知识图强,求实奉献,客户至上,合作共赢 | 集运产业期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 | | | | | | | 2025年12月16日 | | | | 叶倩宁 | Z0016628 | | 集运指数 | | | | | | | 结算价指数 | 12月8日 | 12月1日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 単位 | | SCFIS (欧洲航线) | 1509.10 | 1483.65 | 25.4 | 1.72% | ਜ਼ | | SCFIS (美西航线) | 960.51 | 1948.77 | -988.3 | -50.71% | | | 上海出口集装箱运价 | 12月12日 | 12月5日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 車位 | | SCFI综合指数 | 1397.63 | 1403.13 | -5.5 | -0.39% | 点 | | SCFI (欧洲) | 1538 | 1400 | 138.0 | 9.86% | 美元/TEU | | SCFI (美西) | 1780 | 155 ...

| 109% | 62.00% | 硅铁 (SF603) | 5518 | 60 | 折算价:72硅铁合格块:内蒙-天津仓单 | 5578 | 52 | 0.90% | 硅罐 (SM603) | 5810 | 5758 | 35.60% | 折算价:6517硅锰:内蒙-湖北仓单 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 196 | 3270 | 3074 | 6.38% | 71.10% | HRB40020mm: 上海 | 螺纹钢 (RB2605) | Q235B: 4.75mm: 上海 | 7 | 0.22% | 3240 | 3233 | 21.20% | 热卷 (HC2605) | | | | | | 78 | 831 | 753 | 10.34% | 59.90% | 折算价:62.5%巴混粉(BRBF):淡水河谷:日照港 | 铁矿石 (12605) | 1592 | 1504 | 88 | 9.87 ...

| 品种 | 12月15日 | 12月12日 | 张跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 原木2601 | 753.5 | 749.0 | 4.5 | 0.60% | | | 原木2603 | 766.5 | 765.0 | 1.5 | 0.20% | | | 原木2605 | 779.0 | 777.5 | 1.5 | 0.19% | | | 01-03价差 | -13.0 | -16.0 | 3.0 | | | | 01-05价差 | -25.5 | -28.5 | 3.0 | | | | 03合约基差 | -26.5 | -25.0 | -1.5 | | | | 01合约基差 | -13.5 | -9.0 | -4.5 | | | | 日照港3.9A小辐射松 | 680.0 | 680.0 | 0 | 0.00% | | | 日照港3.9A中辐射松 | 740 | 740 | 0 | 0.00% | | | 日照港3.9A大辐射松 | 850 | 850 | 0 | 0.00% | | | 太仓港 4A 小辐射松 | 670 | 6 ...

| 钢材产业期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 2025年12月16日 | | | 問敏波 | Z0010559 | | | 钢材价格及价差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌 | 基差 | 单位 | | 螺纹钢现货(华东) | 3270 | 3270 | 0 | 187 | | | 螺纹钢现货(华北) | 3150 | 3150 | O | 67 | | | 螺纹钢现货(华南) | 3260 | 3250 | 10 | 177 | | | 螺纹钢05合约 | 3074 | 3060 | 14 | 196 | | | 螺纹钢10合约 | 3103 | 3093 | 10 | 167 | | | 螺纹钢01合约 | 3083 | 3082 | 1 | 187 | | | 热卷现货(华东) | 3240 | 3240 | O | 2 | 元/吨 | | 热卷现货(华北) | 3170 | 3170 | O | -68 | | | 热卷现货(华南) | 326 ...

甲醇产业期现日报 张晓珍 Z0003135 甲醇价格及价差 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 2025年12月16日 | 品种 | 12月15日 | 12月12日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | MA2601 收盘价 | 2074 | 2067 | 7 | 0.34% | 元/吨 | | MA2605 收盘价 | 2124 | 2099 | 25 | 1.19% | | | MA15价差 | -50 | -32 | -18 | 56.25% | | | 太仓基差 | 28 | 30 | -2 | -6.67% | | | MTO05盘面 | -118 | -129 | 11 | -8.53% | | | 内蒙北线观货 | 1968 | 1965 | 3 | 0.13% | | | 河南洛阳现货 | 2113 | 2100 | 13 | 0.60% | | | 港口太仓现货 | 2100 | 2075 | ટર | 1.20% | | | 区域价差: 太仓-内蒙北线 | 133 | 110 | 23 | 20.4 ...

股指期货： 股指期货持仓日度跟踪 投资咨询业务资格： 广发期货研究所 电 话：020-88818051 E-Mail：yeqianning@gf.com.cn 目录： 叶倩宁（投资咨询资格：Z0016628） 电话：020-88818051 邮箱：yeqianning@gf.com.cn 本报告中所有观点仅供参考，请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明。 2025 年 12 月 16 日星期二 广发期货早评 IF、IH、IC、IM | 品种 | | 主力合 约 | 总持仓点评 | 前二十席位重要变动 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪深 | 300 | IF2512 | 总持仓明显下降 | 中信多空头各减仓超 3000 手 | | 上证 | 50 | IH2512 | 总持仓保持稳定 | 中信多空头各减仓近 1000 手 | | 中证 | 500 | IC2512 | 总持仓明显下降 | 国君多空头均减仓逾 3000 手 | | 中证 | 1000 | IM2512 | 总持仓明显下降 | 国君多空头各减仓超 3000 手 | 股指期货持仓日度变动简评 -18,378.0 -5, ...

知识图强,求实奉献,客户至上,合作共赢 | 股指期货价差日报 | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | Z0016628 | 叶倩宁 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025年12月16日 | 品种 | 价差 | 展新值 | 较前一日变化 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | | | | | | | | | | | F期现价差 | -6.46 | 46.60% | 0.49 | 70.40% | H期现价去 | -3.27 | 4.58 | 45.00% | 40.30% | 期现价差 | | | | | | | IC期现价差 | 1.84 | -2.37 | 97.10% | 86,909 | IM期现价差 | -1.08 | -1.75 | 95.00% | 82.70% | 次月-当月 | -17.80 | 0.60 | 24.50% | 25.50% | | | 零 ...

| 油脂产业期现日报 | THE I TRAND | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 [2011] 1292号 | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 王泽辉 | Z0019938 | 2025年12月16日 | | | | | | | | | | | 更加 | 12月15日 | 12月12日 | 张跌幅 | 涨跌 | | | | | | | | | -0.58% | 8550 | 8600 | -50 | 现价 | 江苏一级 | Y2605 | 8222 | 8240 | -18 | -0.22% | 期价 | | 墓差 | Y2605 | 328 | 360 | -32 | -8.89% | 现货墓差报价 | 01+490 | 01+260 | 230 | 江苏1月 | = | | 25964 | 25964 | 仓单 | 0 | 0.00% | 棕榈油 | | | | | | | | 12月15日 | 12月12日 | 张跃唱 | 涨跌 | 广东24度 | ...

| | 业期现日报 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | (2011 1292号 2025年12月 16日 | | | | 纪元非 Z0013180 | | | 现货价格及主力合约基差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 12月12日 | 12月11日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | 华东通氧S15530工业硅 | 9200 | 9200 | 0 | 0.00% | | | 基差(通氧SI5530基准) | 765 | ate | -150 | -16.39% | | | 华东SI4210工业硅 | aeso | aeso | 0 | 0.00% | 元/肥 | | 基差(SI4210基准) | 415 | 565 | -150 | -26.55% | | | 新疆99硅 | 8750 | 8750 | 0 | 0.00% | | | 基差(新疆) | 1115 | 1265 | -150 | -11.86% | | | 月间价差 | | | | | | | 合约 | 12月12日 | 12月11日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | ...

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - No specific industry investment ratings are provided in the report. 2. Core Views of the Report - The report provides daily views and evaluations of various futures contracts, covering multiple sectors such as finance, metals, energy, chemicals, and agricultural products, and gives corresponding operation suggestions based on market conditions [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Daily Selected Views - NI2601 is expected to be weakly volatile [3]. - L2601 (LLDPE) is expected to be weakly volatile [3]. - rb2501 (coking coal) is expected to rebound from the bottom [3]. - M2605 (soybean meal) is expected to be weakly volatile [3]. 3.2 Full - Variety Daily Reviews 3.2.1 Financial Futures - **Stock Index Futures**: Due to weak economic data in November, the stock index continued to trade in a shrinking - volume range. There is no clear upward trend, and the market lacks a dominant theme. It is advisable to be cautious about the risk of chasing highs in the trading range and appropriately lay out bull spreads at low levels [3]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The bond market is still insensitive to economic data. In the absence of allocation demand, ultra - long bonds are weak. The upper limit of the 10 - year yield is not expected to deviate significantly from 1.85%. T2603 should pay attention to the support around 107.6. In the short term, it is advisable to wait and see, and consider the market as a narrow - range fluctuation. For the spot - futures strategy, pay attention to the positive arbitrage and basis widening opportunities of the 2603 contract [3]. - **Precious Metal Futures**: Gold needs to build momentum to break through the previous high. Pay attention to the impact of US economic data and Fed officials' statements on market sentiment. Buy gold below $4,300. Silver may enter the overbought zone, so it is recommended to wait and see. For platinum and palladium, operate based on the external market, buy on dips, or use out - of - the - money call options instead of long positions, and control positions [3]. 3.2.2 Commodity Futures Metals - **Steel and Iron Ore**: Iron ore is expected to be weakly volatile in the range of 730 - 780. Consider the opportunity to expand the ratio of rebar to iron ore as iron water production drops. Go long on the January rebar - to - iron ore ratio [3]. - **Coking Coal and Coke**: Coking coal is expected to trade in the range of 1,000 - 1,150, and consider a 1 - 5 reverse spread. Coke is expected to trade in the range of 1,450 - 1,600, and consider a 1 - 5 reverse spread [3]. - **Non - ferrous Metals**: For copper, hold long - term long positions and pay attention to the support at 90,000 - 91,000. For aluminum, the main contract is expected to trade in the range of 21,700 - 22,400, and go long on dips. For zinc, pay attention to the support at 23,000 - 23,200 and continue to hold the cross - market reverse arbitrage. For tin, hold previous long positions and buy on dips. For nickel, the main contract is expected to trade in the range of 110,000 - 118,000. For stainless steel, the main contract is expected to trade in the range of 12,200 - 12,800 [3]. Energy and Chemicals - **Petrochemicals**: PX is expected to be volatile at a high level in the short term. PTA is expected to be volatile at a high level in the short term, and pay attention to the low - level positive spread opportunity for TA5 - 9. For short - fiber, the processing fee is mainly compressed, and the operation is the same as PTA. For bottle - grade polyester, the inventory decline supports the processing fee, and pay attention to the device restart and production progress. For ethanol, sell EG2605 - C - 4100 to obtain time value [3]. - **Other Chemicals**: For natural rubber, the price is expected to trade in a range, and it is advisable to wait and see. For synthetic rubber, due to the strengthening of the cost side, BR has risen strongly, and sell BR2602 - C - 11200 at high prices [3]. Agricultural Products - **Grains and Oils**: For soybeans and soybean meal, the US soybeans have no bright spots, and pay attention to China's soybean customs clearance policy. For corn, the arrival volume has increased slightly, and the price is expected to be volatile and adjust. For edible oils, the US biodiesel blending quota is undecided, which may be negative for the oil market. The main contract of palm oil may test the support at 8,200 - 8,300 [3]. - **Livestock and Poultry Products**: For pigs, the market is in a bottom - grinding phase. For eggs, pay attention to the support at the previous low. For apples, the price is expected to be volatile around 9,500 in the short term. For dates, high - sell and low - buy due to supply pressure and weak demand [3]. - **Cash Crops**: For sugar, the price is expected to be weakly volatile. For cotton, the price is expected to be strongly volatile, and pay attention to the resistance around 14,050 - 14,100 [3].