证券代码：601066 证券简称：中信建投 公告编号：临 2026-002 号 中信建投证券股份有限公司 1 / 4 关于间接全资附属公司根据中期票据计划进行发行 并由全资子公司提供担保的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 担保对象及基本情况 | 被担保人名称 | | 本次担保 | 实际为其提供的担保 | | 是否在前期 | 本次担保是 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 金额1 | 余额（不含本次 担保金额） | | 预计额度内 | 否有反担保 | | CSCIF | Hong | 人民币 | 人民币 116.79 | 亿元 | 不适用 | 否 | | Kong | Limited | 6.12 亿元 | | | | | 累计担保情况 | 对外担保逾期的累计金额（人民币亿元） | - | | --- | --- | | 截至本公告日上市公司及其控股子公司 对外担保金额（人民币亿元） | 458.04 | | 对外担保金额占上 ...

Core Insights - Mr. Han Yu has officially joined CITIC Construction Investment Securities Research Institute as the co-chief analyst for building materials and new materials, bringing a multidisciplinary background in materials engineering and economics with six years of research experience in the building materials and chemical sectors [2][13] - The company aims to challenge the traditional perception of the building materials industry as a sunset sector and to uncover growth opportunities during the industry's transformation, ultimately creating value for investors and providing references for industrial development [2][13] Team and Future Plans - The team will focus on consensus building and key areas, leveraging professional capabilities to enhance the research ranking in line with the company's business ranking [6][19] - CITIC Construction Investment has launched a multi-asset allocation platform to provide investors with a practical investment system supported by robust data processing capabilities [6][19] Research Methodology - The building materials industry has experienced a continuous decline over the past five years, necessitating a focus on identifying investment opportunities and maintaining research integrity [8][21] - The research scope has expanded from traditional building materials to "constructive materials," which include structural materials for various applications, particularly in the context of AI and computing power upgrades [9][22] Market Outlook - By 2025, the demand for new real estate in cement is expected to decrease to 18.9%, and the demand for flat glass in construction is projected to drop to 41.3% of total flat glass demand, indicating a shift towards a market dominated by existing housing renovations [10][23] - The company is optimistic about investment opportunities in special electronic fabrics and resin material upgrades, as well as the accelerated domestic substitution in the electronic chemicals sector [10][23]

智通财经APP获悉，中信建投发布研报称，欧美对俄油贸易制裁升级，从金融合规软性约束转向军事维 度硬性拦截，船舶扣押风险凸显，影子运力短期剧烈收缩，抬升合规船队运价中枢。影子船队换旗避管 模式失效，执法逻辑变为"无国籍认定+公海扣押"，主干航道及欧洲多海域强化管控，违规判定标准拓 宽，监管力度显著升级。油运有效运力现刚性缺口，运价呈K型分化，合规船队享安全溢价、议价力提 升，持续看好行业合规龙头。 投资逻辑修正 中信建投主要观点如下： 全球原油运输有效运力将现刚性缺口。此前市场默认占全球运力16%的VLCC影子船队可满负荷运营， 如今受船舶扣押事件影响，影子船东或将大规模停航观望。只要5%-10%的影子运力退出或绕行，全球 原油运输周转量就会显著紧缺。运价将呈K型分化，合规船队享受安全溢价，议价能力提升;灰色运力运 费或暴涨，但不确定性极高，不具备投资价值。 行业综述 从交运各子板块相对沪深300表现看，本周(1月19日-1月23日)交运板块整体上涨。本周航运板块涨幅为 0.53%，港口板块涨幅为2.52%。 航运港口：影子船队监管政策突变：从"猫鼠博弈"转向"物理出清" 2026年原油运输供给侧风险需即刻重估 ...

中信建投（601066）发布研报称，2026年面临铜价中枢上移与人民币升值的双重考验，该行认为其对家 电龙头盈利的冲击整体可控。过往经验看，顺价是化解成本压力最为有效的核心手段。国补落地下需求 有支撑，元旦后提价存共识。凭借强大的终端定价权、成熟的成本传导机制以及完善的汇率风险管理体 系，龙头企业有能力穿越周期波动，维持盈利模型的稳健。当前板块估值处于历史低位，兼具稳健增长 与高分红特性，配置价值凸显。 中信建投主要观点如下： 铜再度迎来涨价潮，家电影响如何看? 2025年下半年起铜价中枢再度快速抬升。对比过往几轮大宗周期，此次原材料上涨幅度仍可控，成本端 呈现"金属抬升、化工和钢材相对缓释"的分化格局。原材料价格波动对毛利率产生滞后性冲击，但并非 决定板块估值与股价的核心变量。复盘历史，成本压力传导至毛利端存在2-3个季度的时滞，资本市场 层面，估值更多受宏观流动性与终端需求驱动，在需求复苏与货币宽松背景下，即便面临成本上行，家 电龙头股仍能实现良好的收益表现。 面对铜价上涨，家电龙头如何降低影响家电龙头可通过"向上游要利润、向内部要效率、向终端要溢 价"三种传导方法对冲成本影响。大宗品定价权高度集中于海外 ...

智通财经APP获悉，中信建投发布研报称，考虑2026年碳酸锂供给增量市场一致预期落在30-50万吨， 预计碳酸锂价格可能在15-30万元/吨之间达到均衡，具体高度则需要看碳酸锂供给增量具体多少、中间 环节的累库效应，以及需求是否进一步超预期。股价层面，底部估值抬升之后，市场可能会对需求产生 怀疑导致板块阶段性纠结，但最终因产业链量价齐升股价同步跟随，价格弹性大的环节表现最优。该行 建议首选紧缺瓶颈环节，配置核心龙头。 中信建投主要观点如下： 2020年光伏周期复盘：多言涨价影响需求，但实际从未影响，更多的情况是量价齐升，瓶颈环节几乎拿 走行业大部分利润 本轮由储能驱动的锂电周期和上一轮光伏周期高度相似，截至目前几乎有着近乎一致的剧情复刻。"平 价上网"之后，下游电站的超额利润推动了需求的非线性增长，且电站环节由"补贴驱动的工程项目"变 身"经济性驱动的电力资产"，大量国央企及社会资本涌入，同步伴随着国内利率下行周期启动，量价齐 升，对紧缺环节造成挤兑。 产能刚性的光伏硅料和玻璃几乎拿走产业链大部分利润(本文以2021-2022年的硅料为例)，价格上不言 顶。在这过程中市场多言涨价影响需求，但实际从未影响，持续 ...

Group 1 - The core driving force for the development of the satellite communication industry is the upgrade of satellite communication technology, which addresses issues of latency, bandwidth, and stability through innovations such as lower orbital heights, phased array antennas, and laser media applications [1][2] - The global satellite communication market is expected to grow from $25.2 billion in 2025 to $83 billion by 2035, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 13% [1][2] - The rise of the commercial space industry is generating incremental demand for satellite communication, with applications expanding from traditional broadcasting and maritime communication to remote internet access, IoT, emergency rescue, and defense sectors [2][3] Group 2 - The satellite communication industry chain includes upstream chips and components, midstream communication modules, and downstream satellite communication terminals, with leading companies actively exploring new technologies and products [1][3] - The successful deployment of satellite constellations, such as SpaceX's Starlink, which has over 9,300 satellites in orbit and more than 9 million paying users, is significantly enhancing market penetration and driving growth [2][3] - Domestic players are submitting plans for over 200,000 satellites to the ITU, with the capacity for annual launches expected to reach 10,000, further propelling market growth [2][3]

Group 1 - The current macroeconomic environment is similar to the investment peak period of 2020-2021, with resilient industrial production and rapid export growth, while domestic consumption and investment indicators remain weak [1] - Monetary policy remains accommodative, with the central bank indicating room for further rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions this year [1] - The combination of weak macro demand and loose liquidity favors structural investment opportunities, particularly in sectors like AI semiconductors and renewable energy, which are seen as core areas of growth [1] Group 2 - Emerging hotspots such as AI applications are receiving policy support and accelerating commercialization, while space photovoltaic capacity planning exceeds expectations, opening up a trillion-dollar market [1] - The non-ferrous metals industry has the highest forecasted performance improvement rate for 2025, indicating potential investment opportunities [1] - Under the current monetary easing, funds are expected to shift from the financial system to the real economy, benefiting sectors such as non-ferrous metals, chemicals, machinery, and consumer goods sequentially [1] Group 3 - Since December 2025, the South China Metal Index has increased by 12.5%, while the energy and industrial product indices have risen by approximately 7%, indicating better investment value in the current market [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities highlights a resilient industrial production alongside rapid export growth, while domestic demand indicators such as consumption and investment remain weak, indicating a year-long trend of "strong production versus weak demand, and better external demand than internal demand" [1] Economic Environment - The monetary policy remains accommodative, with the central bank governor indicating room for further reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate reductions this year [1] - The current macroeconomic environment shares similarities with the investment peak period of 2020-2021, as interbank rates have dropped to nearly the lowest levels since 2020 [1] Investment Opportunities - The combination of weak macro demand and loose liquidity favors structural investment opportunities in thriving sectors [1] - Key sectors include AI semiconductors and renewable energy, which are currently at the core of economic vitality [1] - Emerging hotspots are continuously catalyzing growth, with strong policy support for AI applications and accelerated commercialization [1] Sector Performance - The global capacity planning for space photovoltaics exceeds expectations, and technological breakthroughs are opening up trillion-dollar markets [1] - The resource sector, particularly non-ferrous metals, shows a high forecast for 2025 earnings, indicating a positive outlook [1] - As monetary easing continues, funds are expected to shift from the financial system to the real economy, benefiting sectors such as non-ferrous metals, chemicals, machinery, and consumer goods [1] Market Trends - Since December, the South China Metal Index has risen by 12.5%, while the energy and industrial product indices have only increased by around 7%, suggesting better investment value in the current market [1]

Group 1: Corn Market - Domestic futures prices have both surpassed 2300, but without significant tightness in the fundamentals, price pressures arise from timing mismatches in stocking needs and spatial mismatches due to regional adjustments [4][13] - This week, corn arrivals are concentrated, with Guangdong expected to receive 534,000 tons; on the 23rd, state grain reserves auctioned 144,000 tons of corn, with a transaction volume of 132,000 tons, achieving a transaction rate of 91% [4][13] - The corn main contract is expected to observe support around 2250, with potential upward movement towards 2330 [5][14] Group 2: Soybean Meal Market - U.S. cold wave weather raises concerns over winter wheat yield losses and processing plant shutdowns, while South American weather presents temporary risk premiums, leading to a rebound in CBOT soybeans [5][14] - Forecasts indicate favorable rainfall in most of Brazil for the coming week, beneficial for soybean growth, but continuous rainfall may delay harvesting; Argentina's main production areas still face drought risks [5][14] - The rebound in the U.S. market provides marginal support for meal prices, while concerns over potential tightness in domestic soybean supply and uncertainties in reserve release schedules also offer some support [5][14] Group 3: Egg Market - The spot price for eggs remains stable, with the average price in Hebei at approximately 3.51 yuan per jin, unchanged from the previous day; previous strong performance has led to a stagnation in price growth [6][16] - The total replenishment volume for 2025 is expected to decrease by approximately 42.2 million birds compared to 2024, but will still maintain a high level of about 1.015 billion birds [6][16] - Short-term support from pre-Spring Festival stocking may lead to a rebound, but caution is advised for potential post-holiday corrections; medium-term strategies should focus on the established trend of capacity reduction [6][16] Group 4: Pork Market - The average price of live pigs in major production areas is approximately 13.05 yuan per kilogram; profits from self-breeding and purchased piglets are nearing breakeven, indicating a significant alleviation of industry losses [7][17] - The improvement in pig farming profits and rising piglet prices signal short-term market recovery, but supply pressures are expected to persist into the first half of 2026 [7][17] - Current market recovery may hinder the path of capacity reduction, potentially limiting the upward space for spot prices [7][17]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that while industrial production remains resilient and exports are growing rapidly, domestic demand indicators such as consumption and investment are still weak, highlighting a characteristic of "strong production versus weak demand" throughout the previous year [1] Economic Environment - The current macroeconomic environment shows similarities to the investment peak period of 2020-2021, with interbank interest rates at their lowest levels since 2020 [1] - The combination of weak macro demand and loose liquidity is expected to favor structural investment opportunities in certain sectors [1] Sector Insights - In the technology sector, AI semiconductors and new energy are identified as the core areas of current prosperity, with strong policy support for AI applications and accelerated commercialization [1] - The global capacity planning for space photovoltaics has exceeded expectations, and technological breakthroughs are opening up trillion-dollar markets [1] - The innovative drug sector is seeing value realization driven by business development transactions, clinical breakthroughs, and new drug approvals [1] Resource Sector - The non-ferrous metals industry has the highest forecasted performance improvement rate for 2025, with attention on the subsequent transmission of prosperity to the energy and machinery sectors [1] - As monetary easing continues, funds are expected to gradually shift from the financial system to the real economy, benefiting sectors such as non-ferrous metals, chemicals, machinery, and consumer goods [1] - Since December 2025, the South China Metal Index has risen by 12.5%, while the energy and industrial product indices have only increased by around 7%, suggesting better investment value in the current market [1]