铜铜铜铜 铜铜铜 2 0 2 6 / 1 / 2 7 作者：刘诗瑶 联系人：周小鸥 从业资格证号：F3041949 从业资格证号：F03093454 交易咨询证号：Z0019385 邮箱：zhouxiaoou@zjtfqh.com 邮箱：liushiyao@zjtfqh.com 审核：李文涛 交易咨询证号：Z0015640 我公司依法已获取期货交易咨询业务资格 本周观点 ◼ 上周，铜价探低回升，沪期铜最高触及99500元/吨附近支撑表现良好，LME铜短线支持位在12700美元/吨。本周初来看，有色板块在贵金属点 燃市场情绪下，开始走高，预计铜价短期内有望上探前期历史高位，等待更高的机会出现新一轮上攻。 ◼ 特朗普最新的倡议是他的"和平委员会"——在达沃斯高调发布。该委员会的抱负如今显然已远远超出最初稳定和重建加沙的目标。特朗普 政府正在做的是打造一个联合国以外的替代性论坛。市场更担忧的在于，特朗普政府任期还剩三年，他反复无常的举动引发重大危机的可能 性相当高——从全球经济到国际政治体系，再到美国自身民主与社会的稳定。在这种情况下，对于美国的盟友而言，对美国"去风险化"似 乎是唯一理性的策略。但在一个美国仍然是 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant surge in gold prices, with spot gold breaking through $5300 per ounce, marking a historical high and a cumulative increase of nearly $1000 in January, representing a rise of over 22% [1] - The current price of gold in various markets shows a notable increase, with London gold at $5304.613 per ounce, up 2.37%, and COMEX gold at $5288.7, up 4.06% [2] - Domestic gold jewelry prices have also surged, with major brands quoting prices above 1600 RMB per gram, reflecting the international price increase [2] Group 2 - Gold mining companies are reporting strong earnings forecasts, with Zhongjin Gold expecting a net profit of 4.8 to 5.4 billion RMB for 2025, an increase of 41.76% to 59.48% year-on-year [5] - Hunan Gold anticipates a net profit of 1.27 to 1.608 billion RMB for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 50% to 90% due to rising sales prices of gold and other products [5] - Zijin Mining forecasts a net profit of approximately 51 to 52 billion RMB for 2025, a significant increase from 32.051 billion RMB in the previous year, driven by strong international gold prices [6]

1月28日，沪深两市成交额合计2.97万亿元，较上一交易日放量约704.29亿元。其中，沪市成交额1.37万 亿元，深市成交额1.6万亿元。紫金矿业成交额居首，为272.85亿元。其后是中际旭创、蓝色光标、宁德 时代、阳光电源，成交额分别为208.19亿元、184.46亿元、156.38亿元、147.57亿元。 ...

花旗预计，公司收购已投产的金矿将提升紫金的黄金产量和盈利能力。当前金价下，收购价格具吸引 力。但本次收购尚待Allied Gold股东大会批准、加拿大安大略省高等法院批准，以及包括加拿大和中国 监管机构在内的主要监管批准。并相信此次收购进一步证明紫金通过紫金黄金国际发展其黄金资产组合 的承诺。 智通财经APP获悉，紫金矿业(02899)涨超3%，截至发稿，涨3.09%，报44.74港元，成交额56.49亿港 元。 消息面上，近日，紫金矿业及紫金黄金国际联合公布，紫金矿业控股的紫金黄金国际与联合黄金签署 《安排协议》，紫金黄金国际拟以44加元/股的现金价格，收购联合黄金全部已发行的普通股，收购对 价共计约55亿加元(约合人民币280亿元或40亿美元)。"联合黄金"指 Allied Gold Corporation，一家总部 位于加拿大的黄金矿业公司。联合黄金旗下项目均为在产或即将投产的大型露天开采金矿，并购当年即 可贡献产量与利润。 ...

紫金矿业（601899）(02899)涨超3%，截至发稿，涨3.09%，报44.74港元，成交额56.49亿港元。 花旗预计，公司收购已投产的金矿将提升紫金的黄金产量和盈利能力。当前金价下，收购价格具吸引 力。但本次收购尚待Allied Gold股东大会批准、加拿大安大略省高等法院批准，以及包括加拿大和中国 监管机构在内的主要监管批准。并相信此次收购进一步证明紫金通过紫金黄金国际发展其黄金资产组合 的承诺。 消息面上，近日，紫金矿业及紫金黄金国际联合公布，紫金矿业控股的紫金黄金国际与联合黄金签署 《安排协议》，紫金黄金国际拟以44加元/股的现金价格，收购联合黄金全部已发行的普通股，收购对 价共计约55亿加元(约合人民币280亿元或40亿美元)。"联合黄金"指Allied Gold Corporation，一家总部位 于加拿大的黄金矿业公司。联合黄金旗下项目均为在产或即将投产的大型露天开采金矿，并购当年即可 贡献产量与利润。 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The non-ferrous metal sector experienced a significant rise, with major companies like Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum seeing substantial gains [1][4] - The oil and gas extraction sector also strengthened, with "three major oil companies" collectively rising, including China National Offshore Oil Corporation increasing over 7% [8] - The overall market sentiment towards resource stocks extended to other cyclical sectors such as chemicals, steel, and coal, all of which saw upward movement [1][11] Group 2: Specific Sector Performance - Precious metals led the gains in the non-ferrous metal sector, with stocks like Zhaojin Mining, Sichuan Gold, and Hunan Gold hitting the daily limit [5][7] - The chemical sector benefited from price increase themes, with specific products like epoxy propylene and glyphosate seeing price hikes [11][12] - The semiconductor sector was also active, with companies like Zhongwei Semiconductor rising over 14% after announcing price increases of 15%-50% for certain products due to supply chain pressures [14] Group 3: Economic Indicators - The US dollar index fell significantly, reaching a near four-year low, influenced by market speculation regarding potential currency interventions by the US and Japan [10] - Analysts predict that oil prices may see a bottoming out and potential recovery in mid-2026, driven by demand recovery and global inventory accumulation [10]

21世纪经济报道记者 叶麦穗 北京时间1月28日，现货黄金突破5250美元/盎司，最高触及5257.468美元/盎司，年内涨幅突破21%，继 续刷新历史最高纪录。 21世纪经济报道记者注意到，当天黄金板块也跟着水涨船高，截至中午收盘，黄金板块大涨3.88%，板 块包括晓程科技、恒邦股份、招金黄金、四川黄金、湖南黄金和西部黄金在内的个股集体涨停。 | 10 20.01 ** 479226 | 301500 飞暗曲源 | | | 21,11 | 352 | 2131 | | | | 0.00 | | 1853 | 21.31 | 1820 | 17.59 | 44.42 | 24176 | 国家治理 | 1. 38 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2.3 20.01 | 300139 龄图科技 | 1 | | 70.60 | 11.77 | TO 60 | - 585551 | | 13 | 0. ...

Market Overview - Hong Kong stock market opened positively with Hang Seng Index up 0.73%, National Enterprises Index up 0.63%, and Hang Seng Tech Index up 0.56% [1][4] - Major blue-chip stocks like HSBC Holdings rose by 2.23%, Zijin Mining by 2.21%, China Ping An by 1.65%, and JD Group by 1.5% [1][4] - New Oriental saw a decline of 3.56%, Haidilao down 0.75%, and Trip.com down 0.72% [1][4] Company Highlights - CloudWalk Technology (云知声) opened high at 10.56%, expecting to achieve revenue from large model-related businesses of approximately RMB 600 million to 620 million for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of about 1,057% to 1,095% compared to RMB 51.87 million for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024 [1][4] - China Gold International (中国黄金国际) opened up 3.76% and provided production guidance for 2026, estimating copper production at approximately 140 million to 149 million pounds (about 63,500 to 67,500 tons), gold production at approximately 70,732 to 75,554 ounces (about 2.2 to 2.35 tons), and silver production at approximately 4.18 million to 4.82 million ounces (about 130 to 150 tons) from the Jiamar Mine [5] - Vanke Enterprises (万科企业) opened up 2.49%, announcing that its major shareholder, Shenzhen Metro Group, will provide a loan of up to RMB 2.36 billion for repaying bond principal and interest, with a loan term of 36 months [6] Financial Activities - Vanke also reported that the extension proposal for the principal repayment of its medium-term notes "22 Vanke MTN004" and "22 Vanke MTN005" was approved unanimously at a bondholder meeting [6] - Cao Cao Travel (曹操出行) opened down 1.96%, planning to place 12 million shares at HKD 32.46 per share, which represents a discount of approximately 8.97% compared to the last trading day's closing price, with expected total proceeds of about HKD 389.52 million [6]

Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining (601899.SH, 02899.HK) is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 51 billion to 52 billion yuan for the fiscal year 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 59% to 62% [2] Group 1: Financial Performance - The net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be between 47.5 billion to 48.5 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 50% to 53% [2] - For Q4 2025, the estimated net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be between 13.1 billion to 14.1 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 71% to 84% [2] - In 2025, Zijin Mining's gold production is approximately 90 tons, an increase of 17 tons year-on-year, while copper production is around 1.09 million tons, up by 20,000 tons [6] Group 2: Strategic Acquisitions - On January 27, Zijin Mining announced a cash offer of 44 Canadian dollars per share to acquire all issued common shares of Allied Gold, totaling approximately 5.5 billion Canadian dollars (about 28 billion yuan) [4] - This acquisition is expected to strengthen Zijin Mining's resource linkage system in Africa, enhancing its global competitiveness [4] - In 2025, Zijin Mining completed several significant acquisitions, including the Akyem Gold Mine in Ghana and the Raygorodok Gold Mine in Kazakhstan, expanding its resource base in gold, copper, lithium, and molybdenum [5] Group 3: Market Conditions - The prices of gold, copper, and silver have been rising due to global interest rate cuts, increased geopolitical risks, strong downstream demand, and supply imbalances [5] - Zijin Mining's mineral gold and copper prices increased by 44.42% and 8.5% year-on-year, respectively, contributing to profit growth [5] - The year 2025 is marked by a significant increase in gold prices, surpassing 4,000 USD per ounce, and copper prices exceeding 10,000 USD per ton [6] Group 4: Future Outlook - For 2026, Zijin Mining plans to produce 105 tons of gold, 120 million tons of copper, and 12,000 tons of lithium equivalent, with expected increases of 17%, 10%, and 380% respectively compared to 2025 [6] - The company anticipates further growth in market capitalization driven by the production ramp-up from the Kamoa Copper Mine and the Jilong Copper Mine [6]

科网股出现分化，腾讯(00700)获净买入10.23亿港元，阿里巴巴-W(09988)遭净卖出4.01亿港元。消息面上，随着2026年春节临近，中国互联网巨头围绕AI助 手的流量争夺，正在迅速升温。腾讯元宝宣布投入10亿元现金红包，以"试用AI功能—抽取奖励"为核心路径，强调高频互动与社交扩散；阿里暂未官宣春节 红包，但此前已通过B站跨年晚会验证通义千问的内容互动能力，春节跟进被视为大概率事件。花旗在最新研报中指出，这并非一次简单的春节促销，更像 是中国AI助手迈向全民级应用拐点的重要验证窗口。 中国人寿(02628)获净买入5.11亿港元。消息面上，港交所披露信息显示，中国平安于1月21日在场内增持1420万股中国人寿H股股份，耗资约4.7亿港元。此 番增持后，中国平安合计持有约6.83亿股中国人寿H股股份，在后者H股总数中的占比突破9%。此外，华泰证券测算显示，2026年将有50万亿一年期以上的 定期存款到期。在利率下行的背景下，这笔资金正成为保险、银行理财、公募基金等多方关注的焦点。 中国人寿 紫金矿业 中芯国际 中国移动 钧达股份 华虹公司 分时图 日K线 周K线 月K线 48.45 -0.05 -0 ...