人民财讯9月25日电，恒生指数开盘涨0.07%，恒生科技指数跌0.13%。阿里巴巴-W平开，昨日收涨超 9%。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，中金发布研报称，目前阿里巴巴(09988,BABA.US)港股和美股均交易于22和18倍的 FY26和FY27非通用准则市盈率。该行维持收入和利润预测不变，采用SOTP估值，基于FY27给予电商 业务15x P/E和云计算业务7x P/S，对应美股和港股目标价204美元和197港币，主要系云计算进展积极和 估值中枢上移，较前次目标价分别上调34%和35%，维持跑赢行业评级，较目前港股和美股股价有24% 和25%的上行空间。 阿里表示正在积极推进3800亿元的AI基础设施建设，并计划追加更大投入，对比2022年，到2032年阿 里云全球数据中心的能耗规模将提升10倍。英伟达指引每1GW的增量能耗需要500亿美元的AI基础设施 投入，即使考虑到中美建设成本差异和使用芯片差异，该行预计数据中心能耗规模的上行意味着 CAPEX的大幅投入和AI相关收入的大幅上行。 通义发布系列新模型，打造AI时代的操作系统 近期通义发布万亿参数旗舰模型Qwen MAX、原生全模态大模型 Qwen3-Omni、视觉理解模型Qwen3- VL、开源图片编辑模型 Qwen-Image、升级版Qwen3-Coder、音画同 ...

花旗预计2026-2028财年的云收入将以年均29%的复合增长率提升，高于此前预期的26%，并保守维 持云利润率不变。 花旗上调阿里巴巴美股和港股目标价，并称基于云栖大会现场参会人员的流量以及公司对数据中心 容量将增长十倍的乐观预期，上调其云收入和资本支出的假设。 花旗分析师Alicia Yap等人在报告中表示，尽管暂无明确指引，该行当前假设现有的3800亿元人民 币资本支出预算将在2028财年二季度底之前部署到位，进度快于三年的时间。 花旗重申买入评级，将阿里巴巴ADR目标价从187美元上调至217美元；其港股目标价由183港币上 调至215港币。 (责任编辑：宋政 HN002) 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com ...

Market Performance - The three major U.S. stock indices closed lower for the second consecutive trading day, with the S&P 500 down 18.95 points (0.28%) at 6637.97, the Dow Jones down 171.50 points (0.37%) at 46121.28, and the Nasdaq down 75.62 points (0.33%) at 22497.86 [1][3]. Technology Sector - Popular tech stocks showed mixed performance, with Intel rising 6.41% following news of seeking investment from Apple, while Nvidia fell 0.82%, Oracle down 1.71%, and Micron Technology down 2.82%. Apple decreased by 0.83%, Google by 1.80%, Microsoft increased by 0.18%, Meta by 0.70%, and Tesla surged 3.98% [3]. Precious Metals and Hardware - The precious metals and computer hardware sectors experienced significant declines, with U.S. Gold Corp down 5.32%, Pan American Silver, Kintai, and HP down over 3%, and Logitech down over 2%. AMD and Dell Technologies also fell over 1% [3]. Coal and Automotive Sectors - The coal and automotive manufacturing sectors saw gains, with Lucid up over 3% and General Motors up over 2% [3]. Private Equity Sector - The private equity industry faced pressure, with KKR Group and Carlyle experiencing their worst single-day performance in four months, with KKR down 6% and Carlyle down nearly 5%. Apollo Global Management, Blackstone, and TPG also saw significant declines due to concerns over rising default rates, prompting investors to sell these alternative asset management stocks [3]. Chinese Stocks - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose 2.83%, with popular Chinese stocks generally increasing, including Daqo New Energy up 14.10%, Century Internet up 10.91%, Alibaba up 8.19%, and others like Baidu, Jinko Solar, and JD.com rising up to 5.85% [4].

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Views of the Report - The report presents a comprehensive analysis of various sectors including finance, commodities, and shipping, providing insights into market trends, news events, and investment suggestions for different assets [1][2][3][4][5] 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs 3.1 Financial News and Reviews 3.1.1 Macro Strategy (Gold) - US new home sales in August reached an annualized 800,000 units, significantly above expectations. The US and EU finalized a 15% tariff agreement, leading to a gold price correction of over 1% and a strong rise in the US dollar index [12][13] - Short - term gold prices face a correction risk due to profit - taking, and investors are advised to reduce positions before the holiday [14] 3.1.2 Macro Strategy (US Stock Index Futures) - Intel is seeking investment and cooperation from Apple, and the US has officially lowered tariffs on EU cars. Fed official Daly's remarks indicate uncertainty in future interest rate cuts [15][16][17] - While there may be short - term disturbances due to valuation concerns, an overall bullish approach is recommended [18] 3.1.3 Macro Strategy (Foreign Exchange Futures - US Dollar Index) - South Korea's president met with the US Treasury Secretary, and the UK central bank has internal policy differences. The US has reduced tariffs on EU cars to 15%, and the US dollar is expected to trade in a short - term range [20][21] 3.1.4 Macro Strategy (Stock Index Futures) - Eight departments jointly issued a document to promote digital consumption, and Alibaba plans to invest 380 billion yuan in AI infrastructure. The STAR Market has strengthened, driving the broader market up. The current market is rising on low volume, and investors are advised to take partial profits [22][23][24] 3.1.5 Macro Strategy (Treasury Bond Futures) - The central bank will conduct a 600 - billion - yuan MLF operation and a 401.5 - billion - yuan 7 - day reverse repurchase operation. The bond market has declined due to tightened liquidity and rising stock markets. A strategy of holding a steepening curve is recommended [25][26][28] 3.2 Commodity News and Reviews 3.2.1 Agricultural Products (Soybean Meal) - The market anticipates that the USDA's weekly export sales report will show a net increase of 60 - 160 tons in US soybean exports. China is rumored to continue purchasing Argentine soybeans, and ANEC has lowered Brazil's September soybean export forecast [29] - The bearish impact of Argentina's export tax exemption may be fully reflected in the price, and the price is expected to trade in a range. Continued attention should be paid to policy changes [29] 3.2.2 Agricultural Products (Soybean Oil/Rapeseed Oil/Palm Oil) - Indonesia's July palm oil exports decreased, and production and inventory increased. The oil market rebounded slightly, but the short - term rebound space is limited. Investors are advised to wait and see or take small long positions [30][31] 3.2.3 Black Metals (Rebar/Hot - Rolled Coil) - South Korea has imposed anti - dumping duties on Chinese and Japanese carbon and alloy steel hot - rolled coils. Global crude steel production in August increased slightly year - on - year. Steel prices have rebounded, but the upward space is restricted by fundamentals. A range - bound approach is recommended before the holiday, and attention should be paid to post - holiday demand [32][33][35] 3.2.4 Agricultural Products (Corn Starch) - The corn starch production rate has increased, and inventory has decreased. The current inventory pressure is manageable, and the price difference between rice and flour may be undervalued. Buying to widen the spread may have a safety margin [36][37] 3.2.5 Agricultural Products (Corn) - Corn inventory at the four northern ports has decreased. The price of the 11 - contract has rebounded, but the medium - term outlook is bearish. The 11 - contract is expected to decline more than the 01 - contract after the holiday [37][38] 3.2.6 Black Metals (Steam Coal) - The price of steam coal at northern ports has remained stable. After the pre - holiday restocking, the coal price is expected to trade in a range around the long - term agreement price [39] 3.2.7 Agricultural Products (Jujubes) - Some jujubes in Xinjiang are starting to wrinkle, and there are still some green fruits. The futures price is expected to trade in a range, and attention should be paid to the development of jujubes in the production area and the purchasing situation in the sales area [40][41] 3.2.8 Black Metals (Iron Ore) - SNIM plans to increase iron ore production by 2031 and has discovered new resources. The terminal finished product inventory has some pressure, but the raw material side is strong. The iron ore price is expected to be well - supported, and attention should be paid to post - holiday demand and inventory [43] 3.2.9 Non - Ferrous Metals (Polysilicon) - Orient Hope is conducting maintenance on its polysilicon production line. The polysilicon price is expected to be stable in October. The short - term futures price is expected to trade in a wide range between 50,000 - 57,000 yuan/ton [44][48] 3.2.10 Non - Ferrous Metals (Industrial Silicon) - China's August import and export data of primary polysiloxane showed mixed trends. The price of industrial silicon is expected to trade between 8,000 - 10,000 yuan/ton. A strategy of buying on dips is recommended, but chasing the price up should be done with caution [49][50] 3.2.11 Non - Ferrous Metals (Copper) - The global copper market had a supply surplus of 101,000 tons from January to July. Grasberg copper mine's accident will lead to a significant production loss, and the copper price is expected to rise in the short term. A short - term long strategy is recommended [51][54][55] 3.2.12 Non - Ferrous Metals (Lithium Carbonate) - The Trump administration is seeking to acquire up to 10% of Lithium Americas. The short - term price may be supported by pre - holiday restocking, but the medium - term outlook is bearish. A short - term cautious approach and a medium - term short - selling strategy are recommended [56][57] 3.2.13 Non - Ferrous Metals (Nickel) - Indonesia has suspended 190 mining enterprises, including 39 nickel mines. The nickel price lacks upward momentum, but it has long - term investment value. A positive spread arbitrage opportunity is recommended [58][59] 3.2.14 Non - Ferrous Metals (Lead) - The LME lead market is in a deep contango. The domestic lead market is expected to trade in a bullish range. A strategy of buying on dips and a positive spread arbitrage strategy are recommended [60][61] 3.2.15 Non - Ferrous Metals (Zinc) - The LME zinc market has a high cash concentration, and the domestic zinc market is under pressure from the exchange rate. A wait - and - see approach is recommended for single - side trading, and a positive spread arbitrage strategy is recommended [61][62] 3.2.16 Energy and Chemicals (Liquefied Petroleum Gas) - The spot price in East China has declined. The price is expected to trade in a low - level range in the short term [63][66][67] 3.2.17 Energy and Chemicals (Crude Oil) - US EIA crude oil inventory decreased, and a Russian refinery was attacked. The oil price is expected to be affected by geopolitical conflicts in the short term [68][69][70] 3.2.18 Energy and Chemicals (PX) - The terminal demand for PX has improved structurally, but the PX market is expected to trade in a weak range in the short term [71][73][74] 3.2.19 Energy and Chemicals (PTA) - The PTA market has seen a partial increase in sales, but the short - term outlook is weak. The price is expected to trade in a weak range [75][76][77] 3.2.20 Energy and Chemicals (Urea) - Urea inventory has increased. The supply pressure is rising, and the demand is weak. Attention should be paid to the export situation and the price range of the 2601 contract [78][79] 3.2.21 Energy and Chemicals (Caustic Soda) - The price of caustic soda in Shandong has declined locally. The market is expected to be stable, and the downward space of the futures price is limited [80][81][82] 3.2.22 Energy and Chemicals (Pulp) - The pulp market price is stable. The market is expected to trade in a weak range due to poor fundamentals [83][84][85] 3.2.23 Energy and Chemicals (PVC) - The PVC market price is oscillating in a narrow range. The fundamentals are weak, but the low price limits the downward space. Attention should be paid to domestic policy support [86] 3.2.24 Energy and Chemicals (Bottle Chips) - The bottle chip factory's export price has increased slightly. The demand may be over - drawn in the short term, and attention should be paid to production cuts and new capacity [90][91] 3.2.25 Energy and Chemicals (Soda Ash) - The soda ash market price is stable. A strategy of short - selling on rallies is recommended, and attention should be paid to supply - side disturbances [92][93] 3.2.26 Energy and Chemicals (Float Glass) - The float glass market price in Shandong is stable. The futures price has risen due to policy expectations, but the fundamental pressure may limit the upward space. A long - glass 2601 and short - soda ash 2601 arbitrage strategy is recommended [94] 3.2.27 Shipping Index (Container Freight Rate) - The China - Europe Railway Express has resumed operation. The container freight rate futures market is expected to be volatile, and a wait - and - see or short - selling strategy for the October contract is recommended [95][96]

Core Insights - The top short-selling stocks include New World Development (80016), China Resources Beer (80291), and AIA Group (81299), all with a short-selling ratio of 100% [1] - Alibaba (09988), Tencent (00700), and Baidu (09888) lead in short-selling amounts, with 10.659 billion, 2.234 billion, and 1.516 billion respectively [1] - Bank of China Hong Kong (82388), COSCO Shipping International (00517), and Ping An Insurance (82318) have the highest deviation values at 57.86%, 51.89%, and 47.58% respectively [1] Short-Selling Ratio Rankings - New World Development (80016): Short-selling amount of 126,800, with a ratio of 100% and a deviation of 19.43% [2] - China Resources Beer (80291): Short-selling amount of 157,600, with a ratio of 100% and a deviation of 39.01% [2] - AIA Group (81299): Short-selling amount of 322,100, with a ratio of 100% and a deviation of 25.67% [2] - Bank of China Hong Kong (82388): Short-selling amount of 119,100, with a ratio of 100% and a deviation of 57.86% [2] Short-Selling Amount Rankings - Alibaba (09988): 10.659 billion in short-selling amount, with a ratio of 24.18% and a deviation of 6.41% [2] - Tencent (00700): 2.234 billion in short-selling amount, with a ratio of 18.85% and a deviation of 2.67% [2] - Baidu (09888): 1.516 billion in short-selling amount, with a ratio of 38.72% and a deviation of 6.78% [2] Deviation Value Rankings - Bank of China Hong Kong (82388): Short-selling amount of 119,100, with a ratio of 100% and a deviation of 57.86% [2] - COSCO Shipping International (00517): Short-selling amount of 16,091,000, with a ratio of 61.20% and a deviation of 51.89% [2] - Ping An Insurance (82318): Short-selling amount of 379,230, with a ratio of 73.80% and a deviation of 47.58% [2]

Group 1 - Alibaba's CEO predicts that achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is a certainty, with the ultimate goal being the development of Super Artificial Intelligence (ASI) [2] - Alibaba announced a series of initiatives to advance AI infrastructure, including an investment of 380 billion in AI infrastructure and the launch of new large model technology products [2] - The Chinese government, through eight departments, issued guidelines to promote digital consumption, focusing on expanding supply and enhancing the digital consumption ecosystem [3] Group 2 - The balance of margin financing in the A-share market has surpassed 2.4 trillion, with several brokerages increasing their credit business limits to facilitate more capital [4][5] - The U.S. government has initiated a Section 232 investigation into the import of robots, industrial machinery, and medical devices, potentially leading to new tariffs [6] - A new policy financial tool is expected to be established with an initial scale of 500 billion, aimed at supporting private enterprises and various sectors [7] Group 3 - The People's Bank of China will conduct a 600 billion MLF operation to maintain liquidity, marking the seventh consecutive month of increased liquidity measures [8] - TSMC's stock surged amid rumors of price increases for its 3nm and 2nm process nodes, although the company refrained from commenting on these speculations [9] - Local governments are competing for tourism and consumption flow ahead of the National Day holiday, planning over 25,000 cultural and tourism activities [10] Group 4 - The options market in China has reached a historical high, with a daily average open interest increase of 207% compared to 2022 [11] - Intel is seeking investment from Apple as part of its business revival strategy, although discussions are still in the early stages [13] - A significant acquisition announcement was made by Zhiyuan Robotics, which plans to acquire approximately 149 million shares of a company at a price of 7.78 per share [14] Group 5 - Several listed companies have disclosed pre-bid information for projects with the State Grid, indicating a strong pipeline of orders [15] - Yushun Technology's founder announced that humanoid robots will be capable of performing tasks by next year, coinciding with advancements in global robotics technology [16] - The A-share market has shown signs of volatility, but analysts believe the long-term upward trend remains intact, with opportunities arising from market adjustments [20][21]

Group 1 - Lei Jun, the chairman and CEO of Xiaomi Group, stated that the decision to enter the automotive and semiconductor industries was made simultaneously, putting the company's entire decade of savings at stake [3] - Lei Jun expressed the immense pressure of this decision, comparing it to supporting two children in college, and reflected on the courage it took to make such a bold move [3] - Xiaomi's annual speech is scheduled for September 25, where Lei Jun will discuss the stories behind the Xiaomi chip and car [3] Group 2 - Li Xiang, CEO of Li Auto, announced that the high-level assisted driving feature for the Li Auto i6 will be permanently free of charge, emphasizing that such features should not incur additional costs for consumers [5] - Alibaba announced a collaboration with NVIDIA in the field of Physical AI, integrating NVIDIA's software stack into Alibaba Cloud's AI platform to enhance enterprise services [8] Group 3 - OpenAI plans to invest up to $1 trillion in expanding its computing infrastructure globally, aiming to create the largest AI data center network [17] - Alibaba's AI flagship application, Quark, launched a new AI creation platform called "Zao Dian," which integrates AI-generated images and videos, becoming the first platform in China to support synchronized audio-visual video generation [16]

Market News - US stock indices collectively declined, with the Dow Jones down 0.37%, Nasdaq down 0.33%, and S&P 500 down 0.28%. Notable tech stocks had mixed performances, with Intel rising over 6% due to news of seeking investment from Apple, while Tesla increased nearly 4%. Chinese concept stocks saw gains, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index up 2.83% [1] - International precious metal futures generally fell, with COMEX gold futures down 1.24% at $3768.5 per ounce and COMEX silver futures down 1.11% at $44.115 per ounce. In contrast, international oil prices surged, with WTI crude oil up 2.21% and Brent crude oil up 2.02% at $68.32 per barrel [1] Industry Insights - Alibaba announced a collaboration with Nvidia for Physical AI, focusing on data synthesis, model training, and environment simulation. Alibaba's CEO stated that achieving AGI is a certainty, with a long-term goal of developing ASI. The company is investing 380 billion yuan in AI infrastructure over three years, expecting a tenfold increase in energy consumption by 2032 compared to 2022 [2] - The Chinese government is supporting the establishment of international data service businesses in specific regions, which is expected to increase demand for AI storage. Cloud service providers are projected to raise capital expenditures by $18 billion in FY2025, boosting AI storage needs [3] - The Beidou satellite navigation and positioning service industry is projected to reach a total output value of 575.8 billion yuan by 2024, with expectations of over 400 million new Beidou-supported devices by the end of 2028 [3] - The commercial space industry in China is expected to see explosive growth, with market size projected to increase from 9.2 billion yuan in 2020 to 310 billion yuan by 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate exceeding 100% [4] - The first Medical Artificial Intelligence Conference (MAIC2025) will focus on AI applications in healthcare, highlighting the transformative impact of AI technologies in the medical field [5] - The Chinese government is actively promoting AI in healthcare through various initiatives, including the establishment of innovation funds and the development of high-quality data sets for AI applications [6]

智通财经APP获悉，周三，美国三大指数连续第二个交易日下跌。投资者继续抛售英伟达(NVDA.US)和 甲骨文(ORCL.US)。 【美股】截至收盘，道指跌171.50点，跌幅0.37%，报46121.28点;纳指跌75.62点，跌幅0.34%，报 22497.86点;标普500指数跌18.95点，跌幅0.28%，报6637.97点。英伟达(NVDA.US)跌0.82%，甲骨文 (ORCL.US)跌1.7%，美光科技(MU.US)跌2.8%。纳斯达克中国金龙指数收涨2.83%，阿里巴巴 (BABA.US)涨8.2%。 【欧股】德国DAX30指数涨55.48点，涨幅0.23%，报23666.81点;英国富时100指数涨27.11点，涨幅 0.29%，报9250.43点;法国CAC40指数跌44.57点，跌幅0.57%，报7,827.45点;欧洲斯托克50指数跌6.04 点，跌幅0.11%，报5466.35点;西班牙IBEX35指数涨36.40点，涨幅0.24%，报15194.60点;意大利富时 MIB指数跌54.64点，跌幅0.13%，报42423.12点。 【原油】WTI 11月原油期货收涨2.49%，报64. ...