Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the insurance sector [1]. Core Views - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from economic recovery and rising interest rates, with a significant increase in the sales proportion of savings products. The report anticipates improvements in both the liability and investment sides of the insurance business [46]. - The securities sector is undergoing transformation, which is expected to bring new business growth points, benefiting from a recovering market and favorable policy environment [46]. - The non-bank financial sector is currently undervalued, providing a safety margin and a balanced risk-reward profile [46]. Summary by Sections Non-Bank Financial Subsector Recent Performance - From December 15 to December 19, 2025, all non-bank financial sub-sectors outperformed the CSI 300 index, with the insurance sector rising by 7.04%, multi-financial sector by 2.04%, and securities sector by 1.06%, while the overall non-bank financial sector increased by 2.99% [11][12]. Securities Sector - Trading volume decreased month-on-month in December 2025, with the average daily trading amount for stock funds at 21,087 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.09% but a month-on-month decrease of 5.91% [16]. - The margin balance reached 24,994 billion yuan, up 32.93% year-on-year and 34.04% since the beginning of the year [16]. - The report highlights the merger of CICC with Dongxing and Xinda, which will result in a combined asset scale exceeding one trillion yuan, ranking fourth in the industry [20]. Insurance Sector - The report discusses the public consultation on new asset-liability management regulations, which aim to strengthen regulatory requirements and optimize long-term stock risk factor requirements [24]. - The insurance sector's valuation is currently between 0.67 and 1.01 times the 2025E P/EV, indicating it is at a historical low, thus maintaining an "Overweight" rating [32]. Multi-Financial Sector - The trust industry saw its asset scale reach 32.43 trillion yuan by June 2025, a year-on-year growth of 20.11% [32]. - The futures market experienced a significant increase in trading volume and value, with November 2025 figures showing a year-on-year increase of 13.54% in volume and 7.11% in value [39]. Industry Ranking and Key Company Recommendations - The report ranks the sectors as follows: insurance > securities > other multi-financial sectors, recommending companies such as China Life, Ping An, New China Life, China Pacific Insurance, CICC, and Tonghuashun [46].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the insurance industry [1] Core Insights - The report discusses the introduction of the "Insurance Company Asset-Liability Management Measures (Draft for Comments)" aimed at enhancing the asset-liability management capabilities of insurance companies and strengthening regulatory frameworks [2][3] - The draft includes five main aspects: defining asset-liability management goals and principles, standardizing governance structures, clarifying policies and procedures, establishing regulatory and monitoring indicators, and enhancing supervision [2][4] - The regulatory indicators set minimum standards for insurance companies, including coverage ratios and liquidity measures, which are designed to improve risk management and ensure better alignment between assets and liabilities [4][5] Summary by Sections Background - Prior to 2018, the asset-liability management regulations for insurance companies were fragmented and lacked specific constraints. The establishment of a comprehensive regulatory framework began with the issuance of various rules by the former insurance regulatory authority [3] - Recent changes in the external environment and internal conditions of the insurance industry necessitate a more robust asset-liability management framework, especially with the upcoming implementation of new accounting standards in 2026 [3] Content - The draft aims to integrate existing regulations and enhance the asset-liability management framework by introducing clear management goals, governance structures, and regulatory indicators [4] - Key regulatory indicators for property insurance companies include: 1. Coverage ratio of settled funds: minimum standard of 100% 2. Income coverage ratio: minimum standard of 100% 3. Liquidity coverage ratio under stress scenarios: minimum standard of 100% [4][6] - For life insurance companies, the draft specifies: 1. Effective duration gap: must not exceed 5 years or be less than -5 years 2. Comprehensive investment income coverage ratio: minimum standard of 100% 3. Net investment income coverage ratio: minimum standard of 100% 4. Liquidity coverage ratio under stress scenarios: minimum standard of 100% [4][7] Impact - The introduction of these measures is expected to enhance the asset-liability management capabilities of insurance companies, thereby improving their long-term operational resilience. The measures address existing gaps in management practices and regulatory standards [5] - By quantifying regulatory indicators and optimizing monitoring metrics, the draft aims to reflect the true economic value and risk levels of insurance companies, promoting better alignment of assets and liabilities [5]

Group 1 - The core view of the report indicates that the A-share insurance industry is expected to return to a P/EV of 1x, with both asset and liability sides flourishing, driven by a recovery in EV growth and favorable interest rate conditions [3][4][36] - The report anticipates a long-term EV growth rate returning to double digits, with a focus on opportunities for long-term interest rates to break through the 2.0% threshold [3][36] - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from a gradual recovery in the equity market, which will enhance the investment ecosystem for insurance capital [6][39] Group 2 - In the life insurance sector, the report highlights a comprehensive and sustained widening of profit sources, with a positive outlook for the 2026 performance driven by asset reallocation and a gradual bull market in equities [4][36] - The non-auto insurance sector is set to improve underwriting profitability through a regulatory shift towards quality enhancement, with a projected increase in underwriting profit of approximately 5.8 billion yuan if profit margins improve by 1 percentage point [5][36] - The report suggests that the insurance companies are likely to maintain double-digit growth in core premium income and value growth in 2026, supported by effective channel expansion and improved sales dynamics [4][52] Group 3 - The report emphasizes the importance of the investment strategy, noting that the current low interest rate environment necessitates a focus on equity investments to enhance returns [6][39] - It is projected that the average EV growth for listed insurance companies will be 10.6%, 10.9%, and 10.8% from 2025 to 2027, with NBV growth rates of 34.7%, 21.7%, and 10.0% respectively [36][37] - The report indicates that the insurance sector's valuation is expected to gradually approach 1x P/EV as long-term interest rates stabilize and improve [39][40]

Regulatory Dynamics - Three departments are promoting the development of commercial insurance annuities and other insurance products to enhance financial adaptability to service consumption [6] - The Medical Insurance Bureau plans to expedite the clearing of major illness insurance funds and medical assistance funds, aiming for annual clearance completion by March 31 each year starting in 2028 [8][9] - The Medical Insurance Bureau has allocated 416.6 billion for medical insurance financial subsidies and construction funds for 2026 [10] - The Financial Regulatory Bureau emphasizes long-term assessment for insurance companies to prevent excessive pursuit of business expansion and short-term profits, introducing new regulatory indicators [11][12] - The China Insurance Industry Association has published a guide on ESG information disclosure for insurance institutions to enhance their practices [13] - Sichuan province is encouraging insurance companies to develop technology insurance products through the "Tianfu Sci-tech Insurance" initiative [14] Company Dynamics - Zhongyou Life has increased its stake in Sichuan Road and Bridge to 5%, triggering a takeover bid [16] - Great Wall Life has increased its holdings in Qin Port shares by 906,000 shares [17] - Great Wall Life has also increased its stake in Datang New Energy by 5 million shares [18] - China Pacific Insurance reported a cumulative original insurance premium income of 250.32 billion for the first 11 months, a 9.4% year-on-year increase [28] - New China Life's cumulative original insurance premium income reached 188.85 billion, with a 16% year-on-year growth [29] - China Life has increased its investment in the Guoshou Qihang No. 1 (Tianjin) equity investment fund by 5 billion [22] - Ping An Life has been approved to issue up to 20 billion in capital supplement bonds [25] - Huagui Life has been approved to increase its registered capital by 615 million, raising it to 2.615 billion [24] Industry Dynamics - Insurance companies have supplemented capital by 114.4 billion this year, with a notable focus on bond issuance [55] - The value of insurance stocks is being reassessed as both asset and liability sides continue to optimize [57] - The retirement income replacement rate for high-net-worth seniors has reached 75%, highlighting the significant role of commercial annuity insurance [58] - The establishment of the China Insurance Investment Fund and other partnerships in Xiamen with a capital contribution of 5 billion [63] - Ant Group has launched an AI health application, enhancing health services through technology [64] - The stock of Muxi Co. surged by 692% on its first trading day, with significant gains for insurance capital involved in its pre-IPO financing [65][66]

Core Viewpoint - The issuance of perpetual bonds by insurance companies is increasing as they seek to strengthen their capital base and meet regulatory requirements, particularly in light of the upcoming end of the transition period for the new solvency regulations. Group 1: Bond Issuance Details - On December 18, Great Wall Life successfully issued 1 billion yuan of perpetual bonds with a coupon rate of 2.70% [1] - In December, several insurance companies, including Ping An Life and Dongwu Life, have issued perpetual bonds or capital supplement bonds, totaling 23.5 billion yuan [1] - The issuance of bonds is primarily aimed at enhancing the solvency levels of these companies and supporting their ongoing business development [3] Group 2: Regulatory and Market Context - The acceleration in bond issuance is attributed to the approaching end of the transition period for the "Solvency II" regulations, which has led to a concentrated release of previously accumulated capital needs [4] - The new accounting standards have increased the volatility of solvency ratios, prompting companies to issue bonds to quickly replenish capital and stabilize regulatory metrics [4] Group 3: Strategic Importance of Capital - The issuance of bonds is seen as a way to prepare for the next year's business operations and to reserve capital for long-term growth needs [4] - As the industry shifts towards protection-oriented and long-term savings products, sufficient capital is necessary to support business expansion and strategic investments [5] Group 4: Trends in Perpetual Bonds - Perpetual bonds have emerged as a key tool for insurance companies to supplement their capital, with a total issuance of 514.7 billion yuan by 12 companies since 2025 [6] - The supply of perpetual bonds is concentrated among large and medium-sized insurance institutions, as they meet the higher issuance criteria compared to smaller firms [7] Group 5: Long-term Capital Strategies - While bond issuance provides short-term capital relief, the long-term solution lies in enhancing the internal capital generation capabilities of insurance companies [8] - Companies are encouraged to focus on high-quality development, optimize their business structures, and improve operational efficiency to achieve sustainable growth [8][9]

Core Viewpoint - The issuance of perpetual bonds by insurance companies is accelerating as they seek to strengthen their capital base in response to regulatory requirements and market conditions [1][2][4]. Group 1: Recent Bond Issuances - On December 18, Great Wall Life successfully issued 1 billion yuan of perpetual bonds with a coupon rate of 2.70% [1]. - In December, several insurance companies, including Ping An Life and Dongwu Life, issued perpetual bonds or capital supplement bonds, totaling 23.5 billion yuan [1][3]. - The issuance of bonds is primarily aimed at enhancing the solvency levels of these companies and supporting sustainable business development [3][4]. Group 2: Factors Driving Bond Issuance - The acceleration in bond issuance is attributed to multiple factors, including the end of the transition period for the "Solvency II" regulations, which has increased the urgency for capital replenishment [2][4]. - New accounting standards have intensified the volatility of solvency ratios, prompting companies to issue bonds to stabilize regulatory metrics [4]. - The need to reserve capital for business development and to support growth in the following year is also a significant internal demand [4][5]. Group 3: The Role of Perpetual Bonds - Perpetual bonds have emerged as a key financing tool for insurance companies, with a total issuance of 35.77 billion yuan in 2023 [6]. - The issuance of perpetual bonds is concentrated among large and medium-sized insurance firms, as they meet the higher issuance criteria compared to smaller companies [7]. - Insurance companies must meet specific conditions to issue perpetual bonds, including maintaining a solvency ratio of at least 100% and ensuring that the balance of perpetual bonds does not exceed 30% of core capital [7]. Group 4: Long-term Capital Strategies - While bond issuance provides short-term capital relief, the insurance industry must focus on enhancing its internal capital generation capabilities for sustainable growth [8]. - Companies are encouraged to optimize their business structures, improve operational efficiency, and manage assets and liabilities effectively to achieve long-term stability [8][9]. - Emphasizing high-value protection and long-term savings products, along with prudent investment strategies, is essential for improving core profitability and ensuring a solid foundation for future growth [8][9].

时任新华人寿焦作中心支公司营销部业务发展岗刘京旗，对业务数据不真实，给予投、被保险人保险合 同约定以外利益负有责任，受到警告并被罚款2万元。时任新华人寿焦作中心支公司银行业务部经理甄 智，对给予投、被保险人保险合同约定以外利益负有责任，受到警告，并被罚款1万元。 凤凰网财经讯12月19日，据国家金融监督管理总局官网消息，新华人寿焦作中心支公司因业务数据不真 实，给予投、被保险人保险合同约定以外利益2项违规被罚款25万元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The 20th China Insurance Innovation Forum, themed "Co-creation and Symbiosis," aims to address challenges and innovations in the insurance industry amidst an aging society, new regulatory policies, and the explosion of AI technology [1][3][41]. Group 1: Forum Overview - The China Insurance Innovation Forum, initiated in 2006, has evolved into an annual event that combines various forums focused on insurance product innovation, culture, and health care [3][43]. - The forum serves as a platform for discussing the insurance industry's challenges and innovations at a critical juncture, particularly as the 14th Five-Year Plan concludes and the 15th begins [3][43]. Group 2: Key Speakers and Insights - Notable speakers included former Vice Chairman of the China Insurance Regulatory Commission Wei Yingning, who emphasized the need for deeper integration, more vibrant innovation, and improved ecological systems within the industry [5][46]. - Liu Canfang, Chairman of Jiangsu Jiuzhou Investment Group, expressed a desire for collaboration in the integration of insurance and health care industries to contribute to high-quality development [8][48]. - Zhang Yingbin, the forum chairman, highlighted that future winners in the insurance sector will be those who understand customers, manage risks effectively, and integrate ecosystems [10][50]. Group 3: Research and Reports - He Zhiguang, Executive Chairman of the Insurance Health and Care Industry Alliance, released the "2025 Annual Research Report on China's Insurance Health and Care Industry," noting that insurance is becoming an effective tool for national development strategies [14][54]. - Chen Pojian, Chairman of Ruihua Health Insurance, discussed the opportunities and challenges posed by an aging society and called for more precise regulatory guidance for specialized health insurance companies [16][56]. Group 4: Industry Trends and Innovations - The forum addressed the digital transformation of life insurance marketing, emphasizing the need for a customer-centric service system and the integration of technology for precise marketing and efficient operations [27][67]. - Discussions included the impact of new accounting standards on insurance companies' revenue and profit measurement, necessitating timely adjustments in business strategies [22][62]. Group 5: Awards and Recognition - The 20th China Insurance Innovation Awards ceremony recognized outstanding contributions in brand building and product development within the insurance sector [40][80]. - The awards serve as a review of the industry's progress and commitment to high-quality transformation over the past year [40][80].

Core Viewpoint - Xinhua Insurance has shown significant stock performance with a year-to-date increase of 52.74%, reflecting strong market interest and financial growth [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Xinhua Insurance achieved a revenue of 137.25 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 28.33% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 32.86 billion yuan, marking a substantial increase of 58.88% year-on-year [2]. Stock Market Activity - As of December 19, Xinhua Insurance's stock price was 71.85 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 224.14 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has seen a recent trading volume of 5.90 billion yuan, with a turnover rate of 0.40% [1]. - The stock has experienced a 6.73% increase over the last five trading days and an 11.00% increase over the last 20 days [1]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Xinhua Insurance was 81,900, an increase of 34.15% from the previous period [2]. - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder was 25,555, which decreased by 25.55% compared to the previous period [2]. Dividend Distribution - Since its A-share listing, Xinhua Insurance has distributed a total of 38.03 billion yuan in dividends, with 16.00 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [3]. Institutional Holdings - As of September 30, 2025, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited was the seventh-largest circulating shareholder, holding 36.45 million shares, a decrease of 24.06 million shares from the previous period [3]. - Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF ranked as the tenth-largest circulating shareholder with 14.31 million shares, down by 589,300 shares from the previous period [3].

Core Viewpoint - The insurance sector is experiencing a valuation recovery, driven by policy support and increasing consumer demand for health and wealth protection, with major companies like China Pacific Insurance, New China Life, and China Life seeing significant stock price increases, and China Ping An reaching a four-year high [1][2]. Policy Support - The strong rebound in the insurance sector is initiated by policy support, specifically the recent adjustment of risk factors for insurance companies' investment in stocks, which reduces capital occupation and enhances solvency ratios [2]. - The policy encourages insurance funds to invest in a stable and long-term manner, with a focus on holding positions for over three years, which is seen as a timely boost for the market [2]. - If insurance capital reallocates to equity assets, it could potentially unlock 550 billion to 600 billion yuan in long-term funds by 2026 [2]. Consumer Demand Shift - A report by Accenture indicates a structural shift in consumer focus towards health and wealth, with health concern rising from 78% in 2021 to 87% in 2025, and wealth concern increasing from 47% to 61% [4]. - This shift translates into a rigid demand for insurance products, with a notable preference for protection-oriented products such as dividend insurance, health insurance, and million medical insurance [4]. - Companies like China Ping An and China Pacific Insurance are adapting to these changes, with significant growth in their health insurance segments and overall profitability [4][5]. Valuation Recovery Logic - The insurance sector is expected to enter a golden development period, with investment logic shifting from "valuation repair of existing business" to "growth capability valuation premium," highlighting the advantages of leading companies [7]. - By 2026, the total assets of the insurance industry are projected to exceed 45 trillion yuan, with equity investment scale reaching 6 trillion yuan, making it a significant source of long-term capital in the A-share market [7]. - China Ping An is anticipated to lead the market due to its comprehensive industry chain layout, product innovation, and technological empowerment, with target prices being raised by multiple institutions [7].