Core Viewpoint - New Energy (02688) has seen a price increase of over 3%, currently trading at 67.6 HKD, with a transaction volume of 201 million HKD. The privatization plan proposed by its parent company, Xin'ao Co. (600803), values the shares at 80 HKD each, representing a premium of approximately 26% over the current price [1] Summary by Relevant Sections - **Privatization Plan Details** - The theoretical total value of the shares under the privatization scheme is 80 HKD per share, which consists of a cash payment of 24.5 HKD per share and a stock exchange payment of 2.94 shares of Xin'ao Co. H-shares [1] - The midpoint price of Xin'ao Co. H-shares post-listing is estimated to be 18.86 HKD, corresponding to a dynamic PE of about 10 times for 2025 [1] - **Valuation and Growth Potential** - Based on the company's stable growth in performance and dividends, there is potential for further appreciation in the valuation of H-shares [1] - The pricing of the privatization plan is considered reasonable, taking into account the interests of both existing and long-term shareholders [1] - **Regulatory Approval Process** - The company is currently awaiting the registration and filing approval from relevant government departments in mainland China, as well as the approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [1] - At least two-thirds of independent shareholders must vote in favor of the plan, with expectations for progress in the fourth quarter [1]

- Model Name: Expected High Dividend Portfolio; Model Construction Idea: The model uses a two-stage approach to construct the expected dividend yield indicator. The first stage calculates the dividend yield based on the annual report's profit distribution, and the second stage predicts and calculates the dividend yield using historical dividends and fundamental indicators. Additionally, two short-term factors affecting dividend yield—reversal factor and profitability factor—are used to assist in screening, and the selection is made from the CSI 300 constituent stocks to construct the expected high dividend portfolio. The portfolio holds 30 stocks each period and rebalances monthly[3][8] - Model Construction Process: 1. Exclude suspended and limit-up stocks from the CSI 300 constituent stocks to form the candidate stock pool[13] 2. Exclude the top 20% of stocks with the highest short-term momentum (i.e., the top 20% of stocks with the highest 21-day cumulative gains) from the stock pool[13] 3. Exclude stocks with declining profitability (i.e., stocks with a negative year-on-year growth rate of quarterly net profit)[13] 4. Rank the remaining stocks in the stock pool by expected dividend yield and select the top 30 stocks with the highest expected dividend yield to construct the portfolio equally weighted[9] - Model Evaluation: The model's historical performance is outstanding, with a cumulative return of 358.90% and a cumulative excess return of 107.44% relative to the CSI 300 Total Return Index. The annualized excess return is 8.87%, with a maximum rolling one-year drawdown of only 12.26% and a monthly excess win rate of 60.19%[11] Model Backtest Results - Expected High Dividend Portfolio, average return in September 2025: -5.35%, underperformed the CSI 300 Index by 8.09% and the CSI Dividend Index by 3.87%[3][14] - Best performing stocks in September 2025: CITIC Special Steel (3.81%), Yutong Bus (-0.35%), Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (-1.75%), Shuanghui Development (-1.90%)[15] Factor Construction and Evaluation - Factor Name: Expected Dividend Yield Factor; Factor Construction Idea: The factor is constructed by predicting dividend distribution using the method of dividend distribution combined with fundamental indicators. Two short-term factors affecting dividend yield—reversal factor and profitability factor—are used to assist in screening[14] - Factor Construction Process: 1. Calculate the dividend yield based on the annual report's profit distribution[8] 2. Predict and calculate the dividend yield using historical dividends and fundamental indicators[8] - Factor Evaluation: The factor is used to assist in screening and constructing the expected high dividend portfolio, which has shown outstanding historical performance[3][8] Factor Backtest Results - Expected Dividend Yield Factor, average return in September 2025: -5.35%, underperformed the CSI 300 Index by 8.09% and the CSI Dividend Index by 3.87%[3][14]

证券代码：600803 证券简称：新奥股份 公告编号：临 2025-082 新奥天然气股份有限公司 关于公司股东部分股份解除质押及质押的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 股东新奥科技发展有限公司（以下简称"新奥科技"）持有 308,808,988 股 公司股份，占公司总股本的 9.97%。新奥科技本次质押股数为 47,560,000 股，占 其持有公司股份总数的 15.40%，占公司总股本的 1.54%。截至本公告披露日， 新奥科技累计质押 155,100,000 股公司股份，占其持有公司股份总数的 50.23%， 占公司总股本的 5.01%。 公司控股股东新奥国际及其一致行动人新奥控股、新奥科技、廊坊合源投 资中心（有限合伙）、河北威远集团有限公司和王玉锁先生（以下统称"新奥国际 及其一致行动人"）合计持有 2,243,449,808 股公司股份，占公司总股本的 72.44%。 截至本公告披露日，新奥国际及其一致行动人累计质押 369,900,000 股公司股份， 占其合计持有公司股份总数 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the gas industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The gas prices are stable across various regions due to sufficient storage in the US, progress in European storage, and marginal improvement in domestic demand [1][5] - The report highlights the gradual recovery of domestic gas consumption, with a year-on-year increase of 0.8% to 283.2 billion cubic meters in the first eight months of 2025 [24][27] - The report emphasizes the importance of cost optimization for gas companies and the ongoing adjustment of pricing mechanisms to stimulate demand [53] Price Tracking - As of October 10, 2025, the weekly changes in gas prices are as follows: US HH -0.9%, European TTF +0.9%, East Asia JKM +0.2%, China LNG ex-factory -0.2%, and China LNG CIF -2.7% [10][15] - The average total supply of natural gas in the US decreased by 0.1% week-on-week to 111.7 billion cubic feet per day, while total demand increased by 2.7% to 101.3 billion cubic feet per day [17] Supply and Demand Analysis - US natural gas storage increased by 800 billion cubic feet week-on-week to 36,410 billion cubic feet, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.3% [17] - European gas consumption in the first half of 2025 was 240.8 billion cubic meters, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.8% [18] - Domestic gas consumption in China showed a significant improvement in August 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 4% [24] Pricing Progress - Nationwide pricing adjustments have been gradually implemented, with 65% of cities having executed residential pricing adjustments, resulting in an increase of 0.21 yuan per cubic meter [38] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that can optimize costs and benefit from the ongoing pricing adjustments, highlighting companies such as New Energy, China Gas, and Kunlun Energy [53] - It suggests paying attention to companies with quality long-term contracts and cost advantages, such as Jiufeng Energy and New Energy Holdings [53]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the hydropower sector, particularly large hydropower projects, due to improved fundamentals and favorable weather conditions [2][6]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the autumn floods have positively impacted hydropower generation, with significant increases in water inflow expected in the coming days [2][6]. - The announcement from the National Development and Reform Commission regarding the regulation of price competition is expected to alleviate irrational competition in the electricity market [2][8]. - Global natural gas prices are experiencing fluctuations, with U.S. prices remaining low while European prices are rebounding due to geopolitical tensions and increased heating demand [12][21]. Summary by Sections Electricity Sector - The report notes that hydropower generation in the Yangtze River basin has reached historical highs due to concentrated rainfall, with a total generation of approximately 235.13 billion kWh in the first three quarters of 2025, remaining stable compared to the previous year [2][6]. - The announcement on regulating price competition aims to create a fair market environment, which is expected to reduce irrational pricing behaviors in the electricity sector [7][8]. - Recommendations include focusing on large hydropower companies such as Guotou Power, Chuan Investment Energy, and Yangtze Power, as well as green energy firms like Xintian Green Energy and Longyuan Power [11]. Natural Gas Sector - As of October 10, 2025, U.S. Henry Hub spot prices were $2.90/mmBtu, reflecting a weekly decrease of 9.03%, while European gas prices, such as the TTF, saw an increase of 5.26% to €32.63/MWh [12][14]. - The report indicates that the natural gas consumption in August 2025 showed a year-on-year increase of 1.8%, with total consumption reaching 364.1 billion m³ [34]. - Investment recommendations include focusing on integrated natural gas companies like Kunlun Energy and New Hope Energy, as well as gas trading firms [36]. Environmental Sector - The report suggests that companies with stable performance and high dividend yields, such as Zhongshan Public Utilities and Everbright Environment, should be monitored for potential investment opportunities [11]. - The ongoing development of carbon trading markets and environmental regulations is expected to enhance the performance of companies in the environmental sector [46].

Core Insights - The overall activity in China's M&A market remains stable, with 5,870 disclosed M&A events in the first three quarters of 2025, a slight increase of 0.51% year-on-year, while the total transaction value is approximately 1,498.1 billion RMB, reflecting a decrease of 2.61% year-on-year [1][2]. Group 1: Market Overview - The number of disclosed M&A events in the first three quarters of 2025 is 5,870, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.51% [2]. - The total transaction value for these M&A events is about 1,498.1 billion RMB, which is a year-on-year decrease of 2.61% [2]. Group 2: Regional Distribution - Shanghai ranks first in M&A activity with a transaction value of 385.9 billion RMB, down 43.98% year-on-year [4]. - Beijing follows in second place with a transaction value of 289.5 billion RMB, down 52.96% year-on-year [4]. - Zhejiang ranks third with a transaction value of 273.6 billion RMB, showing an increase of 31.48% year-on-year [4]. Group 3: Industry Distribution - The technology hardware and equipment sector leads in M&A transaction value at 195.8 billion RMB, up 176.29% year-on-year [7]. - The materials sector follows with a transaction value of 162.7 billion RMB, up 52.21% year-on-year [7]. - The capital goods sector has a transaction value of 143.8 billion RMB, down 34.20% year-on-year [7]. Group 4: M&A Methods - Agreement acquisitions account for the largest share of the total transaction value at 710.3 billion RMB, representing 45.34% of the overall scale [9]. - Capital increase acquisitions follow with a transaction value of 183.0 billion RMB, making up 11.68% of the total [9]. - External absorption mergers rank third with a transaction value of 159.7 billion RMB, accounting for 10.19% of the total [9]. Group 5: M&A Purposes - Strategic cooperation M&A events total 261.4 billion RMB, representing 17.14% of the overall transaction scale [11]. - Horizontal integration and asset adjustment M&A events account for 218.0 billion RMB and 108.9 billion RMB, representing 14.29% and 7.14% respectively [11][12]. Group 6: Top M&A Transactions - The largest M&A transaction is the absorption merger of 100% equity of Zhongke Shuguang by Haiguang Information, valued at 1159.67 billion RMB [17]. - The second largest transaction involves New Hope's subsidiary acquiring 65.89% equity of New Hope Energy for 552.97 billion RMB [18]. - The third largest transaction is the sale of 48 Wanda Plazas by Dalian Wanda Commercial Management for 500.00 billion RMB [18]. Group 7: Financial Advisor Rankings - CICC ranks first among financial advisors with a transaction scale of 2410.04 billion RMB [21]. - CITIC Securities and China Post Securities follow in second and third places with transaction scales of 2400.85 billion RMB and 1163.67 billion RMB respectively [21]. - Based on completed transactions, CITIC Securities leads with a scale of 2248.34 billion RMB [22].

Core Insights - China's energy cooperation with Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries has deepened significantly in recent years, driven by global energy market volatility and US-China trade tensions, with long-term procurement agreements solidifying energy ties and ensuring energy security [1][6][12] Energy Supply Agreements - In April 2025, China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) signed a five-year LNG supply agreement with Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC) to supply 500,000 tons annually starting in 2026 [3] - ADNOC also reached agreements with two other Chinese companies for long-term LNG contracts, effectively reducing market volatility risks for Chinese buyers amid increasing US sanctions on Iranian oil [3][6] - China's imports from GCC countries in 2023 included approximately 201 million tons of crude oil and 18 million tons of LNG, accounting for one-third and one-quarter of its total imports, respectively [5] Strategic Diversification - Iraq, as China's third-largest crude oil supplier, is expected to double its production to 500,000 barrels per day by 2030, enhancing China's crude oil imports from Iraq beyond the current 1.2 million barrels per day [4] - The long-term contracts with GCC countries serve as a strategic hedge against external pressures, reducing reliance on sanctioned nations [6][12] Broader Energy Network - China is expanding its energy strategy beyond GCC countries by collaborating with ASEAN nations to build a more extensive Asian energy network, enhancing traditional and clean energy cooperation [7] - The first trilateral summit in May 2025 among China, GCC, and ASEAN focused on strengthening energy supply chains and investing in new energy sources [7] Clean Energy Collaboration - Cooperation in clean energy is accelerating, with GCC countries aiming to diversify their economies and reduce oil dependency, as seen in Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 and UAE's Net Zero 2050 strategy [8] - China has become a key partner in the energy transition for GCC countries, with significant investments in renewable energy projects [8] Bilateral Trade Growth - In 2024, bilateral trade between China and the UAE surpassed $100 billion, reflecting extensive economic ties beyond energy [10] Geopolitical Considerations - The geopolitical landscape poses challenges, with regional instability and external pressures impacting China's energy strategy, necessitating a balance between economic interests and geopolitical considerations [13]

Core Points - The Shanghai Composite Index is at 3927.63 points, slightly down by 0.16%, with a total trading volume of 1.2446 trillion yuan [1] - A total of 181 A-shares have surpassed the half-year line, with notable stocks showing significant deviation rates [1] Summary by Category Stock Performance - Li Min Co., Ltd. (002734) has a deviation rate of 4.31% with a price increase of 6.27% [1] - Yuanda Environmental Protection (600292) shows a deviation rate of 3.35% and a price increase of 3.93% [1] - Oriental Carbon (920175) has a deviation rate of 3.28% with an 8.17% price increase [1] Trading Activity - The total trading volume for A-shares today is reported at 1.2446 trillion yuan [1] - The stocks with the smallest deviation rates include Lian Ke Technology, Lingkang Pharmaceutical, and Publishing Media, which have just crossed the half-year line [1] Deviation Rate Rankings - The top stocks with the highest deviation rates include: - Li Min Co., Ltd. (002734) at 4.31% - Yuanda Environmental Protection (600292) at 3.35% - Oriental Carbon (920175) at 3.28% [1] - Other notable stocks with significant price increases and deviation rates include: - Han Commercial Group (600774) at 3.19% - Rui Pu Biological (300119) at 2.99% [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that New Hope Liuhe Co., Ltd. announced its cash dividend distribution plan for the first half of 2025, which includes a cash dividend of 0.18 yuan per share (tax included) for A-shares [1] - The record date for the dividend distribution is set for October 15, 2025, while the ex-dividend date and the date of cash dividend payment are both scheduled for October 16, 2025 [1]

北京国枫律师事务所 关于新奥天然气股份有限公司 差异化分红事项的专项核查意见 北京国枫律师事务所 关于新奥天然气股份有限公司 差异化分红事项的专项核查意见 国枫律证字[2025] AN146-1 号 国枫律证字[2025]AN146-1 号 GRANDWAY 北京国枫律师事务所 Grandway Law Offices 北京市东城区建国门内大街 26 号新闻大厦 7 层、8 层 邮编: 100005 电话(Tel): 010—88004488/66090088 传真(Fax): 010—66090016 致:新奥天然气股份有限公司 北京国枫律师事务所(以下简称"本所")受新奥天然气股份有限公司(以 下简称"公司""上市公司"）委托，根据《中华人民共和国公司法》（以下简 称"《公司法》")、《中华人民共和国证券法》(以下简称"《证券法》") 等相关法律、法规、规章、规范性文件的有关规定,就公司 2025年中期实施特 别派息所涉及的差异化分红（以下简称"本次差异化分红"）相关事项进行了核 查并出具本专项核查意见。 为出具本专项核查意见,本所律师特作如下声明: 1. 本所律师已根据中国证券监督管理委员会(以下简称" ...