Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Maintain Overweight" [4] Core Viewpoints - The current coal price adjustment has been ongoing for nearly four years since the historical peak in Q4 2021, with prices generally returning to levels before the recent uptrend. The market is well aware of the price decline, indicating that the bottom may be near. It is essential to understand the industry's fundamental attributes and maintain confidence and determination [3] - The report highlights that domestic coal companies are increasingly facing losses, with over half (54.8%) of coal enterprises reporting losses as of March 2025. This situation may lead to a higher probability of production cuts as prices continue to decline [3] - The report recommends key coal enterprises such as China Shenhua (H+A), China Coal Energy (H+A), and others, emphasizing that performance-driven stocks will outperform [3][7] Summary by Sections Coal Mining - In May 2025, India's coal imports rebounded, primarily supported by coking coal imports, with total imports reaching 25.82 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 3.72% and a month-on-month increase of 15.28%, marking the highest level since July 2022 [6][2] - The report notes that the coking coal market remains relatively stable, particularly for high-quality hard coking coal, due to tightening supply from Australia [6] - The performance of the electricity, steel, and cement sectors shows significant divergence, with electricity generation from coal declining by 9.5% year-on-year, while crude steel production increased by 9.5% due to infrastructure development [6] Key Stocks - Recommended stocks include: - China Shenhua (601088.SH) - Buy - Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry (601225.SH) - Buy - China Qinfa (00866.HK) - Buy - China Coal Energy (601898.SH) - Buy - Electric Power Investment Energy (002128.SZ) - Buy - Jinneng Holding (601001.SH) - Buy - Yanzhou Coal Mining (600188.SH) - Buy - Xinjie Energy (601918.SH) - Buy [7] Price Trends - As of June 20, 2025, Newcastle coal prices (6000K) are at $218.90 per ton, unchanged from the previous week, while IPE South African Richards Bay coal futures settled at $91.35 per ton, up by $0.10 per ton [35] - The report indicates that coal prices in Europe ARA ports remain stable at $89.00 per ton, with no change from the previous week [35]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the coal industry, indicating an expectation for the sector to outperform the overall market [3]. Core Insights - The report highlights that coal prices are expected to benefit from rising international oil prices and a gradual reduction in inventory levels [3]. - The demand for thermal coal is anticipated to remain stable despite being in a traditional off-peak season, supported by supply constraints and reduced imports [3]. - Coking coal prices are expected to stabilize and rebound as the peak season approaches, driven by improved steel production and profitability [3]. Summary by Sections Recent Industry Policies and Dynamics - June marks the annual "Safety Production Month" in China, emphasizing safety and emergency preparedness [9]. - Coal transportation from Xinjiang has increased, with a total of 39.4 million tons shipped out, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.8% [9]. Price Trends for Thermal and Coking Coal - As of June 13, thermal coal prices remained stable, with various grades reporting little to no change [10][11]. - Coking coal prices have shown slight declines, but the report suggests a potential for stabilization as demand from steel mills increases [13]. International Oil Price Surge - Brent crude oil prices rose significantly, with a reported increase of $7.76 per barrel, marking an 11.67% rise [17]. - The relationship between international oil prices and coal prices has shown a downward trend, indicating a potential impact on coal pricing dynamics [17]. Port Inventory and Shipping Costs - Inventory levels at the Bohai Rim ports have decreased, with coal stock down to 28.688 million tons, a reduction of 63.10% week-on-week [22]. - Domestic shipping costs have declined, with average coastal shipping rates falling by 2.96% [29]. Valuation of Key Companies - The report provides a valuation table for key companies in the coal sector, highlighting their stock prices, market capitalization, and earnings projections [34]. - Companies such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and Yanzhou Coal are recommended for their stable operations and high dividend yields [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The current phase is seen as the beginning of a new upward cycle in the coal economy, with a resonance between fundamentals and policies, making it an opportune time to accumulate coal sector assets [10][11] - The coal supply side is experiencing a contraction, with a decrease in coal mine capacity utilization rates, while demand is expected to recover, leading to a potential rebound in coal prices [10][11] - The report emphasizes the importance of high-quality coal companies that exhibit strong profitability, cash flow, return on equity (ROE), and dividends, which are expected to remain attractive investments [10][11] Summary by Sections 1. Coal Prices - As of June 14, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 610 CNY/ton, a decrease of 1 CNY/ton week-on-week [2][29] - The price for coking coal at Jing Tang port is reported at 1250 CNY/ton, down 40 CNY/ton from the previous week [31] 2. Supply and Demand Tracking - The capacity utilization rate for sample thermal coal mines is 94%, down 1 percentage point week-on-week, while coking coal mines have a utilization rate of 83.71%, down 0.9 percentage points [10][46] - Daily coal consumption in inland provinces has decreased by 9.50 thousand tons/day (-3.03%) and in coastal provinces by 0.30 thousand tons/day (-0.17%) [10][47] 3. Coal Inventory and Transportation - As of June 12, coal inventory in inland provinces has decreased by 12.60 thousand tons, while coastal provinces saw an increase of 38.50 thousand tons [47] - The report notes that the daily coal consumption is in the early stages of a seasonal increase, indicating a potential recovery in demand [10] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on stable and high-performing companies such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and others, while also considering companies with high elasticity like Yanzhou Coal and Guohua Energy [11][12]

Core Viewpoint - Jining City is implementing a comprehensive strategy for industrial economic development, focusing on the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries, the cultivation of emerging industries, and the forward-looking layout of future industries, effectively fostering new quality productive forces and achieving significant results in high-quality development [1][9][13]. Group 1: New Quality Productive Forces - New quality productive forces are defined as advanced productive forces characterized by high technology, high efficiency, and high quality, driven by innovation and aligned with new development concepts [2]. - Jining's strategy includes a "232" industrial cluster framework, forming a gradient industrial system with two trillion-level industries (new energy, high-end equipment), three hundred billion-level industries (high-end chemicals, new materials, food), and two hundred billion-level industries (new generation information technology, pharmaceuticals) [1][13]. Group 2: Economic Performance - Jining's GDP is projected to reach 586.75 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 5.8%, showcasing robust economic resilience and vitality [3]. - The tertiary industry added value reached 305.54 billion yuan, growing by 6.8%, becoming the main engine for economic growth, while the secondary industry added value was 217.6 billion yuan, growing by 5.1% [3]. Group 3: Industrial Development - The industrial economy in Jining is expected to achieve high-quality development, with industrial added value reaching 185.55 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 6.2% [5]. - Significant projects in traditional industries include over 1,100 industrial technological transformation projects, with 249 projects included in the provincial technological transformation directory [5]. Group 4: Innovation and Market Dynamics - Jining has seen a market entity scale exceeding one million, reaching 1.016 million households, with 1,700 new "Four Up" enterprises added [7]. - The city has strengthened its innovation capabilities, with a 13% year-on-year increase in R&D expenditure and the number of high-tech enterprises reaching 1,800 [7]. Group 5: Policy Framework - Jining has introduced several policies to support the development of new quality productive forces, including plans for large-scale equipment updates and the development of the medical and health industry [9][10]. - The government emphasizes the importance of creating a modern industrial system and has set six key tasks to achieve this goal, including promoting the integration of technology and industry [10][11]. Group 6: Future Industry Layout - Jining is focusing on future industries such as aerospace, life sciences, and intelligent robotics, with plans for hydrogen energy preparation and low-altitude economy projects [19][24]. - The city aims to establish a complete innovation chain in the new energy sector, from lithium battery materials to energy storage systems, with ongoing investments in R&D [25][26].

兖矿能源集团股份有限公司 2024年年度末期权益分派实施公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗 漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： A 股每股现金红利人民币 0.54元（含税）。 相关日期 | 股权登记日 | 最后交易日 | 除权（息）日 | | 现金红利发放日 | 股份类别 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | A 股 2025/6/17 － | | | 2025/6/18 | 2025/6/18 | | H 股股东的现金红利派发不适用本公告。 股票代码：600188 股票简称：兖矿能源 公告编号：临 2025-044 差异化分红送转： 否 。 一、通过分配方案的股东会届次和日期 本次利润分配方案经兖矿能源集团股份有限公司（"兖矿能源""公司"）2025 年 5 月 30 日召开的2024年度股东周年大会审议通过。 二、分配方案 截至股权登记日下午上海证券交易所收市后，在中国证券登记结算有限责任公司上海分 公司（以下简称"中国结算上海分公司"）登记在册的本公司全体股东。 1 公司不存在 ...

兖矿能源集团股份有限公司 股票代码：600188 股票简称：兖矿能源 公告编号：临 2025-044 2024年年度末期权益分派实施公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗 漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： A 股每股现金红利人民币 0.54元（含税）。 相关日期 | 股权登记日 | 最后交易日 | 除权（息）日 | | 现金红利发放日 | 股份类别 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | A 股 2025/6/17 － | | | 2025/6/18 | 2025/6/18 | | H 股股东的现金红利派发不适用本公告。 差异化分红送转： 否 。 一、通过分配方案的股东会届次和日期 本次利润分配方案经兖矿能源集团股份有限公司（"兖矿能源""公司"）2025 年 5 月 30 日召开的2024年度股东周年大会审议通过。 二、分配方案 截至股权登记日下午上海证券交易所收市后，在中国证券登记结算有限责任公司上海分 公司（以下简称"中国结算上海分公司"）登记在册的本公司全体股东。 1 公司不存在 ...

■谢若琳 6月5日，上交所召开高分红重回报暨上市公司价值提升座谈会，就进一步提升高分红、高股息率上市公 司估值进行深入交流探讨，充分听取意见建议。 上市公司现金分红是资本市场的基础性制度之一，也是保护投资者权益、强化股东回报的重要体现。积 极分红，不仅能确保各类投资者共享公司发展成果，提高公司估值，长期来看也有助于持续提升A股投 资价值，稳定市场情绪，促进资本市场健康稳定发展。 以上市公司兖矿能源为例，与上市之初相比，该公司收入和利润分别增长31倍、18倍，分红比例则由 35%提升至60%。这些数字背后，是一条清晰的轨迹——公司高速发展的同时保障股东回报同步增长。 新"国九条"发布以来，政策持续引导上市公司提升回报投资者意识、加大现金分红力度。中上协最新数 据显示，有3751家上市公司公布或实施2024年经营年度现金分红方案，分红总额近2.4万亿元，创历史 新高。 需要指出的是，尽管A股分红生态在政策推动下持续改善，但相对成熟市场来说，仍有提升空间：一是 不同行业分红差距大，比如银行业上市公司现金分红的额度显著领先其他行业；二是"铁公鸡"现象仍然 存在，部分公司连续多年盈利却不履行分红承诺；三是主动分红意识有 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the coal mining industry [1] Core Views - The coal mining industry is experiencing a tightening supply in safety production month, with daily consumption increasing week-on-week and port inventories decreasing [2][5] - The report highlights the potential for a rebound in thermal coal prices as the summer peak season approaches, supported by low inventory levels at power plants [5][16] - The overall coal market fundamentals have improved significantly compared to previous periods, with expectations for price stabilization and recovery [5][16] Summary by Sections Thermal Coal - Port inventories continue to decrease, with a week-on-week drop of 125.3 thousand tons, indicating a tightening supply [30] - Daily consumption at coastal and inland power plants has increased, with a week-on-week rise of 2.0 and 24.9 thousand tons respectively [25][31] - The average price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port has decreased by 2 yuan/ton week-on-week, now at 609 yuan/ton [17] Coking Coal - Supply of coking coal has contracted, with a week-on-week decrease in production capacity utilization by 0.87 percentage points [41] - The average customs clearance volume of Mongolian coal has decreased by 234 trucks week-on-week [45] - Coking coal prices at major ports have decreased, with the price at Jing Tang port dropping by 30 yuan/ton to 1270 yuan/ton [42] Coke - The implementation of the third round of price reductions has led to a decrease in the operating rate of coke enterprises, down 0.15 percentage points to 76.04% [53] - Coke prices have decreased by 70 yuan/ton week-on-week, now at 1280 yuan/ton [53] - The average profit per ton of coke has improved by 20 yuan/ton week-on-week, now at -19 yuan/ton [57] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong cash flow and high profitability, such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and China Coal Energy [78] - It emphasizes the value attributes of the coal sector, particularly in the context of recent government support and market stability [77][78]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Maintain Buy" for coal mining companies [4][6]. Core Viewpoints - The current coal price adjustment has been ongoing for nearly four years since the historical peak in Q4 2021, and the market is well aware of the price decline. The industry is at a critical stage of price bottoming, and the bottom may not be far off. It is essential to grasp the intrinsic attributes of the industry and maintain confidence [3]. - In May 2025, India's coal-fired power generation decreased by 9.5% year-on-year to 113.3 billion kWh, marking the largest year-on-year decline since June 2020 [2]. - The report emphasizes that domestic coal companies are increasingly facing losses, with over half (54.8%) of coal enterprises reporting losses as of March 2025. This trend may lead to increased probabilities of both passive and active production cuts [3]. Summary by Sections Coal Prices - As of June 6, 2025, coal prices showed mixed trends: European ARA port coal price at $89/ton (down 2.2%), Newcastle port coal price at $218.9/ton (unchanged), and IPE South Africa Richards Bay coal futures at $91/ton (up 1.2%) [1][32]. Key Recommendations - Recommended stocks include: - China Shenhua (601088.SH) - Buy - Shaanxi Coal and Energy (601225.SH) - Buy - China Qinfa (00866.HK) - Buy - China Coal Energy (601898.SH) - Buy - Electric Power Energy (002128.SZ) - Buy - Jinko Coal Industry (601001.SH) - Buy - Yancoal Energy (600188.SH) - Buy - New Hope Energy (601918.SH) - Buy [6]. Electricity Demand - In May 2025, India's total electricity generation decreased by 5.3% year-on-year to 160.4 billion kWh, with peak demand down 8% to 231,000 MW, primarily due to mild weather conditions [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The coal sector is entering a "Golden Era 2.0," with core value assets expected to rise again. The current weak domestic economy and external pressures, such as tariffs from the Trump administration, along with a downward trend in interest rates, make coal a stable dividend investment. Insurance funds have begun new allocations in coal and other dividend sectors, which are perceived as low-risk due to state-owned backgrounds [4][12]. - The coal market is expected to stabilize and rebound as supply-demand fundamentals improve. Both thermal and coking coal prices are at low levels, with potential for upward movement following the implementation of macroeconomic policies and the upcoming construction season in 2025 [4][12]. - The coal sector is likely to see a renewed investment focus due to supportive macro policies and capital market initiatives. High dividend payouts have become a trend, with several listed coal companies announcing mid-term dividend plans, indicating a positive shift in market sentiment [4][12]. Summary by Sections 1. Investment Logic - The coal sector is viewed as a stable dividend investment due to weak domestic economic performance and favorable macroeconomic conditions. Insurance funds are starting new allocations in coal, which is seen as a low-risk investment [4][12]. 2. Key Indicators Overview - The coal sector experienced a slight decline of 0.5% this week, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.38 percentage points. The sector's PE ratio is 11.81, and the PB ratio is 1.18, ranking low among all A-share industries [7][9]. 3. Thermal Coal Industry Chain - As of June 6, the Qinhuangdao port price for Q5500 thermal coal is 609 CNY/ton, a slight decrease of 0.33%. The operating rate of coal mines in Shanxi, Shaanxi, and Inner Mongolia is 81.3%, with a minor decline [3][15]. - The inventory at ports in the Bohai Rim has decreased to 29.31 million tons, down 4.1% from the previous week, indicating a continued trend of inventory reduction [3][15]. 4. Coking Coal Industry Chain - The price for main coking coal at the Jing Tang port remains stable at 1270 CNY/ton. However, the market is facing potential supply disruptions due to political changes in Mongolia and domestic cost pressures [3][16]. - The average daily iron output remains above 240 CNY/ton, indicating resilient demand for coking coal despite pressures from the steel industry [3][16]. 5. Company Announcements - Several coal companies have announced plans for stock buybacks and increased shareholder holdings, signaling confidence in the sector's valuation and potential for price appreciation [4][12]. 6. Selected Coal Stocks - Key stocks to watch include China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and China Coal Energy for dividend potential; Pingmei Shenma and Huabei Mining for cyclical logic; and Guanghui Energy and Xinjie Energy for growth potential [4][12].