Core Viewpoint - The Hang Seng Index opened with a slight increase of 0.07%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index experienced a minor decline of 0.1% [1] Company Performance - WuXi AppTec saw a decline of over 3% [1] - NIO experienced a drop of more than 2% [1] - Zijin Mining reported an increase of over 2% [1]

Group 1: Project Overview - The "Northeast Zhai Gold Mine Exploration" project in Songpan County, Sichuan Province has passed the evaluation by the Sichuan Mineral Resources Reserve Evaluation Center, revealing an additional gold resource of 28.24 tons, bringing the total confirmed gold resources to 81.06 tons, classifying it as a super-large scale mine with an average gold grade of 3.75 grams per ton [1][2] - The exploration work was conducted by the Tenth Geological Brigade of the Sichuan Geological and Mineral Exploration and Development Bureau, with significant efforts including nearly 100,000 meters of drilling and over 4,000 meters of tunnels [1] Group 2: Financial Implications - The total confirmed gold resource at the Northeast Zhai Gold Mine is estimated to be approximately 260 million ounces, valued at over 76 billion RMB based on current spot gold prices [1] - The exploration rights are held by Songpan County Zijin Industry and Trade Co., Ltd., which has a registered capital of 180 million RMB and is backed by several stakeholders including Zijin Mining Group [2][3] Group 3: Company Background - Zijin Mining Group is a large multinational mining group engaged in the exploration and development of metal mineral resources, listed on both Shanghai A-shares and Hong Kong H-shares [6] - In the latest quarterly report, Zijin Mining reported a revenue of 254.2 billion RMB for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 10.33%, and a net profit of 37.864 billion RMB, up 55.45% year-on-year, surpassing the total net profit for the previous year [6]

Group 1 - The A-share market opened with mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.08%, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext indices fell by 0.03% and 0.11% respectively [2][3] - The non-ferrous metal industry showed a collective rise, with tin and aluminum leading the gains, while the AI computing power concept remained active, with Cambrian rising over 3% [3] - The CPO concept experienced a general pullback, with sectors such as lithium batteries, aquaculture, and real estate mostly declining, and Vanke A opening down nearly 5% [3] Group 2 - The Hong Kong market opened with the Hang Seng Index up by 0.07%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 0.1%, with tech stocks like Baidu Group dropping over 1% [4] - The non-ferrous sector in Hong Kong also saw gains, with China Aluminum rising over 4% and Zijin Mining up nearly 3%, while Vanke Enterprises opened down over 5%, close to its historical low [4] - The People's Bank of China conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 356.4 billion yuan at an interest rate of 1.40%, with 300 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing today [4]

Group 1: Project Overview - The "Northeast Zhai Gold Mine Exploration" project in Songpan County, Sichuan Province has passed the evaluation by the Sichuan Mineral Resources Reserve Evaluation Center, revealing an additional gold resource of 28.24 tons, bringing the total confirmed gold resources to 81.06 tons, classifying it as a super-large scale mine with an average gold grade of 3.75 grams per ton [2] - The total confirmed gold resource of the Northeast Zhai Gold Mine is approximately 260 million ounces, valued at over 76 billion RMB based on current spot gold prices [2] Group 2: Company Information - The exploration rights for the Northeast Zhai Gold Mine are held by Songpan County Zijin Industry and Trade Co., Ltd., which was established in 2005 with a registered capital of 180 million RMB [2][3] - The company has a shareholding structure that includes 30% held by Aba State Guoxin Mineral Resources Development Co., Ltd., 23.8% by Zijin Mining Group Co., Ltd., 23.1% by Yunnan Jingwei Mining Investment Co., Ltd., and 23.1% by the Geological Exploration Team of the Sichuan Provincial Bureau of Geology and Mineral Resources [2][3] Group 3: Market Context - The market has seen a rise in gold prices, with international gold prices significantly increasing, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, leading to a decline in U.S. Treasury yields and a weaker dollar [4] - As of the latest reports, the London gold price has risen by over 50% year-to-date, while domestic gold prices have also shown a similar trend, with the Shanghai Gold Exchange Au99.99 contract fluctuating above 900 RMB per gram [4][5]

Core Insights - The exploration project for the Dongbeizhai gold mine in Songpan County, Sichuan Province, has been approved, revealing an additional gold resource of 28.24 tons, bringing the total confirmed gold resources to 81.06 tons, categorizing it as a super-large mine with an average gold grade of 3.75 grams per ton [1] - The total confirmed gold resources are estimated to be approximately 260 million ounces, valued at over 76 billion RMB based on current gold prices [1] Company Overview - The exploration rights for the Dongbeizhai gold mine are held by Songpan County Zijin Industry and Trade Co., Ltd., which has a mining area of 4.8605 square kilometers, with the certificate valid from August 9, 2023, to August 9, 2028 [1][2] - Songpan County Zijin Industry and Trade Co., Ltd. was established in 2005 with a registered capital of 180 million RMB. The company has multiple shareholders, including Aba State Guoxin Mineral Resources Development Co., Ltd. (30%), Zijin Mining Group Co., Ltd. (23.8%), and others [2][3] Industry Context - Zijin Mining Group is recognized as the leading gold company globally in the Forbes 2025 Global 2000 list, based on various metrics such as revenue, profit, assets, and market capitalization [3] - The company has significant mineral resource reserves, including over 1.1 million tons of copper and 3,973 tons of gold, positioning it as a major player in the metal mining industry [4] - Recent market trends indicate a rise in gold prices, with international gold prices increasing significantly, and domestic gold prices also showing a substantial rise, reflecting a broader trend in the precious metals market [4]

Investment Strategy Overview - The report emphasizes that gold prices are expected to rise due to the anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, with a potential reduction of about 75 basis points. This is supported by increasing global ETF demand and stable industrial demand for gold [5][6][8]. - The copper market is projected to face a supply shortage in 2026, driven by the growing demand from renewable energy sectors and AI developments, while supply constraints arise from declining ore grades and geopolitical risks [6][8]. - Tungsten is highlighted for its strategic importance, particularly in high-tech and defense sectors, with strong demand expected from automation and military spending, while supply remains tight due to China's control over production [7][8]. - Cobalt supply is anticipated to decrease significantly due to export restrictions from the Democratic Republic of Congo, while demand from electric vehicle batteries and portable devices is expected to grow, leading to a widening supply gap [8][8]. Industry Performance Review - The steel industry index increased by 22.24% from December 31, 2024, to November 21, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 9.05 percentage points. The steel sub-sectors showed varied performance, with special steel and common steel experiencing growth [19][20]. - The non-ferrous metals industry index surged by 65.71% during the same period, significantly outperforming the CSI 300 index by 52.53 percentage points, indicating strong overall sector performance [19][20]. - In terms of revenue, the steel industry reported a total of 14,252.05 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 6.18%, but with a notable recovery in net profit [27][34]. - The non-ferrous metals sector achieved a revenue of 28,220.96 billion yuan in the same period, marking a year-on-year growth of 9.30%, with substantial increases in net profit across various sub-sectors [34][38]. Key Recommendations - The report recommends maintaining an "overweight" rating on companies such as Zhongjin Gold, Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Huayou Cobalt, reflecting confidence in their performance amid favorable market conditions [3][11].

Group 1 - The A-share market showed mixed performance on November 26, with major indices fluctuating, while sectors like pharmaceuticals and semiconductors saw gains, whereas shipbuilding and aerospace sectors faced declines [1] - The net outflow of main funds in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 11.01 billion yuan, with 15 sectors experiencing net inflows, particularly automotive, textile and apparel, and comprehensive industries, each exceeding 300 million yuan [1] - The basic chemical industry led the net outflow with 1.13 billion yuan, followed by social services, real estate, and non-bank financial sectors, each exceeding 600 million yuan [1] Group 2 - Five stocks recorded net inflows exceeding 1 billion yuan, with a total of 63 stocks seeing net inflows above 100 million yuan [2] - The CPO concept stocks continued to strengthen, with New Yisheng and Zhongji Xuchuang attracting net inflows of 1.646 billion yuan and 1.306 billion yuan, respectively [3] - Yangguang Power saw a net inflow of 1.243 billion yuan, while Inspur Information reported a net inflow of 1.128 billion yuan, with the company announcing a share buyback of 2.25 billion yuan [4] Group 3 - At the market close, the main funds experienced a net outflow of 1.541 billion yuan, with retail and food and beverage sectors leading in net inflows [5] - Three stocks, including Yaowang Technology and Dongxin Co., saw net inflows exceeding 100 million yuan at the close, with Dongxin Co. hitting the daily limit [6]

Industry Overview and Price Trends - The steel industry is entering a demand off-season, leading to increasing fundamental pressure on steel prices, which are expected to fluctuate at low levels in the short term [2] - Copper supply remains tight due to accidents at major overseas mines, providing support for copper prices. China's significant waste copper imports may face constraints if the EU restricts exports, potentially tightening domestic copper supply next year [2] - Aluminum prices are expected to remain volatile due to weak demand in the domestic off-season and a lack of support from the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations [2] - Gold prices face upward pressure due to better-than-expected U.S. non-farm employment data and diverging opinions among Federal Reserve officials [2] - The lithium industry shows positive fundamentals, with adjustments to trading rules for lithium carbonate contracts aimed at curbing speculative behavior, leading to increased price volatility in the short term [2] - Rare earth prices are expected to fluctuate without significant improvement in downstream demand [2] Weekly Strategy - For the steel industry, the implementation of steady growth policies is expected to improve the competitive landscape and enhance profitability, with demand in shipbuilding and construction likely to increase [3] - The copper industry is anticipated to benefit from tightening global supply due to accidents at major mines, while demand is expected to rise in key sectors such as electric power grids and new energy vehicles [3] - In the aluminum sector, the release of new alumina project capacities is expected to keep alumina prices low, while demand from new energy vehicles and high-voltage power grids may support aluminum prices [4] - Gold prices will be influenced by U.S. economic data, Federal Reserve interest rate expectations, and geopolitical tensions, with long-term factors such as central bank gold purchases enhancing gold's attractiveness [4] - The rare earth industry is expected to see a revaluation of related companies due to upgraded export controls, with strategic value in resources and advancements in robotics and new energy sectors driving future demand [4] - The cobalt market is projected to remain tight due to constrained supply from the Democratic Republic of Congo, while demand from new energy vehicles and consumer electronics is expected to support prices [5] Investment Ratings - The report maintains a "positive" rating for the steel industry and the non-ferrous metals sector, with specific companies such as Luoyang Molybdenum (603993), Zhongjin Gold (600489), Huayou Cobalt (603799), Zijin Mining (601899), and China Aluminum (601600) receiving "overweight" ratings [6]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that the Chinese government is directing the restriction of excess capacity and the closure of illegal copper smelting operations, which is expected to positively impact copper prices and major copper companies [1] Industry Summary - The Chinese Nonferrous Metals Industry Association's vice president, Chen Xuesen, indicated government measures to limit overcapacity in the copper industry [1] - The implementation of these measures is anticipated to benefit copper prices significantly [1] Company Summary - Morgan Stanley believes that Zijin Mining (02899) has a 70% to 80% chance of seeing its stock price rise within the next 15 days due to the expected positive impact of government measures on the copper market [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that the Chinese government is taking measures to limit excess capacity in the copper industry, which is expected to positively impact copper prices and major copper companies [1] Company Summary - Zijin Mining (601899)(02899) is identified as having a 70% to 80% chance of its stock price increasing within the next 15 days due to the anticipated government measures [1]