来源：市场资讯 （来源：宏赫臻财） 紫金黄金国际上市首日大涨，总市值逾3000亿港元，超过山东黄金，成为国内"黄金第一股"。按照黄金 产量，坐拥八大"金山"的紫金黄金国际，在全球排第十一名，由于其增长远超过同行，2025年有望进入 前十。 栥本江湖风云变幻，创业板龙头宁德时代的市值一度超过贵州茅台，如今，紫金矿业凭借子公司紫金黄 金国际挂牌港股，紫金系4家上市公司的总市值也轻易破万亿元，彰显黄金作为避险资产的神力。 来源：新财富杂志（ID：xcfplus） 作者：鲍有斌 9月30日，紫金黄金国际（02259.HK）登陆港交所主板，股价一度涨超66%，总市值逾3000亿港元，超 过山东黄金，成为国内"黄金第一股"。 近年，地缘政治格局变动频繁，各国央行持续吸储黄金，推动作为避险资产的黄金价格大涨，其最新价 格超过3800美元/盎司，黄金开采商的业绩也大幅提升，紫金矿业（601899/02899.HK）旗下的紫金黄金 国际便是其一。 紫金黄金国际严格控制黄金营运成本，毛利率从2023年的26.2%增加至2024年的37.9%，2025年上半年 提升到46.5%，半年净利润已超过2024年全年。其利润接连翻倍，在紫 ...

Market Analysis - The A-share market continues to rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index achieving an eight-day winning streak and total market turnover exceeding 2 trillion yuan, indicating increased market activity [3][4] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3963.68 points, up 0.10%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.54% to 13603.89 points, marking a six-day winning streak [4] - The overall market turnover reached 2.18 trillion yuan, a significant increase of 12.2% from the previous trading day, reflecting heightened liquidity [4][6] Industry Trends - The market is led by the non-ferrous metals sector, with notable performances from companies like Jiangxi Copper and Zijin Mining, which reached historical highs [7] - The launch of the National Venture Capital Guidance Fund aims to attract social capital into key sectors such as integrated circuits, quantum technology, and aerospace, enhancing market enthusiasm for emerging industries [7] - The hard technology sector experienced a pullback, indicating a potential shift in market focus as funds rotate towards sectors with better growth prospects [9] Bond Market - The bond market saw a broad increase, with long-term contracts showing significant gains; the 30-year main contract rose by 0.36% to close at 112.96 yuan [12] - The People's Bank of China conducted a net injection of 368 billion yuan, maintaining a loose monetary environment despite a reduction in the scale of net injections compared to previous days [12] Commodity Market - The commodity index increased, with notable rebounds in aluminum and lithium carbonate prices, reflecting strong market demand and supply constraints [12][16] - The lithium carbonate futures price surpassed 130,520 yuan per ton, reaching a new high for the year, driven by low inventory levels and tight supply expectations [16] Trading Hotspots - Key investment themes include precious metals, commercial aerospace, nuclear fusion, AI applications, and consumer sectors, driven by favorable policies and market dynamics [13][15] - The commercial aerospace sector is gaining traction due to government support and the establishment of new companies, while AI applications are accelerating with advancements from major tech firms [13][15]

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is leading the market with a net inflow of 14.7 billion yuan, indicating strong investor confidence and interest in this sector [1][11]. Group 1: Market Performance - The non-ferrous metal ETF, Huabao (159876), saw a peak increase of 4.19% during the day, ultimately closing with a 3.77% rise, ranking seventh in the overall market ETF performance [1][11]. - The Huabao ETF has attracted a total of 56.11 million yuan in inflows over the past two days, reflecting positive sentiment towards the non-ferrous metal sector [1][11]. - The index tracked by the Huabao ETF has increased by 93.04% since its low on April 8, significantly outperforming major indices like the Shanghai Composite Index (29.75%) and the CSI 300 (28.00%) [3][14]. Group 2: Key Stocks and Their Performance - Key stocks in the sector, such as Yongxing Materials, Guocheng Mining, and Jiangxi Copper, reached their daily limit up, while Zhongkuang Resources and China Aluminum rose over 8% [3][13]. - Major stocks like Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum hit historical highs, indicating strong performance across the sector [3][13]. Group 3: Market Drivers - The recent surge in non-ferrous metals is attributed to several factors: increased geopolitical uncertainty leading to higher demand for safe-haven assets like gold, a weakening dollar encouraging investment in physical assets, rising demand due to AI development and global energy transition, and ongoing supply constraints in copper and other metals [5][17]. - Analysts predict that non-ferrous metals will be at the forefront of market trends in 2026, with gold prices potentially challenging the $5,000 per ounce mark due to central bank purchases [6][17]. Group 4: Investment Strategy - A diversified investment approach through the Huabao ETF and its associated funds is recommended to capture the overall sector performance while mitigating risks associated with individual metal investments [18].

Group 1: Market Overview - The three major indices continued to rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index recording an 8-day winning streak, suggesting a potential return to 4000 points by year-end. The total trading volume reached 2.18 trillion yuan, a new high for December [1][27]. Group 2: Metal Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metal sector led the market, with the Non-ferrous ETF Huabao (159876) surging by 3.77%, marking a new high since its listing. The sector has seen a nearly 94% increase year-to-date, making it one of the standout sectors [2][5][27]. - The lithium battery supply chain experienced a significant rise, with the main contract for lithium carbonate breaking through 130,000 yuan per ton, reaching a new high since November 2023. The chemical ETF (516020) also saw a price increase of over 2% [3][28]. Group 3: Investment Outlook - Institutions remain optimistic about the non-ferrous metal sector, with China International Capital Corporation (CICC) predicting that non-ferrous and precious metals will be part of the "first tier" of upward trends in 2026 [2][7]. - Analysts believe that the current market rally is supported by improved fundamentals, liquidity, and a favorable macroeconomic environment, with the non-ferrous metal sector being in a "golden era" [7][35]. Group 4: Aerospace and Military Sector - The commercial aerospace sector remains active, with the successful launch of 17 low-orbit satellites using the Long March 8 rocket, contributing to the rise of the General Aviation ETF (159231) and Military Industry ETF (512810), both gaining over 1% [4][29]. - The Military Industry ETF Huabao (512810) reached a new high, with a weekly increase of 6.05%, significantly outperforming the market [11][39]. Group 5: Brokerage Sector Performance - The brokerage sector showed signs of activity, with the top brokerage ETF (512000) rising by 1.89% at one point during the day, although it only closed up 0.86%. The sector has lagged behind the market, with a year-to-date increase of only 3.96% [18][20][30]. - Analysts suggest that the brokerage sector is entering a new growth cycle, driven by factors such as increased market activity and opportunities in direct financing for technology enterprises [22][23].

Core Viewpoint - The gold market in 2025 has experienced an unprecedented surge, with international gold prices rising from $2,600 per ounce at the beginning of the year to $4,500 per ounce by December, marking an increase of over 70% [2][4]. Price Surge - Domestic gold jewelry prices have also seen significant increases, with prices per gram rising from around 800 yuan to over 1,400 yuan, and some high-end products exceeding 2,000 yuan per gram [2]. - The gold price has shown a remarkable increase of nearly 72% within a year, leading to a consumer rush driven by the mentality of "buying on the rise" [2]. Historical Context - The last time gold experienced such a dramatic annual increase was in the 1970s, but the current market dynamics are influenced by different factors, including geopolitical uncertainties and a weakening dollar [4]. - The World Gold Council attributes the strong performance of gold in 2025 to a combination of geopolitical and economic uncertainties, a weaker dollar, and the momentum of rising gold prices [4]. Consumer Behavior - The low-interest-rate environment has led to a shift in consumer behavior, with younger generations adopting new investment strategies, such as the "new three gold" model, which includes gold ETFs [5]. - There is a growing trend towards smaller gold items and high-premium ancient gold products, reflecting a change in consumer preferences [6]. Industry Dynamics - The continuous rise in gold prices has created challenges for downstream retail businesses, leading to high inventory levels and increased operational pressures [8]. - Upstream mining companies have benefited from the price surge, with major firms reporting significant profit increases, prompting them to expand resource acquisitions through mergers and acquisitions [7]. Retail Challenges - Retailers are facing multiple pressures, including high inventory levels and the need to close down franchise stores, as seen with major brands like Chow Tai Fook [8]. - Banks are also adjusting their gold investment thresholds in response to market risks, raising minimum investment amounts for gold accumulation plans [9]. Investment Risks - The surge in gold prices has led to risky investment behaviors, such as using consumer loans to purchase gold, which poses significant risks to investors [10]. - The phenomenon of bidding on judicial auction platforms for gold bars has created both opportunities and risks, with some investors experiencing significant losses due to impulsive bidding [10].

Group 1: Market Performance - The industrial metal sector increased by 4.88% compared to the previous trading day, with Guocheng Mining leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3963.68, up 0.1%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13603.89, up 0.54% [1] Group 2: Individual Stock Performance - Guocheng Mining (000688) closed at 29.13, up 10.01%, with a trading volume of 420,400 shares and a transaction value of 1.198 billion yuan [1] - Jiangxi Copper (600362) closed at 48.31, up 10.00%, with a trading volume of 1,004,200 shares and a transaction value of 4.738 billion yuan [1] - Jincheng Mining (603979) closed at 81.50, up 8.55%, with a trading volume of 114,300 shares and a transaction value of 915 million yuan [1] - China Aluminum (601600) closed at 11.84, up 8.03%, with a trading volume of 4,736,300 shares and a transaction value of 5.436 billion yuan [1] Group 3: Capital Flow Analysis - The industrial metal sector saw a net inflow of 3.358 billion yuan from main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 2.312 billion yuan [2] - Major stocks like Jiangxi Copper and Jincheng Mining had significant net inflows from main funds, indicating strong institutional interest [3] - Retail investors showed a tendency to withdraw from the sector, as evidenced by the net outflows recorded [2][3]

人民财讯12月26日电，龙高股份（605086）12月26日公告，公司收到控股股东龙岩投资发展集团有限公 司(下称"投资发展集团")通知，龙岩市国资委与紫金矿业（601899）集团南方投资有限公司(下称"紫金 南投")签订《股权转让合同》，龙岩市国资委拟将其持有的龙岩市投资开发集团有限公司(以下简称"投 资开发集团")4.37%股权转让给紫金南投，转让价格3.98亿元。 此次事项完成后，公司控股股东及实控人不会因此发生实质性变化。龙岩市国资委仍为投资开发集团、 投资发展集团及公司的实控人。 ...

人民财讯12月26日电，龙高股份（605086）12月26日公告，公司收到控股股东龙岩投资发展集团有限公 司(下称"投资发展集团")通知，龙岩市国资委与紫金矿业（601899）集团南方投资有限公司(下称"紫金 南投")签订《股权转让合同》，龙岩市国资委拟将其持有的龙岩市投资开发集团有限公司(以下简称"投 资开发集团")4.37%股权转让给紫金南投，转让价格3.98亿元。 此次事项完成后，公司控股股东及实控人不会因此发生实质性变化。龙岩市国资委仍为投资开发集团、 投资发展集团及公司的实控人。 ...

↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ 沪指8连阳，截至收盘，沪指涨0.1%，深成指涨0.54%，创业板指0.14%。沪深两市成交额2.16万亿，较上一个交易日放量2357亿。 商业航天概念再度爆发，神剑股份7连板，中国卫星3连板，通宇通讯、隆基机械、上海港湾等十余股涨停。 有色大涨，紫金矿业、洛阳钼业均创历史新高。海南自贸概念反复活跃，海南发展6天5板。 造纸、白酒、算力硬件等板块跌幅居前，其中算力硬件概念表现较弱，长光华芯跌超11%。 01 8900亿紫金矿业 历史新高 今天盘中，沪铜期货主力合约、沪金期货主力合约、沪银期货主力合约、铂期货主力合约盘中集体创历史新高，碳酸锂期货主力合约盘中一度突破 13万元/吨关口。 有色金属板块集体走强，两大龙头股紫金矿业、洛阳钼业股价大涨，均创历史新高。 其中紫金矿业大涨4.68%，单日成交额95亿元，最新市值8915亿元。 | 33.53 +1.50 +4.68% CN 融 通 L1 | 64.82万人加自选 ( = = == > | | --- | --- | | 高 33.77 开 32.60 量 286.20万手 总市值 8915.54亿 | | | 低 32. ...

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced fluctuations with the Shanghai Composite Index closing up 0.1% at 3963.68 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.54% at 13603.89 points, and the ChiNext Index up 0.14% at 3243.88 points, while the STAR Market 50 Index fell 0.24% to 1345.83 points [1] - The total market turnover reached 2.18 trillion yuan, with over 3400 stocks declining [1] Sector Performance - The commercial aerospace sector saw a significant surge, with companies like Shenjian Co. achieving a seven-day consecutive rise, and China Satellite and others hitting the daily limit [1][7] - The lithium mining sector also performed well, with Tianji Co. achieving three gains in four days, and several stocks including Fulu Technology and Yongxing Materials hitting the daily limit [1][6] - The Hainan Free Trade Zone concept showed strong activity, with Hainan Development achieving five gains in six days [1][4] - The precious metals and non-ferrous metals sectors rose due to increasing international prices, with companies like Xiaocheng Technology and Jiangxi Copper hitting the daily limit [1][2][3] Institutional Insights - Debon Securities predicts a "slow bull" market for A-shares in 2026, supported by stable indices and ongoing capital market development [8] - Dongwu Securities suggests that while the commercial aerospace sector has shown strong performance, future participation may become challenging, recommending focus on AI applications and key industries related to the 14th Five-Year Plan [9][10] - Huafu Securities anticipates a wave-like market progression, emphasizing technology and transformation as key themes in the ongoing bull market [11] - UBS Wealth Management expects continued upward momentum in the Chinese stock market, driven by advanced manufacturing and technology, with a focus on AI and digital infrastructure [12]