Core Viewpoint - Huaxing Securities is optimistic about Leap Motor (09863) due to its rapid sales growth driven by high cost-performance models, expecting the company to reach a profitability inflection point by 2025. The company effectively controls costs through a fully self-developed technology platform and is rapidly expanding into overseas markets with the help of its partnership with Stellantis, showcasing significant advantages in international expansion. A "Buy" rating is initiated with a target price of HKD 71.80 [1] Group 1: Sales Growth and Profitability - Leap Motor has seen rapid sales growth, with October sales reaching a historical high of 70,289 units (up 84% year-on-year) and cumulative sales for the first ten months at 465,805 units (up 125% year-on-year). The company is positioned as a mass-market brand in the 100,000-200,000 RMB price range, with new models like C10 and C16 expected to further boost sales [1] - The release of models D19 and Lafa will enrich Leap Motor's product matrix and support continued sales growth. The company is anticipated to achieve profitability by 2025, becoming the second new force automaker to achieve full-year profitability [1] Group 2: Overseas Market Development - Leap Motor is expanding its overseas market presence through a deep partnership with Stellantis, with plans to launch a new model annually from 2025 to 2027. Since entering the European market in September 2024, the company has experienced rapid growth, with Q2 2025 European sales increasing by 65.8% to 3,196 units, totaling 5,124 units in the first half of the year, ranking fifth among all domestic brands [2] - The collaboration with Stellantis provides Leap Motor with significant advantages in overseas distribution and manufacturing, allowing for quicker penetration into international markets compared to other Chinese brands [2] Group 3: Self-Developed Technology Capabilities - Leap Motor possesses self-research and manufacturing capabilities across six core areas: vehicle architecture, electronic and electrical architecture, batteries, electric drives, intelligent cabins, and intelligent driving, which account for 65% of the vehicle manufacturing cost. The LEAP series technology architecture has undergone multiple upgrades since its introduction in 2019 [3] - The fully self-developed model allows Leap Motor to maximize the allocation of fixed asset costs and enhance manufacturing scale efficiency, thereby reducing overall manufacturing costs and strengthening its core technological competitiveness [3] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - A "Buy" rating is initiated with a target price of HKD 71.80. Sales projections for Leap Motor from 2025 to 2027 are 578,528, 750,215, and 837,500 units, corresponding to revenues of RMB 62.9 billion, RMB 78.02 billion, and RMB 103.73 billion, respectively. The expected gross margins for the same period are 14.5%, 15.7%, and 16.8% [4] - The company is expected to maintain an operating expense ratio of approximately 15% to achieve efficient operational performance, with adjusted net profits projected at RMB 1.61 billion, RMB 3.24 billion, and RMB 6.58 billion for the respective years [4] - The valuation is based on a 1.2 times price-to-sales ratio for 2026, which is above the average of comparable companies at 1.1 times [4]

Core Insights - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles (NEVs) in China surpassed 50% for the first time in October 2025, marking a significant shift towards electric vehicles as the dominant market force [1] - In October, the production and sales of NEVs reached 1.772 million and 1.715 million units respectively, with year-on-year growth exceeding 20%, setting new historical records for the month [1] - Cumulative sales for the first ten months of the year approached 13 million units, indicating a sustained increase in market enthusiasm for NEVs [1] Market Dynamics - The price range of 200,000 to 220,000 yuan has emerged as a critical threshold for consumers when choosing between new and used vehicles, as it encompasses both mainstream new energy vehicles and high-end used models [1] - Used cars in this price range offer advantages in terms of intelligent features, vehicle size, and driving experience compared to new cars [1] Competitive Landscape - The top-selling new models in the 200,000 to 220,000 yuan range for October included the Fangchengbao Titanium 7, Xiaomi SU7, and Leap Motor C11, all of which have high-value alternatives in the used car market [1] - For instance, the 2023 model of Li Auto L7 Pro offers superior range and comfort compared to its new counterparts, while the BMW 5 Series New Energy 535Le, originally priced around 500,000 yuan, is available for approximately 230,000 yuan in the used market [1] Consumer Behavior - The trend towards purchasing used NEVs is increasingly viewed as a smart and pragmatic choice rather than a compromise, as the technology stabilizes and the depreciation rates of used vehicles decline [2] - Consumers are encouraged to focus on thorough research and verification when selecting used NEVs, emphasizing the importance of asking questions, inspecting details, and ensuring guarantees [3][5] Recommendations for Purchasing Used NEVs - Utilize reputable platforms like Guazi Second-hand Cars for better pricing and direct sourcing [5] - Engage with AI tools to clarify needs and compare options before purchase [5] - Conduct detailed inspections of vehicle conditions through video checks and ensure comprehensive support during the pickup process [5] - Pay special attention to battery health and consider warranties that provide dual protection [5]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a slight decline, with the Hang Seng Tech Index dropping over 0.5% on November 17, 2023 [1] - Major ETFs, particularly the Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180), followed the index's downward trend, with leading stocks like Trip.com, Lenovo, Baidu, and BYD Electronics underperforming, while Hua Hong Semiconductor, SMIC, and Alibaba showed gains [1] - A number of technology companies, including Baidu, Xiaomi, Kuaishou, Netease, and Xpeng Motors, are set to release their latest financial results this week, with key earnings announcements scheduled for November 17 and 18 [1] Group 2 - According to Minsheng Securities, the recent earnings reports from leading internet companies like Tencent and Bilibili exceeded market expectations, and there is a recommendation to focus on the upcoming financial results from Xiaomi, Trip.com, Kuaishou, and Netease [1] - The report highlights a positive outlook on the revaluation of AI in China, suggesting attention to platform-based internet companies with synergistic advantages in computing resources, model capabilities, and application scenarios, such as Tencent, Kuaishou, Alibaba, Xiaomi, Baidu, and Meituan [1] - As of November 14, the Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180) had a latest valuation (PETTM) of 22.47 times, which is lower than other major global tech indices, indicating that the index remains in a historically undervalued range [2]

Core Viewpoint - Beijing Lingai Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. has been established with a registered capital of 50 million yuan, focusing on artificial intelligence and IoT services, fully owned by Leapmotor (09863.HK) [1] Group 1 - The registered capital of Beijing Lingai Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. is 50 million yuan [1] - The company's business scope includes the development of basic and application software for artificial intelligence, as well as IoT application services and technology services [1] - Leapmotor holds 100% ownership of Beijing Lingai Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. [1]

Group 1: Industry Standards and Regulations - The "Automotive Data Export Security Assessment Method" group standard has been officially approved and will be implemented immediately, providing clear guidelines for companies to comply with data export regulations [1] Group 2: Market Trends and Performance - The overall automotive market in China showed strong performance in October, with significant growth in the commercial vehicle sector, particularly in trucks and buses [2] - Retail sales of passenger vehicles experienced a decline in October, but manufacturer sales growth remained strong due to exports and inventory increases [2] - The new energy vehicle segment continued to perform well, with structural growth observed in the commercial vehicle market driven by electrification [2] Group 3: Company Developments - GAC Group appointed He Xianqing as the new General Manager and Wang Dan as the Chief Accountant, along with several Vice General Managers [2] - Dongfeng Motor announced a new automotive brand in collaboration with Huawei, set to be unveiled on November 20, 2023, focusing on mid-to-high-end intelligent vehicles [3] - Leap Motor achieved over 500,000 cumulative sales for 2025 ahead of schedule and aims to reach a target of 1 million sales in the coming year [4] - Hongqi announced the pre-sale of its HS6 PHEV model, with prices starting at 178,800 yuan [5] - Chery launched the A9L Glory (four-wheel drive) model with a starting price of 181,900 yuan [6] - GAC High Domain completed a Pre-A round financing of 200 million yuan, bringing total financing for the year to 500 million yuan [7] Group 4: Strategic Partnerships and Innovations - GAC Energy and Alipay signed a strategic cooperation agreement to implement convenient payment features, including a "tap" payment function for charging stations [8][9] Group 5: Investment Plans - Hyundai Motor Group plans to invest over 61 trillion won (approximately 611.1 billion yuan) in South Korea over the next five years, focusing on AI, software-defined vehicles, and robotics [9]

Group 1 - Lei Jun reiterated Xiaomi's automotive safety design philosophy in response to public concerns, emphasizing the balance between aesthetics and safety in vehicle design [1] - Xiaomi's future market performance will be closely monitored by investors and consumers, potentially intensifying discussions on brand positioning and product safety within the industry [1] Group 2 - Dongfeng Motor announced a new automotive brand in collaboration with Huawei, set to launch on November 20, marking a significant partnership in the automotive sector [2] - The collaboration is expected to enhance competitive intelligence in the automotive industry, potentially boosting investor interest in related sectors [2] Group 3 - Leap Motor achieved over 500,000 cumulative sales for 2025 ahead of schedule, with plans to target 1 million sales next year, showcasing strong market expansion capabilities [3][4] - The company has maintained a leading position in sales, with over 70,000 units delivered in October, reflecting a year-on-year growth of over 84% [4] Group 4 - The commercial vehicle market exhibited structural growth in October, driven by national consumption promotion policies, with notable recovery in truck and bus markets [5] - The electric vehicle segment within commercial vehicles is accelerating, particularly in logistics and transportation, indicating a shift towards electrification in the industry [5]

Core Viewpoint - Leap Motor has achieved significant milestones in the electric vehicle market, surpassing 500,000 cumulative sales for 2025 ahead of schedule, and aims to reach 1 million sales in 2026 under the leadership of founder Zhu Jiangming [3][13]. Company Overview - Zhu Jiangming transitioned from a security giant to a new force in car manufacturing, founding Leap Motor in 2015 after a successful career with Dahua Technology [2][6]. - Leap Motor's first model, the S01, faced challenges upon launch, leading to a strategic shift towards more competitively priced models like T03 and C11, which significantly boosted sales [8][11]. Financial Performance - Leap Motor reported a revenue of 242.5 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 174.15%, with a gross margin of 14.13%, the highest in the company's history [11]. - The company has shown a trend of reducing losses over the past three years, with net losses of 51.09 billion yuan, 42.16 billion yuan, and 28.21 billion yuan respectively [9]. Market Position - Leap Motor has become the second Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer to achieve profitability in the first half of 2025, with a net profit of 33.03 million yuan [10][11]. - The company has maintained its position as the monthly sales champion among new energy vehicle manufacturers in China for eight consecutive months since March 2025 [13]. Future Outlook - Leap Motor plans to launch multiple new models, including Lafa5, D19, and A10, as it targets 1 million sales in 2026 [3][14]. - The company is expanding its international presence, having established over 700 overseas channels and exporting more than 44,000 vehicles in the first ten months of 2025, leading among Chinese new energy brands [14][15].

Group 1 - Lei Jun reiterated Xiaomi's automotive safety design philosophy in response to public concerns, emphasizing the balance between aesthetics and safety in vehicle design [1] - Xiaomi's automotive market performance will be closely monitored by investors and consumers, potentially intensifying discussions on brand positioning and product safety within the industry [1] Group 2 - Dongfeng Motor announced a new automotive brand in collaboration with Huawei, set to launch on November 20, marking a significant partnership in the automotive sector [2] - The collaboration is expected to enhance competitive intelligence in the automotive industry, potentially boosting investor interest in related sectors [2] Group 3 - Leap Motor achieved over 500,000 cumulative sales for 2025 ahead of schedule, with plans to target 1 million sales in the coming year [3][4] - The company has shown strong market expansion capabilities and brand competitiveness, which may attract more investor attention and increase confidence in the electric vehicle sector [4] Group 4 - The commercial vehicle market exhibited structural growth in October, driven by national consumption promotion policies, with noticeable recovery in truck and bus markets [5] - The electric vehicle segment within commercial vehicles is accelerating, particularly in logistics and transportation, indicating a significant trend towards electrification [5] - Increased exports and inventory levels contributed positively to overall sales, reflecting an ongoing adjustment and optimization within the industry [5]

New Car Launches - Aion UT Super launched at a price of 89,900 yuan, featuring a 100kW motor and a 54.04kWh lithium iron phosphate battery with a CLTC range of 500km [1][3][9] - Changan Qiyuan A06 launched with prices ranging from 109,900 to 149,900 yuan, offering both pure electric and range-extended versions [1][17] - Wuling Hongguang family launched with prices between 54,800 and 77,800 yuan, available in fuel, pure electric, and range-extended versions [1][19] - Zhiji LS9 launched with a price range of 322,800 to 352,800 yuan, featuring advanced interior and exterior designs [1][26][31] - Wuling Xingguang 730 launched with prices from 73,000 to 109,800 yuan, available in fuel, plug-in hybrid, and pure electric versions [1][34] - Aion i60 launched at a price range of 109,800 to 135,800 yuan, offering both pure electric and range-extended versions [1][6] - Ora 5 opened for pre-sale with a price range of 109,800 to 142,800 yuan, targeting the young market with its design [1][52] - Nissan N6 opened for pre-sale with a price range of 109,900 to 121,900 yuan, featuring a hybrid powertrain [1][58] - Xingtou ET5 opened for pre-sale with a price range of 159,900 to 174,900 yuan, equipped with advanced driving assistance systems [1][66] - Hongqi HS6 PHEV opened for pre-sale with a price range of 178,800 to 228,800 yuan, featuring a luxurious design and advanced technology [1][72] Company Dynamics - FAW-Volkswagen has produced its 30 millionth vehicle, becoming the first passenger car company in China to reach this milestone [1][79] - Faraday Future reported a third-quarter loss of $206.8 million, with ongoing financial challenges despite receiving over 11,000 paid orders for its new FX Super One model [1][84][87] - Dongfeng Motor plans to mass-produce solid-state batteries next year, with a projected energy density of 350Wh/kg [1][88][91] - Leap Motor announced it has surpassed 500,000 cumulative sales this year, achieving its 2025 sales target ahead of schedule [1][92][94] Industry News - In October, the retail penetration rate of new energy vehicles reached 57%, with 1.282 million new energy vehicles sold out of a total of 2.242 million vehicles [1][112][113]

Core Insights - The automotive market is shifting towards a trend of "price reduction and moderate promotions," leading to a more stable market environment [1] - Retail sales of passenger cars decreased by 1% in October 2025, significantly lower than the 8% increase in wholesale [1] - The performance of major manufacturers is changing, with some mid-tier companies like Geely, Xpeng, and Xiaomi showing strong growth [1] Overall Passenger Car Market - In October 2025, the wholesale of A00-class cars reached 165,100 units, a year-on-year increase of 7% and a month-on-month increase of 8% [5] - A0-class cars saw wholesale of 165,100 units, with a year-on-year increase of 24% and a month-on-month increase of 2% [8] - A-class cars had a wholesale of 410,200 units, down 5% year-on-year but up 10% month-on-month [13] - A-class SUVs had a wholesale of 890,300 units, a year-on-year increase of 7% and a month-on-month increase of 3% [15] A00-Class Car Market - The A00-class car market is experiencing a resurgence, with significant competition from brands like BYD, Geely, and Changan [5] - The wholesale for A00-class cars from January to October 2025 totaled 1,376,400 units, with a cumulative increase of 50% [5] A0-Class Car Market - The A0-class car market is shifting towards electric vehicles, with a notable decline in fuel-powered models [8] - The wholesale for A0-class cars from January to October 2025 reached 1,299,600 units, with a cumulative increase of 65% [8] A-Class Car Market - The A-class sedan market is seeing a decline in retail sales, with a year-on-year decrease of 16% in October 2025 [13] - The wholesale for A-class cars from January to October 2025 totaled 3,401,400 units, reflecting a cumulative decrease of 5% [13] B-Class Car Market - The B-class sedan market showed a wholesale of 368,800 units in October 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 3% [17] - The B-class SUV market experienced a wholesale of 459,900 units, a year-on-year increase of 20% [19] MPV Market - The B-class MPV market saw a wholesale of 75,600 units in October 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 33% [21] - The C-class MPV market had a wholesale of 23,100 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4% [21]