03 今日，易方达基金、南方基金、富国基金、华夏基金、华泰柏瑞基金、汇添富基金等多家机构旗下QDII产品 发布溢价风险提示公告。 文娱、软件、卫星板块走强 1月9日，文娱传媒ETF（516190）单日涨幅最高，达8.41%。值得注意的是，该ETF盘中一度涨9.85%，逼近 涨停。创业板软件ETF华夏（159256）紧随其后，单日涨超7%。 01 1月9日，上证指数站上4100点。文化传媒、卫星、航空航天、有色、软件等多个板块表现强势，相关主题 ETF涨幅明显。其中，文娱传媒ETF（516190）领涨全市场，盘中一度逼近涨停，收盘涨超8%。 02 2026年前4个交易日，有色板块受资金青睐。1月5日-1月8日，股票型ETF中，资金净流入额最高的两只ETF均 为有色主题ETF。此外，卫星、半导体设备、A500等ETF产品亦成为资金涌入的重要方向。 公募机构表示，2026年，随着全球进入降息周期，以金、铜、铝为代表的有色金属板块高景气有望延续。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价(元) | 涨跌幅 (%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 516190.SH | 文娱传媒ETF | 1.43 | ...

Group 1 - The core strategy for investing in stocks, particularly in cyclical commodities like non-ferrous metals, is to follow futures prices rather than market trends [1] - In 2025, gold prices experienced significant fluctuations, with COMEX gold futures rising over 60% for the year, marking the strongest annual performance since 1979 [1] - Copper prices also surged, with LME three-month copper reaching a historical peak of $12,960 per ton, and Shanghai copper futures surpassing 100,000 yuan per ton for the first time [1] Group 2 - The recent copper price rally is attributed to the weakening of the US dollar, which directly boosts prices and reduces holding costs, benefiting non-ferrous metals from the Fed's interest rate cuts [2] - Jiangxi Copper's acquisition of the Cascavel copper-gold mine, which holds 12.2 million tons of copper and over 30 million ounces of gold, is expected to double copper production by 2028 [2] - The macroeconomic narrative of "green inflation" and "interest rate cuts" provides strong support for the sector's prosperity, with structural demand for copper driven by AI and new energy [2] Group 3 - The outlook for copper prices in 2026 is optimistic, with expectations of further price increases due to limited new supply and ongoing demand from new energy and grid upgrades [2] - Investment plans for 2026 include holding stocks like Tongling Nonferrous Metals and Northern Copper, while observing Jiangxi Copper as an industry leader [2] - The international market for gold, silver, and copper futures reached new highs by the end of 2025, indicating a strong upward trend in non-ferrous metals [2]

Core Viewpoint - The public fund industry has witnessed a record-breaking annual return, with Yongying Technology Smart Selection achieving a total return of 233.29%, surpassing the previous record held by Wang Yawei for 18 years [1][6]. Group 1: Fund Performance - Yongying Technology Smart Selection, managed by Ren Jie, secured the top position in the 2025 public fund rankings with a return of 233.29% [3][6]. - The second place was taken by Zhonghang Opportunity Navigation, managed by Han Hao, with a return of 168.92% [3][4]. - The third place was claimed by Hongtu Innovation Emerging Industry, managed by Liao Xinghao, with a return of 148.64% [3][4]. - A total of 90 funds achieved returns exceeding 100% in 2025, with 75 of these being actively managed equity funds, indicating a highly competitive environment [9]. Group 2: Market Trends - The A-share market saw all major indices rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 18.41% and the ChiNext Index leading with nearly 50% annual growth [2]. - The total market capitalization of A-shares reached a new high of nearly 109 trillion yuan [2]. - Various sectors experienced active market trends, with robotics, innovative pharmaceuticals, and hard technology sectors leading the charge [2]. Group 3: Fund Management Insights - The success of Yongying Technology Smart Selection is attributed to its concentrated holdings in high-performing sectors, particularly in CPO, with top ten holdings accounting for 73.25% of the fund's net value [8]. - The fund's top four holdings saw significant gains, with the first holding, Xinyi Sheng, increasing by 187.96% in the fourth quarter [8]. - The active management capabilities of funds have allowed them to outperform passive index products in a volatile market [3]. Group 4: ETF Market Developments - The ETF market in China reached a total scale of 6.03 trillion yuan in 2025, marking a significant increase from 3.73 trillion yuan at the beginning of the year [10]. - The top-performing ETFs included the Guotai Communication ETF with a return of 125.81% and the Guotai Communication Equipment ETF with 121.37% [10][14]. - Gold-themed ETFs also performed well, with several funds achieving returns exceeding 90% [12]. Group 5: Fixed Income + Fund Growth - The "Fixed Income +" strategy saw substantial growth, with the total scale of related funds reaching 2.52 trillion yuan, a 50% increase from the end of 2024 [15]. - The median return for fixed income + funds in 2025 was 10.2%, with the top performer, Southern Changyuan Convertible Bond, achieving a return of 48.77% [16][18].

2026年格隆汇"全球视野 下注中国"十大核心ETF重磅揭晓！ 经过长达半个多月， 格隆汇数千万会员参与的投票， 活动组委会统计到数十万的有效投票， 并通过整理、统计、归类后推出此名单： | | 格隆汇2026年"全球视野 下注中国"十大核心ETF | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | 44883 | 跟踪指数 | 总规模(亿元) | 管理公司 | | 创业板50ETF | 159949 | 创业板50 | 300.67 | 华安基金 | | 恒生科技ETF易方达 | 513010 | 恒生科技 | 268.96 | 易方达基金 | | 科创芯片ETF | 588200 | 科创芯片 | 396.09 | 嘉实基金 | | 机器人ETF | 562500 | 机器人 | 263.75 | 华夏基等 | | 航空航天ETF | 159227 | 国证航天 | 21.55 | 花夏宴等 | | 储能电池ETF | 159566 | 新能源电池 | 39.23 | 易方达基金 | | 有色金属ETF | 512400 | 有色金属 | 205.01 | 南方基 ...

（原标题：2025年最牛ETF榜单来了！6只ETF收益率翻倍） 2025年最牛ETF榜单来了！通信ETF涨幅125.81%夺得年内ETF涨幅榜冠军；通信设备ETF涨幅 121.37%，摘下亚军；矿业ETF涨幅106.11%，拿下季军；创业板人工智能ETF华宝、有色矿业ETF招 商、工业有色ETF年内均翻倍；有色金属ETF、黄金股ETF等15只ETF年内涨超90%。(格隆汇) ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has seen significant inflows into stock ETFs, with a total net inflow of 1189.94 billion yuan in December and 4847.40 billion yuan since the beginning of 2025, indicating strong investor interest in this asset class [2]. Group 1: Fund Inflows - In December 30, the total net inflow for all stock ETFs reached 65.81 billion yuan, with the top inflow sectors being non-ferrous metals (28.7 billion yuan), the CSI A500 index (16.6 billion yuan), and gold (8.2 billion yuan) [4]. - The leading fund companies include E Fund, which saw its ETF scale increase to 844.4 billion yuan, with a net inflow of 3.5 billion yuan on December 30 and a total increase of 243.75 billion yuan since the beginning of 2025 [4]. - The non-ferrous metals ETF from Huaxia Fund reported a net inflow of 27 billion yuan, achieving a new high in both share and scale, growing over 59 times in the year [5]. Group 2: Fund Outflows - The top outflow sectors on December 30 included the Sci-Tech 50 ETF (net outflow of 12.4 billion yuan) and the Shanghai 50 ETF (net outflow of 5.3 billion yuan), indicating a shift in investor sentiment away from these areas [9]. - Other notable outflows were seen in the communication sector (4.3 billion yuan) and artificial intelligence (4.2 billion yuan), suggesting a cautious approach from investors in these segments [9]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The market outlook remains positive, with expectations of increased capital inflows as insurance companies begin year-end allocations and private equity firms engage in concentrated purchases [10]. - Key investment themes for 2026 include AI innovation, domestic hard technology, and the Hong Kong tech market, which is seen as a vital area for investment due to its competitive advantages [10].

// 核心摘要 // ETF 市场规模已突破 6 万亿元、2025年内增长超 60%，债券ETF、跨境ETF 资金增量显著，ETF正从配置补充加速走向资产配置底座。 本周交易层面， 权益端结构性分化加剧，A500 及中小盘宽基受青睐，行业与风格轮动加快。 在低利率与新考核框架共振下，ETF 正成为资金重构配置路径的关键载体。 // 一、ETF 市场规模概况 // 国内ETF市场最新总规模已突破6万亿元大关，达60019.30亿元 ，产品数量增至1385只，显示出强大的市场活力。 今年以来规模净增约2.27万亿元，较年 初增长幅度超过60%， 增速显著快于往年，反映出投资者对ETF工具的配置需求持续升温。 图一：近三年月频ETF基金规模 登录 Wind 终端 / App 搜索同名 Agent ，获取 ETF 市场洞察 。 // 二、ETF 成交与流动性 // 近期全市场ETF交易活跃度呈现逐步回落趋势， 近一周平均成交额为3558.94亿元，较近一月的4090.22亿元环比下降约13.0%，较近三月的4684.42亿元 进一步缩减24.0%，显示市场整体交投热度有所降温。 图二：近三月日频ETF基金成交额 从结 ...

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing a strong upward trend driven by macroeconomic benefits, policy support, and supply constraints, leading to optimistic market sentiment [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets showed a fluctuating upward trend, with the non-ferrous metal ETF (512400.SH) rising by 1.76% and Zijin Mining increasing by 2.11% [1] - Precious metals are gaining strength due to a weaker US dollar and escalating geopolitical risks, supported by their financial and safe-haven attributes [1] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The industrial metals sector is performing strongly, driven by expectations of macroeconomic easing and rigid supply [1] - Policy encouragement for mergers and acquisitions is expected to enhance the bargaining power of leading companies, reinforcing the sector's logic [1] - Copper is driven by expectations of future supply shortages, while aluminum benefits from low inventory and favorable policies, indicating potential for price recovery [1] Group 3: Sub-sector Insights - The performance of new energy metals and minor metals shows divergence, with raw material shortages being a key variable [1] - Cobalt is supported by expectations of overseas supply disruptions, lithium prices are fluctuating at high levels, and rare earths are adjusting in the short term due to demand impacts, with long-term value reassessment driven by policy [1] - The non-ferrous metal sector is expected to maintain a strong trend supported by macroeconomic, policy, and supply factors, with a focus on the rigid supply logic of copper and aluminum, as well as the allocation value of precious metals [1]

如大势调整，则上述方向可能出现较为容易的布局机会；如大势持续强势，则静待各大指数成功突破前 高后，在震荡中布局。 方向上，以上述景气方向(算力、光伏、储能、电网设备、有色石化)，再结合低位的港股科技、自由现 金流等资产为主，组合更具韧性。 相关ETF 上周(12月22日~12月26日)，离岸人民币破7，A股市场也完成中期调整，日K"八连阳"收涨，接近11月 中旬高点。行业主题方面，有色金属、电力设备等行业涨幅居前。12月24日下午~12月26日，港股因圣 诞休市。 接下来，跨年红包行情能否持续是投资者关注的重点之一。多数机构投资者情绪乐观，认为今年春季躁 动行情有望提前。中信建投（601066）证券回顾以往牛市八连阳案例，发现：牛市中期的八连阳占比较 多，指数在该阶段之后有较大概率维持稳定的涨势，在八连阳结束之后，市场后五个交易日以及后六十 个交易日的涨幅均值分别达1.57%、15.95%。 展望后市，华夏基金投资者回报研究中心王波认为具备两种可能性： ①近期市场持续上涨有力激发人气，增量资金回升，算力、有色、石化、航空航天及高端制造等景气科 技和周期方向持续发力，短期震荡后，指数有望突破前高，大势延续上行并 ...

Group 1 - The mining, non-ferrous metals, and satellite-themed ETFs have all risen over 3% on December 26, with the year-to-date return of ETFs tracking the non-ferrous mining index doubling [1][14] - The satellite ETF (159206) has seen a cumulative increase of over 32% in December, with a net inflow exceeding 2.5 billion yuan, and its latest scale has rapidly increased to over 4.8 billion yuan, doubling since the beginning of the month [2][12][21] - The total scale of the A500 ETF is approaching 300 billion yuan, while the total scale of domestic ETFs is about to surpass 6 trillion yuan [3][13][24] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Stock Connect ETFs experienced a suspension of subscriptions from December 24 to December 26 due to the Hong Kong market closure, leading to a surge in premium rates [1][15][17] - The Hang Seng ETF (159312) rose over 16% during this period, with a premium rate soaring to over 17%, marking a historical high [1][15] - The semiconductor equipment and optical module sectors have shown weaker performance, with multiple ETFs tracking semiconductor materials and equipment indices declining over 1% [2][18] Group 3 - The A500 ETF fund (512050) achieved a record daily trading volume exceeding 15 billion yuan on December 26, while the A500 ETF Huatai-PB (563360) has seen trading volumes surpassing 10 billion yuan for 11 consecutive trading days [5][19] - Recent inflows into the A500 ETF and the Sci-Tech Bond ETF have slowed down, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics [6][20][21] - The A500 ETF has seen net inflows of over 13 billion yuan on multiple occasions, but this has decreased to around 6 billion yuan recently [21]