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《能源化工》日报-20251219
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-12-19 01:22
| 天然橡胶产业期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 2011】1292号 2025年12月19日 | | | | 寇帝斯 | Z0021810 | | 现货价格及基差 | | | | | | | 品中 | 12月18日 | 12月17日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | 云南国营全乳胶(SCRWF):上海 | 15050 | 15050 | 0 | 0.00% | | | 全乳基差 | -270 | -340 | 70 | 20.59% | 元/吨 | | 泰标混合胶报价 | 14550 | 14650 | -100 | -0.68% | | | 非标价差 | -770 | -740 | -30 | -4.05% | | | 杯胶:国际市场:FOB中间价 | 51.00 | 50.50 | 0.50 | 0.99% | 泰铢/公斤 | | 胶水:国际市场:FOB中间价 | 55.80 | 55.50 | 0.30 | 0.54% | | | 原料:市场主流价:海南 | 13000 | 13000 | ...
《农产品》日报-20251219
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-12-19 01:22
苹果期现日报 厦期货 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 [2011] 1292号 2025年12月19日 | 变态 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | 苹果2605(主力) | 9068 | 9122 | -54 | -0.59% | 元/吨 | | 某美 | -868 | -922 | 54 | -5.86% | | | 苹果1-5价差 | 415 | 411 | 4 | 0.97% | | | 苹果5-10价差 | ਰੇਵੇਰੇ | 979 | -20 | -2.04% | | | 槎龙果品批发市场到货 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 46.15% | 车 | | 江门水果批发市场到货 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 37.50% | | | 下桥水果批发市场到货 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 42.11% | | | 期货特色量 | 187560 | 168414 | 19146 | 11.37% | # | | 全国冷库库存 | 752.98 | 758.55 | -5.57 ...
全品种价差日报-20251219
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-12-19 01:20
黑色系 基差 品种/合约 期货价格 | 折算价:72硅铁合格块:内蒙-天津仓单 | 16 | 0.29% | 57.10% | 5592 | 硅铁 (SF603) | 5608 | 30 | 0.52% | 硅罐(SM603) | 5810 | 5780 | 30.80% | 折算价:6517硅锰:内蒙-湖北仓单 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 175 | 5.60% | 3300 | 3125 | 68.30% | HRB40020mm: 上海 | 螺纹钢 (RB2605) | 3 | 3277 | 0.09% | 3280 | Q235B: 4.75mm: 上海 | 热卷(HC2605) | 19.60% | | | | | | 72 | 9.22% | 778 | 55.70% | 折算价:62.5%巴混粉(BRBF):淡水河谷:日照港 | 铁矿石 (12605) | 849 | -1.41% ...
股指期货持仓日度跟踪-20251219
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-12-19 01:16
股指期货持仓日度跟踪 投资咨询业务资格: 广发期货研究所 电 话:020-88818051 E-Mail:yeqianning@gf.com.cn 目录: 股指期货: IF、IH、IC、IM | 品种 | | 主力合 约 | 总持仓点评 | 前二十席位重要变动 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪深 | 300 | IF2512 | 总持仓明显下降 | 中信多空头各减仓超 3000 手 | | 上证 | 50 | IH2512 | 总持仓明显下降 | 前二十席位减仓为主 | | 中证 | 500 | IC2512 | 总持仓明显下降 | 中信多空头均减仓逾 1000 手 | | 中证 | 1000 | IM2512 | 总持仓大幅下降 | 中信多空头均减仓 7000 手以上 | 股指期货持仓日度变动简评 -24,245.0 -11,717.0 -22,568.0 -35,409.0 -7,327.0 -8,002.0 -8,257.0 -18,274.0 -40,000 -35,000 -30,000 -25,000 -20,000 -15,000 -10,000 -5, ...
《金融》日报-20251219
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-12-19 01:16
| 股指期货价差日报 | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | Z0016628 | 叶倩宁 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025年12月19日 | 品种 | 价差 | 最新值 | 较前一日变化 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | | | | | | | | | | | F期现价差 | -2 39 | 79.50% | 56.90% | -0.72 | H期现价差 | -3.52 | 0.96 | 44.20% | 39.20% | 期现价差 | | | | | | | IC期现价差 | 0.16 | -8,80 | 95.40% | 84.80% | IM期现价差 | 3.00 | -1.12 | 85.00% | 88.30% | 次月-当月 | -19.20 | 1.80 | 21.70% | 23.60% | | | 零月-当月 | -45.40 | 0.80 ...
《黑色》日报-20251219
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-12-19 01:14
免责声明 | 钢材产业期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 2025年12月19日 | | | 問敏波 | Z0010559 | | | 钢材价格及价差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌 | 基差 | 单位 | | 螺纹钢现货(华东) | 3300 | 3280 | 20 | 174 | | | 螺纹钢现货(华北) | 3170 | 3160 | 10 | 44 | | | 螺纹钢现货(华南) | 3280 | 3260 | 20 | 154 | | | 螺纹钢05合约 | 3125 | 3084 | 41 | 175 | | | 螺纹钢10合约 | 3151 | 3113 | 38 | 149 | | | 螺纹钢01合约 | 3126 | 3095 | 31 | 174 | | | 热卷现货(华东) | 3280 | 3270 | 10 | -8 | 元/吨 | | 热卷现货(华北) | 3190 | 3180 | 10 | -98 | | | 热卷现 ...
《有色》日报-20251219
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-12-18 23:30
Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant information provided. Core Views Industrial Silicon - Industrial silicon spot prices stabilized, while futures prices rose and then fell. The price is expected to remain in a low - level oscillation, with the main range between 8000 - 9000 yuan/ton. If production drops significantly, it may reach 10000 yuan/ton; if polysilicon production cuts are large and industrial silicon production cuts fall short of expectations, the price may drop to 7500 yuan/ton. [1] Polysilicon - Polysilicon futures prices continued to rise strongly, with a large premium over the spot average. The supply is excessive, and the demand is weak. The price is expected to remain in a high - level oscillation. If production cuts are significant, the futures may remain strong; if not, the high premium may converge to the spot price. [2] Tin - The supply of tin ore remains tight, and the demand in some regions shows resilience. Tin prices are expected to remain strong within the year. [4] Lithium Carbonate - The lithium carbonate market was affected by news, with the main contract rising. The fundamentals have not changed much, with both supply and demand being strong. The price may remain strong in the short - term, but there is a risk of a pullback. [5] Nickel - The nickel market was affected by Indonesian nickel ore news and macro factors. The fundamentals are relatively loose, and the price may repair slightly in the short - term, with the main reference range of 112000 - 116000 yuan/ton. [7] Stainless Steel - The stainless - steel market was affected by low valuations and nickel price rebounds. It is in a situation of weak supply and demand, and is expected to oscillate and adjust in the short - term, with the main operating range of 12200 - 12800 yuan/ton. [9] Zinc - The zinc market is affected by macro - level risk aversion. The supply is gradually changing from loose to tight, and the demand has a structural improvement. The short - term Shanghai zinc price may be stronger than the London zinc price. [13] Copper - The copper market is affected by macro factors and supply - side concerns. The price bottom has shifted up, and short - term price fluctuations may be intensified by macro events. [14] Aluminum - The alumina market has a pattern of high supply and high inventory, and the price is expected to remain in a bottom - level oscillation. The electrolytic aluminum market is expected to oscillate widely, with the main contract in the range of 21700 - 22400 yuan/ton. [17] Cast Aluminum Alloy - The cast aluminum alloy market is in a game between strong cost support and weak demand. It is expected to remain in a high - level narrow - range oscillation, with the main contract in the range of 20700 - 21400 yuan/ton. [18] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Industrial Silicon - **Spot Prices and Basis**: The prices of East China oxygen - containing SI5530, SI4210, and Xinjiang 99 silicon remained unchanged on December 17 compared to December 16. The basis of various types decreased. [1] - **Inter - month Spreads**: The inter - month spreads of most contracts changed significantly, with some showing large decreases or increases. [1] - **Fundamental Data**: National industrial silicon production decreased by 11.17%, and the national operating rate decreased by 4.84%. The production and operating rates in Yunnan and Sichuan decreased significantly, while those in Xinjiang increased slightly. [1] - **Inventory Changes**: Xinjiang, Yunnan, and Sichuan factory inventories and social inventories increased slightly, while the change in warehouse receipt inventory was zero. [1] Polysilicon - **Spot Prices and Basis**: The average prices of N - type re - feedstock and N - type granular silicon remained unchanged. The N - type material basis decreased significantly. [2] - **Futures Prices and Inter - month Spreads**: The main contract price rose, and the inter - month spreads of some contracts changed significantly. [2] - **Fundamental Data**: Weekly silicon wafer production increased by 1.67%, and monthly polysilicon production decreased by 14.48%. [2] - **Inventory Changes**: Polysilicon and silicon wafer inventories increased. [2] Tin - **Spot Prices and Basis**: The prices of SMM 1 tin and Yangtze River 1 tin increased by 1.65%. The LME 0 - 3 premium increased by 12.00%. [4] - **Inter - month Spreads**: The inter - month spreads of some contracts changed significantly. [4] - **Fundamental Data**: In October, tin ore imports increased by 33.49%, and SMM refined tin production increased by 53.09%. [4] - **Inventory Changes**: SHEF inventory, social inventory, and LME inventory increased. [4] Lithium Carbonate - **Prices and Basis**: The prices of various types of lithium carbonate and related raw materials increased to varying degrees. [5] - **Inter - month Spreads**: The inter - month spreads of some contracts changed. [5] - **Fundamental Data**: In November, lithium carbonate production and demand increased, and the inventory decreased. [5] Nickel - **Prices and Basis**: The prices of various types of nickel increased slightly, and the premium of Jinchuan nickel continued to rise. [7] - **Cost of Electrolytic Nickel**: The cost of some methods of producing electrolytic nickel changed. [7] - **New Energy Material Prices**: The price of battery - grade lithium carbonate increased, while the price of battery - grade nickel sulfate decreased slightly. [7] - **Inter - month Spreads**: The inter - month spreads of some contracts changed. [7] - **Supply, Demand and Inventory**: Chinese refined nickel production and imports decreased, while domestic inventories increased. [7] Stainless Steel - **Prices and Basis**: The spot price of stainless steel increased slightly, and the futures - spot price difference decreased. [9] - **Raw Material Prices**: The price of some raw materials remained stable, while the price of high - carbon ferrochrome increased slightly. [9] - **Inter - month Spreads**: The inter - month spreads of some contracts changed. [9] - **Fundamental Data**: Chinese 300 - series stainless steel production decreased slightly, and exports decreased significantly. [9] Zinc - **Prices and Spreads**: The price of SMM 0 zinc ingot decreased by 0.69%, and the import loss increased. [13] - **Inter - month Spreads**: The inter - month spreads of some contracts changed. [13] - **Fundamental Data**: In November, refined zinc production decreased by 3.56%, and the operating rates of some downstream industries changed. [13] - **Inventory Changes**: Chinese zinc ingot social inventory decreased, while LME inventory increased. [13] Copper - **Prices and Basis**: The price of SMM 1 electrolytic copper increased by 0.49%, and the premium decreased. [14] - **Inter - month Spreads**: The inter - month spreads of some contracts changed. [14] - **Fundamental Data**: In November, electrolytic copper production increased by 1.05%, and the operating rates of some copper - related industries decreased. [14] - **Inventory Changes**: Domestic social inventory increased, while the bonded area inventory decreased. [14] Aluminum Alumina - **Prices and Spreads**: The prices of alumina in various regions decreased slightly. [17] - **Fundamental Data**: In November, alumina production decreased by 4.44%, and the operating rate increased slightly. [17] - **Inventory Changes**: Alumina plant inventory, port inventory, and electrolytic aluminum plant alumina inventory increased. [17] Electrolytic Aluminum - **Prices and Spreads**: The price of SMM A00 aluminum increased by 0.55%. [17] - **Fundamental Data**: In November, domestic and overseas electrolytic aluminum production decreased. [17] - **Inventory Changes**: Chinese electrolytic aluminum social inventory increased slightly. [17] Cast Aluminum Alloy - **Prices and Spreads**: The prices of various types of cast aluminum alloy increased slightly. [18] - **Inter - month Spreads**: The inter - month spreads of some contracts changed. [18] - **Fundamental Data**: In November, the production of regenerated and primary aluminum alloy ingots increased, and the operating rates of related industries increased. [18] - **Inventory Changes**: The social inventory of regenerated aluminum alloy ingots decreased slightly. [18]
广发期货《黑色》日报-20251218
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-12-18 05:16
| 钢材产业期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 [2011] 1292号 2025年12月18日 | | | 問敏波 | Z0010559 | | | 钢材价格及价差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 现值 | 副自 | 涨跌 | 基差 | 单位 | | 螺纹钢现货(华东) | 3280 | 3280 | O | 185 | | | 螺纹钢现货(华北) | 3160 | 3150 | 10 | રેટ | | | 螺纹钢现货(华南) | 3260 | 3260 | O | 165 | | | 螺纹钢05合约 | 3084 | 3081 | 3 | 196 | | | 螺纹钢10合约 | 3113 | 3112 | 1 | 167 | | | 螺纹钢01合约 | 3095 | 3090 | 5 | 185 | | | 热卷现货(华东) | 3270 | 3270 | 0 | 15 | 元/吨 | | 热卷现货(华北) | 3180 | 3180 | 0 | -75 | | | 热卷现货(华南) | 32 ...
广发期货《农产品》日报-20251218
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-12-18 05:03
| | | 油脂产业期现日报 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025年12月18日 | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 [2011] 1292号 | | | | 王凌辉 | Z0019938 | | 豆油 | | | | | | | | | | | 12月17日 | 12月16日 | 旅鉄 | 旅跌幅 | | | 现价 | 江苏一级 | 8460 | 8510 | -20 | -0.59% | | | 期分 | Y2605 | 8096 | 8172 | -76 | -0.93% | | | 墓差 | Y2605 | 364 | 338 | 26 | 7.69% | | | 现货墓差报价 | 江苏1月 | 01+490 | 01+490 | 0 | ւ | | | 仓单 | | 25964 | 25964 | 0 | 0.00% | | 棕榈油 | | | | | | | | | | | 12月17日 | 12月16日 | 张跃 | 张跌幅 | | | 现价 期价 | 广东24度 P2605 | 8380 8398 | 8430 8 ...
广发期货《金融》日报-20251218
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-12-18 03:13
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found in the provided reports. 2. Core Views - No clear core views are explicitly stated in the provided reports. The reports mainly present various data on different futures and industries including股指期货, bond futures, precious metals, and container shipping. 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs 3.1 Stock Index Futures Spreads - **IF Spreads**: The IF spot - futures spread was 3.52, up from the previous day. The historical 1 - year and full - history percentiles were 58.90% and 82.70% respectively. For IF inter - delivery spreads, different combinations showed various values and percentile positions [1]. - **IH Spreads**: Similar to IF, IH spreads had specific values and percentile changes compared to the previous day [1]. - **IC Spreads**: The IC spot - futures spread was 897, with high historical percentiles. Inter - delivery spreads also had their own values and changes [1]. - **IM Spreads**: The IM spot - futures spread was 6.26. Inter - delivery spreads showed different magnitudes and percentile positions [1]. - **Cross - Variety Ratios**: Ratios such as CSI 500/Shanghai Composite 300, CSI 500/Shanghai Composite 50, and others had their current values, changes, and historical percentiles [1]. 3.2 Bond Futures Spreads - **IRR and Basis**: For different bond futures like TS, TF, T, and TL, their implied repo rates (IRR) and basis had specific values, changes, and percentiles on December 17, 2025 [2]. - **Inter - Delivery Spreads**: Inter - delivery spreads for different bond futures contracts (e.g., current quarter - next quarter, current quarter - far quarter) had their values, changes, and percentiles [2]. - **Cross - Variety Spreads**: Cross - variety spreads such as TS - TF, TS - T, etc. also had corresponding data on December 17, 2025 [2]. 3.3 Precious Metals Spot - Futures - **Domestic Futures**: On December 17, 2025, domestic futures contracts like AU2602, AG2602, PT2606, and PD2606 had their closing prices, price changes, and percentage changes compared to the previous day [3]. - **Foreign Futures**: Foreign futures contracts such as COMEX gold, COMEX silver, NYMEX platinum, and NYMEX palladium also had their closing prices, price changes, and percentage changes [3]. - **Spot Prices**: Spot prices of precious metals including London gold, London silver, and others had their values, changes, and percentage changes [3]. - **Basis**: The basis between different spot and futures prices (e.g., gold TD - Shanghai gold, London gold - COMEX gold) had specific values, changes, and historical percentiles [3]. - **Ratios**: Ratios like COMEX gold/silver, Shanghai Futures Exchange gold/silver, and others had their current values, changes, and percentage changes [3]. - **Interest Rates and Exchange Rates**: 10 - year and 2 - year US Treasury yields, 10 - year TIPS Treasury yields, the US dollar index, and the offshore RMB exchange rate had their values, changes, and percentage changes [3]. - **Inventory and Holdings**: Inventories of precious metals in different exchanges and ETF holdings had their values, changes, and percentage changes [3]. 3.4 Container Shipping Industry - **Shipping Indexes**: The SCFIS (European and US West routes) and SCFI (composite, European, US West, and US East routes) had their settlement or freight rates, changes, and percentage changes [5]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: Futures contracts like EC2602 (main contract) and others had their prices, changes, and percentage changes. The basis of the main contract also had its value and change [5]. - **Fundamental Data**: Global container shipping capacity supply had a slight change. Shanghai port - related indicators such as port on - time rate, port berthing situation, and monthly export volume had their values and percentage changes. Overseas economic indicators including Eurozone PMI, EU consumer confidence index, and US manufacturing PMI also had their changes [5].