Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for all key companies listed, including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Huayou Cobalt, among others [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in commodity prices, particularly in precious metals like gold and silver, driven by rising geopolitical tensions and inflation concerns [8][67]. - Industrial metals are expected to see price stability due to improved domestic demand and production adjustments, despite some fluctuations in inventory levels [21][24]. - The energy metals sector, particularly cobalt and nickel, is facing supply constraints, which may lead to price increases in the near future [83]. Industry and Company Performance - The SW Nonferrous Index rose by 6.03% during the week of January 19-23, with precious metals like gold and silver increasing by 8.30% and 14.80%, respectively [8]. - Key companies such as Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum are projected to have strong earnings growth, with EPS estimates for 2024 at 1.21 and 0.63 yuan, respectively [2]. - The report recommends several companies for investment, including Shengtu Mining, China Nonferrous Mining, and Western Mining, based on their strong market positions and growth potential [8]. Base Metals - Aluminum prices are expected to remain under pressure due to high inventory levels, with LME aluminum prices recorded at $3,174 per ton, reflecting a 1.44% increase [13][24]. - Copper prices are influenced by macroeconomic factors, with current prices at $13,128.5 per ton, showing a 2.50% increase [13][38]. - Zinc prices have shown volatility, with LME zinc prices at $3,246.5 per ton, reflecting a 1.17% increase, driven by supply disruptions [43][44]. Precious Metals - Gold and silver prices have surged due to heightened geopolitical risks, with gold trading at approximately 4,983.10 USD per ounce, an increase of 8.30% [15][67]. - The report emphasizes the long-term bullish outlook for gold prices, supported by central bank purchases and weakening dollar credit [67]. Energy Metals - Cobalt prices are expected to rise due to ongoing supply shortages, with current prices around 432,500 yuan per ton [83]. - Nickel prices are projected to remain high due to production cuts in Indonesia, with current prices at 148,010 yuan per ton [55].

- The report focuses on the "CSI Nonferrous Metal Mining Theme Index," which selects 40 listed companies with nonferrous metal mineral reserves as index samples, reflecting the overall performance of nonferrous metal mining-themed listed companies. The index emphasizes upstream mining companies due to their higher profit elasticity and direct benefits from metal price increases. The index is designed to capture the value of upstream resource enterprises and is suitable for investors optimistic about resource cycle trends[27][28][32] - The index adopts a balanced strategy for selecting constituent stocks. It first excludes the bottom 10% of low-liquidity stocks based on daily trading volume, then selects the top three securities from each CSI fourth-level industry based on market capitalization rankings over the past year. If fewer than three securities are available, all are included. Remaining samples are added based on market capitalization rankings until the total reaches 40 stocks. This ensures representation across various resource categories, including gold, aluminum, rare earths, cobalt, lithium, and other strategic metals. The index is adjusted semi-annually in June and December[28][32] - The index's constituent stocks are distributed across four major sectors: industrial metals, energy metals, precious metals, and strategic small metals. This structure aligns with high-demand downstream industries such as new energy, AI computing power, power infrastructure, and semiconductors, enabling precise capture of core investment opportunities across the entire industry chain[7][32][40] - The index's market capitalization distribution is concentrated in large-cap stocks, with 55.61% of the weight allocated to stocks with a market capitalization above 1 trillion RMB. Mid-cap stocks (200-1000 billion RMB) account for 43.09% of the weight, providing effective support. This structure avoids risks associated with small-cap stocks while leveraging the resource barriers of large-cap leaders and capturing growth opportunities in niche sectors[41][46] - The index demonstrates strong performance across various timeframes. Over the past year, its return reached 120.35%, significantly outperforming major broad-based indices like the CSI 300 (24.58%) and the Shanghai Composite Index (27.13%). It also surpassed industry indices such as the SW Nonferrous Metals Index (107.58%). In the medium term, its six-month return was 95.59%, and its three-month return was 28.48%. Short-term performance was equally impressive, with a one-month return of 24.06%[59][62][64]

Group 1 - The precious metals sector increased by 2.28% on January 23, with Sichuan Gold leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4136.16, up 0.33%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14439.66, up 0.79% [1] - Sichuan Gold's stock price rose by 10.01% to 50.23, with a trading volume of 513,900 shares and a transaction value of 2.516 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The net outflow of main funds in the precious metals sector was 1.254 billion yuan, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 749 million yuan [1] - Among individual stocks, Zhongjin Gold had a main fund net inflow of 126 million yuan, while Hunan Silver experienced a 9.60% increase in stock price [2] - Shandong Gold saw a significant net outflow of 1.87 billion yuan from main funds, despite a retail net inflow of 19.1 million yuan [2]

Core Insights - The China Securities Sub-Industry Nonferrous Metals Theme Index (000811) has seen a strong increase of 2.55% as of January 23, 2026, with notable gains in constituent stocks such as Huafeng Aluminum (up 10.00%), Silver Nonferrous (up 9.97%), and Tongling Nonferrous (up 9.94%) [1] - The Nonferrous Metals ETF (516650) rose by 2.75%, reaching a latest price of 2.24 yuan, and has accumulated a 1.16% increase over the past week [1] - The Nonferrous Metals ETF has experienced continuous net inflows over the past 21 days, totaling 11.807 billion yuan, with the latest share count reaching 7.224 billion and total assets at 15.773 billion yuan, both marking new highs since inception [1] - Over the past two years, the net value of the Nonferrous Metals ETF has increased by 169.74%, ranking 35th out of 2,515 index equity funds, placing it in the top 1.39% [1] - The ETF has recorded a maximum monthly return of 27.00% since inception, with the longest consecutive months of increase being 6 months and the highest cumulative increase being 69.57%, averaging a monthly return of 9.76% during rising months [1] Index Composition - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the Nonferrous Metals Theme Index include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, Huayou Cobalt, China Aluminum, Ganfeng Lithium, Shandong Gold, Yun Aluminum, Zhongjin Gold, and Tianqi Lithium, collectively accounting for 52.98% of the index [2] Stock Performance - The performance of key stocks within the index includes: - Zijin Mining: -0.13% with a weight of 15.30% - Luoyang Molybdenum: +0.13% with a weight of 7.92% - Northern Rare Earth: +0.44% with a weight of 5.30% - Huayou Cobalt: +5.38% with a weight of 4.69% - China Aluminum: -0.45% with a weight of 4.39% - Ganfeng Lithium: +5.63% with a weight of 3.23% - Shandong Gold: +0.87% with a weight of 3.18% - Yun Aluminum: -0.24% with a weight of 3.11% - Zhongjin Gold: +2.88% with a weight of 3.08% - Tianqi Lithium: +3.54% with a weight of 2.60% [3]

Market Overview - As of January 23, the A-share market showed mixed results with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.27% to 4133.58, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.24% to 14360.98, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.17% to 3322.96 [1][2]. Commercial Aerospace Sector - The commercial aerospace sector experienced significant gains, with stocks such as Ruihua Tai, Feiwo Technology, and others hitting the 20% daily limit up [3][4]. - The first batch of tourists for China's commercial spacecraft has been revealed, with tickets priced at 3 million yuan, and over 20 individuals, including notable figures, have already signed up [5][7]. Photovoltaic Industry - The photovoltaic industry saw a surge, with multiple stocks reaching the 20% daily limit up, including Dongfang Risheng and Maiwei Shares [9][10]. - The demand for photovoltaic cells is expected to increase significantly due to the planned launch of 200,000 satellites, which will drive both quantity and quality improvements in solar energy technology [10]. Gold Market - Gold stocks continued to rise, with Sichuan Gold increasing by over 8% and other companies like Chifeng Gold and Zhongjin Gold also seeing gains [11][12]. - The price of gold jewelry in China has surpassed 1500 yuan per gram, with major brands exceeding 1540 yuan per gram [13].

Core Viewpoint - The precious metals sector experienced a significant collective increase, with major stocks showing substantial gains, indicating a bullish trend in the market [1][7]. Group 1: Market Performance - The precious metals sector index rose over 5% as of the report, with notable increases in individual stocks such as Sichuan Gold and Hunan Silver, which both surged over 9% [1][7]. - In the Hong Kong market, the precious metals sector also saw a strong performance, with stocks like Chifeng Jilong Gold and Laopu Gold rising over 9% and nearly 8% respectively [2][8]. Group 2: Individual Stock Highlights - Hunan Silver increased by 9.20%, with a total market value of 462.47 million and a current price of 16.37 [2][8]. - Sichuan Gold rose by 9.07%, with a total market value of 209.2 billion and a current price of 49.84 [2][8]. - Chifeng Jilong Gold saw a rise of 6.86%, with a total market value of 758.1 million and a current price of 66.66 [2][8]. - Other notable stocks include West Gold and Xiaocheng Technology, which both increased by over 5% [1][7]. Group 3: Commodity Prices - Spot silver prices continued to rise, briefly surpassing $99 per ounce, marking a new historical high [3][9]. - Spot gold prices also reached a new historical high, exceeding $4960 per ounce during trading [5][11].

Core Insights - The article discusses the performance of gold stocks as a "lever" for gold prices, highlighting that gold stock ETFs have outperformed physical gold since early 2025, with a 137% increase in market price [1] - It questions the reliability of gold stocks as a lever and seeks to identify optimal buying conditions for these stocks [1] Group 1: Definition and Examples of Gold Stocks - Gold stocks include companies involved in gold mining and refining, such as Zijin Mining and Shandong Gold, as well as jewelry companies like Chow Tai Fook [2] Group 2: Performance Metrics of Gold Stocks - The China Securities Index for gold stocks showed annual performance from 2021 to 2025 as follows: -5.12%, 2.43%, 9.62%, 7.48%, and 90.30% [1] - Major gold mining companies like Zijin Mining and Shandong Gold have seen significant profit increases, with Zijin Mining's net profit rising by 50% in 2024 and 55% in the first three quarters of 2025 [5] Group 3: Impact of Gold Prices on Gold Stocks - The relationship between gold prices and gold stock performance is complex; while rising gold prices generally benefit mining companies, the impact on jewelry companies is mixed due to price sensitivity among consumers [7] - The article notes that gold stocks have experienced periods of divergence from gold prices, often correcting after gold price fluctuations [8][10] Group 4: Market Trends and Investment Considerations - The article suggests that despite short-term fluctuations, the long-term outlook for gold prices remains strong due to global uncertainties, making gold stock ETFs a valuable asset allocation option [10]

Group 1 - Gold concept stocks showed strong performance in the morning, with Chifeng Gold rising over 5%, Zhongjin Gold increasing over 4%, and Shandong Gold up over 3% [1] - Related gold ETFs also experienced gains, rising over 3% [1] Group 2 - Specific gold stock ETFs reported the following price changes: - ETF code 159562 increased by 0.103 to 2.874, a rise of 3.72% - ETF code 159315 rose by 0.074 to 2.153, a gain of 3.56% - ETF code 159321 went up by 0.067 to 2.017, an increase of 3.44% - ETF code 517520 increased by 0.087 to 2.641, a rise of 3.41% - ETF code 517400 rose by 0.064 to 2.076, a gain of 3.18% - ETF code 159322 increased by 0.063 to 2.119, a rise of 3.06% [2] - The rise in gold prices was catalyzed by Trump's warning that Europe would face retaliation if it sold U.S. assets, leading to renewed risk aversion and pushing both spot and futures gold prices above $4,900 [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the strong resurgence of gold's financial attributes, driven by factors such as real interest rates, the US dollar index, and regional situations, with gold prices reaching historical highs of $4,960 per ounce and silver surpassing $97 per ounce [1] - The World Gold Council reported that in 2025, gold prices set records 53 times, with global gold ETF inflows reaching $89 billion and total holdings climbing to a historical high of 4,025 tons, indicating a continuous influx of funds driving up the value of gold assets [1] - Silver is positioned as an essential raw material in three key sectors: solar photovoltaic, automotive and electric vehicles, and data centers and artificial intelligence, supporting its core role in future industrial transformations [1] Group 2 - As of January 23, 2026, the National Securities Nonferrous Metals Industry Index (399395) rose by 1.86%, with component stocks such as silver and gold companies showing significant gains, including a 9.97% increase in silver stocks and a 7.02% rise in Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining [2] - The National Securities Nonferrous Metals Industry Index reflects the overall performance of listed companies in the nonferrous metals sector, based on a sample of 50 securities with notable scale and liquidity, providing a benchmark for industry investment [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the National Securities Nonferrous Metals Industry Index as of December 31, 2025, include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Northern Rare Earth, collectively accounting for 51.65% of the index [2]

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，1月23日，黄金珠宝指数大幅拉升，涨幅超3%。豫光金铅涨超7%，四川黄金涨超6%，中 金黄金、山金国际、西部黄金等多股涨幅超4%。 ...