LI NING(02331)

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2023年年报点评:2023年业绩符合预期,2024年有望稳健增长
Guotai Junan Securities· 2024-03-21 16:00
股 票 研 究 [Table_industryInfo] 纺织服装业 [ Table_Main[李I Tnaf 宁bol]e (_Ti 2tl 3e] 3 1) [评Tab级le_:Inv est] 增持 当前价格(港元): 21.45 2023 年业绩符合预期,2024 年有望稳健增长 2024.03.21 海 ——2023年年报点评 [ 交Ta易bl数e_M据a rket] 外 王佳(分析师) 曹冬青(研究助理) 赵博(研究助理) 52周内股价区间(港元) 15.12-61.90 当前股本(百万股) 2,584 公 010-83939781 0755-23976666 010-83939831 当前市值(百万港元) 55,437 司 wangjia025750@gtjas.com caodongqing026730@gtjas.com zhaobo026729@gtjas.com 证书编号 S0880524010001 S0880122070070 S0880122070053 ( 中 本报告导读: 国 2023年业绩符合预期,库存水平恢复健康,预计2024年收入增长中单位数,净利率 维持低双位数。 香 ...
Operating quality to drive earnings growth
Xin Da Guo Ji Kong Gu· 2024-03-21 16:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Li Ning with a target price of HK$29.40, indicating an upside potential of +38.4% from the current price of HK$21.25 [1]. Core Insights - Li Ning's FY23 results met expectations, with revenue of RMB27.6 billion, reflecting a 7% year-over-year increase, while net profit decreased by 21.6% to RMB3,187 million. The company declared a final dividend of RMB0.19, resulting in a payout ratio of 45% [1]. - Management provided conservative guidance for FY24, targeting a sales growth of approximately 5% and a net profit margin (NPM) of 12-13% [1]. - The company is focusing on operational improvements and quality enhancement, with a goal to drive NPM towards 15% in the mid-to-long term [1]. Financial Performance Summary - FY23 revenue was RMB27.6 billion, up 7% YoY, while net profit was RMB3,187 million, down 21.6% YoY. The gross profit margin (GPM) remained stable at 48.4% [2]. - The operating profit margin (OPM) contracted by 6.0 percentage points to 12.9%, primarily due to an increase in selling and distribution expenses [2]. - The cash conversion cycle extended by 5 days to 35 days, with operating cash flow reaching RMB4.7 billion, a 20% increase YoY [1][2]. Operational Highlights - Direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales mix improved to 25.0% from 20.7% in FY22, contributing positively to the GPM [1]. - The company reported a sell-through rate of 78%, significantly higher than 52% in FY22, indicating improved inventory management [1]. - Channel inventory decreased to 3.6 months, down from 4.2 months in December 2022, reflecting better inventory control [1]. Future Outlook - For FY24, Li Ning aims for a revenue target of RMB29.3 billion, with projected earnings of RMB3.52 billion [1]. - The company plans to optimize its store network, expecting to close over 20 directly operated stores while opening around 100 franchised stores [1]. - Management is implementing measures to control unauthorized sales activities, targeting a reduction of such activities by 50-60% by the end of FY24 [1].
2023年报点评:业绩符合预期,库存水平进一步下降2024年轻装上阵
海通国际· 2024-03-21 16:00
[研T究ab报le告_MReasiena]rc h Report 21 Mar 2024 李宁 LI NING (2331 HK) 2023 年报点评:业绩符合预期,库存水平进一步下降 2024 年轻装上阵 2023 Annual Report Performance Review: Results in Line With Expectations, Further Reduction in Inventory Level [观Ta点ble聚_y焦em Inevie1s]t ment Focus [Tab维le_持Inf优o] 于大市Maintain OUTPERFORM (Please see APPENDIX 1 for English summary) 李宁 2H23收入略超预期,利润符合预期。2023年公司实现收 评级 优于大市OUTPERFORM 入 276亿,同比+7%,对应2H23收入135.8亿元,同比+1.4%。李 现价 HK$21.25 宁大货加盟/大货直营/大货电商分别实现收入 118.2/66.9/77.5 亿 目标价 HK$29.80 元,占比为 42.8%/24.3%/28.1% ...
2023年业绩点评:库存周转回归健康水平,看好2024年稳健发展
Guohai Securities· 2024-03-21 16:00
2024 年 03 月 22 日 公司研究 评级:买入 (维持 ) 研究所: [Table_Title] 库存周转回归健康水平,看好 年稳健发展 证券分析师: 杨仁文 S0350521120001 2024 yangrw@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师: 马川琪 S0350523050001 ——李宁( ) 年业绩点评 02331 2023 macq@ghzq.com.cn 联系人 : 廖小慧 S0350122080035 liaoxh@ghzq.com.cn 最近一年走势 事件 : 李宁2024年3月20日发布2023年业绩:2023年公司实现营业总收入 275.98亿元,同比+7.0%,归母净利润为31.87亿元,同比-21.6%,归 母净利率11.5%,较2022年-4.2pct,毛利率48.4%,较2022年持平, 摊薄EPS为122.66分人民币,同比-20.5%。 投资要点 : 相对恒生指数表现 2024/03/20 表现 1M 3M 12M 2023年公司整体增长放缓,直营渠道表现突出。2023年公司实现 李宁 11.7% 11.4% -60.6% 营业总收入275.98亿元,同比+7. ...
2023年重置渠道库存、2024年重塑品牌与信心、2025年重启增长
浦银国际证券· 2024-03-20 16:00
浦银国际研究 公司研究 | 消费行业 李宁(2331.HK):2023 年重置渠道库存、2024 林闻嘉 年重塑品牌与信心、2025 年重启增长 浦 首席消费分析师 银 在需求放缓的大环境下,李宁 2H23同时需要应对窜货乱价与渠道库存 richard_lin@spdbi.com 国 过高带来的负面影响。尽管公司在 2H23 尽力对渠道库存做出相应的调 (852) 2808 6433 际 整并加强了对渠道的管控,但我们认为公司的基本面(包括品牌力、渠 桑若楠,CFA 道信心、门店运营、终端折扣等)仍待 2024年进一步恢复。我们预计 消费分析师 公司收入与净利润将在 2024 年保持稳健,并在 2025 年重启增长。虽 serena_sang@spdbi.com 然 2024 年仍处于调整期,但考虑到李宁较强的品牌力与产品力以及当 (852) 2808 6439 公 前较低的估值水平,我们维持“买入”,并上调目标价至 24.8港元。 2024年3月20日 司 2023 年重置渠道库存:李宁 2H23 面临经销商库存高企与低价窜货的 研 挑战。为了使渠道库存回归正常,公司在 2H23 通过砍单刻意减少了 究 ...
2023年业绩点评:23年经历波折,24年期待健康增长
EBSCN· 2024-03-20 16:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Li Ning (2331.HK) with a current price of HKD 21.45 [1]. Core Views - The company experienced a challenging year in 2023, with revenue growth of 7% year-on-year, while net profit declined by 22% [1]. - For 2024, the company aims for revenue growth in the mid-single digits and a net profit margin in the low double digits, focusing on product structure and market expansion [3]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2023, Li Ning achieved a total revenue of RMB 27.598 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 7.0%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 3.187 billion, down 21.6% year-on-year. The earnings per share (EPS) was RMB 1.23, with a proposed final cash dividend of RMB 0.185 per share, resulting in an annual payout ratio of 45% [1][4]. - The gross margin for 2023 was 48.4%, unchanged from the previous year, while the operating profit margin decreased by 6.0 percentage points to 12.9% [1][7]. - The company’s inventory at the end of 2023 was valued at RMB 2.49 billion, a 2.7% increase year-on-year, with inventory turnover days at 63 days, an increase of 5 days [2]. Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from different channels in 2023 showed a 1% increase in distribution, a 30% increase in direct sales, and a 1% increase in e-commerce [1]. - By product category, footwear, apparel, and equipment accounted for 48.5%, 45.0%, and 6.5% of total revenue, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -0.7%, +15.9%, and +11.3% [1][2]. Future Outlook - The company plans to enhance its product matrix and performance, with a focus on expanding women's, outdoor, and youth categories in 2024 [3]. - The expected EPS for 2024, 2025, and 2026 is RMB 1.36, RMB 1.54, and RMB 1.72, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 14x and 13x for 2024 and 2025 [3][4].
2023年收入增长7%,年底库销比3.6个月
Guoxin Securities· 2024-03-20 16:00
证券研究报告 | 2024年03月21日 李宁(02331.HK) 买入 2023 年收入增长 7%,年底库销比 3.6 个月 核心观点 公司研究·海外公司财报点评 2023年收入增长7%,毛利率持平,派息率45%。1)2023年收入增长7.0% 纺织服饰·服装家纺 至276.0亿元,归母净利润减少21.6%至31.9亿元,批发/直营/电商收入分 证券分析师:丁诗洁 证券分析师:关竣尹 别增长0.6%/29.6%/0.9%。毛利率同比持平在48.4%,销售费用率提升4.6 0755-81981391 0755-81982834 dingshijie@guosen.com.cnguanjunyin@guosen.com.cn 百分点,主要由于收入不达年初预期、固定费用比率上升,以及下半年计提 S0980520040004 S0980523110002 门店相关减值,其他收入比率下降1.5百分点至1.2%,净利率下降4.2百分 基础数据 点至11.5%。经营现金净流入上升19.8%至46.9亿元,全年派息率45%。2) 投资评级 买入(维持) 2023下半年,公司减少批发发货,收入增长1.4%至135.8亿元,净 ...
业绩符合预期,库存回归健康
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2024-03-20 16:00
业绩简评 李宁3.20 发布2023 全年业绩,营收同比增长7%至 275.98 亿元, 归母净利润同比增长11.5%至 31.87 亿元,表现符合预期。 公司董事会建议派发末期股息 18.54 分/股(人民币),全年派息 合计57.74 分/股,派息率较22年提升 15pct 至45%。 经营分析 直营驱动增长,批发流水显著好于收入。公司 23年直营收入同增 29%,主要由开店(净增68 家)、同店(增长 10%-20%低段)贡献。 港币(元) 成交金额(百万元) 大货批发端收入同增 1%,主要受到公司主动减少发货、关店(净 71.00 4,000 关 123 家)等因素影响,流水仍呈现 10%-20%低段增长,预计 24 63.00 3,500 55.00 3,000 年批发收入与流水的差距将显著缩小。电商渠道受竞争环境加剧 2,500 47.00 2,000 影响收入同增1%,流水低双位数增长。其中 4Q23 全渠道流水实现 39.00 1,500 20%-30%低段增长,线下/电商分别20%-30%高段/中单位数增长。 31.00 1,000 23.00 500 库销比、折扣改善。截至 23年末渠道库 ...
港股公司信息更新报告:2023年批发及电商短暂调整,期待2024年货通价顺
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2024-03-20 16:00
纺织服饰/服装家纺 公 司 2023 年批发及电商短暂调整,期待 2024 年货通价顺 研 李宁(02331.HK) 究 ——港股公司信息更新报告 2024年03月21日 吕明(分析师) 周嘉乐(分析师) 张霜凝(联系人) 投资评级:买入(维持) lvming@kysec.cn zhoujiale@kysec.cn zhangshuangning@kysec.cn 证 书编号:S0790520030002 证书编号:S0790522030002 证书编号:S0790122070037 2023年批发及电商短暂调整,期待2024年货通价顺,维持“买入”评级 日期 2024/3/20 2023 年公司实现营收 275.98 亿元(同比+7%,下同),归母净利润 31.87 亿元 港 当前股价(港元) 21.450 (-21.6%),扣非归母净利润30.46亿元(-25%),净利率11.5%(-4.2pct),派息率 股 一年最高最低(港元) 65.000/14.940 提至 45%。考虑 2023 年控货致电商及批发收入不及预期,我们下调 2024-2025 公 司 总市值(亿港元) 554.37 年并新增2 ...
Expectations reset with positive initiatives
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2024-03-20 16:00
M N 21 Mar 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Li Ning (2331 HK) Expectations reset with positive initiatives Target Price HK$24.86 We do find Li Ning’s FY23 results and FY24E guidance are inline, even though the views from the market are quite mixed. Anyhow, we do appreciate (Previous TP HK$32.93) management’s efforts to fix the bugsell and the branding power issues, as well Up/Downside 15.9% as resetting investors’ expectation with a prudent guidance. With all the prog ...