Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 120.34 [7][5] Core Insights - The new P7 model was officially launched on August 27, 2025, with a price range of HKD 219,800 to HKD 301,800, and it is expected to significantly boost monthly sales to over 40,000 units from September to December 2025 [2][3] - The company is focusing on a three-pronged strategy involving range extension, smart technology, and robotics, which is anticipated to drive incremental growth [1][5] - The partnership with Volkswagen has deepened, with a strategic agreement signed to expand the development of electronic and electrical architecture, which is expected to enhance revenue opportunities [3][5] Summary by Sections New Product Launch - The new P7 features an 800V high-voltage SiC platform, 5C supercharging AI battery, and a maximum range of 820 km, with a powerful performance of 593 Ps and 0-100 km/h acceleration in 3.7 seconds [2][3] - The design and interior of the P7 are aimed at attracting younger consumers who appreciate performance and innovative design [2] Growth Catalysts - The company plans to launch the X9 range extender version in Q4 2025, which is expected to have a significant competitive advantage with a range of 450 km [3] - The introduction of the VLA model for the P7 and G7 is set to enhance the company's smart technology capabilities, with plans for L4 autonomous vehicles by 2026 [3] Robotics Development - The IRON humanoid robot, designed with 62 degrees of freedom and advanced AI capabilities, has entered factory training and is expected to be showcased at the "Xiaopeng 1024 Technology Day" in 2025 [4][5] Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are set at RMB 85.606 billion, RMB 127.626 billion, and RMB 153.919 billion respectively, with a projected return to profitability in Q4 2025 [5][10] - The report maintains a valuation of 2.1x 2025E PS for the sales business, reflecting a premium over comparable companies [5][14]

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 Qilu Autumn Auto Show will take place from September 4 to 8 at the Shandong International Exhibition Center, featuring a star-studded lineup of automotive brands and various consumer-friendly activities aimed at enhancing the purchasing experience [1][3]. Consumer Experience - The auto show emphasizes consumer experience with unique activities designed to engage attendees, including a "sheep shearing" strategy to maximize benefits for consumers [3][10]. - Exclusive gifts and interactive experiences will be available at various brand booths, such as a "lifetime warranty" offer from SAIC Volkswagen for SUV purchases [10]. - A "mass car purchase" event will be held, collaborating with multiple automotive brands to provide significant discounts, complemented by live streaming on Douyin for real-time updates on offers [10][12]. Brand Participation - Major automotive brands will showcase their latest models, with BYD presenting its entire lineup across a 3,000 square meter booth, highlighting its advancements in electric vehicle technology [15][19]. - Other brands like Chery, Great Wall, and SAIC Volkswagen will also have substantial exhibition spaces, demonstrating their commitment to innovation and consumer engagement [19][24]. Market Trends - The market for new energy vehicles (NEVs) is experiencing significant growth, with NEV sales accounting for 45% of total new car sales in the first seven months of the year, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 39.2% in production and 38.5% in sales [21][22]. - The presence of leading NEV brands such as Tesla and BYD at the auto show underscores the industry's shift towards electric mobility [22]. Policy Support - The auto show benefits from multiple policy supports, including a recent financial policy that integrates automobile consumption into national fiscal subsidy programs, aimed at reducing credit costs for consumers [25][28]. - The combination of local and national incentives, including tax exemptions for NEVs, creates a favorable purchasing environment for consumers during the event [25][28].

Core Viewpoint - The launch of the new Xiaopeng P7 marks a significant step for Xiaopeng Motors, with a price range of 219,800 to 301,800 yuan, making it the highest-priced sedan in the company's lineup [1][4]. Group 1: Product Significance - The original Xiaopeng P7 was crucial for the company, achieving a cumulative delivery of 11,371 units by November 2020, making it the fastest model to break the 10,000 delivery mark among new car manufacturers [4]. - The new Xiaopeng P7 is considered a new model with advanced design and technology, built on a platform developed in collaboration with Volkswagen [4][5]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - The new P7 features three self-developed Turing AI chips, providing a total computing power of 2,250 TOPS, enhancing both driving and cabin intelligence [5]. - The electric motor's maximum power has increased from 230 kW to 437 kW, and the vehicle's range has improved from 702 km to 820 km [5]. Group 3: Market Positioning and Expectations - Xiaopeng Motors aims for the new P7 to re-establish itself among the top three electric sedans priced above 200,000 yuan, competing with Tesla and BYD [5][7]. - To achieve this, the new P7 needs to reach a monthly sales volume of approximately 4,200 units [7]. - Analysts note that while the new P7's design and immersive cabin technology attract attention, market expectations remain conservative, with projected average monthly sales dropping to 1,400 units in 2024 [8]. Group 4: Financial Implications - The new P7 is positioned as the third most expensive model in Xiaopeng's lineup, potentially enhancing the company's overall gross margin [8]. - Analysts suggest that the new P7 could act as an accelerator for Xiaopeng's profitability, with the company expecting its first quarterly profit in Q4 of this year [8].

Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market continued to decline in the afternoon, with the Hang Seng Technology Index dropping over 2%, the Hang Seng Index falling by 1.4%, and the National Enterprises Index decreasing by 1.6% [1] - Major stocks in the Hang Seng Technology Index experienced significant declines, including Meituan down over 12%, Xpeng Motors down over 8%, and JD Group, Alibaba, and Li Auto each down over 4% [1] Stock Specifics - Meituan (03690) fell by 12.73% year-to-date, with a total decline of 33.09% [2] - Xpeng Motors (09868) decreased by 8.76%, but has seen an increase of 80.92% year-to-date [2] - JD Group (09618) dropped by 4.78%, with a year-to-date decline of 12.58% [2] - Alibaba (09988) fell by 4.69%, but has increased by 43.94% year-to-date [2] - Li Auto (02015) decreased by 4.21%, with a year-to-date decline of 6.81% [2] - Other notable declines include Kingdee International down 3.92% (year-to-date increase of 86.64%), Bilibili down 3.70% (year-to-date increase of 19.30%), BYD Electronic down 3.62% (year-to-date decline of 10.07%), and BYD Company down 3.48% (year-to-date increase of 27.09%) [2]

8月27日晚，小鹏汽车在广州智造中心举办全新小鹏P7上市发布会，新车定位为未来AI豪华轿跑，共发布702长续航Ultra、820超长续航 Ultra、750四驱高性能Ultra与750四驱鹏翼Ultra四款车型，官方指导售价分别为21.98万元、23.98万元、25.98万元和30.18万元。 P7曾是小鹏汽车的"爆款"车型，2020年上市后，这款当时对标Model 3的轿跑曾创下销量佳绩，帮助小鹏在2021年登顶新势力年度销冠。但 随着新车型不断涌现，P7竞争力逐步下降，也让小鹏销量一度陷入低谷。历时五年后，全新P7归来，能否再次缔造销量佳绩引发广泛关 注。 从外观上，全新P7延续了时尚流线的轿跑风格，以低趴、宽体、修长为设计核心，配合线形前灯、流光尾灯、主动升降尾翼等，科技感、 未来感扑面而来。全车提供新月银、律动黄、星瀚绿、星暮紫、微星灰、星芒蓝，以及特别款哑光新月银等七款全新外观色彩，高配版本 车型前排还可选择向上开启的"鹏翼门"，更加炫酷。 记者：赵语涵 如遇作品内容、版权等问题，请在相关文章刊发之日起30日内与本网联系。版权侵权联系电话：010-85202353 全新P7。小鹏供图 除了时尚外观， ...

Group 1 - The stock price of XPeng Motors (09868) has significantly retreated, with a decline of over 8%, currently trading at 84.85 HKD and a trading volume of 2.114 billion HKD [1] - The new P7 model was officially launched on August 27, with a price range of 219,800 to 301,800 CNY, achieving over 10,000 pre-orders within 7 minutes of its launch [1] - Shenwan Hongyuan noted that the new vehicle cycle has commenced, with better-than-expected progress in external collaborations and internal reforms, leading to a substantial enhancement in profitability [1] Group 2 - Due to intensified industry competition this year, the company has revised its 2025 revenue forecast from 95.9 billion CNY to 81.4 billion CNY [1] - The company's range extension platform is expected to significantly boost sales across current models, leading to an upward revision of the 2026/27 revenue forecasts from 117.2/135.5 billion CNY to 129.2/166 billion CNY [1] - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 downwards from 4 billion CNY and 28 billion CNY to -1.8 billion CNY and 2.4 billion CNY, respectively, while increasing the 2027 net profit forecast from 4.7 billion CNY to 6.4 billion CNY [1]

Group 1 - The stock price of XPeng Motors-W (09868) has significantly retreated, with a decline of over 8% in the afternoon session, currently at 84.85 HKD and a trading volume of 2.114 billion HKD [1] - The new P7 model was officially launched on August 27, with a price range of 219,800 to 301,800 CNY, achieving over 10,000 pre-orders within 7 minutes of its launch [1] - Shenwan Hongyuan noted that the new vehicle cycle has commenced, with better-than-expected progress in external collaborations and internal reforms, leading to a substantial enhancement in profitability [1] Group 2 - Due to intensified industry competition this year, the revenue forecast for 2025 has been revised down from 95.9 billion CNY to 81.4 billion CNY, while the revenue estimates for 2026 and 2027 have been increased from 117.2 billion CNY and 135.5 billion CNY to 129.2 billion CNY and 166 billion CNY, respectively [1] - The fierce competition in 2025 and the introduction of new products in 2026 are expected to increase expenses, resulting in a downward revision of the net profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 from 400 million CNY and 2.8 billion CNY to -1.8 billion CNY and 2.4 billion CNY, respectively, while the net profit estimate for 2027 has been raised from 4.7 billion CNY to 6.4 billion CNY [1]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market continued to decline in the afternoon, with the Hang Seng Technology Index dropping over 2%, the Hang Seng Index falling by 1.4%, and the National Enterprises Index decreasing by 1.6% [1] Company Performance - Meituan saw a significant drop of 12.73%, with a year-to-date decline of 33.09% [2] - XPeng Motors experienced an 8.76% decrease, but has a year-to-date increase of 80.92% [2] - JD Group's stock fell by 4.78%, resulting in a year-to-date decline of 12.58% [2] - Alibaba's shares dropped by 4.69%, yet it has a year-to-date increase of 43.94% [2] - Li Auto's stock decreased by 4.21%, with a year-to-date decline of 6.81% [2] - Kingdee International fell by 3.92%, but has a year-to-date increase of 86.64% [2] - Bilibili's shares dropped by 3.70%, with a year-to-date increase of 19.30% [2] - BYD Electronics saw a decline of 3.62%, resulting in a year-to-date decrease of 10.07% [2] - BYD's shares fell by 3.48%, with a year-to-date increase of 27.09% [2] - SenseTime's stock decreased by 2.88%, with a year-to-date increase of 35.57% [2] - Kingsoft's shares dropped by 3.36%, with a year-to-date change of -0.36% [2] - Alibaba Health saw a decline of 2.95%, but has a year-to-date increase of 58.43% [2] - JD Health's stock fell by 2.76%, with a year-to-date increase of 119.04% [2] - NIO's shares decreased by 2.71%, with a year-to-date increase of 44.40% [2]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Technology Index (HSTECH) decreased by 1.66% as of August 28, 2025, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [3] - Ctrip Group-S (09961) and SMIC (00981) led gains, both up by 8.00%, while Meituan-W (03690) fell by 12.38% [3] - The Hang Seng Technology Index ETF (159742) dropped by 1.54%, with a latest price of 0.77 HKD [3] Trading Activity - The Hong Kong stock market recorded a total turnover of 371.38 billion HKD on August 27, 2025, with southbound funds net buying 15.371 billion HKD [3] - The ETF saw an intraday turnover of 14.53%, with a transaction volume of 458 million HKD, indicating active market participation [3] Institutional Insights - Future catalysts for the Hong Kong stock market include AI technology and new consumption trends, which are expected to drive market growth [4] - Continuous inflow of southbound funds is enhancing marginal pricing power, especially if domestic interest rates remain low [4] - The transition from loose monetary policy to loose credit in China, along with potential US interest rate cuts, could further support the Hong Kong market [4] ETF Performance - The latest size of the Hang Seng Technology Index ETF reached 3.157 billion HKD, with a total of 4.075 billion shares, marking a one-year high [5] - The ETF has seen a net inflow of 228 million HKD over the past three days, with a daily average net inflow of 75.882 million HKD [5] - The ETF's net asset value has increased by 36.12% over the past three years, with a maximum monthly return of 33.70% since inception [5] Tracking Accuracy - As of August 27, 2025, the Hang Seng Technology Index ETF has a tracking error of 0.047% over the past three years, the highest among comparable funds [6] Index Composition - The Hang Seng Technology Index comprises the top 30 Hong Kong-listed companies highly related to technology, with the top ten stocks accounting for 68.53% of the index [7]

Core Viewpoint - Xiaopeng Motors is ramping up production of the new P7 model at the fastest pace compared to all previous models, with over a thousand units already dispatched nationwide [1] Group 1: Production Capacity - The daily production capacity of the new Xiaopeng P7 is approximately 370 units [1] - The company has implemented a full-line automatic inspection feature to ensure strict quality control [1] Group 2: Leadership Engagement - Xiaopeng Motors' Chairman, He Xiaopeng, visited the factory to meet with frontline employees after the new car launch event [1]