证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·金融产品 金融产品跟踪周报 权益 ETF 系列：关注结构变化，行情可能临 近变盘点 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 ◼ 基金配置建议： 风险提示：1）模型基于历史数据测算，未来存在失效风险；2）宏观经济 不及预期；3）发生重大预期外的宏观事件。 2025 年 07 月 12 日 证券分析师 孙婷 执业证书：S0600524120001 sunt@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 唐遥衎 执业证书：S0600524120016 tangyk@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -9% -2% 5% 12% 19% 26% 33% 40% 47% 54% 61% 非银金融 沪深300 2025-07-12 《国有险企长周期考核细则落地，充 分发挥险资长期资本优势》 2025-07-12 东吴证券研究所 1 / 22 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 2024/7/12 2024/11/10 2025/3/11 2025/7/10 ◼ A 股市场行情概述：（2025.7.7-2025.7.11） ◼ 主要宽基指数涨跌幅：排名前三名的宽基指数 ...

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 没有股票账户的投资者可关注国泰中证有色金属ETF发起联接A（013218），国泰中证有色金属ETF发 起联接C（013219）。 注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不预示 未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参考，不 构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险等级相 匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 相关机构表示，当地8日特朗普宣布对铜加征50%关税，落地时间大超预期。受此影响COMEX铜与 LME铜价差迅速拉大，溢价达到约25%。我们认为，这一价差不及关税的主要原因，是美国已经通 过"抢进口"囤积了大量的铜库存，未来可能大幅减少铜进口。在美国市场与全球市场"割裂"后，这一价 差也就不再具备吸引力。但我们认为，LME铜与沪铜的回调或许能够带来机会，因为铜在长期仍有供 需错配带来的支撑，下半年有望看到主要经济体的刺激政策，从而进一步推高铜需求。 有色60ETF跟踪的是中证有色指数，该指数由中证指数有限公司编制，从A股市场中选取涉及有色金属 采选 ...

ETF收盘涨跌不一，标普油气ETF(159518)领涨3.44%，标普油气ETF(513350)涨3.29%，创新药ETF国泰 (517110)涨1.98%，黄金股票ETF(159321)领跌2.25%，黄金股ETF(517520)跌2.15%，有色金属ETF基金 (516650)跌2.13%。 ...

有色60ETF跟踪的是中证有色指数，该指数由中证指数有限公司编制，从A股市场中选取涉及有色金属 采选、冶炼及加工等领域的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映有色金属行业相关上市公司的整体表 现。其成分股覆盖贵金属、稀有金属等多个细分领域，具有较强的周期性和商品属性特征。 没有股票账户的投资者可关注国泰中证有色金属ETF发起联接A（013218），国泰中证有色金属ETF发 起联接C（013219）。 7月2日，有色60ETF（159881）涨超1.3%。 西部证券指出，工业金属板块受美联储降息预期升温影响价格普涨。铜价方面，受美国232条款铜进口 调查影响，交易商将创纪录的铜运往美国以规避潜在关税，导致非美地区库存短缺。数据显示，LME 可交割库存规模年内暴跌约80%，现货对三个月期货升水一度达300美元/吨，创2021年以来新高。铝价 受益于几内亚铝土矿供应扰动，凸显产业链脆弱性。锌价则因LME库存持续去化表现强势。整体来 看，工业金属供需格局趋紧，铜冶炼加工费下行或引发减产预期，中长期价格中枢支撑较强。但需警惕 国内外宏观经济对需求的冲击，以及地缘政治和关税政策的不确定性风险。 注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投 ...

有色金属ETF收益反弹 金融工程周报 基金市场回顾： 操作评级 中信五风格-成长★☆☆ 金融工程组 张婧婕 Z0022617 010-58747784 gtaxinstitute@essence.com.cn 本报告版权属于国投期货有限公司 1 不可作为投资依据，转载请注明出处 截至2025/06/27当周，通联全A（沪深京）、中证综合债与南 华商品指数周度涨跌幅分别为3.35%、-0.10%、-2.00%。 公募基金市场方面，近一周增强指数策略领涨，周度收益率为 3.18%；权益策略中普通股票策略指数表现相对偏弱，中性策 略产品跌多涨少，债券方面中长期纯债小幅回撤，转债收益优于 纯债，商品方面能源化工与豆粕ETF收益回调，有色金属ETF 净值反弹，贵金属ETF走势分化，其中白银ETF小幅收涨，黄 金ETF收益延续走弱。 权益市场风格 周度报告 2025年6月30日 中信五风格方面，上周五风格指数均收涨，成长和金融风格领跑， 风格轮动图显示相对强弱层面消费与稳定处于截面偏低水平，指 标动量层面相比上期五风格均走强，消费与稳定升幅较大。公募 基金池方面，近一周周期与消费风格基金平均收益跑赢指数，超 额收益率分别 ...

Core Viewpoint - The ETF market shows mixed performance, with leading ETFs experiencing significant gains while others face declines [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The Double Innovation Leading ETF (159603) leads with a gain of 19.98% [1] - The Nonferrous Metals ETF (516650) increases by 2.89% [1] - The Battery Leading ETF (159767) rises by 2.45% [1] - The Agricultural 50 ETF (516810) is the biggest loser, down by 2.89% [1] - The Shanghai 50 ETF Index Fund (510190) declines by 2.16% [1] - The S&P Oil & Gas ETF (159518) falls by 0.88% [1] Group 2: Investment Strategy - The strategy suggests that investors should consider buying index ETFs to capitalize on market rebounds [1]

能化ETF净值升幅显著 金融工程周报 基金市场回顾： 权益市场风格 周度报告 2025年6月16日 操作评级 中信五风格-金融★☆☆ 王锴 金融工程组 Z0016943 张婧婕 F03116832 010-58747784 gtaxinstitute@essence.com.cn 本报告版权属于国投期货有限公司 1 不可作为投资依据，转载请注明出处 【公募基金主要策略指数周度收益率】 截至2025/06/13当周，通联全A（沪深京）、中证综合债与南 华商品指数周度涨跌幅分别为-0.41%、0.17%、2.14%。 公募基金市场方面，近一周股债策略收益呈现小幅分化。权益策 略中，指数增强策略小幅回调，市场中性策略收益小幅承压，普 通股票策略指数则连续两周收涨。债券策略方面，中长期纯债表 现优于短期纯债，可转债指数小幅走弱。商品策略中，能化ETF 净值升幅显著，周涨3.09%，豆粕ETF上涨1.91%，有色金属 ETF小幅回撤，贵金属ETF收益延续上升趋势。 中信五风格方面，上周五风格指数收益分化，金融与周期风格录 得正收益，风格轮动图显示相对强弱层面消费与稳定小幅回落， 指标动量层面周期风格边际走强。公募基金池 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights that the profit of large-scale non-ferrous metal industrial enterprises in China reached 128.17 billion yuan from January to April 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 30.3%, with mining and selection profits growing by 47.8% [1] - The industrial metal sector is expected to benefit from improved supply-demand expectations, with stable overseas trade policies likely to drive demand elasticity, particularly for copper, which is crucial for global manufacturing [1] - Aluminum prices are anticipated to rise due to increased protectionist tendencies in overseas mineral resources and the resonance of domestic and foreign demand expectations, suggesting a potential upward shift in the price center for electrolytic aluminum in the second quarter [1] Group 2 - The non-ferrous 60 ETF (code: 159881) tracks the CSI Non-Ferrous Metal Index (code: 930708), which includes listed companies involved in the mining, smelting, and processing of non-ferrous metals, providing an effective tool for investors to observe market dynamics in the resource sector [1]

Market Overview - The market experienced a rebound on June 4, with the ChiNext Index leading the gains, closing with a rise of 1.11%. The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.42%, and the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.87% [1] - Over 3,900 stocks in the market saw an increase, with total trading volume reaching 1.15 trillion yuan, an increase of 11.6 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - Key sectors that performed well included beauty care, beer concepts, and solid-state batteries, while sectors such as airports, unmanned vehicles, and military electronics faced declines [1] - The financial sector, particularly brokerage firms, showed significant movement, reinforcing the overall index performance [1] Investment Sentiment - Market sentiment improved due to the strength of several large sectors, including consumer goods and the computing power industry [1] - Analysts suggest that the market may maintain a range-bound trend until July, with a focus on sector rotation due to low trading volumes [3] Broker Activity - Everbright Securities led the movement in the brokerage sector, with a notable increase of 6.43%, marking the second-largest single-day gain since October 8 of the previous year [8] - The brokerage sector's recent activity is attributed to signals of refinancing and upcoming financial policy announcements expected to positively impact the market [6] ETF Performance - Several ETFs related to securities and brokerage firms showed leading gains, reflecting the positive sentiment in the sector [5] - The communication, rare earth, and battery-themed ETFs also recorded significant increases, indicating a shift in investment focus towards sectors with lower resistance to upward movement [12] Future Outlook - Analysts remain cautious but optimistic, noting that external risks may have peaked, and domestic policies are expected to continue supporting economic recovery [9] - The focus on consumer demand, domestic substitution, and underweight fund allocations are seen as key investment themes moving forward [9]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing positive growth, reflected in the strong performance of related ETFs and optimistic market expectations [1] - The China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association forecasts a 6% increase in the industry's added value in the first half of the year, with a 3% rise in the production of ten non-ferrous metals [1] - Investment in mining and green technology is maintaining rapid growth, while copper and aluminum prices are fluctuating at high levels, indicating a robust market environment [1] Group 2 - The cobalt export ban in the Democratic Republic of Congo is leading to a tightening supply situation, with rising prices expected as inventory levels decrease [2] - In the lithium market, while some producers are reducing output, the overall supply remains high, leading to a continued oversupply situation [2] - Cobalt prices are anticipated to rise as supply tightens and demand increases, particularly as inventory levels are consumed [2] Group 3 - The increase in U.S. tariffs is contributing to economic recession risks and heightened credit risks for the dollar, which may drive gold prices higher [3] - Gold prices are stabilizing around $3,000 per ounce, which is expected to enhance the performance and cash flow of gold companies [3] - A-shares in gold stocks, currently near a decade-low valuation, are likely to experience a revaluation due to these market dynamics [3]