6.3 | | ROE(%) | 10.1 | 10.2 | 10.4 | 10.6 | 10.9 | | EPS 最新摊薄(元) | 6.11 | 6.42 | 6.77 | 7.17 | 7.62 | | P/E(倍) | 17.5 | 16.6 | 15.7 | 1 ...
思特威(688213):25Q1业绩同比高增,手机、车载CIS持续放量
Great Wall Securities· 2025-05-08 10:54
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting the stock price to outperform the industry index by over 15% in the next six months [4][19]. Core Insights - The company achieved significant revenue growth in 2024, with total revenue reaching 5.968 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 108.87%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 393 million yuan, up 2662.76% year-on-year [1][2]. - The company is a leader in the smart security CIS market, holding a 48.2% market share in 2023. It has launched several high-end product series to meet the demands of the smart security industry [3]. - The smartphone and automotive electronics sectors are experiencing rapid growth, with the company deepening collaborations with clients and increasing the shipment of high-resolution products [3][10]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue and Profitability**: - 2024 revenue is projected at 5.968 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 108.9%. The net profit is expected to reach 393 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 2662.8% [1][2]. - For Q1 2025, revenue is 1.75 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 108.94%, and net profit is 191 million yuan, up 1264.97% year-on-year [1]. - **Margins**: - The overall gross margin for 2024 is 21.09%, an increase of 1.13 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit margin is 6.58%, up 6.08 percentage points [2]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - EPS is projected to be 0.98 yuan in 2024, increasing to 2.05 yuan in 2025 and 4.05 yuan by 2027 [1][10]. Market Position and Growth Drivers - The company is positioned as a top player in the smart security CIS market and is expanding its presence in the smartphone and automotive electronics sectors. The demand for high-resolution products is expected to drive future growth [3][9]. - The smartphone CIS market is projected to grow significantly, with the company benefiting from the trend towards high-end smartphones and AI integration [9][10]. Future Projections - The company anticipates continued growth in net profit, with projections of 822 million yuan in 2025, 1.209 billion yuan in 2026, and 1.626 billion yuan in 2027 [1][10]. - The expected P/E ratios for the coming years are 48.4 in 2025, 32.9 in 2026, and 24.5 in 2027, indicating a favorable valuation trend as earnings grow [1][10].
伯特利(603596):1Q25营收维持高增长,盈利能力短期承压
Great Wall Securities· 2025-05-08 10:54
证券研究报告 | 公司动态点评 2025 年 05 月 08 日 伯特利(603596.SH) 1Q25 营收维持高增长,盈利能力短期承压 | 财务指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 7,474 | 9,937 | 12,989 | 16,527 | 21,085 | | 增长率 yoy(%) | 34.9 | 33.0 | 30.7 | 27.2 | 27.6 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 891 | 1,209 | 1,523 | 1,925 | 2,520 | | 增长率 yoy(%) | 27.6 | 35.6 | 26.0 | 26.4 | 30.9 | | ROE(%) | 15.0 | 17.6 | 18.8 | 19.4 | 20.6 | | EPS 最新摊薄(元) | 1.47 | 1.99 | 2.51 | 3.17 | 4.16 | | P/E(倍) | 39.7 | 29.3 | 23.2 | 18.4 | 14.0 | | ...
三七互娱(002555):25Q1业绩承压,关注后续新游表现
Great Wall Securities· 2025-05-08 07:03
证券研究报告 | 公司动态点评 2025 年 05 月 08 日 三七互娱(002555.SZ) 25Q1 业绩承压,关注后续新游表现 25Q1 业绩阶段性承压,新游有望逐步贡献增长。公司 25Q1 实现营业收入 42.43 亿元,同比下降 10.67%,环比增长 3.45%;实现归母净利润 5.49 亿 元,同比下降 10.87%,环比下降 29.19%,主要因(1)公司于 2024H2 以 及 25Q1 上线的《时光杂货店》《英雄没有闪》《时光大爆炸》等多款游戏处 于推广初期;(2)受产品生命周期影响,《寻道大千》《灵魂序章》等数款上 线超过一年的成熟期产品流水相较于 2024 年同期自然回落。目前,公司正 坚持内容突破、长线运营,不断提升《寻道大千》《斗罗大陆:魂师对决》 《Puzzles & Survival》等多款在运营产品的生命力,不断提高公司经营业绩 的成长性和稳定性。 产品储备丰富,新游戏表现亮眼。2025Q1 公司《时光大爆炸》《英雄没有闪》 等多款产品已陆续上线,其中《时光大爆炸》跻身微信小游戏畅销榜第 4 名, 《英雄没有闪》上线后迅速冲进 iOS 畅销榜前五,并在 4 月登顶微信小游戏 ...
电力设备及新能源行业周报:氢能政策持续利好,促进氢能全链发展-20250507
Great Wall Securities· 2025-05-07 09:13
证券研究报告 | 行业周报 2025 年 05 月 07 日 电力设备及新能源 氢能政策持续利好,促进氢能全链发展 行情回顾:截至 2025 年 4 月 30 日,氢能源指数收盘价为 1889.69 点,本 周涨跌幅为 0.47%,2025 年初至今涨跌幅为 6.35%。氢能行业周涨幅前 五的公司为渝三峡 A、新锦动力、中自科技、利元亨、华阳变速,涨幅分 别为 33.16%、29.32%、18.16%、16.14%、13.88%;氢能行业周跌幅 前五的公司为昇辉科技、ST 新动力、山东海化、海泰新能、林洋能源,跌 幅分别为-20.31%、-19.89%、-15.66%、-13.70%、-12.89%。 重点事件点评:国家能源局发布我国首份氢能发展报告;国家级实验室落 户河北秦皇岛;我国首创"大容量风电离网制氢系统"通过鉴定;欧盟鼓 励加大对哈萨克斯坦氢能未来的支持;世界首条洲际液氢走廊协议签约; 荷兰补贴 28 亿欧元扩大绿氢生产和使用;广西政府发布文件支持氢能制 储输用全产业链发展;国家能源局发布文件支持民企开展氢能等绿色能源 项目合作;温州市发展和改革委员会发布《温州市支持新能源汽车产业发 展十条政策意见 ...
本周医药板块上涨0.49%,百济神州BCL-2抑制剂申报上市
Great Wall Securities· 2025-05-06 06:54
Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market" for the pharmaceutical sector [2][5]. Core Views - The pharmaceutical sector has seen a 0.49% increase this week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.93 percentage points, ranking 9th among 31 first-level industries [8][28]. - The report highlights the positive impact of favorable policies on the pharmaceutical sector, suggesting a gradual recovery in industry sentiment. It recommends focusing on high-quality targets in the formulation sector and emphasizes the potential of innovative therapies and domestic drug replacements [5][28]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The pharmaceutical sector's performance this week was a 0.49% increase, with sub-sectors such as pharmaceutical commerce rising by 3.12% and medical services by 1.69%. In contrast, biological products and traditional Chinese medicine II saw declines of 0.87% and 1.01%, respectively [8][28]. Key News - Baiyi Shenzhou's BCL-2 inhibitor "Sonrotoclax" has been submitted for market approval, targeting specific types of lymphoma and leukemia [28][29]. - Merck KGaA announced a $3.9 billion acquisition of SpringWorks, enhancing its portfolio in the oncology space [28][30]. Key Announcements - Baili Tianheng received approval for two Phase II clinical trials for its innovative drug BL-B01D1, aimed at treating recurrent or metastatic cervical cancer and advanced endometrial cancer [32][33].
创耀科技(688259):公司业绩短期承压,不断丰富产品矩阵,促进公司长期发展
Great Wall Securities· 2025-04-30 10:51
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index in the next six months [4][17]. Core Viewpoints - The company is experiencing short-term pressure on performance due to a slowdown in downstream demand and overall market conditions, with a projected revenue decline of 10.4% in 2024 [2][8]. - Despite the current challenges, the company is focusing on enriching its product matrix and enhancing its competitive advantages through key technology advancements and product iterations [3][8]. - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 0.68 billion, 0.77 billion, and 0.89 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, with corresponding EPS of 0.61, 0.69, and 0.80 [8]. Financial Summary - Revenue for 2023 is reported at 661 million, with a forecasted decline to 592 million in 2024, followed by a recovery to 647 million in 2025 [1][2]. - The net profit for 2023 is 58 million, with a slight increase to 60 million in 2024, and further growth expected in subsequent years [1][2]. - The company's P/E ratio is projected to decrease from 76.1 in 2023 to 50.0 by 2027, indicating improving valuation metrics over time [1][8].
新乳业(002946):25Q1利润超预期,低温品类延续增长助力盈利提升
Great Wall Securities· 2025-04-30 10:50
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting the stock price to outperform the industry index by more than 15% in the next six months [16]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated strong growth in its low-temperature product category, which has positively impacted profitability. The strategy of focusing on high-quality low-temperature dairy products is yielding results [2][3]. - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected at 99.1 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 0.7%. The low-temperature product segment continues to show robust growth, particularly in high-end fresh milk and specialty yogurt [2]. - The gross margin for 2024 is expected to be 28.4%, an increase of 1.5 percentage points year-on-year, driven by cost advantages and product mix optimization [3]. Financial Summary - For 2023, the company reported a revenue of 10,987 million yuan, with a projected revenue of 10,665 million yuan for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 2.9% [1]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 was 431 million yuan, with an expected increase to 538 million yuan in 2024, representing a growth rate of 24.8% [1]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 16.6% in 2023 to 17.5% in 2024 [1]. Dividend Policy - The company plans to increase its dividend payout, with a total dividend amount expected to be 215 million yuan for 2024, which represents 45.62% of the net profit attributable to the parent company, up from 30% in 2023 [4]. Strategic Focus - The company will implement the "Fresh Cube Strategy" in 2025, focusing on low-temperature fresh milk and specialty yogurt, enhancing product innovation and promotion [3]. - The direct-to-consumer (DTC) business will be a core strategic channel to improve channel capabilities and user experience [3]. Market Position - The company is positioned in the food and beverage industry, with a market capitalization of approximately 14,089.23 million yuan as of April 29, 2025 [4]. - The stock price as of the same date was 16.37 yuan, with a projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio decreasing from 32.7 in 2023 to 26.2 in 2024 [1][4].
鸿日达(301285):研发加码全年利润承压,新业务蓄力构筑业绩修复动能
Great Wall Securities· 2025-04-30 10:50
鸿日达(301285.SZ) 研发加码全年利润承压,新业务蓄力构筑业绩修复动能 | 财务指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 721 | 830 | 1,230 | 1,652 | 2,039 | | 增长率 yoy(%) | 21.3 | 15.2 | 48.1 | 34.3 | 23.4 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 31 | -8 | 43 | 145 | 182 | | 增长率 yoy(%) | -37.0 | -124.4 | 670.4 | 236.4 | 25.3 | | ROE(%) | 2.7 | -0.7 | 4.1 | 12.3 | 13.2 | | EPS 最新摊薄(元) | 0.15 | -0.04 | 0.21 | 0.70 | 0.88 | | P/E(倍) | 192.7 | -789.0 | 138.3 | 41.1 | 32.8 | | P/B(倍) | 5.6 | 5.8 | 5.6 | 5.0 | 4.4 | 资 ...