Report Information - Report Title: Urea Weekly Report - Report Date: October 19, 2025 - Report Institution: Guotai Junan Futures Research Institute - Analyst: Yang Honghan [1] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - The fundamental pressure on urea is relatively high, and its valuation is also high. The trend remains weak, but due to many important macro - events recently, the price is expected to fluctuate in the short term. In the medium - term, there is a trend of inventory accumulation [2]. Summary by Directory 1. Valuation End: Price and Spread - Multiple charts show the trends of urea basis, monthly spreads, and spot prices both domestically and internationally over the years, including basis trends of different manufacturers and monthly spreads such as 5 - 9, 1 - 5, etc., as well as domestic and international spot price trends of different regions and types of urea [5][9][15][20] 2. Domestic Supply 2.1 Capacity - The expansion pattern of urea capacity in 2025 continues. In 2024, the total new capacity was 427 million tons, and in 2025, it is expected to be 346 million tons, with many enterprises having new capacity or device resumption [24] 2.2 Production Enterprise Maintenance Plan - Many urea production enterprises have maintenance plans, including different types such as normal maintenance, policy - based maintenance, fault - based maintenance, and loss (cost) - based maintenance. The loss of production volume varies among different enterprises [27] 2.3 Output - The production profit is around the break - even point, but the daily output of urea remains at a high level. The report also shows the historical trends of daily output, capacity utilization rate, and production volume of coal - based and gas - based urea in China [28][29] 2.4 Cost - The raw material prices are stable, and the factory's cash - flow cost line is stable. The report provides cost calculations for fixed - bed factories in Shanxi and historical cost trends of different production processes of urea [31] 2.5 Profit - The profit corresponding to the cash - flow cost of urea is currently in a profitable state, and the report shows the profit trends of different production processes of urea over the years [36] 2.6 Net Import (Export) - After the adjustment of export policies, the subsequent export volume may increase. The report provides monthly and annual export data of urea from 2018 to 2025 [42] 3. Domestic Demand 3.1 Agricultural Demand - Agricultural demand has seasonal characteristics, with strong demand in some months. The construction of high - standard farmland has increased the demand for urea from corn. The report also shows the cost, inventory, and profit trends of compound fertilizers [48][51][55] 3.2 Industrial Demand - **Compound Fertilizer**: The report shows the capacity utilization rate, cost, inventory, and profit trends of compound fertilizers [57] - **Melamine**: It shows the production profit, market price, output, and capacity utilization rate trends of melamine [58][59][60] - **Real Estate and Wood Products**: The demand for wood - based panels from the real estate industry has limited support, but wood - based panel exports are resilient. The report provides relevant export and real - estate construction and completion data [61][62] 4. Inventory - The inventory of urea production enterprises has increased. As of October 15, 2025, the total inventory of Chinese urea enterprises was 1615400 tons, a week - on - week increase of 11.88%. As of October 16, 2025 (week 42), the sample inventory of Chinese urea ports was 446000 tons, a week - on - week increase of 7.47% [63][66] 5. International Urea - The report shows the historical price trends of large - granular urea FOB in China, the Baltic Sea, the Middle East, and large - granular urea CFR in Brazil [69][70][71][72][73]

Core Viewpoint - The current wave of digitalization and intelligence is driving securities investment towards a modern "investment science" system, with index investment and quantitative investment being key components of this evolution [1] Group 1: Index Investment - Index investment is characterized by transparency, low cost, and risk diversification, representing a concentrated embodiment of standardized technological thinking [1] Group 2: Quantitative Investment - Quantitative investment is based on mathematical models and computational power, serving as an engineering practice of systematic methodological principles [1]

Group 1 - Guoxin Technology (国芯科技) closed at 27.08 yuan, with a decline of 6.14% [1] - The company was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's Sci-Tech Innovation Board on January 6, 2022, with an initial stock issuance of 60 million shares at a price of 41.98 yuan per share [1] - The total funds raised from the initial public offering (IPO) amounted to 2.519 billion yuan, with a net amount of 2.262 billion yuan after deducting issuance costs, exceeding the original plan by 1.66 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The funds raised are intended for projects including cloud information security chip design and industrialization, SoC chip design platform based on C*Core CPU core, and CPU core design based on RISC-V architecture [1] - The total issuance costs for the IPO were 256 million yuan, including underwriting fees of 237 million yuan and sponsorship fees of 943,400 yuan [1] Group 3 - On June 21, 2023, Guoxin Technology announced a cash dividend of 0.25186 yuan per share (including tax) and a stock bonus of 0.402978 shares per share [2] - The record date for the dividend distribution was June 28, 2023, and the ex-dividend date was June 29, 2023 [2]

Core Insights - Huatai Securities launched the AI Zhangle APP on October 15, which focuses on interactive user experience in smart investment advisory services [1] - The introduction of AI Zhangle is expected to enhance Huatai's competitive advantage in servicing long-tail customers, leading to improved profitability in the future [1] Summary by Categories Product Development - The AI Zhangle APP aims to provide an exceptional user experience, which is anticipated to improve Huatai Securities' online customer acquisition and retention capabilities [1] Market Position - The new app is expected to help increase the company's market share in brokerage services by enhancing customer service for long-tail clients [1] Financial Outlook - The formation of a future profit model from AI Zhangle is projected to further boost the company's profitability [1] - Huatai Securities is given a target price of 28.18 yuan based on a 1.33x price-to-book ratio, maintaining an "overweight" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - Huatai Securities launched the AI Zhangle APP on October 15, which focuses on interactive smart investment advisory services, expected to enhance the competitive advantage in serving long-tail customers and further increase the company's profitability [1] Group 1: Product Launch and Features - The AI Zhangle APP emphasizes user experience, which is anticipated to improve Huatai Securities' online customer acquisition and retention capabilities [1] - The app is designed to support the growth of the company's brokerage business market share [1] Group 2: Financial Implications - The formation of a future profit model is expected to further enhance the company's profitability and overall financial performance [1] - The company is given a target price of 28.18 yuan based on a 1.33x price-to-book ratio, reflecting a discount compared to comparable companies [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Wangsu Technology's stock price dropped by 5.04% to 10.92 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 1.042 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 4.05%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 26.857 billion CNY [1] - Wangsu Technology, established on January 26, 2000, and listed on October 30, 2009, specializes in providing global content delivery network (CDN), internet data center (IDC) services, and cloud computing services. The revenue composition is as follows: CDN and edge computing 64.34%, security and value-added services 27.51%, IDC and liquid cooling 5.36%, and merchandise sales and others 2.79% [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of major fund holdings, one fund under Guotai Haitong Asset Management heavily invested in Wangsu Technology. The Guotai Junan CSI 500 Index Enhanced A (014155) held 2.2942 million shares in the second quarter, accounting for 1.2% of the fund's net value, making it the second-largest holding. The estimated floating loss today is approximately 1.3306 million CNY [2] - The Guotai Junan CSI 500 Index Enhanced A (014155) was established on December 15, 2021, with a latest scale of 1.451 billion CNY. Year-to-date returns are 30.1%, ranking 1617 out of 4218 in its category; the one-year return is 37.9%, ranking 1403 out of 3865; and since inception, the return is 27.03% [2]

Group 1 - XuGong Machinery experienced a decline of 5.02% on October 17, with a stock price of 11.16 CNY per share and a trading volume of 934 million CNY, resulting in a total market capitalization of 131.163 billion CNY [1] - The company, established on December 15, 1993, and listed on August 28, 1996, specializes in the research, manufacturing, sales, and service of various types of construction machinery, including lifting machinery, earth-moving machinery, and other engineering equipment [1] - The main revenue composition of XuGong Machinery includes: earth-moving machinery (31.05%), other engineering machinery and parts (28.09%), lifting machinery (19.11%), mining machinery (8.64%), aerial work machinery (8.34%), and pile machinery (4.77%) [1] Group 2 - According to data from the top ten holdings of funds, one fund under Guotai Haitong Asset Management has a significant position in XuGong Machinery, with Guotai Junan High-end Equipment Mixed Fund A (017933) increasing its holdings by 10,300 shares in the second quarter, totaling 103,700 shares, which represents 6.42% of the fund's net value [2] - The Guotai Junan High-end Equipment Mixed Fund A was established on March 1, 2023, with a latest scale of 8.0771 million CNY, and has achieved a year-to-date return of 13.35%, ranking 5372 out of 8160 in its category [2] - The fund manager, Li Yu, has been in position for 2 years and 232 days, with the fund's total asset size at 12.5552 million CNY, and the best and worst fund returns during his tenure being -5.36% and -6.35%, respectively [3]

Group 1 - As of October 16, 2024, 73 companies have successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising a total of 188.98 billion HKD in IPO funds, representing a year-on-year increase of 227.75%, making Hong Kong the leader in global new stock financing [1] - The total equity financing amount in the Hong Kong stock primary market, including IPOs and refinancing, reached 437.59 billion HKD this year, with a significant year-on-year growth of 260.41%, indicating a marked increase in market activity [2] - Chinese securities firms have shown a strong performance in the Hong Kong IPO underwriting and sponsorship business, with leading firms like CICC Hong Kong, CITIC Securities (Hong Kong), and Huatai Financial Holdings (Hong Kong) ranking high in the underwriting list [2] Group 2 - In the IPO business, CICC ranked first by sponsoring 25 IPOs, followed by CITIC Securities (Hong Kong) with 18 and Huatai Financial Holdings (Hong Kong) with 13 [2] - In terms of underwriting amounts, CICC led with 34.03 billion HKD, underwriting 32 deals, while CITIC Securities (Hong Kong) followed with 25.67 billion HKD for 28 deals [2] - The analysis indicates that high-quality issuer resources are increasingly concentrating among Chinese securities firms with comprehensive service capabilities, as "A+H" listed companies account for about half of the total IPO fundraising in Hong Kong [2] Group 3 - Chinese securities firms are accelerating their internationalization efforts, with Guolian Minsheng Securities' Hong Kong subsidiary obtaining a trading license from the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission on October 3 [3] - Several Chinese securities firms are establishing subsidiaries in Hong Kong, with firms like First Capital Securities, Western Securities, and Northeast Securities announcing plans to set up Hong Kong subsidiaries [3] - Firms such as GF Securities, Huatai Securities, and Dongwu Securities are increasing their investments in their Hong Kong subsidiaries, reflecting a focus on overseas business development [3]

每经AI快讯，10月17日，港股中资券商股集体走低，截至发稿，广发证券(01776.HK)跌5.15%，报19.88 港元；中信建投证券(06066.HK)跌4.23%，报13.37港元；国泰海通(02611.HK)跌3.07%，报15.18港元； 光大证券(06178.HK)跌2.22%，报10.58港元。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

智通财经APP获悉，中资券商股集体走低，截至发稿，广发证券(01776)跌5.15%，报19.88港元；中信建 投证券(06066)跌4.23%，报13.37港元；国泰海通(02611)跌3.07%，报15.18港元；光大证券(06178)跌 2.22%，报10.58港元。 消息面上，最新发布的9月金融数据显示，存款结构呈现显著分化，住户存款与非银金融机构存款呈 现"一增一减"。其中，住户存款新增2.96万亿元，同比多增7600亿元；非银存款减少1.06万亿元，同比 少增1.97万亿元。爱建证券发布研报称，该格局并非意味着存款向资本市场迁移进程的逆转，而是受到 季节性因素与去年同期高基数的共同扰动，尚不能据此断定"存款搬家"趋势的终结，其持续性仍需后续 月份数据的进一步验证。 广发证券则表示，市场风偏波动但不改增量资金入市趋势，券商板块景气度有望震荡上行，但估值滞 涨，资本市场稳定性提升下券商板块兼具工具属性，建议关注Q3业绩弹性催化以及华泰证券(A/H)、东 方证券(A/H)、中金公司(H)、国泰海通(A/H)、中信证券(A/H)等投资机会。 ...