Core Viewpoint - Yancoal Australia Limited, a subsidiary of Yancoal Energy, reported a decline in coal production for Q3 2025, indicating potential challenges in operational efficiency and market conditions [1] Production Summary - Q3 commodity coal production was 9.3 million tons, a decrease of 9% year-on-year [1] - Cumulative commodity coal production for the first three quarters reached 28.2 million tons, an increase of 4% compared to the same period last year [1] Sales Summary - Q3 commodity coal sales amounted to 10.7 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3% [1] - Cumulative commodity coal sales for the first three quarters were 27.3 million tons, remaining flat compared to the previous year [1] Pricing Summary - The average realized price for Q3 was 140 AUD per ton, down 18% year-on-year [1] - The cumulative average realized price for the first three quarters was 146 AUD per ton, also a decrease of 18% compared to the same period last year [1]

兗礦能源集團股份有限公司 YANKUANG ENERGY GROUP COMPANY LIMITED * ( 在中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司 ) (股份代碼：01171) 兗礦能源集團股份有限公司境外控股子公司 發佈 2025 年第三季度產量銷量 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內容概不負責， 對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示概不就因本公告全部或任何部 份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任何責任。 | | | 第三季度 | | | 前三季度 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2025 年 | 2024 年 | 增減幅 | 2025 年 | 2024 年 | 增減幅 | | 商品煤產量 （權益份額） | 9.3 | 10.2 | -9% | 28.2 | 27.2 | 4% | | 商品煤銷量 （權益份額） | 10.7 | 10.4 | 3% | 27.3 | 27.3 | 0% | | 平均實現價格 （澳元/噸） | 140 | 170 | -18% | 146 | 177 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong coal stocks continue their strong performance due to improving fundamentals and renewed interest in dividend assets, with significant price increases observed in several companies [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Jinma Energy (06885.HK) surged over 13%, Yanzhou Coal Mining (01171.HK) rose approximately 4%, and China Shenhua Energy (01088.HK) and other stocks increased by over 2% [1][2]. - As of the latest data, Jinma Energy's price reached 1.290, with a gain of 0.150 (13.16%), while Yanzhou Coal's price was 11.460, up by 0.450 (4.09%) [2]. Group 2: Market Conditions - The domestic coal consumption has reached the highest level for the same period in the past five years, driven by unusual high temperatures and expectations of a cold winter, which have boosted winter storage demand [1][3]. - The coal prices at northern ports increased significantly, with the price of thermal coal at 748 RMB/ton as of October 17, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 39 RMB/ton [3]. Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Since the implementation of the overproduction inspection policy by the Energy Bureau in July, domestic coal production has been constrained, with production declining year-on-year for two consecutive months in July and August, leading to overall inventory levels falling below last year's figures [6]. - The coal industry is experiencing a dual improvement in supply and demand, with analysts noting that coal prices have consistently exceeded expectations [6]. Group 4: Investment Sentiment - The coal sector is viewed favorably due to both cyclical and dividend logic, with expectations of improved supply-demand fundamentals driven by production constraints and seasonal demand recovery [7]. - The capital market's response to global economic uncertainties and domestic economic stabilization has led to a surge in investment sentiment, with many coal companies maintaining high dividend yields [7].

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong coal stocks continue their recent upward trend, with significant gains observed in various companies [1] Company Performance - Yanzhou Coal Mining Company (兖矿能源) increased by 4.18%, reaching HKD 11.47 [1] - Yancoal Australia (兖煤澳大利亚) rose by 2.5%, trading at HKD 28.7 [1] - China Coal Energy Company (中煤能源) saw a rise of 2.41%, priced at HKD 11.06 [1] - China Shenhua Energy Company (中国神华) experienced a 2.29% increase, with shares at HKD 41.08 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The coal stocks continue their recent upward trend, driven by a significant increase in thermal coal prices, with expectations for further price rises as the heating season approaches [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Yanzhou Coal Mining Company (01171) rose by 4.18%, reaching HKD 11.47 [1] - Yancoal Australia (03668) increased by 2.5%, reaching HKD 28.7 [1] - China Coal Energy (01898) saw a rise of 2.41%, reaching HKD 11.06 [1] - China Shenhua Energy (01088) increased by 2.29%, reaching HKD 41.08 [1] Group 2: Price Trends - As of October 17, the Qinhuangdao Q5500 thermal coal closing price was RMB 748/ton, up by RMB 43/ton, a 6.1% increase [1] - Other port price indicators have reached around RMB 750/ton, nearing the expected coal-electricity profit-sharing price [1] - There is an expectation for prices to rise to the RMB 800-860 range due to the onset of the heating season and the peak demand for non-electric coal [1] Group 3: Market Sentiment - The industry fundamentals are improving due to positive changes on both the supply and demand sides, leading to coal price increases that exceed expectations [1] - The resurgence of trade conflicts may intensify market style shifts, enhancing the attractiveness of coal stocks due to their defensive dividend characteristics and clear fundamental turning points [1]

Core Viewpoint - The coal stocks continue their recent upward trend, driven by a significant increase in thermal coal prices, with expectations for further price rises as the heating season begins and demand increases [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Yanzhou Coal Mining Company (01171) rose by 4.18%, trading at HKD 11.47 [1] - Yancoal Australia (03668) increased by 2.5%, trading at HKD 28.7 [1] - China Coal Energy (01898) saw a rise of 2.41%, trading at HKD 11.06 [1] - China Shenhua Energy (01088) gained 2.29%, trading at HKD 41.08 [1] Group 2: Coal Price Trends - As of October 17, the Qinhuangdao Q5500 thermal coal closing price reached CNY 748 per ton, an increase of CNY 43 per ton, or 6.1% [1] - Other port price indicators have reached approximately CNY 750 per ton, nearing the expected price range of CNY 800-860 [1] - The upcoming heating season and the peak demand for non-electric coal are expected to sustain the upward price trend [1] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Industry Outlook - The industry fundamentals are improving due to positive changes on both supply and demand sides, with coal price increases exceeding expectations [1] - The resurgence of trade conflicts may intensify market volatility, leading to a shift in investment styles [1] - The defensive nature of dividend characteristics and the clear turning point in the low-end fundamentals of coal are significantly enhancing the market's attractiveness [1]

截至6月30日，兖矿能源股东户数14.78万，较上期增加1.14%；人均流通股0股，较上期增加0.00%。 2025年1月-6月，兖矿能源实现营业收入593.49亿元，同比减少17.93%；归母净利润46.52亿元，同比减 少38.53%。 分红方面，兖矿能源A股上市后累计派现868.46亿元。近三年，累计派现423.77亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年6月30日，兖矿能源十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第三大流 通股东，持股1.10亿股，相比上期增加1701.67万股。华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF（510300）位居第四大流通 股东，持股3195.70万股，相比上期增加264.12万股。国泰中证煤炭ETF（515220）位居第五大流通股 东，持股2778.41万股，相比上期增加601.41万股。华泰柏瑞上证红利ETF（510880）位居第六大流通股 东，持股2643.46万股，相比上期减少541.78万股。易方达沪深300ETF（510310）位居第七大流通股 东，持股2271.72万股，相比上期增加220.54万股。华夏沪深300ETF（510330）位居第九大流通股东， 持股1665.83万股， ...

Summary of Coal Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The coal industry is experiencing a new cycle with multiple favorable catalysts leading to prices exceeding expectations. The latest data shows coking coal port prices rising to 1,710 RMB, indicating strong demand post-National Day holiday, contrary to earlier predictions of a demand drop [1][2]. Key Points and Arguments - **Coal Price Trends**: Recent significant price increases have been observed, with Qinhuangdao 5,500 kcal thermal coal prices rising by 39 RMB this week, marking the largest weekly increase this year. Coking coal prices at ports have increased by 80 RMB [2]. - **Inventory Levels**: As of October 16, power plant inventories across 25 provinces are approximately 130 million tons, down 1.5% year-on-year. The inventory at Bohai Rim ports has also decreased, but the overall inventory situation is neutral to optimistic due to the upcoming heating season [4]. - **Import and Supply Dynamics**: September coal imports fell by 3.3% year-on-year, with a cumulative decline of 11.1% over the first nine months. The fourth quarter is expected to see lower import volumes compared to the previous year, indicating potential supply tightness [6][7]. - **Challenges in Supply**: The fourth quarter faces challenges such as increased safety inspections and adverse weather conditions, which may tighten supply further [9]. - **Demand Factors**: Industrial electricity demand remains strong due to companies rushing to meet deadlines ahead of new tariffs on Chinese goods. Non-electric coal demand, particularly from the steel industry, is also robust [10]. Additional Important Insights - **Global Energy Market Impact**: Despite a decline in Brent and WTI crude oil prices, coal futures in Europe have risen, indicating a supportive trend for the domestic market [5]. - **Hydropower Performance**: Hydropower has shown improvement since September, but is expected to decline as it enters a dry season, reducing its impact on thermal power [8]. - **Investment Recommendations**: Investors are advised to increase positions in coal stocks, shifting focus from leading blue-chip stocks to more elastic stocks. Key companies to watch include Yanzhou Coal Mining Company and Lu'an Environmental Energy [12][13]. Specific Company Recommendations - **Thermal Coal**: Recommended companies include Yanzhou Coal Mining Company, Shanxi Coal International Energy Group, Jincheng Anthracite Mining Group, and Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry. Yanzhou is highlighted for its strong performance in both A and H shares and its growth potential from new mining projects [13][15]. - **Coking Coal**: Lu'an Environmental Energy is recommended for its significant earnings elasticity in coking coal, along with Pingmei Shenma Group, Huaibei Mining, and Shanxi Coking Coal, which have high growth potential [14]. Conclusion - The coal market is poised for a strong performance in the coming months, driven by robust demand and tightening supply. Investors are encouraged to capitalize on this opportunity by focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and growth potential.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the coal industry [9]. Core Insights - The recent surge in thermal coal prices is attributed to unexpected demand due to climate anomalies and tightened supply from production checks. The report suggests that similar conditions to previous price spikes could lead to further price increases in Q4 2025 [2][6][7]. - The coal index (Yangtze) increased by 4.14% this week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 6.37 percentage points, ranking 2nd out of 32 industries [6][15]. - As of October 17, the market price for thermal coal at Qinhuangdao was 748 RMB/ton, up 43 RMB/ton week-on-week, while coking coal prices at Jingtang Port rose to 1710 RMB/ton, an increase of 80 RMB/ton [6][15][44]. Summary by Sections Recent Trends - The report highlights that the thermal coal price has seen a significant increase due to early winter conditions and tight supply. The price is expected to continue to rise in Q4 due to these factors [6][16]. - The daily coal consumption across 25 provinces was 5.188 million tons, a decrease of 5.4% week-on-week but an increase of 0.8% year-on-year [16][36]. Price Movements - The report notes that the thermal coal price has increased by 6.10% recently, with significant price movements observed in the past five years during similar conditions [7][44]. - The report also discusses the historical context of price increases, identifying key periods where prices surged due to supply constraints and demand spikes [7]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on coal stocks that have shown signs of bottom reversal and possess defensive characteristics, particularly in light of the ongoing trade tensions [7]. - Specific companies highlighted for their potential include Yanzhou Coal Mining, China Shenhua Energy, and Shanxi Coal International Energy [7][28].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - The coal sector has shown a rise, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 6.49 percentage points, with a weekly increase of 4.27% as of October 17, 2025 [2] - The report highlights that the onset of winter and heating demand is expected to boost coal consumption, with a potential increase in coal prices to 800 RMB/ton [6][25] - The report suggests that supply and demand are expected to gradually balance in the fourth quarter, leading to a steady rise in coal prices [6][25] Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of October 17, 2025, the coal sector outperformed the CSI 300 index, with 28 stocks rising and only 7 falling [2] - The highest weekly increase was seen in Dayou Energy, which rose by 53.13% [2] Supply Data - The average daily coal sales from monitored enterprises were 7.05 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 7.7% but a year-on-year decrease of 5.7% [2] - The average daily coal production was 6.91 million tons, up 2.5% week-on-week but down 6.1% year-on-year [2] - Total coal inventory (including port storage) was 24.36 million tons, down 3.9% week-on-week and 11.3% year-on-year [2] Price Trends - The price of thermal coal (Q5500K) in the Bohai Rim was 680 RMB/ton, a week-on-week increase of 0.44% [3] - The price of coking coal at Jingtang Port was 1690 RMB/ton, up 1.8% week-on-week [4] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on flexible thermal coal companies and coking coal companies undergoing turnaround [6][25] - Key companies to watch include China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and Yanzhou Coal Mining Company for thermal coal, and Huabei Mining and Shanxi Coking Coal for coking coal [6][25]