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新股发行价33.06元,上市前突击分红,申万宏源保荐,会破发吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 09:03
4月28日新股申购,301636泽润新能,发行价33.06元,市盈率17.57倍,发行总数1597万股,计划募集资金7.2亿,实际募集资金5.28亿,少募集2亿! 那么泽润新能具体是做什么的?公司业绩怎么样?保荐机构是哪家?保荐费用是多少?我们具体来看看! | 泽润新能 | | | 查看分时行情 > | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | @ 301636 | | | | | 申购日 | 配号日 | 中签日 | 上市日 | | 04-28 | 04-29 | 04-30 | 待公布 | | 基本信息 | | | | | 申购代码 | 301636 | 发行价 | 33.06元 | | 发行市盈率(TTM) | 16.08 | 发行市盈率(静) | 17.57 | | 净利润增长率 | 9.30% | 行业市盈率 | 17.78 | | 发行方式 | 注册制 | 所属行业 | 光伏设备 | | 发行信息 | | | | | 发行总数 | 1597万股 | 申购上限 | 4500服 | | 网上发行量 | 455.1万股 | 顶格申购 | M 59957 | 泽润新能是一家专注于新能源电气连接 ...
指数产品化满足多元化投资需求
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-04-28 18:15
Core Viewpoint - The introduction of the China Government Bond Futures Yield Index by the China Securities Index Company has enabled Shenwan Hongyuan Securities to offer innovative financial products linked to this index, enhancing wealth management options for clients and promoting knowledge of the bond futures market [1][2][3]. Group 1: Product Offerings - Shenwan Hongyuan Securities has launched over 70 series of floating income certificates linked to the 10-year China Government Bond Futures Yield Index, with a total issuance scale exceeding 1.6 billion yuan, providing clients with low-risk investment products [1][2]. - The company has sold nominal principal exceeding 90 million yuan in OTC interest rate options linked to the index, offering clients diverse choices for managing interest rate risks [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The bond futures market is experiencing stable operations, with increasing trading volume and open interest, which enhances market liquidity and the effective linkage between futures and spot markets [2][3]. - The China Government Bond Futures Yield Index serves as an important innovation tool in the domestic bond market, filling a gap in the availability of bond futures indices and demonstrating significant market influence [2][3]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - The index smooths the impact of contract rollovers and accurately reflects the yield of different maturity government bond futures, providing investors with tools for long-term trend analysis and investment [3]. - The product system covers short, medium, and long-term maturities, catering to diverse trading needs and enhancing liquidity and pricing effectiveness in the government bond market [3][4]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The trend of index-based investment is growing, contributing to stable long-term capital allocation and promoting high-quality development in the capital market [4]. - The increasing recognition and influence of index productization in financial markets suggest a promising future for the application of mature index products in asset allocation and risk management [4].
申万宏源研究所人事调整:王胜将升任所长;知名基金经理鲍无可旗下产品半月内齐增聘 | 券商基金早参
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-04-28 01:56
Group 1 - The core point of the news is the personnel adjustment at Shenwan Hongyuan Research Institute, with Wang Sheng being promoted to the director position, indicating stability in the management team amid industry changes [1] - The adjustment reflects a trend of transformation within the brokerage industry, as multiple research institutes have undergone leadership changes in response to the recent public fund fee reduction [1] - Wang Sheng's promotion may enhance the research capabilities of Shenwan Hongyuan, positively impacting the brokerage sector and potentially boosting related stocks [1] Group 2 - The second auction of 60.3 million shares of Jinlong Co. resulted in partial successful transfers, with the actual controller's shareholding decreasing to 4.02%, but he remains the actual controller [2] - The auction's outcome indicates market recognition of Jinlong Co.'s asset value, although it is expected to have limited short-term impact on the stock price [2] - The overall market sentiment is likely to be minimally affected by this event, with a neutral impact on the financial sector [2] Group 3 - The recent appointment of fund managers for multiple products under Baowu Ke's management has drawn market attention, with four products announcing new managers within a short period [3] - The newly appointed fund managers possess extensive experience, which may enhance the quality of fund management [3] - This trend may lead to increased focus on fund manager mobility within the fund management industry [3] Group 4 - There is a noticeable divergence in the establishment of local government investment funds, with strong momentum in regions like Guangdong and Jiangsu-Zhejiang-Shanghai, while some central and western regions see a decline [4] - The introduction of direct investment funds is gaining popularity among local governments, which may improve the efficiency of fund utilization [4] - The new policies are expected to positively influence regional industrial upgrades and the financing environment for enterprises, while also necessitating attention to regional development disparities [4]
申万宏源宏观|聚焦“政治局会议”
2025-04-27 15:11
Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry or Company Involved - The records primarily discuss macroeconomic policies and trade negotiations involving the United States, European Union, Japan, and China, with a focus on the implications for the U.S. capital markets and the domestic economic environment in China. Core Points and Arguments 1. **Trade Negotiations** - The EU and the U.S. have restarted high-level trade talks, but no specific timeline has been set. The UK is cautious about reaching a trade agreement, emphasizing food safety standards [1][2] - In U.S.-China negotiations, there is a proposal to reduce current tariffs on China from approximately 145% to about half, but China denies any such discussions [2] - U.S.-Japan negotiations have begun, focusing on automotive market access, increased agricultural imports, and defense cost sharing, with Japan taking a cautious stance [1][2] 2. **Monetary Policy Outlook** - The Federal Reserve has adopted a dovish tone, indicating potential rate cuts if the job market deteriorates, with a 58% probability of a rate cut in June [1][4][10] - The U.S. manufacturing PMI was slightly above expectations at 50.7, while the services PMI was below expectations at 51.4 [4] 3. **Impact of Tariff Policies** - The imposition of reciprocal tariffs has significantly impacted the U.S. capital markets, particularly the bond market, and has led to a redistribution of power within Trump's team regarding trade negotiations [5] - The Treasury Secretary has played a crucial role in U.S.-China negotiations, with ongoing discussions with India and Vietnam [5] 4. **Liquidity and Debt Ceiling Issues** - The Federal Reserve may adjust or end its balance sheet reduction by mid-2025, but the debt ceiling issue has temporarily released liquidity into the market [6][7] - If the debt ceiling is resolved, the replenishment of the Treasury General Account (TGA) could tighten liquidity in Q3 2025, posing risks to leveraged traders [6] 5. **Japan's Response to Tariffs** - Japan has implemented measures to support businesses, focusing on consulting and financing rather than direct subsidies, to enhance competitiveness and resilience against international trade challenges [8] 6. **Domestic Economic Policies in China** - The Chinese government is emphasizing the protection of domestic demand and is prepared to implement more effective measures to address external risks [3][14] - There is a focus on accelerating the issuance of local government bonds and special long-term bonds to support fiscal spending [16] - Monetary policy will include targeted loans for service consumption and elderly care to stimulate related industries [17] 7. **Employment and Consumption Policies** - The Chinese government prioritizes employment stability, with measures to support affected industries and enhance the unemployment insurance fund [19][20] - There is a significant push to develop service consumption, which has a larger potential gap compared to goods consumption, indicating a shift in policy focus [18][25] 8. **Real Estate Market Dynamics** - The real estate market is expected to maintain stability despite recent sales declines, with a need for monitoring land acquisition and storage policies [21] 9. **Policy Implementation and Future Directions** - The recent political bureau meeting indicates a clear policy direction focusing on economic stability and preparedness for external challenges, with an emphasis on structural adjustments in response to changing economic conditions [22][24] - The government is likely to introduce new structural monetary tools to address specific economic issues as they arise [24][31] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - The records highlight the importance of maintaining a balance between domestic economic growth and external trade pressures, with a clear acknowledgment of the complexities introduced by ongoing trade tensions [26][29] - The need for effective mechanisms to transition some export goods to domestic consumption is emphasized, particularly in light of tariff impacts [28] - The potential for policy measures to support low-income groups affected by trade disruptions is noted, including social security enhancements [29] This summary encapsulates the key insights and implications from the conference call records, providing a comprehensive overview of the current economic landscape and policy directions.
申万宏源研究所人事调整:王胜将升任所长,原所长周海晨仍掌帅印
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-04-27 11:36
不过在此次人士调整后,申万宏源研究所的实际"一把手"仍然是原所长周海晨。记者从多位知情人士处 了解到,周海晨目前仍然是申万宏源研究所党委书记、申万宏源证券执委会委员,并分管研究所。 每经记者 王海慜 每经编辑 肖芮冬 又有券商研究所所长将发生变更。《每日经济新闻》记者获悉,现任申万宏源研究所副所长、首席策略 分析师王胜,将被内部提拔为申万宏源研究所所长。 另据了解,申万宏源研究所原所长、现任申万宏源证券执委周海晨目前仍然是研究所的"一把手"。 在公募降费引发的新一轮"洗牌"背景下,今年前4个月已有多家券商研究所"换将",折射出行业谋求变 革的基本态势。 据记者了解,现任申万宏源研究所副所长王胜,将升任为申万宏源研究所所长,本次岗位调整属于内部 提拔。从履历上来看,王胜此前曾任申万宏源研究所副总经理、首席策略分析师。值得一提的是,从应 届毕业生开始,王胜的分析师生涯一直在申万宏源研究所度过,先后从事行业和策略研究。 作为一家设立已有33年的老牌券商研究所,近年来申万宏源研究所也面临着来自外部竞争的压力。从分 仓佣金排名来看,申万宏源研究所遇到了不少来自同行的挑战。 目前,随着外部分仓佣金"蛋糕"大幅缩水,内部转 ...
申万宏源将迎新所长
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-04-27 08:11
Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Shenwan Hongyuan Securities Research Institute is set to appoint Wang Sheng as the new director, reflecting a strategic internal promotion aimed at enhancing leadership and research capabilities in response to market demands [2][3]. Group 1: Leadership Changes - Wang Sheng, currently the chief strategy analyst and deputy general manager, will be promoted to the director of Shenwan Hongyuan Research Institute [2]. - This internal promotion is part of a broader strategy to strengthen the leadership team and enhance the research institute's strategic layout [3]. Group 2: Youthful Management Trend - The research institute has seen a significant trend towards a younger management team, with several key appointments of analysts born in the 1980s and 1990s [4]. - Recent appointments include Liu Yang as assistant general manager and Zhao Wei as deputy general manager, both from the younger generation [4]. Group 3: Talent Development Strategy - Shenwan Hongyuan Research Institute has optimized its selection and training mechanisms for backup personnel, resulting in a younger average age among its leadership team [5]. - The institute has established a comprehensive talent development system, including training courses and mentorship programs, to ensure sustainable team development [5]. Group 4: Business Model Transformation - Since 2019, the research institute has initiated an internal transformation to align with the parent company's strategic shift, moving from a commission-based income model to a diversified revenue model [6]. - The revenue structure is evolving, with a gradual increase in the proportion of income from securities investment consulting and internal business collaboration, although commission income remains the primary source [6].
重点城市写字楼租金下跌,挪威主权基金亏损3000亿 | 财经日日评
吴晓波频道· 2025-04-25 19:04
中央分析研究当前经济形势和经济工作 4月 25日,中共中央政治局召开会议,分析研究当前经济形势和经济工作。会议指出,要坚持稳中求进工作总基调,完整准确全面贯彻新发展理 念,加快构建新发展格局,统筹国内经济工作和国际经贸斗争,坚定不移办好自己的事,坚定不移扩大高水平对外开放,着力稳就业、稳企业、 稳市场、稳预期,以高质量发展的确定性应对外部环境急剧变化的不确定性。 会议强调,要加紧实施更加积极有为的宏观政策,用好用足更加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策。适时降准降息,保持流动性充裕,加力 支持实体经济。创设新的结构性货币政策工具,设立新型政策性金融工具,支持科技创新、扩大消费、稳定外贸。会议指出,要不断完善稳就业 稳经济的政策工具箱,既定政策早出台早见效,根据形势变化及时推出增量储备政策,加强超常规逆周期调节,全力巩固经济发展和社会稳定的 基本面。(财联社) 点击上图 ▲立即报名 |点评| 中国一季度经济延续复苏态势,国际贸易环境却再生变化。本次中央政治局会议对中国经济发展状况做出了全面的分析,并及时为下 一步经济发展路径指明了方向。会议为中美贸易摩擦定调,以稳字当头来应对美国关税政策的不确定性,给国内外企业 ...
申万宏源IPO项目频频违规 接连收到上交所和深交所罚单
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-04-25 12:31
Group 1 - The core issue revolves around Hainuo Environmental Industry Co., Ltd.'s application for an initial public offering (IPO) being terminated by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange due to internal control deficiencies in R&D investment and improper accounting practices [2] - Shenwan Hongyuan Securities, the sponsor for Hainuo's IPO, failed to adequately address and verify these issues, leading to inaccurate verification opinions and incomplete documentation [2][3] - This incident marks the second disciplinary action against Shenwan Hongyuan in a month, following a previous reprimand related to another company's IPO process [2][4] Group 2 - The Shanghai Stock Exchange highlighted that Shenwan Hongyuan's sponsorship duties were not fulfilled adequately, including insufficient verification of R&D personnel and investment accuracy, governance deficiencies, and risks related to accounts receivable [3] - On April 18, the Shenzhen Stock Exchange announced self-regulatory measures against Shenwan Hongyuan and its representatives, indicating ongoing scrutiny of their practices [4]
申万宏源:关税态度出现反复 未来黄金价格是否还具备上行空间?
智通财经网· 2025-04-25 08:00
Core Viewpoint - The report from Shenwan Hongyuan indicates that after the unexpected tariff policy on April 2, 2025, which caused liquidity shocks, gold prices surged and briefly exceeded $3,500 per ounce, before quickly retreating to $3,300 due to fluctuating attitudes from Trump regarding tariffs. The medium to long-term trend for gold prices remains upward, with a projected range of $3,209 to $3,905 per ounce in 2025 [1][3]. Group 1: Recent Gold Price Trends - Recent rapid increases in gold prices are characterized by significant volatility, driven by physical demand, Asian capital inflows, and a substantial decline in the US dollar index [2]. - Gold price volatility has risen sharply, currently at the 89.2 percentile historically, as uncertainty surrounding Trump's policies has led to increased safe-haven investments in gold [2]. - The divergence between COMEX gold net long positions and gold price trends indicates a shift from speculative pricing to a supply-demand pricing model, with physical investment funds like SPDR Gold ETF increasing their holdings [2]. Group 2: Future Outlook - In the short term, after adjustments, a favorable allocation window for gold is anticipated, with a focus on monitoring gold price volatility trends [3]. - If Trump's tariff stance significantly eases or if negotiations with other countries progress positively, gold prices may experience high-level fluctuations and a downward trend in volatility [3]. - Key fundamental events to watch include the progress of US tariff policy negotiations and short-term fluctuations in central bank gold purchases, which have been a core driver of gold price increases in 2023 [3]. Group 3: Medium-Term Considerations - The ongoing decline in the credibility of the US dollar and its reserve status may lead to a sustained increase in gold price levels [4]. - The backdrop of de-globalization suggests a long-term downtrend for the US dollar index, exacerbated by rising fiscal deficits and the challenges of implementing tax cuts [4]. - High policy uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariff policies is expected to continue supporting gold prices, as the current environment is markedly different from 2018 [4]. Group 4: Quantitative Analysis - The quantitative model projects that gold prices will fluctuate between $3,209 and $3,905 per ounce in 2025, based on a framework that has shown a high correlation with historical gold prices [5]. - The model identifies four key pricing factors for gold since 2022: global central bank gold reserves, US fiscal deficit rates, economic policy uncertainty in the US, and the real yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds [5].
海诺尔三次冲刺IPO未果收罚单,保荐机构申万宏源遭警示
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-04-25 02:27
Core Points - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange has issued three penalties related to the IPO application of Hainuoer, involving multiple violations by the company and its associated institutions [1][3][6] - Hainuoer has attempted to apply for an IPO three times, but each attempt was hindered by regulatory issues and penalties [4][5] Group 1: Company Violations - Hainuoer was found to have inadequate internal controls regarding R&D expenditures and improper accounting treatment of R&D costs [3][6] - The actual controller and chairman of Hainuoer, Luo Yili, along with the financial officer, were criticized for failing to act with integrity [3][6] - Hainuoer has a history of environmental law violations and issues with project management, which have led to multiple failed IPO attempts [4][5] Group 2: Regulatory Actions - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange has taken disciplinary actions against Hainuoer, including a public reprimand and a requirement for the chairman to attend a meeting [3][6] - The underwriting institution, Shenwan Hongyuan, and its associated accountants also received warnings for failing to conduct thorough due diligence [6][8] - Shenwan Hongyuan has faced multiple regulatory penalties in 2024, indicating ongoing issues with compliance in its underwriting practices [8][9]