Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the new 100% tariff on all branded/patented drugs announced by Trump will have limited impact on China's innovative drug industry chain, and there is no need for excessive concern [1] - For innovative drugs, most products currently being exported are either produced in the U.S. or outsourced to U.S. CMO, and most domestic innovative drugs are exported using the BD model [1] - For CXO, the main export products are raw materials and herbal extracts, which are not affected by the new tariff; the proportion of finished drug exports is low, and the investment timeline for MNC clients to build factories will take time, leading to limited short-term impact on CXO orders [1] Group 2 - Mid to long-term recommendations include innovative drugs such as 3SBio (01530) and Eucure Biopharma-B (06996), which have rich short-term catalysts and their valuations do not yet reflect the core value of major products [2] - Other recommended companies include Ascletis Pharma (02096), Hutchison China MediTech (00013), and Legend Biotech, which are considered significantly undervalued with clear long-term growth logic [2] - For CXO, companies like WuXi AppTec (02268) are expected to benefit from high downstream demand and improving financing conditions [2]

Core Insights - The top three companies by Hong Kong Stock Connect holding ratios are COSCO Shipping Energy (70.65%), China Telecom (70.49%), and Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable (70.24%) [1] - Alibaba (W) saw the largest increase in holding amount over the last five trading days, with an increase of 9.659 billion yuan, followed by Tencent Holdings with 2.552 billion yuan, and SMIC with 1.472 billion yuan [1] - The companies with the largest decrease in holding amounts over the same period include Pop Mart (-0.976 billion yuan), CSPC Pharmaceutical (-0.594 billion yuan), and Hang Seng China Enterprises (-0.560 billion yuan) [1] Group 1: Top Holding Ratios - COSCO Shipping Energy (01138) has a holding ratio of 70.65% with 916 million shares [1] - China Telecom (00728) has a holding ratio of 70.49% with 9.784 billion shares [1] - Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable (06869) has a holding ratio of 70.24% with 247 million shares [1] Group 2: Recent Increases in Holdings - Alibaba (W) (09988) increased its holding amount by 9.659 billion yuan, with a change of 58.0117 million shares [1] - Tencent Holdings (00700) increased its holding amount by 2.552 billion yuan, with a change of 3.9628 million shares [1] - SMIC (00981) increased its holding amount by 1.472 billion yuan, with a change of 2.0176 million shares [1] Group 3: Recent Decreases in Holdings - Pop Mart (09992) decreased its holding amount by 0.976 billion yuan, with a change of -3.6698 million shares [3] - CSPC Pharmaceutical (01093) decreased its holding amount by 0.594 billion yuan, with a change of -6.5368 million shares [3] - Hang Seng China Enterprises (02828) decreased its holding amount by 0.560 billion yuan, with a change of -589,320 shares [3]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a significant surge in refinancing activities, driven by ample liquidity, valuation recovery, and corporate strategic expansion needs [1][4][5] Group 1: Refunding Scale - Hong Kong listed companies have raised over 280 billion HKD through various refinancing methods this year, marking a year-on-year increase of over 400% compared to 2022 [1][4] - The total amount raised has already surpassed the entire annual figure for 2024, which was 990.73 billion HKD [4] - Placement of shares has become the primary method for refinancing, accounting for 87.81% of the total, with 249.5 billion HKD raised through this method [4] Group 2: New Economy Enterprises - New economy enterprises are leading the refinancing trend, with BYD raising 43.38 billion HKD, marking the largest equity refinancing project in the global automotive industry in the past decade [6][7] - Xiaomi Group follows closely with 42.6 billion HKD raised, surpassing its total fundraising since its 2019 IPO and setting a record for Chinese tech hardware companies in overseas equity refinancing [7] - Other tech companies like Horizon Robotics and WuXi AppTec have also raised significant amounts, focusing on sectors such as biomedicine and artificial intelligence [7] Group 3: International Capital Involvement - The current refinancing wave has seen unprecedented participation from international institutional investors, including GIC and Al-Futtaim family office [9][10] - BYD's placement attracted numerous top long-term investors, with Al-Futtaim investing 3.5 billion HKD as a strategic investor [9] - Notable long-term funds like Wujin Capital have been actively investing in various companies, indicating strong international interest in the Hong Kong market [10]

Core Viewpoint - The Hang Seng Healthcare Index fell by 1.4% this week, underperforming the market, with internet medicine, CXO, and traditional Chinese medicine sectors showing better performance [1] Group 1: Market Trends - Since September, the proportion of domestic holdings through the Hong Kong Stock Connect has remained stable, while foreign holdings have slightly decreased since mid-year [1] - Both domestic and foreign investors continue to increase their positions in innovative pharmaceutical companies, indicating a consistent long-term strategy [1] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with significant data releases at the upcoming ESMO conference in mid to late October, specifically mentioning Kangfang Biotech (09926), Kelun-Biotech (06990), and Rongchang Biotech (09995) [1] - The importance of timing and stock selection has increased following a broad rise in the innovative drug sector, with recommendations to gradually build positions during market corrections [1] Group 3: Sector Focus - For the innovative drug sector, the report highlights companies such as 3SBio (01530) and Eucure Biopharma-B (06996) as having rich short-term catalysts and undervalued core products, while companies like Ascletis Pharma (02096), Hutchison China MediTech (00013), and Legend Biotech are noted as significantly undervalued with clear long-term growth logic [1] - In the CXO sector, the report points to leading companies benefiting from high downstream demand and marginal recovery in financing, specifically mentioning WuXi AppTec (02268) [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hang Seng Healthcare Index declined by 1.4% this week, underperforming the market, with internet medicine, CXO, and traditional Chinese medicine sectors showing better performance [1] Group 1: Market Trends - Since September, the proportion of domestic holdings through the Hong Kong Stock Connect has remained stable, while foreign holdings have slightly decreased since mid-year [1] - Both domestic and foreign investors continue to increase their positions in innovative pharmaceutical companies, indicating a consistent long-term strategy [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Domestic investors are focusing on rebound opportunities, while foreign investors are increasing positions in innovative drug targets with high long-term potential and current cost-effectiveness [1] - The innovative drug guarantee model is gradually taking shape, which is expected to alleviate challenges such as hospital access and reimbursement difficulties for companies [1] Group 3: Upcoming Events - The ESMO conference will be held in mid to late October, and the report suggests focusing on companies like CanSino Biologics (09926), Kelun-Biotech (06990), and Rongchang Biologics (09995) that are expected to release significant data [1] Group 4: Stock Recommendations - The importance of timing and stock selection has increased after a broad rise in the innovative drug sector, with recommendations to gradually build positions during sector pullbacks [1] - Specific recommendations include: 1. Innovative drugs: 3SBio (01530), Eucure Biopharma-B (06996) with rich short-term catalysts and undervalued long-term growth logic [1] 2. CXO: Leaders in high-demand segments benefiting from improved financing conditions, such as WuXi AppTec (02268) [1]

Summary of the Conference Call for 康方生物 Company Overview - 康方生物 is a leading player in the field of bispecific antibodies, focusing on innovative drug development for cancer and autoimmune diseases. The company has over 50 drug candidates, with 24 in clinical or commercial stages and approximately 15 with first/best in class potential [2][5]. Key Points and Arguments Clinical Trial Success - **AK104** has shown outstanding results in clinical trials for cervical and gastric cancers, particularly in patients with low PD-L1 expression, demonstrating significant statistical differences in overall survival (OS) [2][4]. - **AK112** has entered the global market and is advancing in clinical trials for lung, colorectal, and biliary cancers, with promising data expected to be released at the upcoming CES conference [2][6]. Market Position and Sales Growth - Both **AK104** and **AK112** have been included in health insurance coverage, indicating strong market support. The sales figures are steadily increasing, driven by the expansion of indications and a snowball effect [2][7]. - The domestic sales peak for **AK112** is projected to reach 9 billion RMB, while the overseas market could see sales peak at 10 billion USD, contributing significantly to the company's valuation [16][17]. Research and Development - The **Harmony 6 study** is a pivotal head-to-head clinical trial comparing bispecific antibody combination chemotherapy with PD-1 monoclonal antibody combination chemotherapy, particularly focusing on central squamous cell lung cancer patients [2][8]. - **AK112** has successfully translated progression-free survival (PFS) into OS in the Harmony A study, indicating a significant breakthrough in treatment efficacy [9]. Addressing Market Concerns - 康方生物 has conducted extensive data analysis to demonstrate the consistency of its drugs across different populations, alleviating concerns regarding HR value discrepancies among various ethnic groups [3][10]. Future Development Directions - The company plans to continue enhancing its bispecific platform capabilities, expanding beyond oncology into autoimmune diseases, with multiple bispecific molecules entering Phase II clinical trials [11]. - The ongoing development of new first/best in class molecules is expected to elevate 康方生物's profile as a comprehensive platform company rather than a single-product entity [11]. Valuation and Financial Outlook - As 康方生物 progresses its Phase II clinical drugs, these will gradually be incorporated into the valuation framework, enhancing the overall stability of the company's operations [12]. - The long-term valuation potential for 康方生物 is estimated to reach 200 billion RMB, driven by the performance of AK104 and AK112, along with other drug candidates in the pipeline [18]. Additional Important Insights - The **AK104** drug has been approved for multiple indications, including first-line and second-line treatments for cervical cancer and first-line treatment for gastric cancer, achieving significant OS metrics [13][14]. - 康方生物 is conducting important global clinical trials for **AK104** across various indications, which are expected to further enhance its market position and sales potential [15]. This comprehensive overview highlights 康方生物's strong clinical performance, market positioning, and future growth potential, making it a significant player in the biopharmaceutical industry.

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the **Chinese innovative drug industry** and its current trends, particularly focusing on the **CRO (Contract Research Organization)** and **CDMO (Contract Development and Manufacturing Organization)** sectors [1][3][13]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Valuation Trends**: The valuation of Chinese innovative drugs is currently lower than historical peaks, with a static PS (Price to Sales) ratio around 7 times, compared to a high of 9.3 times. However, due to global competitiveness, the theoretical static PS is expected to exceed previous levels, driven by significant product cycles [2][4]. - **BD Activity**: There has been a surge in business development (BD) transactions among domestic innovative drug companies, with upfront payments in the first nine months of the year reaching **6.58 billion yuan**, surpassing the total of **6 billion yuan** for the entire previous year. The total transaction amount also exceeded **56.4 billion yuan** compared to **48.9 billion yuan** last year [4]. - **Immunotherapy and ADC Developments**: Chinese companies are showing strong global competitiveness in the dual-antibody sector, with significant clinical advancements. For instance, **AK12** from Kangfang Biotech has multiple ongoing Phase III trials, and **IBI363** from Innovent has received FDA approval for a global Phase III study in lung cancer [5][6]. - **Weight Loss Sector**: The weight loss sector is highlighted as a competitive area, with promising data from Eli Lilly's oral GLP-1 molecule, **ofgliprant**, providing opportunities for Chinese companies to improve their offerings [8][10]. Additional Important Insights - **CRO and CDMO Recovery**: The CRO industry has moved past its most challenging period, with increased investment activity and a recovery in overseas demand for Chinese CDMO companies. Key players such as WuXi AppTec and Tigermed are recommended for attention [3][13]. - **Upstream Pharmaceutical Chain Recovery**: There are signs of recovery in the upstream pharmaceutical supply chain, particularly in R&D, with companies like **BaiPuSiSi** experiencing a resurgence in market demand [14]. - **Global Competitiveness Strategies**: Chinese innovative drug companies are encouraged to enhance their global competitiveness through overseas sales, R&D, and potential licensing opportunities. Companies like BeiGene and Legend Biotech are highlighted for their performance in this regard [12]. Conclusion The conference call provides a comprehensive overview of the current state and future prospects of the Chinese innovative drug industry, emphasizing the importance of global competitiveness, active BD transactions, and the recovery of the CRO and CDMO sectors. The insights presented indicate a positive outlook for the industry, driven by innovation and strategic partnerships.

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market experienced significant net selling from northbound capital, totaling 40.69 billion HKD, with notable net selling in both Shanghai and Shenzhen stock connects [1]. Group 1: Northbound Capital Flow - Northbound capital recorded a net selling of 40.69 billion HKD, with 23.22 billion HKD from Shanghai Stock Connect and 17.47 billion HKD from Shenzhen Stock Connect [1]. - The most net bought stocks by northbound capital included Alibaba-W (09988), SMIC (00981), and Kangfang Biotech (09926) [1]. - The most net sold stocks included the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (02800), Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (02828), and Huahong Semiconductor (01347) [1]. Group 2: Individual Stock Performance - Alibaba-W (09988) saw a net inflow of 7.12 billion HKD, with a total trading volume of 76.09 billion HKD [2]. - SMIC (00981) had a net inflow of 5.73 billion HKD, with total trading volume reaching 58.35 billion HKD [2]. - Kangfang Biotech (09926) recorded a net inflow of 2.19 billion HKD, driven by positive news regarding its clinical research [7]. Group 3: Market Reactions and Trends - The Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (02800) and Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (02828) faced significant net selling of 32.71 billion HKD and 9.93 billion HKD respectively, indicating a bearish sentiment towards these ETFs [8]. - The technology sector in Hong Kong has shown a rebound, with indices rising nearly 20% since July, influenced by advancements in AI and expectations of further market improvements [8].

Core Insights - On September 23, 2025, Alibaba-W (09988), SMIC (00981), and Shandong Hi-Speed (00412) were the top three companies by trading volume in the Southbound Stock Connect, with trading amounts of 76.09 billion, 58.35 billion, and 55.48 billion respectively [1] - Alibaba-W (09988), SMIC (00981), and Shandong Hi-Speed (00412) also led the trading volume in the Southbound Stock Connect for the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, with trading amounts of 46.11 billion, 35.19 billion, and 19.51 billion respectively [1] Southbound Stock Connect Trading Activity - The top three active companies in the Southbound Stock Connect (Shanghai-Hong Kong) were: - Alibaba-W (09988): 76.09 billion with a net buy of 7.12 billion - SMIC (00981): 58.35 billion with a net buy of 5.73 billion - Shandong Hi-Speed (00412): 55.48 billion with a net sell of 47.24 million [2] - The top three active companies in the Southbound Stock Connect (Shenzhen-Hong Kong) were: - Alibaba-W (09988): 46.11 billion with a net buy of 9.61 billion - SMIC (00981): 35.19 billion with a net sell of 70.31 million - Shandong Hi-Speed (00412): 19.51 billion with a net buy of 17.09 million [2]

Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong Innovation Drug ETF (159570) experienced a decline of 1.48% with a trading volume of nearly 2 billion CNY on September 23, 2025, and has seen a net inflow of over 15 billion CNY in the past 10 days [1] - As of September 22, 2025, the total size of the Hong Kong Innovation Drug ETF (159570) exceeded 21.6 billion CNY, leading its peers in both size and liquidity [1] - The underlying index components of the ETF mostly showed negative performance, with notable declines in China Biologic Products and CSPC Pharmaceutical Group, while Kangfang Biotech rose over 4% due to positive research news [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - Morgan Stanley noted that the total market capitalization of Chinese biotech stocks listed in Hong Kong has increased by 154% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the Hang Seng Index's 34% increase, indicating a major shift in market recognition of local pharmaceutical innovation capabilities [2] - The pharmaceutical sector is entering a new development phase driven by innovation, with major companies showing stable growth and transitioning from generic to innovative drugs [3][4] - The pharmaceutical industry is expected to benefit from ongoing policy support for innovative drugs, with recent announcements from the National Medical Insurance Bureau indicating a focus on optimizing drug procurement and supporting innovative products [5] Group 3: Company Performance - Hengrui Medicine reported a revenue of 15.76 billion CNY for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15.88%, with a net profit of 4.45 billion CNY, up 29.67% [4] - China Biologic Products achieved a revenue of 17.58 billion CNY in H1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.8%, with a net profit increase of 13.10% [4] - Innovent Biologics demonstrated significant growth in innovative drug revenue, with a 26% increase in H1 2025, contributing to a 32% rise in net profit [4] Group 4: Future Outlook - The pharmaceutical sector is expected to continue benefiting from improved global liquidity and supportive national policies for innovation, with a focus on emerging technologies and international competitiveness [7] - The industry is anticipated to see long-term growth opportunities, particularly in innovative drugs and medical devices, as well as potential challenges associated with international expansion [7] - The recent adjustments in the national drug procurement policy are expected to stabilize the market for generic drugs, reducing the impact of price competition on the sector [5]