Report Investment Ratings - No investment ratings are provided in the reports. Core Views Polyolefin (LLDPE & PP) - Supply: PP supply recovery is slowing due to unplanned maintenance, while PE supply is expected to increase as maintenance peaks. Attention should be paid to the potential impact of expanded international sanctions on domestic refinery loads [2]. - Demand: The demand side is warming up, with downstream开工 rising, especially in the agricultural film sector. Both LLDPE and PP inventories are decreasing [2]. - Strategy: The 01 contract still faces inventory pressure, while the 05 contract has less new capacity. Long - term low - buying opportunities for the 05 contract can be considered, and the impact of sanctions on refinery loads should be continuously monitored [2]. Methanol - Market Situation: The port methanol market is under significant pressure due to high inventories and weak demand. The inland market has deeper price drops as some external procurement stops. Overseas, multiple plants have shut down, and many MTO plants have reduced their loads due to profit issues [5]. - Market Logic: The market is trading on the "weak reality vs. strong expectation" logic, with the core contradiction being the game between high port inventories and potential supply reduction (overseas plant shutdowns/geopolitical factors) [5]. - Strategy: In the short - term, prices may continue to fluctuate. Attention should be paid to the port destocking rhythm and the implementation of overseas gas restrictions [5]. Chlor - alkali (PVC & Caustic Soda) - Price and Spread: There are various price changes in PVC and caustic soda products, including futures and spot prices, as well as spreads between different contracts [8]. - Supply and Demand: Caustic soda industry开工 is stable, while PVC开工 has decreased slightly. Downstream开工 of both products has some positive changes, and PVC inventories are increasing [8]. Pure Benzene - Styrene - Price and Spread: Prices of upstream raw materials such as crude oil, naphtha, and pure benzene have declined, while some spreads have changed. Styrene prices have also decreased, and its cash flow has improved to some extent [9][10]. - Inventory and开工: Both pure benzene and styrene inventories in Jiangsu ports have decreased, and there are changes in the开工 rates of related industries [12][13]. Polyester Industry Chain - PX: Supply is expected to contract due to unplanned maintenance or load reduction of some PX plants. Demand is supported by new PTA plants and improved terminal orders. However, the short - term rebound space of PX is limited due to weak oil price support [14]. - PTA: The spot basis is weak due to increased supply from load recovery and new capacity. The futures market is relatively firm but limited by the lack of substantial policies and weak cost - side expectations [14]. - Ethylene Glycol (MEG): Upward momentum is weakened by factors such as port conditions, plant restarts, and weak cost. The supply structure in the far - month is still weak [14]. - Short - fiber: Supply remains high, and demand has improved, leading to inventory reduction. However, the rebound space is limited due to weak downstream chasing willingness and compressed processing fees [14]. - Polyester Bottle - chip: Demand is weak in the off - season, and it is likely to enter a seasonal inventory accumulation period. The processing fee is expected to decline [14]. Summary by Directory Polyolefin (LLDPE & PP) - Price and Spread: On October 28, L2601 closed at 7051, down 0.56% from the previous day; PP2601 closed at 6657, down 0.63%. The spread between L2509 - 2601 increased by 22.11%, and PP2509 - 2601 increased by 12.68% [2]. - Inventory: PE enterprise inventory decreased by 2.81% to 51.5, and social inventory decreased slightly by 0.04% to 54.5 million tons. PP enterprise inventory decreased by 5.92% to 63.9 million tons, and trader inventory decreased by 15.74% to 22.0 million tons [2]. -开工: PE装置开工率 decreased by 0.37% to 81.5%, and downstream加权开工率 increased by 1.85% to 45.8%. PP装置开工率 decreased by 2.9% to 75.9%, while the powder开工率 increased by 7.1% to 41.4%, and downstream加权开工率 increased by 1.0% to 52.4 [2]. Methanol - Price and Spread: On October 28, MA2601 closed at 2241, down 1.19% from the previous day; MA2605 closed at 2303, down 0.95%. The MA15 spread decreased by 8.77%, and the Taicang basis decreased by 10.00% [3]. - Inventory: Methanol enterprise inventory increased by 0.13% to 36.036, port inventory increased by 1.40% to 151.2 million tons, and social inventory increased by 1.15% to 187.3 [4]. -开工: Upstream domestic enterprise开工 decreased by 0.91% to 75.85, and overseas enterprise开工 decreased by 2.37% to 73.3. Downstream外采MTO装置开工 decreased by 9.48% to 78.1, while some traditional downstream开工 such as formaldehyde and acetic acid increased slightly [5]. Chlor - alkali (PVC & Caustic Soda) - Price and Spread: On October 28, the price of Shandong 32% liquid caustic soda (converted to 100%) remained unchanged at 2500. The price of East China calcium - carbide - based PVC increased by 0.4% to 4620. There are also various changes in futures prices and spreads [8]. - Supply and Demand: Caustic soda industry开工 increased slightly by 0.1% to 85.6, and PVC总开工 decreased by 1.9% to 73.7. Downstream开工 of caustic soda and PVC products has some positive changes, and PVC inventories increased by 14.4% to 63.5 million tons [8]. Pure Benzene - Styrene - Upstream Prices: On October 28, Brent crude oil (December) was at $64.40, down 2.3%; WTI crude oil (December) was at $60.15, down 2.2%. CFR Japan naphtha was at $569, down 2.1%. CFR China pure benzene was at $676, down 2.2% [9]. - Styrene - related Prices: Styrene East China spot price was at 6440, down 1.1%. EB futures 2512 was at 6466, down 1.0%. EB cash flow (non - integrated) improved slightly by 0.8% [10]. - Inventory: Pure benzene inventory in Jiangsu ports decreased by 14.1% to 8.50 million tons, and styrene inventory decreased by 4.7% to 19.30 million tons [12]. -开工: Asian pure benzene开工 remained unchanged at 79.2%, while domestic pure benzene开工 decreased by 3.6% to 72.7%. Some downstream开工 such as phenol remained unchanged, and others had slight changes [13]. Polyester Industry Chain - Upstream Prices: On October 28, Brent crude oil (December) was at $64.40, down 1.9%; WTI crude oil (December) was at $60.15, down 1.9%. CFR Japan naphtha was at $569, down 1.6%. CFR China MX was at $684, down 1.6% [14]. - PX - related Prices: CFR China PX was at $814, down 1.2%. PX spot price (in RMB) was at 6848, down 2.4%. PX basis (01) decreased by 84.0% [14]. - Product Prices and Cash Flows: POY150/48 price increased by 0.2% to 6415, and its cash flow decreased by 5.9%. FDY150/96 price increased by 0.5% to 7100, and its cash flow increased by 4.4% [14]. -开工: Asian PX开工 increased by 0.5% to 78.5%, and Chinese PX开工 increased by 1.0% to 85.9%. PTA开工 increased by 2.1% to 78.8%, and MEG综合开工 decreased by 3.9% to 73.3% [14].

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Ratings No industry investment ratings are provided in the reports. 2. Core Views - **Fats and Oils Industry**: Malaysian palm oil futures are under pressure due to concerns about increased production, slower exports, and potential inventory growth. Domestic palm oil futures are in a volatile adjustment, with the price breaking below 9,000 yuan and potentially finding support at 8,900 yuan. For soybean oil, the market is optimistic about a potential Sino - US trade agreement, which may support prices from the cost side. However, overall demand is weak, and the basis quote is expected to remain stable [1]. - **Meal Industry**: Sino - US relations are warming, increasing the expectation of Chinese purchases of US soybeans. Brazilian soybean exports to China remain high, and the cost of domestic soybean imports is supported. Although domestic soybean and soybean meal inventories are high, the cost support is strengthening, and the domestic soybean meal trend is expected to be strong [2]. - **Pig Industry**: The recent rebound in pig prices is mainly due to secondary fattening. Market demand has improved, and the supply - demand game has tightened in the short term. However, in the medium term, the slaughter volume will continue to increase in November and December, and there may be a new round of pressure around the Winter Solstice. It is advisable to wait for the spot price to stabilize before entering the reverse spread [5]. - **Corn Industry**: In the Northeast, supply is sufficient, and prices are stable. In North China, farmers' selling enthusiasm decreases as prices fall, and prices have rebounded locally. Overall, due to a bumper harvest, there is still selling pressure on corn, and prices will remain weak. Demand is mainly for rigid needs, and the futures market is also weak [8]. - **Sugar Industry**: Brazil's gasoline price cut dashed the expectation of a lower sugar - making ratio, and the sugar supply outlook is loose. As the Northern Hemisphere's sugar - crushing season begins, the market is focusing on India and Thailand. Domestic sugar prices are relatively low, and the current bottom - shock pattern may continue [12]. - **Cotton Industry**: The downstream textile enterprises' profits and cash flows have improved, and the demand for cotton raw materials is resilient. The rising cost of new cotton provides strong support, but there is also hedging pressure. In the short term, cotton prices may fluctuate within a range [13]. - **Egg Industry**: The supply of eggs is sufficient due to high laying - hen inventories, high egg - laying rates, and increased egg weights. Demand may increase first and then decrease this week. Egg prices may rise slightly in the short term but may decline slightly in the second half of the week due to strong supply and weak demand [16]. 3. Summary by Directory Fats and Oils Industry - **Soybean Oil**: The price of Jiangsu Grade - 1 soybean oil on October 28 was 8,450 yuan, down 30 yuan from the previous day, a decrease of 0.35%. The basis of Y2601 was 268 yuan, up 22 yuan or 8.94% [1]. - **Palm Oil**: The price of 24 - degree palm oil in Guangdong on October 28 was 8,900 yuan, down 130 yuan from the previous day, a decrease of 1.44%. The basis of P2601 was - 58 yuan, up 12 yuan or 17.14% [1]. - **Rapeseed Oil**: The price of Jiangsu Grade - 3 rapeseed oil on October 28 was 10,000 yuan, down 50 yuan from the previous day, a decrease of 0.50%. The basis of OI601 was 270 yuan, down 32 yuan or 10.60% [1]. Meal Industry - **Soybean Meal**: The price of Jiangsu soybean meal on October 29 was 2,970 yuan, up 10 yuan or 0.34%. The basis of M2601 was - 117.86% [2]. - **Rapeseed Meal**: The price of Jiangsu rapeseed meal on October 29 was 2,440 yuan, up 30 yuan or 1.24%. The basis of RM2601 was - 41.33% [2]. - **Soybean**: The price of Harbin soybeans on October 29 was 3,900 yuan, unchanged from the previous day. The basis of the main soybean - 1 contract was - 215 yuan, a decrease of 21.47% [2]. Pig Industry - **Futures**: On October 29, the price of the main pig contract was 12,160 yuan/ton, down 170 yuan or 1.38%. The basis of the main contract was 520 yuan, up 400 yuan or 333.33% [5]. - **Spot**: The average price of live pigs in Henan on October 29 was 12,680 yuan/ton, up 230 yuan from the previous day [5]. Corn Industry - **Corn**: On October 29, the price of Corn 2601 was 2,123 yuan, up 11 yuan or 0.52%. The basis was 17 yuan, down 11 yuan or 39.29% [8]. - **Corn Starch**: The price of Corn Starch 2601 on October 29 was 2,424 yuan, down 1 yuan or - 0.04%. The basis was 86 yuan, up 1 yuan or 1.18% [8]. Sugar Industry - **Futures**: On October 29, the price of Sugar 2601 was 5,483 yuan/ton, up 38 yuan or 0.70%. The price of ICE raw sugar was 14.39 cents/pound, down 0.08 cents or - 0.55% [12]. - **Spot**: The price of sugar in Nanning on October 29 was 5,750 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day. The basis of Nanning was 332 yuan, down 19 yuan or - 5.41% [12]. Cotton Industry - **Futures**: On October 29, the price of Cotton 2605 was 13,570 yuan/ton, down 5 yuan or - 0.04%. The price of ICE US cotton was 65.05 cents/pound, up 0.40 cents or 0.62% [13]. - **Spot**: The price of Xinjiang 3128B cotton on October 29 was 14,651 yuan/ton, down 39 yuan or - 0.27%. The basis of 3128B - 01 contract was 1,081 yuan, down 34 yuan or - 3.05% [13]. Egg Industry - **Futures**: On October 29, the price of the Egg 11 contract was 2,866 yuan/500KG, down 22 yuan or - 1.78%. The price of the Egg 01 contract was 3,304 yuan/500KG, down 23 yuan or - 0.69% [16]. - **Spot**: The price of eggs in the production area on October 29 was 3.00 yuan/jin, down 0.01 yuan or - 0.43%. The basis was - 118 yuan/500KG, up 22 yuan or 18.60% [16].

Group 1: Natural Rubber Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided. Core View Short - term macro environment is favorable, and strong raw material prices support rubber prices. Follow - up attention should be paid to raw material output during the peak season in major producing areas and macro changes. If raw material supply is smooth, there is further downward space; if not, the rubber price is expected to run around 15,000 - 15,500 [2]. Summary by Directory - **Spot Price and Basis**: On October 28, the price of Yunnan state - owned standard rubber (SCRWF) in Shanghai remained unchanged at 14,750. The basis of whole - milk rubber increased by 20 to - 610, with a 3.17% increase. The price of Thai standard mixed rubber remained at 15,000. The price of cup rubber in the international market increased by 0.75 to 53.15 Thai baht/kg, with a 1.43% increase. The raw material price in Hainan increased by 300 to 13,100, with a 2.34% increase [2]. - **Monthly Spread**: The 9 - 1 spread decreased by 10 to 120, with a - 7.69% decrease; the 5 - 9 spread increased by 10 to - 22, with a 15.38% increase [2]. - **Fundamental Data**: In August, Thailand's production decreased by 2.0 to 458.8 (in ten - tons), with a - 0.43% decrease; Indonesia's production decreased by 8.5 to 189.0 (in ten - tons), with a - 4.30% decrease; India's production increased by 5.0 to 50.0 (in ten - tons), with an 11.11% increase; China's production increased by 12.2 to 113.7 (in ten - tons). The weekly operating rate of semi - steel tires and all - steel tires increased. In August, domestic tire production increased by 859.0 to 10,295.4 (in ten - thousands), with a 9.10% increase. In September, tire export volume decreased by 671.0 to 5,630.0, with a - 10.65% decrease. In August, the total import volume of natural rubber increased by 7.5 to 59.59 (in ten - thousands of tons), with a 14.41% increase. In September, the import volume of natural and synthetic rubber increased by 8.0 to 74.0 (in ten - thousands of tons), with a 12.12% increase [2]. - **Inventory Change**: Bonded area inventory decreased by 5,254 to 432,229 tons, with a - 1.20% decrease. The factory - warehouse futures inventory of natural rubber on the SHFE increased by 2,521 to 42,640, with a 6.28% increase [2]. Group 2: Glass and Soda Ash Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided. Core View For soda ash, the overall supply - demand pattern is still bearish, but previous phased negative factors are basically exhausted. It is recommended to stop profit on previous short positions and wait for opportunities to short on rebounds. For glass, the long - term industry needs capacity clearance, but previous negative factors are basically realized. It is recommended to exit previous short positions and look for short - term long opportunities [4]. Summary by Directory - **Glass - related Price and Spread**: On October 29, the prices in North China, East China, Central China, and South China remained unchanged. The price of glass 2505 increased by 17 to 1263, with a 1.36% increase; the price of glass 2509 increased by 9 to 1343, with a 0.67% increase [4]. - **Soda Ash - related Price and Spread**: The prices in North China, East China, Central China, and Northwest China remained unchanged. The price of soda ash 2505 decreased by 6 to 1331, with a - 0.45% decrease; the price of soda ash 2509 decreased by 6 to 1384, with a - 0.45% decrease [4]. - **Supply Volume**: On October 24, the operating rate of soda ash increased by 2.88 percentage points to 88.41%, with a 3.37% increase; the weekly output of soda ash increased by 2.5 to 77.08 (in ten - thousands of tons), with a 3.37% increase; the daily melting volume of float glass increased by 0.2 to 16.13 (in ten - thousands of tons), with a 1.16% increase [4]. - **Inventory**: On October 24, glass factory inventory increased by 346.9 to 6,282.4 (in ten - thousands of weight - products), with a 5.84% increase; soda ash factory inventory increased by 6.0 to 165.98 (in ten - thousands of tons), with a 3.74% increase; soda ash delivery - warehouse inventory increased by 2.7 to 69.91 (in ten - thousands of tons), with a 4.05% increase [4]. - **Real Estate Data**: The year - on - year growth rates of new construction area, construction area, completion area, and sales area changed to - 0.09%, 0.05%, - 0.22%, and - 6.55% respectively [4]. Group 3: Logs Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided. Core View The log futures market is expected to maintain a weak and volatile trend. Follow - up attention should be paid to the impact of China - US economic and trade consultations on import cost expectations and changes in spot prices [5]. Summary by Directory - **Futures and Spot Prices**: On October 28, the price of log 2601 decreased by 1 to 786 yuan/cubic meter. The prices of 3.9A small, medium, and large radiata pine in Rizhao Port and 4A small, medium, and large radiata pine in Taicang Port remained unchanged [5]. - **Supply**: From October 27 to November 2, 2025, the number of pre - arriving ships of New Zealand logs at 13 Chinese ports increased by 4 to 16, with a 33% week - on - week increase; the arrival volume increased by 8.5 to about 53.3 (in ten - thousands of cubic meters), with a 19% week - on - week increase [5]. - **Demand**: As of October 24, the national total inventory of coniferous logs decreased by 8 to 284 (in ten - thousands of cubic meters), and the daily average outbound volume increased by 0.12 to 6.44 (in ten - thousands of cubic meters) [5]. Group 4: Industrial Silicon Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided. Core View Industrial silicon supply increase pressures prices, but there is also cost support. It is expected to be in a low - level volatile state, with the main price fluctuation range at 8,500 - 9,500 yuan/ton. If the price of the 2601 contract drops to around 8,300 - 8,500 yuan/ton, consider going long at low prices [6]. Summary by Directory - **Spot Price and Main Contract Basis**: On October 28, the prices of East China oxygen - passing SI5530 and SI4210 industrial silicon remained unchanged. The basis of SI5530 increased by 10 to 395, with a 2.60% increase; the basis of SI4210 increased by 10 to - 105, with an 8.70% increase [6]. - **Monthly Spread**: The 2512 - 2601 spread increased by 10 to 25, with a 66.67% increase; the 2601 - 2602 spread decreased by 20 to - 25, with a - 400.00% decrease [6]. - **Fundamental Data**: Nationally, industrial silicon production increased by 3.51 to 42.08 (in ten - thousands of tons), with a 9.10% increase; the operating rate increased by 6.07 to 61.94, with a 10.86% increase. Organic silicon DMC production decreased by 1.29 to 21.02 (in ten - thousands of tons), with a - 5.78% decrease; polysilicon production decreased by 0.17 to 13.00 (in ten - thousands of tons), with a - 1.29% decrease [6]. - **Inventory Change**: As of a certain period, Xinjiang's factory - warehouse inventory decreased by 0.01 to 10.84 (in ten - thousands of tons), with a - 0.09% decrease; Yunnan's factory - warehouse inventory decreased by 0.02 to 3.41 (in ten - thousands of tons), with a - 0.58% decrease; social inventory decreased by 0.30 to 55.90 (in ten - thousands of tons), with a - 0.53% decrease [6]. Group 5: Polysilicon Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided. Core View Polysilicon spot prices are stable, and futures prices fluctuate downward. It is mainly in a high - level volatile state. Attention should be paid to the establishment of platform companies, production control, and whether there is an increase in demand - side orders. After the futures rise sharply, the discount is repaired, and further significant increases need to consider the hedging and arbitrage space of upstream enterprises [7]. Summary by Directory - **Spot Price and Basis**: On October 28, the average prices of N - type re -投料 and N - type granular silicon remained unchanged. The basis of N - type material increased by 145 to - 1375, with a 9.54% increase [7]. - **Futures Price and Monthly Spread**: The price of the main contract decreased by 145 to 54,355, with a - 0.27% decrease. The spread between the current month and the first - continuous contract increased by 260 to - 2090, with an 11.06% increase [7]. - **Fundamental Data**: Weekly polysilicon production decreased by 0.15 to 2.95 (in ten - thousands of tons), with a - 4.84% decrease; monthly polysilicon production decreased by 0.17 to 13.00 (in ten - thousands of tons), with a - 1.29% decrease. Monthly polysilicon import volume increased by 0.03 to 0.13 (in ten - thousands of tons), with a 28.46% increase; export volume decreased by 0.08 to 0.21 (in ten - thousands of tons), with a - 28.16% decrease [7]. - **Inventory Change**: Polysilicon inventory increased by 0.5 to 25.80 (in ten - thousands of tons), with a 1.98% increase; silicon wafer inventory increased by 1.16 to 18.47 (in GW), with a 6.70% increase [7].

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant information provided. 2. Core Views of the Reports Copper - The preliminary consensus between China and the US boosts market optimism. In the long - term, supply - demand contradictions support the upward movement of the copper price bottom, but short - term rapid increases may suppress demand. The main contract price is expected to range between 87,000 - 89,000 yuan/ton. [1] Aluminum - The alumina price is expected to be under pressure in the short - term, with the main contract oscillating between 2,750 - 2,950 yuan/ton. The aluminum price is likely to maintain a high - level oscillation, with the main contract in the range of 20,800 - 21,400 yuan/ton. [3] Aluminum Alloy - Cost support and supply - demand balance drive the price up, but high inventory and policy uncertainties are constraints. The ADC12 price is expected to maintain a strong oscillation, with the main contract between 20,200 - 20,800 yuan/ton. [5] Zinc - Zinc prices are supported by macro - level interest - rate cut expectations and LME squeeze risks. However, the supply is relatively loose, and the price may oscillate without a clear inflection point in the supply logic. The main contract is expected to range from 21,800 - 22,800 yuan/ton. [9] Tin - Strong supply fundamentals support the tin price to oscillate strongly. Future trends depend on macro - level changes and the supply recovery in Myanmar. [11] Nickel - Macro - level sentiment weakens slightly, but cost support exists. With inventory accumulation, the price is expected to oscillate in the range of 118,000 - 126,000 yuan/ton. [13] Stainless Steel - The policy is stable, demand during the peak season is weak, and supply pressure may increase. The short - term price is expected to oscillate weakly, with the main contract between 12,500 - 13,000 yuan/ton. [14] Lithium Carbonate - The fundamentals have improved, with a supply - demand gap during the peak season. The short - term price is expected to be strong, with the main focus on whether it can break through 83,000 yuan/ton and 85,000 yuan/ton. [17] 3. Summaries According to Related Catalogs Copper Price and Basis - SMM 1 electrolytic copper price decreased by 0.35% to 87,905 yuan/ton. The refined - scrap price difference decreased by 9.22% to 3,975 yuan/ton. [1] Monthly Fundamental Data (September) - Electrolytic copper production decreased by 4.31% to 112.10 million tons, while imports increased by 26.50% to 33.43 million tons. [1] Weekly Fundamental Data - The import copper concentrate index decreased by 4.22% to - 42.70 dollars/ton, and domestic mainstream port copper concentrate inventory decreased by 0.38% to 67.81 million tons. [1] Daily Fundamental Data - LME inventory decreased by 1.03% to 13.46 million tons, and COMEX inventory decreased by 0.06% to 34.77 million short tons. [1] Aluminum Price and Spread - SMM A00 aluminum price remained unchanged at 21,160 yuan/ton. The alumina prices in Shandong, Guangxi, and Guizhou decreased. [3] Monthly Fundamental Data (September) - Alumina production decreased by 1.74% to 760.37 million tons, and electrolytic aluminum production decreased by 3.16% to 361.48 million tons. [3] Weekly Fundamental Data - The aluminum profile开工率 increased by 0.37% to 53.70%, and the aluminum foil开工率 decreased by 0.55% to 71.90%. [3] Daily Fundamental Data - LME inventory decreased by 0.77% to 46.6 million tons. [3] Aluminum Alloy Price and Spread - SMM aluminum alloy ADC12 prices remained unchanged. The refined - scrap price differences in various regions increased. [5] Monthly Fundamental Data (September) - The production of recycled aluminum alloy ingots increased by 7.48% to 66.10 million tons, and the production of primary aluminum alloy ingots increased by 4.43% to 28.30 million tons. [5] Weekly Fundamental Data - The recycled aluminum alloy开工率 increased by 7.73% to 57.54%. [5] Daily Fundamental Data - The daily inventory of recycled aluminum alloy in Foshan decreased by 0.20% to 33,257 tons. [5] Zinc Price and Spread - SMM 0 zinc ingot price increased by 0.27% to 22,270 yuan/ton. The import loss increased to - 5,294 yuan/ton. [9] Monthly Fundamental Data (September) - Refined zinc production decreased by 4.17% to 60.01 million tons, and imports decreased by 11.61% to 2.27 million tons. [9] Weekly Fundamental Data - The galvanizing开工率 decreased by 0.57% to 57.48%. [9] Daily Fundamental Data - LME inventory decreased by 4.86% to 3.5 million tons. [9] Tin Price and Spread - SMM 1 tin price increased by 0.28% to 284,300 yuan/ton. The import loss decreased by 8.14% to - 14,746.45 yuan/ton. [11] Monthly Fundamental Data (September) - Tin ore imports decreased by 15.13% to 8,714 tons, and SMM refined tin production decreased by 31.71% to 10,510 tons. [11] Inventory Data - SHEF inventory increased by 1.32% to 5,766 tons, and social inventory decreased by 2.69% to 6,828 tons. [11] Nickel Price and Spread - The price of SMM 1 electrolytic nickel decreased by 0.734% to 122,150 yuan/ton. The import loss increased by 18.314% to - 898 yuan/ton. [13] Production and Inventory Data - China's refined nickel production increased by 1.26% to 32,200 tons, and SHFE inventory increased by 4.81% to 36,075 tons. [13] Stainless Steel Price and Basis - The price of 304/2B (Wuxi Hongwang 2.0 roll) decreased by 0.38% to 12,950 yuan/ton. [14] Raw Material Prices - The price of 8 - 12% high - nickel pig iron decreased by 0.22% to 927 yuan/nickel point. [14] Monthly Fundamental Data - The production of 300 - series stainless steel crude steel in China increased by 0.38% to 182.17 million tons. [14] Weekly Fundamental Data - The 300 - series social inventory (Wuxi + Foshan) decreased by 1.37% to 49.49 million tons. [14] Lithium Carbonate Price and Spread - The SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate price increased by 2.55% to 78,500 yuan/ton. The lithium spodumene concentrate CIF average price decreased by 2.10% to 825 dollars/ton. [17] Monthly Fundamental Data (September) - Lithium carbonate production increased by 2.37% to 87,260 tons, and demand increased by 12.28% to 116,801 tons. [17] Inventory Data - The total lithium carbonate inventory decreased by 0.38% to 84,539 tons, and the downstream inventory increased by 15.29% to 60,998 tons. [17]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report comprehensively analyzes the market conditions of various financial derivatives and commodity futures, including stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metals, container shipping index, non - ferrous metals, black metals, and agricultural products. It provides market trends, influencing factors, and operation suggestions for each category [1][2][3]. Summary by Directory Financial Derivatives Financial Futures - **Stock Index Futures**: The A - share market showed a narrow - range shock on Tuesday, with major indexes mostly falling. The transportation sector was strong, while industrial and metal - related industries declined. The four major stock index futures contracts mostly followed the index down. The "14th Five - Year Plan" suggestions and overseas events influenced the market. It is recommended to try to lightly sell put options at the support level or construct a bull call spread [2][3][4]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: Treasury bond futures rose across the board. After the favorable news of buying and selling treasury bonds was realized, the bond market may enter a short - term shock stage. It is advisable to go long on dips and pay attention to the positive arbitrage strategy [5][7]. Precious Metals - The market risk preference continued to rise, and funds flowed out quickly. Gold and silver prices first declined sharply and then rebounded. In the medium - to - long term, precious metals are expected to enter a bull market, while in the short term, it is recommended to buy on dips after the price correction [8][9][10]. Container Shipping Index (European Line) - The spot freight rate quotes showed an upward trend. The futures market was volatile, and the market was cautiously bullish. It is recommended to go long on dips for the December contract [11][12]. Commodity Futures Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper**: The copper price was at a high level. The supply of copper concentrate was tight, and the demand had strong resilience. The price was expected to be strong in the medium - to - long term, and it was recommended to pay attention to the marginal changes in demand and Sino - US tariffs [12][13][17]. - **Alumina**: The spot trading became more active, but the short - term oversupply situation was difficult to change. The price was expected to be under pressure in the short term, and it was necessary to pay attention to cost support and inventory changes [17][18][19]. - **Aluminum**: The aluminum price was at a high level and fluctuated. The macro environment was generally favorable, and the fundamentals were in a tight balance. It was expected to maintain a high - level shock in the short term [19][20][21]. - **Aluminum Alloy**: The price followed the aluminum price and fluctuated downward, and the spot price was firm. The cost support was obvious, and the supply - demand was in a tight balance. It was expected to be strongly volatile in the short term [21][22][23]. - **Zinc**: The zinc price strengthened slightly. The supply was expected to increase with limited amplitude, and the demand was stable. The zinc price was expected to fluctuate in the short term [23][24][26]. - **Tin**: The tin price was strongly supported by fundamentals and was expected to be strongly volatile. It was necessary to pay attention to macro changes and the supply recovery in Myanmar [27][28][30]. - **Nickel**: The nickel price fluctuated weakly. The macro environment put some pressure on it, and the inventory accumulation also had an impact. It was expected to fluctuate within a range [30][31][32]. - **Stainless Steel**: The stainless - steel price fluctuated weakly. The cost support was weak, and the fundamentals were generally weak. It was expected to adjust with a weak shock in the short term [33][34][35]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The lithium carbonate price was strong. The supply - demand gap was expected to expand in October. The short - term price was expected to remain strong, and it was necessary to pay attention to demand sustainability and ore performance [36][37][39]. Black Metals - **Steel**: The steel price was supported by the Tangshan production limit. The demand was expected to be supported by policies in the fourth quarter, and the inventory was expected to decrease. It was recommended to hold long positions and pay attention to the previous high pressure [40][42]. - **Iron Ore**: The iron ore price continued to rebound. The supply and demand situation was complex, and it was recommended to go long on dips for the 2601 contract and conduct a 1 - 5 positive arbitrage [43][47][48]. - **Coking Coal**: The coking coal price was strong. The supply decreased, and the demand for replenishment recovered. It was recommended to go long on dips for the 2601 contract and conduct a long - coking - coal short - coke arbitrage [49][50][51]. - **Coke**: The second - round price increase of coke was officially implemented, and there was still an expectation of a price increase. It was recommended to go long on dips for the 2601 contract and conduct a long - coking - coal short - coke arbitrage [52][53][55]. Agricultural Products - **Meal**: The Sino - US relationship improved, and the cost of near - month soybeans was supported. The domestic soybean and soybean meal inventory was high, but the cost support was strong, and the soybean meal trend was expected to be strong [56][58][59]. - **Live Pigs**: The pig price was strong. The secondary fattening and the expected reduction in the supply at the end of the month supported the price. In the medium term, there was still an increase in the supply. It was advisable to wait and see before entering the reverse spread [60][61].

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2) Core View of the Report The report presents a daily tracking of the positions of stock index futures, including IF, IH, IC, and IM. It shows that on October 28, 2025, the total positions of these futures varieties generally decreased, with different changes in the top 20 seats [1][5][11][17][21]. 3) Summary by Related Catalogs IF (CSI 300) - **Total Position and Main Contract Position Changes**: On October 28, the total position of the IF variety decreased by 4,125 lots, of which the position of the main contract 2512 decreased by 2,675 lots [5]. - **Top 20 Long - Position Seats**: The top long - position seat was Guotai Junan Futures with a total position of 38,038 lots. Guotou Futures had the most long - position increase (836 lots), and Haitong Futures had the most long - position decrease (1,367 lots) [6]. - **Top 20 Short - Position Seats**: The top short - position seat was CITIC Futures with a total position of 42,240 lots. Guotou Futures had the most short - position increase (1,754 lots), and Haitong Futures had the most short - position decrease (3,530 lots) [8]. IH (SSE 50) - **Total Position and Main Contract Position Changes**: On October 28, the total position of the IH variety decreased by 2,425 lots, of which the position of the main contract 2512 decreased by 1,601 lots [11]. - **Top 20 Long - Position Seats**: The top long - position seat was Guotai Junan Futures with a total position of 12,711 lots. China Merchants Futures had the most long - position increase (202 lots), and CITIC Futures had the most long - position decrease (514 lots) [11]. - **Top 20 Short - Position Seats**: The top short - position seat was CITIC Futures with a total position of 14,571 lots. CITIC Construction Investment Futures had the most short - position increase (383 lots), and Guotou Futures had the most short - position decrease (658 lots) [12]. IC (CSI 500) - **Total Position and Main Contract Position Changes**: On October 28, the total position of the IC variety decreased by 9,433 lots, and the position of the main contract 2512 decreased by 1,434 lots [17]. - **Top 20 Long - Position Seats**: The top long - position seat was Guotai Junan Futures with a total position of 37,424 lots. Zhongtai 231 Futures had the most long - position increase (231 lots), and CITIC Futures had the most long - position decrease (3,160 lots) [17]. - **Top 20 Short - Position Seats**: The top short - position seat was CITIC Futures with a total position of 40,929 lots. GF Futures had the most short - position increase (238 lots), and CITIC Futures had the most short - position decrease (2,766 lots) [18]. IM (CSI 1000) - **Total Position and Main Contract Position Changes**: On October 28, the total position of the IM variety decreased by 4,826 lots, of which the position of the main contract 2509 decreased by 1,434 lots [21]. - **Top 20 Long - Position Seats**: The top long - position seat was Guotai Junan Futures with a total position of 50,040 lots. Yide Futures had the most long - position increase (227 lots), and Guotai Junan Futures had the most long - position decrease (2,132 lots) [21][25]. - **Top 20 Short - Position Seats**: The top short - position seat was CITIC Futures with a total position of 72,333 lots. Haitong Futures had the most short - position increase (424 lots), and Guotai Junan Futures had the most short - position decrease (2,592 lots) [23].

Group 1: Stock Index Futures Spread - The report presents the price spread data of various stock index futures on October 29, 2025, including IF, IH, IC, and IM. It shows the changes compared to the previous day, the latest values, and the historical quantiles [1]. - For example, the IF spot - futures spread is -22.37, with a historical 1 - year quantile of 37.20% and an all - time quantile of 63.50% [1]. - The report also provides cross - period spreads and cross - variety ratios for different stock index futures [1]. Group 2: Treasury Bond Futures Spread - On October 29, 2025, the report shows the basis, cross - period spreads, and cross - variety spreads of Treasury bond futures such as TS, TF, T, and TL [2]. - For instance, the TS basis is 1.5509, with a change of -0.0241 compared to the previous day and a 24.00% percentile since listing [2]. - The cross - period spreads and cross - variety spreads are also presented with their respective changes and historical quantiles [2]. Group 3: Precious Metals Spot - Futures - On October 29, 2025, the report details the domestic and foreign futures closing prices, spot prices, basis, ratios, interest rates, exchange rates, and inventory positions of precious metals [4]. - Domestic AU2512 and AG2512 contracts decreased by -3.51% and -3.03% respectively compared to the previous day [4]. - The COMEX gold futures decreased by -0.72%, while the COMEX silver futures increased by 0.66% [4]. Group 4: Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures - The report on October 29, 2025, covers the spot quotes, container shipping indices, futures prices, basis, and fundamental data of the container shipping industry [6]. - Some shipping companies' spot rates like MAERSK, ONE, and EMC increased, while CMA decreased [6]. - The SCFIS (European and US - West routes) and SCFI indices all showed significant increases [6]. - Fundamental data includes changes in global container capacity supply, port - related indicators, export amounts, and overseas economic data [6].

Group 1: General Information - The reports are from October 28, 2025, and cover multiple industries including oils and fats, meal, pork, corn, sugar, cotton, and eggs [1][2][4][7][10][12][14] Group 2: Industry Investment Ratings - No industry investment ratings are provided in the reports Group 3: Core Views Oils and Fats Industry - Palm oil may weaken in the short - term due to production growth, export slowdown, and potential inventory increase. After the MPOB report, it may rise supported by production and inventory decline and the Indonesian B50 topic. Domestic palm oil futures may follow the Malaysian trend. Soybean oil may rise in the short - term due to strong CBOT soybean and soybean oil, but its increase may be limited by sufficient supply and weak demand [1] Meal Industry - With Sino - US relations warming, the expectation of China purchasing US soybeans is increasing, and US soybean压榨 data is strong. Brazilian soybean exports to China remain high. Domestic soybean and meal inventories are high, but costs are strongly supported, so domestic meal is expected to trend strongly [2] Pork Industry - Recent pig price rebounds are due to secondary fattening. There is demand improvement, but 11 and 12 - month出栏量 will increase, and there may be new pressure around the Winter Solstice. Current arbitrage holding risks are high [4] Corn Industry - Northeast corn prices are stable overall, with some areas declining. In North China, farmers' selling enthusiasm decreases as prices fall. Corn is in the concentrated selling period, and the supply pressure keeps the market weak. Demand from deep - processing and feed enterprises is mainly for刚需 [7] Sugar Industry - Brazil's gasoline price cut dashed the expectation of a lower sugar - making ratio, and the sugar supply outlook is loose. As the Northern Hemisphere's crushing season begins, the market focuses on India and Thailand. Domestic sugar prices are near production costs, and the current bottom - shock weak pattern may continue [11] Cotton Industry - The downstream textile enterprises' profits and cash flows have recovered, and the rigid demand for cotton is resilient. New cotton costs have increased, but there is hedging pressure, and the short - term cotton price may fluctuate within a range [12] Egg Industry - Egg supply is sufficient due to high laying - hen inventory, restored egg - laying rate, and increased egg weight. Demand may first increase and then decrease this week. Egg prices may rise slightly first and then decline in the second half of the week due to supply - demand imbalance [15] Group 4: Summary by Industry Oils and Fats Industry - **Soybean Oil**: On October 27, the spot price in Jiangsu was 8480 yuan, up 30 yuan (0.36%) from October 24. The futures price of Y2601 was 8234 yuan, up 40 yuan (0.49%). The basis was 246 yuan, down 10 yuan (- 3.91%) [1] - **Palm Oil**: The spot price in Guangdong was 9030 yuan, up 30 yuan (0.33%). The futures price of P2601 was 9100 yuan, down 22 yuan (- 0.24%). The basis was - 70 yuan, up 52 yuan (42.62%) [1] - **Rapeseed Oil**: The spot price in Jiangsu was 10050 yuan, up 20 yuan (0.50%). The futures price of OI601 was 9748 yuan, down 13 yuan (- 0.13%). The basis was 302 yuan, up 63 yuan (26.36%) [1] Meal Industry - **Soybean Meal**: The spot price in Jiangsu was 2960 yuan, unchanged. The futures price of M2601 was 2932 yuan, down 1 yuan (- 0.03%). The basis was 28 yuan, up 1 yuan (3.70%) [2] - **Rapeseed Meal**: The spot price in Jiangsu was 2410 yuan, down 10 yuan (- 0.41%). The futures price of RM2601 was 2335 yuan, up 10 yuan (0.43%). The basis was 75 yuan, down 20 yuan (- 21.05%) [2] Pork Industry - **Futures**: The main - contract basis was 120, up 345 (153.33%). The price of Live Pig 2511 was 12065 yuan/ton, up 575 yuan (5.00%); Live Pig 2601 was 12330 yuan/ton, up 155 yuan (1.27%) [4] - **Spot**: The spot price in Henan was 12450 yuan/ton, up 500 yuan; in Shandong was 12400 yuan/ton, up 400 yuan [4] Corn Industry - **Corn**: The price of Corn 2601 was 2112 yuan/ton, down 21 yuan (- 0.98%). The basis was 28 yuan, up 1 yuan (3.70%) [7] - **Corn Starch**: The price of Corn Starch 2601 was 2425 yuan/ton, down 16 yuan (- 0.66%). The basis was 85 yuan, up 16 yuan (23.19%) [7] Sugar Industry - **Futures**: The price of Sugar 2601 was 5445 yuan/ton, down 1 yuan (- 0.02%); Sugar 2605 was 5399 yuan/ton, up 1 yuan (0.02%) [11] - **Spot**: The spot price in Nanning was 5750 yuan/ton, unchanged; in Kunming was 5725 yuan/ton, down 5 yuan (- 0.09%) [11] Cotton Industry - **Futures**: The price of Cotton 2605 was 13575 yuan/ton, up 35 yuan (0.26%); Cotton 2601 was 13565 yuan/ton, up 25 yuan (0.18%) [12] - **Spot**: The Xinjiang arrival price of 3128B was 14690 yuan/ton, up 34 yuan (0.23%); the CC Index of 3128B was 14833 yuan/ton, up 30 yuan (0.20%) [12] Egg Industry - **Futures**: The price of Egg 11 contract was 2918 yuan/500KG, up 42 yuan (1.46%); Egg 01 contract was 3327 yuan/500KG, up 25 yuan (0.76%) [15] - **Spot**: The egg - producing area price was 3.02 yuan/jin, up 0.03 yuan (1.08%) [15]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Views of the Report - Overall, macro - sentiment has improved, which has re - boosted market risk appetite. The release of a loose - money signal has strengthened the expectation of a rise in bond futures, while the weakening of risk aversion has increased the decline of precious metals. Different commodity sectors show various trends based on their respective fundamentals and market factors [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Financial Sector - **Stock Index Futures**: With the improvement of macro - sentiment, all stock index futures have risen. For trading, it is advisable to try to lightly sell put options at the support level or construct a bull call spread [3]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The expectation of loose money has strengthened, and bond futures are expected to rise, though short - term fluctuations may occur due to multiple factors. Trading strategies include buying on dips and considering positive arbitrage strategies [3]. - **Precious Metals**: The risk aversion has subsided. Gold has stronger upward - driving forces, and it is recommended to buy at low levels below $4000. Silver may face pressure if gold falls after a short - term correction [3]. - **Container Freight Index (European Line)**: The main EC contract is oscillating in the short term, and it is recommended to buy on dips for the December contract [3]. Black Sector - **Steel**: The apparent demand has recovered, and steel prices have strengthened following coal prices. Attention should be paid to the previous high pressure for long positions, and the arbitrage of long coking coal and short hot - rolled coil can be held [3]. - **Iron Ore**: Shipment and arrival have declined, port inventory has increased, and iron ore has rebounded steadily. Trading strategies include buying on dips and relevant arbitrage operations [3]. - **Coking Coal**: The price of origin coal is strong, and downstream replenishment demand has recovered. It is recommended to buy coking coal on dips and conduct relevant arbitrage [3]. - **Coke**: The first - round price increase was implemented before the festival, and the second - round increase has been officially implemented with expectations of further increases. Buy on dips and conduct relevant arbitrage [3]. Non - ferrous Sector - **Copper**: Sino - US preliminary consensus has led to a new high in copper prices. Attention should be paid to the support near 86,000 [3]. - **Alumina**: Although the spot trading is active, the short - term surplus situation is difficult to change, with the main contract operating in the range of 2,750 - 2,950 [3]. - **Aluminum**: The market is running strongly, and the spot discount has widened. The main contract range is 20,800 - 21,400 [3]. - **Aluminum Alloy**: The inventory has shown an inflection point, and the market is following the upward trend of aluminum prices. The main contract range is 20,200 - 20,800 [3]. - **Zinc**: The squeeze of LME zinc and macro - benefits have led to a slight increase in zinc prices. The main contract range is 21,800 - 22,800 [3]. - **Tin**: Supported by strong fundamentals, tin prices are rising. It is recommended to wait and see [3]. - **Nickel**: The market is oscillating, and the fundamentals are weak during the policy window period. The main contract range is 120,000 - 128,000 [3]. - **Stainless Steel**: The market is mainly oscillating, and the cost support is weak. The main contract range is 12,500 - 13,000 [3]. Energy and Chemical Sector - **Crude Oil**: The progress of the Sino - US trade agreement has alleviated market concerns about demand, and the short - term oil price is in a range. It is not advisable to chase high in the short term [3]. - **Urea**: The daily output is expected to increase gradually, and the supply is sufficient. The short - term improvement of the market is limited [3]. - **PX and PTA**: The cost center has risen, but the rebound space is limited under weak expectations. Attention should be paid to the pressure levels for long positions and relevant arbitrage operations [3]. - **Short - fiber**: The inventory pressure is not large, and the short - term support is strong. The trading strategy is similar to that of PTA [3]. - **Bottle Chip**: The supply - demand pattern of bottle chips remains loose, and the processing fee is expected to decline in the short term [3]. - **Ethanol**: The short - term supply has slightly decreased, but the long - term supply - demand structure is weak. Relevant trading strategies include selling out - of - the - money call options and conducting reverse arbitrage [3]. - **Caustic Soda**: The spot trading is okay, and the price is stable. It is recommended to be short in the short term [3]. - **PVC**: The downstream purchasing enthusiasm is low, and the market is oscillating. It is recommended to stop loss on short positions [3]. - **Pure Benzene**: The supply - demand is relatively loose, and the price drive is limited. It will follow the oscillations of styrene and oil prices in the short term [3]. - **Styrene**: The supply - demand expectation is weak, and the price may be under pressure. It is recommended to be short on the rebound of the December contract [3]. - **Synthetic Rubber**: The cost support is weakening, but the supply is tightening. It is recommended to wait and see [3]. - **LLDPE**: The cost has risen sharply, and the trading has improved. Attention should be paid to the inventory - reduction inflection point [3]. - **PP**: The price has risen sharply, the basis has weakened slightly, and the trading is good. It is recommended to wait and see [3]. - **Methanol**: The price is stable, and the trading is okay. Attention should be paid to the positive arbitrage opportunity of the March - May spread [3]. Agricultural Sector - **Meal**: The warming of Sino - US relations provides cost support for near - month soybeans. It is recommended to go long on the 2026 January contract [3]. - **Pig**: Secondary fattening has increased the difficulty of slaughterhouses' procurement, boosting pig prices. It is recommended to exit the March - July reverse arbitrage and wait and see [3]. - **Corn**: The supply pressure remains, and the market is oscillating weakly. Attention should be paid to the support near 2,100 [3]. - **Oil**: The market focuses on Sino - US negotiations, and the domestic soybean oil fundamentals are bearish. The main palm oil contract may test the support of 9,000 yuan [3]. - **Sugar**: The overseas supply is loose, and the overall trend is bearish, oscillating at the bottom near 5,400 [3]. - **Cotton**: The cost of new cotton is gradually solidified, and the market is oscillating in the range of 13,200 - 13,600 [3]. - **Egg**: The spot price has risen, and it is a rebound from an oversold situation. Attention should be paid to the inter - month reverse arbitrage opportunity [3]. - **Apple**: The apple trading in the eastern region is active, and the price of high - quality goods has increased significantly. The main contract may break through and stabilize above 9,000 points [3]. - **Jujube**: The market sentiment is weak, and the market is oscillating downward. Attention should be paid to the support in the range of 10,000 - 10,300 [3]. - **Soda Ash**: The market is strongly affected by large - factory production cuts. It is recommended to wait and see and look for short - selling opportunities on rebounds [3]. Special Commodity Sector - **Glass**: The trading volume has increased, and it is necessary to pay attention to the follow - up of the spot market. It is recommended to stop loss on previous short positions and monitor the spot market [3]. - **Rubber**: The raw material price has continued to rebound, and the rubber price has continued to rise. It is recommended to wait and see [3]. - **Industrial Silicon**: The main contract has changed, and the market is mainly oscillating. The price range is 8,500 - 9,500 yuan/ton [3]. New Energy Sector - **Polysilicon**: The main contract has changed, and positive news has stimulated the market to rise. The price is oscillating at a high level [3]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The market remains strong, and the strong demand is gradually being realized. The main contract reference range is 80,000 - 84,000 yuan [3].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report analyzes the market conditions of various financial and commodity futures, including financial derivatives (financial futures, precious metals), shipping indices, and multiple commodity futures (non - ferrous metals, black metals, agricultural products, energy chemicals, etc.). It provides insights into market trends, influencing factors, and offers corresponding operation suggestions based on the analysis of each sector. Summary by Directory Financial Derivatives Financial Futures - **Stock Index Futures**: The macro sentiment improved, and stock indices rose across the board. A - shares opened higher and increased in volume. The four major stock index futures rose with the index, and the basis premium narrowed. The market was boosted by domestic economic data and Sino - US trade talks. It is recommended to try light - selling put options at support levels or construct bullish call spreads [2][3][4]. - **Treasury Futures**: The expectation of loose monetary policy strengthened, and the futures were expected to rise. Although the futures closed down, the speech at the Financial Street Forum released a signal of loose money. It is expected that the futures will open higher, and it is recommended to go long on dips and pay attention to the cash - and - carry arbitrage strategy [5][6][7]. Precious Metals - **Gold and Silver**: The risk - aversion sentiment subsided, and the market awaited the Fed's decision. The prices of gold and silver fell. In the short term, the market may be volatile, but in the long term, precious metals are expected to have a bull market. It is recommended to buy gold at low prices below $4000 [8][9]. Shipping Index - **Container Shipping Index (European Line)**: The futures market was volatile and declined, mainly affected by the reduction of quotations by MSC. However, the SCFIS European line index continued to rise, so a cautious bullish attitude is maintained. It is recommended to go long on the December contract on dips [12][13]. Commodity Futures Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper**: Sino - US reached a preliminary consensus, and copper prices reached a new high. The macro environment and supply - demand fundamentals supported the price increase. It is recommended to focus on the support at around 86,000 yuan [13][14][17]. - **Alumina**: The spot trading activity increased, but the short - term oversupply situation was difficult to change. The supply was abundant, while the demand was weak. It is expected that the price will be under pressure, and the main contract will fluctuate between 2,750 - 2,950 yuan [17][18][19]. - **Aluminum**: The price was strong, and the spot discount widened. The macro environment was mixed, and the fundamentals were in a tight balance. It is expected that the price will remain in a strong and volatile range of 20,800 - 21,400 yuan [20][21]. - **Aluminum Alloy**: The price followed aluminum and was volatile and strong. The cost support was obvious, and the supply - demand was in a tight balance. It is recommended that the main contract operate in the range of 20,300 - 20,900 yuan [22][23]. - **Zinc**: The price rose slightly due to the squeeze on LME zinc and macro - level benefits. The supply was loose but the subsequent increase might be limited, and the demand was stable. It is expected to be in a range of 21,800 - 22,800 yuan [24][25][27]. - **Tin**: Supported by strong fundamentals, the price was strong. The supply was tight, and the demand was weak. It is recommended to wait and see, and the price is expected to be in a wide - range fluctuation [27][29][30]. - **Nickel**: The price was volatile, and the fundamentals were weak during the policy window period. The production was high, the demand was average, and the inventory was increasing. It is expected to fluctuate in the range of 120,000 - 128,000 yuan [30][31][32]. - **Stainless Steel**: The price was mainly volatile, and the fundamentals were weak. The raw material cost support was weakening, the supply was increasing, and the demand was not significantly boosted. It is expected to operate in the range of 12,500 - 13,000 yuan [34][35][36]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The price was strong, and the strong demand was gradually realized. The supply - demand gap was expanding in the peak season. It is expected to run strongly, and the main contract is recommended to operate in the range of 80,000 - 84,000 yuan [37][38][41]. Black Metals - **Steel**: The apparent demand for steel recovered, and the price rose with coking coal. The cost was supported, the supply was affected by environmental protection, the demand was expected to be supported by policies, and the inventory decreased. It is recommended to hold long positions and pay attention to the previous high pressure [42][43][44]. - **Iron Ore**: The price rebounded. The supply and demand situation was complex, with the decline in arrivals and the increase in inventory. It is recommended to go long on the 2601 contract on dips and engage in the 1 - 5 positive spread arbitrage [45][46]. - **Coking Coal**: The price of coking coal was strong, and the downstream replenishment demand recovered. The supply decreased, and the demand had replenishment needs. It is recommended to go long on the 2601 contract on the short - term and engage in the long - coking - coal and short - coke arbitrage [47][48][49]. - **Coke**: The second - round price increase was proposed. The cost was supported, the supply decreased, the demand was weak, and the inventory was moderately reduced. It is recommended to go long on the 2601 contract on dips and engage in the long - coking - coal and short - coke arbitrage [50][51][52]. Agricultural Products - **Meal Products**: Sino - US relations improved, and near - month soybeans had cost support. The price of domestic soybean meal decreased slightly, and the cost of imported soybeans was supported. It is expected that the domestic soybean meal will be on a strong trend [53][54][55]. - **Pigs**: The secondary fattening boosted the price of pigs. The spot price rose, and the market demand improved. However, there will be an increase in the number of pigs to be slaughtered in November and December. It is recommended to exit the arbitrage position and re - enter after the spot price stabilizes [56][57]. - **Corn**: The supply pressure remained, and the price was weak and volatile. The supply was abundant, the demand was mainly for rigid needs, and the price was affected by the selling rhythm of farmers and policy support [58][59].