投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 2025年12月17日 厂发期货 GE FUTURES 钢材产业期现日报 周敏波 Z0010559 | 钢材价格及价差 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 现值 | 即值 | 碳跌 | 某差 | 单位 | | 螺纹钢现货(华东) | 3280 | 3270 | 10 | 190 | | | 螺纹钢现货(华北) | 3150 | 3150 | 0 | 60 | | | 螺纹钢现货(华南) | 3260 | 3260 | 0 | 170 | | | 螺纹钢05合约 | 3081 | 3074 | 7 | 199 | | | 些纹钢10合约 | 3112 | 3103 | ರಿ | 168 | | | 螺纹钢01合约 | 3090 | 3083 | 7 | 190 | | | | | | | | 元/吨 | | 热卷现货(华东) | 3270 | 3240 | 30 | 16 | | | 热卷现货 (华北) | 3180 | 3170 | 10 | -74 | | | 热卷现货(华南) ...

| 股指期货价差日报 | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | Z0016628 | 叶倩宁 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025年12月17日 | 品种 | 最新值 | 较前一日变化 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | 价差 | | | | | | | | | | | F期现价差 | 1.85 | 8.31 | 89.30% | 68.9096 | -3.39 | 43.80% | H期现价来 | -0.12 | 39.60% | 期现价差 | IC用现价差 | | | | | | 8 88 | 7.04 | 99.10% | 93.70% | 7.38 | 92.80% | IM期现价差 | 8.06 | 95.00% | 次月-当月 | -19.40 | -1.60 | 20.90% | 23.40% | | | | -48.00 | 零月-当月 | 21.30 ...

欢迎关注微信公众号 | | | | 【每日精选观点】 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 品种 | 合约 | 观点 | | | | 碳酸锂 | LC2605 | 農荡偏强 | | | | 本乙烯 | EB2602 | 農荡偏弱 | | | | 焦煤 | JM2605 | 底部反弹 | | | | 棕榈油 | P2605 | 震荡偏弱 | | | 板块 | 品种 | 主力合约 | 【全品种日评】 | 操作建议 | | | | | 点评 | 美联储本次会后公布决定继续降息25bp,其发言 | | | | IF2512 | 亚太市场流动性担忧,股指全线回调 | 态度对通胀乐观,并将启动短债买入,超预期鸽 | | | 股指 | IH2512 | | 派,短期全球流动性预期改善,但日央行加息预期 | | | | IC2512 | | 影响叠加下,市场震荡回调。当前主线未明,谨慎 | | | | IM2512 | | 观望为主。 | | | | | | 短期来看30年品神缺少配置盘或维持贯幅波动, | | | | T2603 TF2603 | | TL下方支撑难寻,预期波动仍大 ...

免责声明 | 留注 | 品种/合约 | 期货价格 | 基差率 | 历史分位数 | 现货价格 | 星差 | 现货参考 | 76 | 1.39% | 折算价:72硅铁合格块:内蒙-天津仓单 | 硅铁 (SF603) | 5558 | 5482 | 64.50% | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 74 | 5810 | 1.29% | 硅罐 (SM603) | 5736 | 39.60% | 折算价:6517硅锰:内蒙-湖北仓单 | 100 | 6.45% | 3280 | 螺纹钢 (RB2605) | 3081 | 71.30% | HRB40020mm: 上海 | | | | | | Q235B: 4.75mm: 上海 | 24 | 0.74% | 3270 | 3246 | 28.40% | 热卷(HC2605) | 71 | 55.40% | 铁矿石 (12605) | 832 | 761 | 折算价:6 ...

曹剑兰 原木期货日报 证监许可 【2011】1292号 2025年12月17日 数据来源:海关总署、木联数据、Wind、广发期货研究所。清仔细阅读报告尾端免责声明。 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于被广发期货有限公司认为可靠的已公开资料，但广发期货对这些信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告反映 研究人员的不同观点、见解及分析方法，并不代表广发期货或其附属机构的立场。在任何情况下，报告内容仅供参考，报告中的信息或所表 达的意见并不构成所述品种买卖的出价或调价,投资者揭此报资,风险营担,本报告旨在发送给广发期货特定客户及其他专业人士,做权归 广发期货所有，未经广发期货书面授权，任何人不得对本报告进行压何形式的发布、复制。如引用、刊发，需注明出处为"广发期货"。 知识图强,求实奉献,客户至上,合作共赢 关注微信公众号 | ZOO 19556 | | --- | | 期货和现货价格 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 12月16日 | 12月15日 | 张跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | 原木2601 | 761.5 | 753.5 | ...

| 股指期货价差日报 | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | Z0016628 | 叶倩宁 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025年12月17日 | 品种 | 最新值 | 较前一日变化 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | 价差 | | | | | | | | | | | F期现价差 | 1.85 | 8.31 | 89.30% | 68.9096 | -3.39 | 43.80% | H期现价来 | -0.12 | 39.60% | 期现价差 | IC用现价差 | | | | | | 8 88 | 7.04 | 99.10% | 93.70% | 7.38 | 92.80% | IM期现价差 | 8.06 | 95.00% | 次月-当月 | -19.40 | -1.60 | 20.90% | 23.40% | | | | -48.00 | 零月-当月 | 21.30 ...

投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 2025年12月17日 周敏波 Z0010559 钢材产业期现日报 | 钢材价格及价差 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 现值 | 即值 | 碳跌 | 某差 | 单位 | | 螺纹钢现货(华东) | 3280 | 3270 | 10 | 190 | | | 螺纹钢现货(华北) | 3150 | 3150 | 0 | 60 | | | 螺纹钢现货(华南) | 3260 | 3260 | 0 | 170 | | | 螺纹钢05合约 | 3081 | 3074 | 7 | 199 | | | 些纹钢10合约 | 3112 | 3103 | ರಿ | 168 | | | 螺纹钢01合约 | 3090 | 3083 | 7 | 190 | | | | | | | | 元/吨 | | 热卷现货(华东) | 3270 | 3240 | 30 | 16 | | | 热卷现货 (华北) | 3180 | 3170 | 10 | -74 | | | 热卷现货(华南) | 3260 | 3260 | ...

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Not provided in the given content. 2. Core Views of the Reports Natural Rubber - Market is in a short - term stalemate between bulls and bears. The price of rubber is expected to continue to fluctuate within the range of 15000 - 15500 [1]. Pure Benzene - Short - term supply and demand of pure benzene is weak, and the cost - end crude oil support is weak. But with the confirmation of Zhejiang Petrochemical's maintenance plan, the downside space of pure benzene is limited. BZ2603 may fluctuate within the range of 5300 - 5600 [3]. Styrene - The supply - demand side of styrene remains tight. The port inventory continues to decline. However, the downstream resistance to high prices is strong, and the follow - up of procurement is weak. The mid - term supply - demand expectation is weak, and the cost - end support is limited. EB02 may fluctuate within the range of 6400 - 6700 in the short term [3]. Urea - The futures market fluctuates and closes higher, and the spot market remains weakly stable. The release of India's tender may ease the bearish pressure. Supply is at a high level, and demand is suppressed in the short term. The urea price may fluctuate weakly in the short term, and attention should be paid to the 1600 - 1630 range [4]. Crude Oil - International crude oil prices have fallen sharply. The supply - demand relationship is in a loose pattern. Brent oil should pay attention to the support at the annual low of 58.11 US dollars per barrel [5]. Methanol - The futures market fluctuates narrowly. The port is expected to be weak in the near term, while the inland supply and demand are both increasing. The 05 contract can be considered to go long at low prices after the reduction of shipments [7][9]. Polyolefins - The upstream of polyethylene continues to reduce prices for sales, and the demand has weakened after reaching the peak. PP shows an increase in both supply and demand. The overall valuation is low, and the expectation of improvement in the 05 balance is strengthened. Attention should be paid to the restocking situation of the industry chain after the macro - economic improvement [14]. LPG - No clear overall view is summarized in the text, but price, inventory, and开工率 data are provided [17]. Glass and Soda Ash - Soda ash has an excess supply situation, and the price is in a downward trend. After a technical rebound, short - selling opportunities can be considered. Glass has short - term rigid demand support, but the medium - and long - term market is under pressure, and it is expected to fluctuate weakly at the bottom [19]. PVC and Caustic Soda - Caustic soda demand is weakly supported, and the price is expected to run weakly. PVC supply pressure remains, demand is sluggish, but export orders are good. The price is not optimistic, and short - selling can be considered after a rebound [20]. Polyester Industry Chain - PX short - term upward drive is insufficient, and it may fluctuate within the range of 6600 - 7000. PTA short - term absolute price drive is limited, and it may fluctuate within the range of 4500 - 4800. Ethylene glycol is expected to fluctuate at a low level. Short - fiber absolute price drive is limited, following raw material fluctuations. Polyester bottle - chip processing fees are strong in the short term [21]. 3. Summaries According to Related Catalogs Natural Rubber - **Spot Prices and Basis**: The price of SCRWF in Shanghai decreased by 50 yuan/ton to 14900 yuan/ton, and the full - cream basis decreased by 20 yuan/ton to - 270 yuan/ton [1]. - **Monthly Spreads**: The 9 - 1, 1 - 5, and 5 - 9 spreads remained unchanged [1]. - **Production and Consumption Data**: In October, Thailand's production decreased by 1.40 to 478.60, Indonesia's production decreased by 2.90 to 186.10, India's production increased by 4.40 to 89.40, and China's production decreased by 7.70 to 113.50 [1]. - **Inventory Changes**: Bonded area inventory increased by 10129 to 498888, and the factory - warehouse futures inventory of natural rubber in SHFE increased by 2218 to 59573 [1]. Pure Benzene and Styrene - **Upstream Prices and Spreads**: Brent crude oil (February) decreased by 1.64 to 58.92 US dollars per barrel, and CFR China pure benzene decreased by 1 to 536 US dollars per ton [3]. - **Benzene and Styrene - Related Prices and Spreads**: Styrene in East China spot price remained unchanged at 6620 yuan/ton, and EB03 - BZ03 increased by 22 to 1121 [3]. - **Downstream Cash Flows**: Caprolactam cash flow (single product) increased by 15 to - 335 [3]. - **Inventory**: Pure benzene inventory in Jiangsu ports remained unchanged at 26000 tons, and styrene inventory in Jiangsu ports decreased by 12100 tons to 134700 tons [3]. Urea - **Futures Prices and Spreads**: The 01 contract of urea decreased by 8 to 1630 yuan/10 tons, and the 01 - 05 contract spread increased by 9 to - 43 [4]. - **Supply and Demand**: Domestic urea daily production increased by 0.11 to 19.90 million tons, and factory - warehouse inventory decreased by 5.63 to 123.42 million tons [4]. Crude Oil - **Prices and Spreads**: Brent decreased by 1.64 to 58.92 US dollars per barrel, and the Brent - WTI spread decreased by 0.09 to 3.65 [5]. - **Refined Oil Prices and Spreads**: NYM RBOB decreased by 5.14 to 168.09 US cents per gallon [5]. - **Refined Oil Crack Spreads**: US gasoline crack spread decreased by 0.61 to 15.33 US dollars per barrel [5]. Methanol - **Prices and Spreads**: MA2601 increased by 5 to 2079 yuan/ton, and the太仓 - 内蒙北线 regional spread increased by 13 to 145 [7]. - **Inventory**: Methanol enterprise inventory decreased by 0.85 to 35.283 million tons, and port inventory decreased by 11.51 to 123.4 million tons [8]. - **Upstream and Downstream Operating Rates**: Upstream domestic enterprise operating rate increased by 0.45 to 76.64%, and downstream MTO05 operating rate decreased by 13 to - 131 [9]. Polyolefins - **Prices and Spreads**: L2601 decreased by 6 to 6516 yuan/ton, and the L15 spread increased by 8 to - 27 [14]. - **Inventory**: PE enterprise inventory increased by 1.80 to 47.1 million tons, and PP enterprise inventory decreased by 2.81 to 53.7 million tons [14]. - **Upstream and Downstream Operating Rates**: PE device operating rate increased by 0.06 to 84.1%, and PP device operating rate increased by 0.71 to 78.3% [14]. LPG - **Prices and Spreads**: The main contract PG2601 increased by 39 to 4220 yuan/ton, and the PG01 - 02 spread increased by 24 to 154 [17]. - **Inventory**: LPG refinery storage capacity ratio increased by 0.3 to 23.7%, and port inventory increased by 8.9 to 283 million tons [17]. - **Upstream and Downstream Operating Rates**: Upstream main - refinery operating rate increased by 0.5 to 75.11%, and downstream PDH operating rate increased by 2.7 to 72.9% [17]. Glass and Soda Ash - **Prices and Spreads**: Glass 2601 decreased by 4 to 1020 yuan/ton, and soda ash 2601 increased by 10 to 1133 yuan/ton [19]. - **Supply and Demand**: Soda ash production increased by 3.2 to 73.54 million tons, and glass float - line daily melting volume remained unchanged at 155000 tons [19]. PVC and Caustic Soda - **Prices and Spreads**: Shandong 32% liquid caustic soda (converted to 100%) increased by 31.3 to 2218.8 yuan/ton, and V2605 increased by 86 to 4669 yuan/ton [20]. - **Supply and Demand**: Caustic soda industry operating rate remained unchanged at 688, and PVC overall operating rate decreased by 0.6 to 78.4% [20]. Polyester Industry Chain - **Upstream Prices**: Brent crude oil (February) decreased by 1.64 to 58.92 US dollars per barrel, and CFR Japan naphtha decreased by 10 to 536 US dollars per ton [21]. - **Downstream Product Prices and Cash Flows**: POY150/48 price decreased by 32 to 6300 yuan/ton, and polyester chip price decreased by 20 to 5475 yuan/ton [21]. - **PX - Related Prices and Spreads**: CFR China PX decreased by 6 to 827 US dollars per ton, and PX - naphtha spread increased by 6 to 397 [21]. - **PTA and MEG - Related Prices and Spreads**: PTA East China spot price decreased by 30 to 4590 yuan/ton, and MEG East China spot price decreased by 12 to 3634 yuan/ton [21]. - **Operating Rates**: Asian PX operating rate decreased by 0.7 to 78.6%, and PTA operating rate remained unchanged at 73.7% [21].

红枣期货日报 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可 【 2011】1292号 Z0023598 王昌 2025年12月17日 红支 现值 前值 涨跌 涨跌幅 单位 8830 红枣2601 8975 -145 -1.62% 红枣2605 (主力合约) 8965 9025 -60 -0.66% 红枣2609 9280 9335 -55 -0.59% 红枣1-5价差 -135 -50 -85 170.00% 红枣5-9价差 -315 -310 -5 1.61% 元/吨 沧州特级现货价格 9670 9760 -90 -0.92% 8600 8600 0 沧州一级现货价格 0.00% 沧州二级现货价格 7200 7200 0 0.00% 沧州特级与主力合约基差 105 135 -30 -22.22% 835 ୧୦ 沧州一级与主力合约基差 775 7.74% -3335 持仓量 172838 176173 -1.89% 手 883 883 0 仓車 0.00% 1134 有效预报 769 365 47.46% 张 仓单+有效预报 2017 1652 365 22.09% 沧州现货基差走势 3000 2000 1000 IF -10 ...

| 锡产业期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 2025年12月17日 | | | | 寇帝斯 | Z0021810 | | 现货价格及基差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌 | 张跌幅 | 单位 | | SMM 1#锡 | 320500 | 324100 | -3600 | -1.11% | | | SMM 1#锡开贴水 | -50 | -50 | O | 0.00% | 元/吨 | | 长江 1#锡 | 321000 | 324600 | -3600 | -1.11% | | | LME 0-3升贴水 | 50.00 | 17.00 | 33.00 | 194.12% | 美元/吨 | | 内外比价及进口盈亏 | | | | | | | 品种 | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | 进口盈亏 | -13349.68 | -13968.02 | 618.34 | 4.43% | 元/吨 | | 沪伦比值 | 7.92 | 7.92 | ...