Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the securities industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in the sector [3]. Core Insights - The securities industry has benefited from a slow bull market, with listed brokers achieving a year-on-year increase in operating income of 43% and net profit of 63% in Q3 2025 [6][16]. - The report emphasizes the importance of brokers as "flag bearers" of the bull market, despite their overall underperformance, suggesting they warrant more attention and allocation [7][16]. - The report forecasts that the industry will achieve total revenue of 556.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23%, and net profit of 233.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40% for the year 2025 [7][16]. Summary by Sections 1. Performance Benefiting from Slow Bull Market - The market environment is characterized by a strong stock market and weak bond market, with the ChiNext Index rising by 51.2% in Q3 2025 [9][11]. - Listed brokers reported total operating income of 419.6 billion yuan and net profit of 169 billion yuan in Q3 2025, reflecting significant growth [16][20]. - The average annualized ROE for 42 listed brokers was 7.51%, an increase of 2.2 percentage points from the previous year [25]. 2. Business Segment Performance - Brokerage income increased by 68% year-on-year, reaching 111.8 billion yuan in Q3 2025, driven by a significant expansion in the client base [39]. - Investment banking income grew by 16% year-on-year, totaling 25.2 billion yuan, with a notable increase in IPO and refinancing activities [47][56]. - Asset management income decreased by 2% year-on-year, amounting to 33.3 billion yuan, but the decline rate has narrowed [64]. 3. Annual Outlook - The report anticipates a perfect closing year for the industry, with a focus on policy and liquidity outlooks [7][16]. - The report highlights the ongoing trend of cost reduction among brokers, which is expected to impact revenue and profit concentration differently across firms [28]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on potential catalysts for low-cost acquisition of related stocks, particularly in light of upcoming policy meetings and economic work conferences [7][16]. - Specific recommendations include increasing positions in high-performing stocks such as Guotai Junan, Huatai Securities, and CICC, while also considering flexible stocks like GF Securities and Guosen Securities [7][16].

Core Insights - The proprietary trading business has become the main driver of growth for securities firms this year, with significant revenue increases observed, although performance varies widely among listed firms, creating a "polarized" market environment [1][2] Group 1: Performance Overview - Six securities firms reported proprietary trading revenues exceeding 10 billion yuan, with notable growth in several firms, while some experienced declines [2][3] - The overall proprietary trading income for the six leading firms surpassed 100 billion yuan in the first three quarters, with CITIC Securities leading at 31.60 billion yuan, accounting for 57% of its total revenue [3] - Over 80% of securities firms saw an increase in proprietary trading income, with some firms like Changjiang Securities reporting a 290% year-on-year growth [3][4] Group 2: Market Environment - The recovery of the market has provided a favorable environment for the growth of proprietary trading, with major stock indices rising significantly, including a 14% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index [2] - As of the end of the third quarter, the proprietary investment asset scale of securities firms reached 70,915 billion yuan, a 15% year-on-year increase, representing 48% of total assets [2] Group 3: Stock Holdings and Sector Focus - A total of 44 securities firms appeared among the top ten shareholders of 361 stocks, with a combined market value exceeding 66 billion yuan [5] - The hardware equipment sector had the highest number of stocks held by securities firms, totaling 41, followed by the chemical industry with 33 stocks [6] - 11 firms held more than 10 stocks each, with Huatai Securities leading at 50 stocks, followed by CITIC Securities with 39 [7] Group 4: Stock Trading Activity - Certain stocks attracted multiple securities firms, with Shandong Highway, Zhongkuang Resources, and Fuan Energy being favored by three firms each [8] - As of the end of the third quarter, over 100 stocks had a holding value exceeding 100 million yuan, with CITIC Jinkong holding the highest value in Muyuan Foods at 1.98 billion yuan [8] - Securities firms collectively initiated positions in 193 new stocks, primarily in the hardware equipment, chemical, mechanical, and pharmaceutical sectors [8]

48 脚 स्त्रीय 波 TSINGHUA Financial Review 清华金融评论 144 数据资产化浪潮下的 P65 保险赋能与价值重构 张伟 等: 我国寿险业高质量 发展模式的构想 P73 聂庆平: 全球资本市场面临的 挑战与前景展望 TSINGHUA Financial Review 清华金融评论 封面专题 金融助力科技创新 和产业创新深度融合 闻出版管理 部门认定第一 中国人文社会科学核心期刊 P69 生力值 年第11期 总第144期 1日5日4 ANDELL 30 T. CN 10-1169/F SSN 209 PQ2 王泊: 充分发挥科创板"试验田"作用 助力深化资本市场改革 支持加快高水平科技自立自强 P16 田轩 等: 赋能新质生产力: 资本市场服务科技创新的逻辑与对策 P19 杜春野: 深化科技金融范式创新: 商业银行助力科技企业高质量发展的思考与实践 P23 刘健 等: 打造科技投行, 提升资本市场服务科技创新能力 P27 葛小波 等 关于证券公司服务新质生产力 和推动科技创新的思考 充分发挥科创板"试验田"作用 助力深化资本市场改革 支持加快高水平科技自立自强 文/上海证券交 ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the recent analysis and target price adjustments by major securities firms in the A-share market, highlighting the search for new investment opportunities amid market fluctuations [2][5]. Group 1: Target Price Adjustments - Citic Securities initiated coverage on seven companies, including Giant Network and Ninebot, with target price increases exceeding 50% [3][4]. - Ninebot received a target price of 98 CNY, indicating a potential upside of 62.95% from its latest closing price [4]. - Huatai Securities identified 13 companies with target price increases over 50%, primarily in the technology sector, with the highest being SMIC at 238 CNY, representing a 101.18% upside [5][6]. Group 2: Sector Focus - The focus of research has shifted towards sectors with stable earnings and long-term growth potential, such as technology and consumer goods [7][11]. - The analysis indicates a strong interest in high-dividend stocks and cyclical sectors as market risk appetite stabilizes [5][7]. Group 3: Notable Companies - Zhongding shares were highlighted with a target price of 37.33 CNY, suggesting a 66.80% upside, following significant investment from a major private equity firm [8][10]. - Guizhou Moutai and Wuliangye were noted as top targets in the liquor sector, with target prices reflecting substantial growth potential [11][12]. Group 4: Market Outlook - Analysts predict a potential market consolidation phase due to high valuations and a lack of immediate positive catalysts [9][11]. - The overall sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with expectations for a gradual recovery in the market driven by stable policy environments and economic growth targets [11][13].

tt . t w 国泰海通证券2026年度销验会 2025年11月4-6日 | 北京 中国大饭店 URITIES : . .. . 本订阅号所载内容仅面向国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户。因本资料暂时无法设置访问限制，根据《证 券期货投资者适当性管理办法》的要求，若您并非国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户，为保证服务质量、 控制投资风险，还请取消关注，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。我们对由此给您造成的 不便表示诚挚歉意，非常感谢您的理解与配合！如有任何疑问，敬请按照文末联系方式与我们联系。 150 - 100 - 50 。 国泰海通证券2026年度策略会 新征程 . . . : . . 国泰海通证券 . 国泰海通证券2026年度策略会 S HE 由 列入门 | 法律声明 更多国泰海通研究和服务 亦可联系对口销售获取 世 NG SECURITIES 重要提醒 Rations 11 - 新征程 国泰海通证券2026年度 TO 17.7 盟想想出家： ETF和场外复制指数基金行 ETF FTE . ali ิ์ 評学 26年度策略会 . 国泰海通证券 0 国泰海通证券2026年度策略会 国 泰 海 通 亚 斯 石 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the strategic outlook for the investment landscape in 2026, emphasizing key trends and potential opportunities in various sectors [2]. Group 1: Market Trends - The article highlights the anticipated economic recovery post-pandemic, projecting a GDP growth rate of approximately 5% for 2026, driven by increased consumer spending and government investments [2]. - It notes the significant shift towards digital transformation across industries, with companies expected to allocate over 30% of their budgets to technology and innovation initiatives [2]. Group 2: Sector Analysis - The technology sector is identified as a primary growth driver, with expected revenue increases of 15% year-on-year, fueled by advancements in artificial intelligence and cloud computing [2]. - The healthcare industry is projected to grow by 10%, supported by ongoing demand for telehealth services and biotechnology innovations [2]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The article suggests that renewable energy will present substantial investment opportunities, with a forecasted market size expansion to $1 trillion by 2026, driven by global sustainability initiatives [2]. - It also points out that emerging markets are likely to attract increased foreign direct investment, with a projected inflow of $500 billion, as investors seek higher returns [2].

Core Points - The company has committed to implement stock buyback measures to stabilize its stock price and enhance investor returns [4][6][19] - The company and its major shareholders have made various commitments regarding profit distribution policies and measures to compensate for any dilution of immediate returns [12][15][19] - The company has outlined specific measures to avoid insider trading and market manipulation during stock buybacks [6][31] Group 1: Stock Buyback and Price Stabilization - The company will take measures to stabilize its stock price, including a commitment to buy back shares within a specified timeframe [1][4] - Non-independent directors and senior management are required to notify the board of their intent to increase shareholdings, with specific conditions for implementation [1][3] - If the stock price does not meet the conditions for stabilization, the management is not obligated to proceed with the buyback [1][3] Group 2: Profit Distribution and Compensation Measures - The company has established a profit distribution policy that will be strictly followed post-IPO, ensuring compliance with relevant regulations [19][20] - Measures will be taken to accelerate investment in projects funded by the IPO to enhance future returns for shareholders [13][15] - The company will strengthen internal controls and management to improve operational efficiency and profitability [14][16] Group 3: Commitments Against Fraud and Misconduct - The company has committed to repurchase shares if it is found to have engaged in fraudulent issuance practices [9][11] - Major shareholders have pledged to avoid conflicts of interest and ensure fair dealings in any related party transactions [29][31] - The company and its executives will face penalties for failing to adhere to these commitments, including potential compensation to investors for losses incurred [21][22][39]

Core Insights - The performance of 42 listed securities firms in the first three quarters of 2025 showed significant growth, with total operating revenue reaching 419.56 billion yuan and net profit attributable to shareholders at 169.05 billion yuan, marking increases of 42.55% and 62.38% respectively compared to the same period in 2024 [1][2] Revenue Breakdown - Brokerage business emerged as the fastest-growing segment, achieving revenue of 111.78 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 74.64%, driven by heightened market activity and increased trading commission income [2][6] - Proprietary trading followed with revenue of 186.86 billion yuan, up 43.83%, benefiting from improved investment returns in a rising A-share market [2] - Credit and investment banking businesses also saw growth, with revenues of 33.91 billion yuan and 25.15 billion yuan, reflecting increases of 54.52% and 23.46% respectively [2] - Asset management business growth was slower, with revenue of 33.25 billion yuan, only a 2.43% increase [2] Performance Disparities - There was notable performance differentiation among firms, with 11 firms exceeding 10 billion yuan in revenue, while Western Securities was the only firm to report a revenue decline of 2.17% [3][4] - Leading firms included CITIC Securities and Guotai Junan, with revenues of 55.81 billion yuan and 45.89 billion yuan, respectively, maintaining their positions in the top tier [2][3] Net Profit Analysis - Five firms reported net profits exceeding 10 billion yuan, with CITIC Securities leading at 23.16 billion yuan, followed closely by Guotai Junan at 22.07 billion yuan [3] - Despite overall growth, Huatai Securities experienced a modest net profit increase of only 1.69% [3] Accounting Policy Changes - Zhejiang Securities exited the "100 billion club" with revenue of 6.79 billion yuan, down from 11.90 billion yuan in 2024, due to changes in accounting policies related to standard warehouse receipts [4][5] - The adjustments affected nearly 20 listed securities firms, including major players like CITIC Securities and Guotai Junan, indicating a widespread impact on the industry [5] M&A Impact on Growth - Mergers and acquisitions significantly influenced growth in the brokerage sector, with firms like Guolian Minsheng, Guotai Junan, and Guoxin Securities reporting year-on-year increases of 293.05%, 142.80%, and 109.30% in brokerage revenue, respectively [6][7] - The integration of acquired firms is progressing smoothly, with successful system transitions and customer migrations reported by Guolian Minsheng and Guotai Junan [7]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is the launch of the "Shanghai Lingang Guotai Haitong Qihang Venture Capital Partnership (Limited Partnership)" which has completed registration with the Asset Management Association of China and has begun operations [1] - The total scale of the Qihang Venture Capital Fund is 400 million RMB, with an investment period of 10 years and an exit period of 5 years [1] - Guotai Haitong's subsidiary, Guotai Junan Innovation Investment Company, serves as the General Partner (GP) and fund manager for the venture capital fund [1]

Revenue Performance - The brokerage industry in A-shares has experienced significant revenue growth in the first three quarters of 2025, with CITIC Securities maintaining its position as the top performer with revenue of 55.815 billion yuan, the only firm exceeding 50 billion yuan [3][4] - Guotai Junan follows in second place with revenue of 45.892 billion yuan, while other firms have revenues below 30 billion yuan, highlighting the scale advantage of leading brokerages [3][4] - Western Securities is the only brokerage to report a revenue decline of 2.17% year-on-year, marking it as the sole negative performer in the industry [6] Net Profit Analysis - CITIC Securities leads the industry in net profit with 23.159 billion yuan, followed closely by Guotai Junan at 22.074 billion yuan, both surpassing the 20 billion yuan mark [7][8] - Three additional brokerages have net profits exceeding 10 billion yuan: Huatai Securities (12.733 billion yuan), China Galaxy (10.968 billion yuan), and GF Securities (10.934 billion yuan) [7][8] - Notably, the net profit growth rates for several brokerages are impressive, with Guolian Minsheng achieving a staggering 345.30% increase [9][10] Brokerage Business Income - The brokerage business has shown robust growth, with net income from brokerage fees across the industry experiencing significant increases, the lowest growth rate being 47.91% [11][12] - CITIC Securities leads in brokerage fee income with 10.939 billion yuan, closely followed by Guotai Junan at 10.814 billion yuan [12][13] - Guolian Minsheng stands out with a remarkable growth rate of 293.05% in brokerage fee income, indicating strong operational performance [11][14] Market Activity - The A-share market has maintained strong performance in 2025, with average daily trading volume for stock funds reaching 1.8723 trillion yuan, a 109% increase year-on-year [14] - The number of new investor accounts opened monthly averaged 2.47 million, reflecting a 46% year-on-year growth, contributing to the increased brokerage income [14]