Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the media industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the benchmark index by over 5% in the next 3-6 months [2][40]. Core Views - The media sector is anticipated to experience a rebound, particularly in gaming and AI applications, with significant growth potential in these areas. The report emphasizes the importance of both sharpness and allocation in the current market environment [3][6]. - The gaming market is highlighted as entering a favorable valuation zone, with specific companies like Giant Network and Century Huatong recommended for investment [6][16]. - The film market is recovering, with the total box office reaching approximately 437.06 billion yuan, which is about 78% of the 2019 level, indicating a strong recovery trajectory [19][20]. Market Performance Review - The media sector index fell by 3.86% last week, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 1.28%, resulting in a relative underperformance of 5.14% [9][10]. - The total market capitalization of the media sector is approximately 19,595.28 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of 17,850.96 billion yuan [3]. Gaming Market Insights - Tencent's products dominate the iOS gaming market, with titles like "Peace Elite" and "Love and Deep Space" performing strongly [16]. - Upcoming game releases include "Rust" and "PUBG: BLACK BUDGET," which are expected to generate significant interest [18]. Film Market Overview - The film "Zootopia 2" has achieved a box office of nearly 23 billion yuan within six days, with projections suggesting it could help the total annual box office exceed 500 billion yuan [27]. - The total box office for the year has reached 437.06 billion yuan, with a recovery rate of approximately 78% compared to 2019 [19][22]. Important News and Company Announcements - The establishment of the first micro-short drama export base in Shanghai marks a significant development in the media industry [27]. - Tencent's Magic Cube Studio celebrated its 15th anniversary, announcing major updates for several IP titles, indicating ongoing innovation in the gaming sector [28].

此前11月13日晚，泡泡玛特Labubu新品上市，热度明显下降，其在二级市场的溢价已明显回落。其中隐藏款溢价幅度缩水超50%，而3.0及4.0常规款在 二手平台售价已跌破官方零售价。 12月8日，泡泡玛特开盘闪崩，一路低走，截至收盘跌近8.5%，为六周多来最大跌幅；近一个月累计跌超14%，与8月高点相比跌约40%，市值蒸发超 1800亿港元。 据智通财经报道，德银最新研报指出，为应对需求激增，泡泡玛特将Labubu产能从上半年的1000万只大幅提升至年底月均5000万只。该行警示，对于 依赖独特设计与稀缺性驱动的潮流玩具品牌而言，大规模量产往往是热度消退的前兆。 市场看空情绪持续升温。港交所12月8日披露数据显示，截至收盘，泡泡玛特沽空金额为10.92亿港元，较上一交易日上升210.58%，较最近30个交易 日均值上升47.35%；沽空比率为19.23%，较近30个交易日沽空比率均值的偏离幅度达-17.33%。 自12月2日以来，泡泡玛特卖空股数从111.06万股增至161.70万股，同期卖空金额也从2.41亿港元大幅上升至6.23亿港元。 | 近10日活空金额及活空比率一览： | | --- | | 交易日 ...

Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market saw a net inflow of 15.4 billion HKD from northbound trading on December 8, with the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect contributing 11.08 billion HKD and the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect contributing 4.32 billion HKD [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The most bought stocks included Xiaomi Group-W (01810), Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (00981), and Pop Mart (09992) [1] - The most sold stocks were Tencent (00700), Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347), and Alibaba Group-W (09988) [1] Group 2: Detailed Stock Transactions - Xiaomi Group-W had a net inflow of 11.73 billion HKD, supported by a Goldman Sachs report predicting more AI developments in its ecosystem [4] - Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation received a net inflow of 4.66 billion HKD, while Hua Hong Semiconductor faced a net outflow of 2.08 billion HKD [4] - Pop Mart saw a net inflow of 4.32 billion HKD, with Citigroup highlighting the untapped value of its core IP Labubu [5] Group 3: Banking Sector Insights - Agricultural Bank (01288) experienced a net inflow of 2.91 billion HKD, while China Construction Bank (00939) faced a net outflow of 31.55 million HKD [5] - Analysts believe that the negative impact of asset risks on banks' financial indicators is diminishing, suggesting potential for valuation increases in the banking sector [5] Group 4: Technology Sector Trends - Meituan-W (03690) had a net inflow of 1.22 billion HKD, while Alibaba-W and Tencent faced net outflows of 1.03 billion HKD and 7.62 billion HKD, respectively [6] - The technology sector is experiencing a divergence, with expectations of a significant increase in the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December [6]

(本文来自第一财经) 南向资金净买入15.40亿港元，小米集团-W、中芯国际、泡泡玛特净买入额位列前三，分别获净买入 11.73亿港元、4.67亿港元、4.32亿港元。净卖出方面，腾讯控股、华虹半导体、中国平安分别遭净卖出 7.62亿港元、2.09亿港元、1.80亿港元。 ...

(本文来自第一财经) 南向资金今日净买入15.40亿港元，小米集团-W、中芯国际、泡泡玛特净买入额位列前三，分别获净买 入11.73亿港元、4.67亿港元、4.32亿港元。净卖出方面，腾讯控股、华虹半导体、中国平安分别遭净卖 出7.62亿港元、2.09亿港元、1.80亿港元。 ...

| 交易日期 | 沽空金额(亿港元) | 活容比率(%) | 涨跌幅 (%) | 收盘价(港元) | 成交金额(亿港元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 12月8日 | 10.92 | 19.23 | -8.49 | 200.40 | 56.87 | | 12月5日 | 3.51 | 24.83 | 1.67 | 219.00 | 14.10 | | 12月4日 | 3.32 | 19.81 | -0.28 | 215.40 | 16.77 | | 12月3日 | 3.66 | 26.13 | -1.28 | 216.00 | 14.01 | | 12月2日 | 2.41 | 12.55 | 1.67 | 218.80 | 19.23 | | 12月1日 | 3.81 | 11.87 | -4.27 | 215.20 | 32.12 | | 11月28日 | 4.99 | 14.94 | 2.84 | 224.80 | 33.38 | | 11月27日 | 9.79 | 16.64 | 6.84 | 218.60 | 58.98 | | 11月26日 | 3 ...

Group 1 - The stock price of Pop Mart (09992.HK) closed at 200.4 HKD, reflecting a decline of 8.49% [1]

【香港恒生指数收跌1.23% 泡泡玛特跌超8%】智通财经12月8日电，香港恒生指数收跌1.23%，恒生科 技指数收平。卓越睿新上市首日涨超87%；芯片股走强，华虹半导体涨超4%，上海复旦涨超3%，中芯 国际涨近3%。黄金股下跌，老铺黄金跌超6%，紫金黄金国际跌超4%；泡泡玛特跌超8%。 转自：智通财经 ...

上天天基金APP搜索777注册即可领500元券包，优选基金10元起投！限量发放！先到先得！ 大家好，今天的市场表现不错，一起看看有哪些有意思的事情！ 突遭看空，泡泡玛特暴跌 12月8日，泡泡玛特开盘闪崩，暴跌近10%，股价已从高点回落40%左右。为六周多来最大 跌幅，原因是市场再度担心这家玩具商在美国的销售增速正在放缓。 其次，做空报告主要依据二手市场溢价及门店供货情况质疑明年增长，但真实情况是：泡泡 玛特"黄牛"消费者占比仅3%，门店供货节奏由产能与供应链规划决定，公司核心策略是让真 实消费者买到产品，而非依赖营销炒作消耗IP热度，业务底层逻辑健康。 再者，剔除美国市场来看，欧洲、中国、东南亚等区域环比增长趋势依然不错，全球化发展 均衡。另外，草根调研来看，国内四季度星星人热度恐不亚于LABUBU，【星星人你最珍贵 圣诞礼盒】是目前泡泡线下主推产品、销售火爆。 分析师表示，当前业绩争议虽暂无法完全证伪，但中期投资决策更应聚焦底层企业能力和商 业模式，IP势能的积累需要时间，短期有景气波动实属正常。 市场人士指出，投资者担忧其在美国"黑五"促销期间的销售表现可能不及预期。 晨星分析师表示："美国销售可能走弱， ...

来源：中国基金报 【导读】泡泡玛特暴跌，发生了什么事情 中国基金报记者 泰勒 大家好，今天的市场表现不错，一起看看有哪些有意思的事情！ 突遭看空，泡泡玛特暴跌 12月8日，泡泡玛特开盘闪崩，暴跌近10%，股价已从高点回落40%左右。为六周多来最大跌幅，原因 是市场再度担心这家玩具商在美国的销售增速正在放缓。 市场人士指出，投资者担忧其在美国"黑五"促销期间的销售表现可能不及预期。 晨星分析师表示："美国销售可能走弱，会打击市场对泡泡玛特增长前景的信心。"在公司此前披露其美 国地区三季度销售同比暴增逾1200%之后，海外销售的延续性一直是投资者重点关注的指标。 这家"LABUBU"玩偶制造商的股价近月来如坐过山车，市场愈发担心其产品结构不够多元、缺乏新的收 入增长点。交易员持续加码看空押注，截至上周四，股票的卖空仓位已升至公司流通股的6.3%，为 2023年8月以来最高水平（标普全球的数据显示）。 伯恩斯坦驻香港、负责亚洲消费股研究的分析师表示，股价走弱"很大程度上是因为整个11月北美线下 销售趋势走弱"。她估算，泡泡玛特本季度美国业务的销售增速目前已放缓至低于500%。 信达证券消费团队分析，客观上来看，感恩 ...