香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性或完整性 亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示概不會就本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的 任何損失承擔任何責任。 （於香港註冊成立之有限公司） （股份代號：688） 海外監管公告 本海外監管公告乃根據香港聯合交易所有限公司（「聯交所」）證券上市規則（「上市 規則」）第13.10B條刊發。 中國海外發展有限公司（「本公司」）於二零二六年一月九日及其後刊發了關於中海企 業發展集團有限公司（本公司全資附屬公司）2026年面向專業投資者公開發行公司債券 （第一期）的公告。 根據有關規定，中海企業發展集團有限公司已經於深圳證券交易所網站 （http://www.szse.cn）上載了《中海企業發展集團有限公司2026年面向專業投資者公開 發行公司債券（第一期）在深圳證券交易所上市的公告》。 為遵守上市規則第13.10B條，該等上載資料亦刊登於聯交所「披露易」中文版網站 （https://www.hkexnews.hk）。 承董事局命 香港，二零二六年一月二十一日 於本公告日期，顏建國先生（主席）、張智超先生（行政總裁）及郭光輝 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that China Overseas Development (00688) is expected to see a decline of 18.1% in core net profit for 2025, primarily due to a decrease in property development gross margin and impairment pressures [1] - The company's attributable land investment amount has increased by 33% year-on-year, surpassing management's target, and is significantly concentrated in first-tier core cities [1] - The profit forecasts for China Overseas Development for 2025 to 2027 have been revised downwards by 14.6%, 23.7%, and 27.4% respectively, and the target price based on net asset value has been reduced by 9.2% to HKD 15.14, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Dahua Jixian indicates that China Overseas Development (00688) is expected to see a decline of 18.1% in core net profit for 2025, primarily due to a decrease in gross margin from property development and impairment pressures [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's attributable land investment amount has increased by 33% year-on-year, surpassing management's targets and focusing significantly on first-tier core cities [1] - Profit forecasts for China Overseas Development for the years 2025 to 2027 have been revised downwards by 14.6%, 23.7%, and 27.4% respectively [1] Group 2: Valuation Adjustments - Due to an expanded discount on net asset value, the target price based on net asset value has been reduced by 9.2% to HKD 15.14, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]

Market Performance - The real estate sector (CITIC) experienced a decline of -3.3% last week, while the CSI 300 and Wind All A indices changed by -0.6% and +0.5% respectively, resulting in excess returns of -2.7% and -3.8%[46] - Among 29 CITIC industry sectors, real estate ranked 26th in performance[46] New Housing Market - New home sales increased by 0.6% week-on-week but decreased by 36.8% year-on-year during the period from January 10 to January 16, 2026[8] - In major cities, new home transaction areas changed as follows: Beijing +16.3%, Shanghai +1.9%, Guangzhou +18.8%, and Shenzhen -0.6%[8] Second-Hand Housing Market - The transaction area for second-hand homes in 15 cities was 162.3 million square meters, down 1.8% week-on-week and down 8.4% year-on-year[14] - Cumulative transactions from January 1 to January 16, 2026, totaled 331.5 million square meters, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 14.4%[14] Inventory and Absorption - Cumulative new home inventory in 13 cities reached 77.9 million square meters, with a week-on-week change of -0.1% and a year-on-year change of -4.7%[21] - The absorption cycle for new homes in 13 cities is 23.0 months, with a year-on-year increase of 6.6 months[21] Land Market - Land transaction area from January 12 to January 18, 2026, was 11.746 million square meters, down 21.9% week-on-week and down 49.7% year-on-year[38] - The average land price was 700 RMB/square meter, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 44.4% and a year-on-year decrease of 51.1%[38] Investment Recommendations - Recommended mainland developers include: A-shares: Binjiang Group, China Merchants Shekou; Hong Kong stocks: China Overseas Development, Greentown China, China Resources Land, Jianfa International Group[7] - Suggested light-asset operation companies include: Property management: Greentown Service; Commercial management: China Resources Mixc Life; Leading intermediary platform: Beike-W[7] Risk Factors - Risks include potential underperformance of real estate regulatory policy relaxation, continued industry downturn, and persistent credit risks leading to liquidity deterioration[7]

Core Viewpoint - Daiwa Capital Markets forecasts that China Overseas Land & Investment's core net profit will decline by 18.1% year-on-year in 2025, primarily due to a decrease in property development gross margins and impairment pressures [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's attributable land investment amount is expected to increase by 33% year-on-year, surpassing management's target and significantly concentrated in first-tier core cities [1] - The profit forecasts for China Overseas Land & Investment for 2025 to 2027 have been revised down by 14.6%, 23.7%, and 27.4% respectively [1] Group 2: Target Price and Rating - The target price based on net asset value has been reduced by 9.2% to HKD 15.14, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The real estate market has shown a significant decline in sales, with a year-on-year decrease in sales area of 8.7% and sales amount down by 12.6% for the year 2025 [4][13] - The trend of "price for volume" is evident, with the average selling price of commercial housing dropping by 4.3% year-on-year [4][13] - New construction area has decreased for four consecutive years, with a decline of 20.4% in 2025 [5][20] - The total investment in real estate development has also seen a significant drop of 17.2% year-on-year [6][24] - The cash flow pressure on real estate companies remains high, with a 13.4% year-on-year decrease in funds available to developers [6][26] Summary by Sections Sales Data - In 2025, the total sales area of commercial housing was 881 million square meters, with a year-on-year decline of 8.7% [4][13] - The sales amount reached 8.39 trillion yuan, down 12.6% year-on-year [4][13] - December 2025 saw a sharp decline in sales area and amount, with year-on-year decreases of 15.6% and 23.6%, respectively [4][13] Construction Data - The new construction area for 2025 was 588 million square meters, reflecting a 20.4% decrease [5][20] - The completion area was 603 million square meters, down 18.1% year-on-year [5][20] Investment Data - Real estate development investment totaled 8.28 trillion yuan in 2025, a decrease of 17.2% [6][24] - The funds available to real estate developers were 9.31 trillion yuan, down 13.4% year-on-year [6][26] Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include those with strong credit and good urban fundamentals, such as Greentown China, China Overseas Development, and China Resources Land [7][34] - Companies benefiting from both residential and commercial real estate recovery are also highlighted, such as Longfor Group and New City Holdings [7][34] - Quality property management firms with strong service standards are recommended, including China Resources Mixc Life and Greentown Service [7][34]

Group 1 - The company China Overseas Development (00688) announced the issuance of its first tranche of medium-term notes for 2024, with two different bond types [1] - The first bond type, referred to as "24 China Overseas MTN001A," has an interest rate of 2.8% and will mature on January 24, 2026, with interest payments adjusted for public holidays [1] - The second bond type, known as "24 China Overseas MTN001B," carries a higher interest rate of 3.05% and will also mature on January 24, 2026, with similar provisions for interest payments [1]

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性或完整性 亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示概不會就本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的 任何損失承擔任何責任。 （於香港註冊成立之有限公司） （股份代號：688） 海外監管公告 本海外監管公告乃根據香港聯合交易所有限公司（「聯交所」）證券上市規則（「上市 規則」）第13.10B條刊發。 中國海外發展有限公司（「本公司」）於二零二四年一月十八日及其後刊發了關於中海 企業發展集團有限公司（本公司全資附屬公司）發行2024年度第一期中期票據的公告。 根據有關規定，中海企業發展集團有限公司已經於 北京金融資產交易所 （https://www.cfae.cn）、上海清算所（https://www.shclearing.com.cn）及中國貨幣網 （https://www.chinamoney.com.cn）的網站上載了《中海企業發展集團有限公司2024年度 第一期中期票據（品種一）2026年付息公告》及《中海企業發展集團有限公司2024年度 第一期中期票據（品種二）2026年付息公告》。 為遵守上市規則第13.10B條，該等 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights a continuous improvement in the real estate sector, driven by favorable policies and a strengthening of the second-hand housing market [1] - The overall industry rating remains at "Buy," consistent with previous assessments [2] Group 1: Policy Developments - Central government policies are increasingly supportive, with the Ministry of Finance announcing an extension of the tax exemption policy for second-hand housing transactions until the end of 2027 [5][14] - The People's Bank of China has introduced measures including a 0.25 percentage point reduction in various structural monetary policy tool rates and a decrease in the minimum down payment for commercial properties from 50% to 30% [5][15] - The publication of multiple articles in "Qiushi" magazine indicates a heightened focus on real estate and urban development, suggesting a strong policy commitment [5][17] Group 2: Market Performance - The second-hand housing market has shown significant improvement, with a 40.3% year-on-year increase in transactions for the first 15 days of January, despite a 10% decline compared to the previous week [5][23] - New housing transactions remain low, with a 29.7% year-on-year decrease in sales volume, although there was a 9.9% week-on-week increase [5][23][26] - The average transaction price for second-hand homes in 33 cities increased by 0.6% week-on-week, indicating a stabilization in prices [5][25] Group 3: Land Market Dynamics - The total land transfer revenue remains low, with a 25.2% week-on-week decline and a 54.3% year-on-year decrease, reflecting weak market conditions [5][24] - There are localized instances of structural premiums in third and fourth-tier cities, suggesting potential opportunities despite overall market weakness [5][24] Group 4: Company Valuations and Financial Analysis - Key companies in the real estate sector, such as Vanke A and China Overseas Development, maintain a "Buy" rating with reasonable valuations projected for 2025 and 2026 [6] - The report includes detailed financial metrics for various companies, indicating expected earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios, which suggest potential for growth in the sector [6][30]

Core Insights - The 2026 Shenyang real estate map has been released, showcasing current and upcoming properties, school locations, and metro changes, providing a comprehensive view of the market [3][8] - The land market in Shenyang has seen significant activity, with the successful auction of the Beiling Farm Phase III plot for a total price of approximately 173.99 million yuan, marking a strong start for 2026 [8] - A new policy has been announced to support residents in purchasing homes, offering tax refunds on personal income tax for those who sell their homes and buy new ones within a year [11] Land Market - The Beiling Farm Phase III plot was sold at a price of 5,010 yuan per square meter, contributing to a total transaction value of 173.99 million yuan [8] - In 2025, Shenyang's land market concluded with 19 residential land transactions, covering an area of approximately 930,000 square meters and generating a total revenue of about 6.2 billion yuan [10] Policy Developments - The Ministry of Finance, State Administration of Taxation, and Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development have jointly issued a notice extending tax incentives for residents who sell and repurchase homes within a year, effective from January 1, 2026, to December 31, 2027 [11] Market Trends - The Shenyang real estate market is experiencing a competitive environment characterized by the introduction of unique products and new delivery standards, leading to a product revolution in the city [12] - The launch of new projects, such as the Zhonghai Jingyuan, is expected to invigorate the main urban area of Shenyang [12] Urban Development - A significant urban project covering 120,000 square meters is set to revitalize a well-known old building, focusing on a mixed-use space that integrates commercial, hotel, and cultural functions [15] - The Iron West District is planning to develop a comprehensive cultural and sports project with a total investment of approximately 508.25 million yuan [17] Educational Developments - The Wanghai Road Primary School has officially adopted the name of Northeast University Affiliated Primary School, marking a significant educational milestone [21]