文｜财华社 进入2026年，黄金的上涨之势未曾稍歇，金价还在一路攀升，并于1月26日历史首次突破5100美元的整数关口，但随后遭遇回落。而截至1月27日发稿时 间，金价再涨近1.6%，现报5085美元/盎司，非常接近前一日创下的历史新高价位。 有分析称，近年金价飙升主要围绕去美元化、美联储独立性、央行购金、美国关税、地缘冲突以及传统实际利率定价框架相关的通胀、就业及美联储降息 预期等逻辑交易。 多家企业购入金矿资产 同期，江西铜业也发出正式要约，拟以约8.67亿英镑现金收购英国上市公司索尔黄金（SolGold），其主要目标为拥有厄瓜多尔卡斯卡维尔铜金矿项目。 机构对黄金后市有何看法？ 需要指出的是，金价新高之际的扩产引起了投资者的广泛关注。而从机构观点来看，金价的长期前景似乎仍有值得期待的地方。 建信期货今日发文称，从长周期看，地缘政治风险冲击全球政治经济贸易货币体系，地缘政治风险带来的避险需求和全球贸易货币体系重组带来的储备分 散化需求持续推高金价波动中枢；特朗普2.0以美国利益为核心推行关税武器化并循丛林法则重构地缘战略空间，全球政治经济贸易货币体系加速重组， 黄金长周期牛市基础进一步巩固，目前金价继续运 ...

业内人士近日表示，在新的信用体系下，黄金或将成为所有资产估值的锚。洪灏分析认为，在"十五 五"规划建议方向明确、市场轮动有序的背景下，2026年中国资本市场有望保持稳健。预计大宗商品周 期将沿"贵金属-有色金属-能源"路径传导，从而带来板块轮动机会。 有色金属ETF(512400)紧密跟踪中证申万有色金属指数，中证申万有色金属指数从沪深市场申万有色金 属及非金属材料行业中选取50只上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映沪深市场有色金属行业上市公司证 券的整体表现。指数前十大权重股分别为紫金矿业、洛阳钼业、北方稀土、华友钴业、中国铝业、赣锋 锂业、山东黄金、云铝股份、中金黄金、藏格矿业。 有色金属ETF(512400)，场外联接(A类：004432；C类：004433)。 银河证券指出，伴随美元走弱，资金持续撤离风险资产，而市场对美国货币政策独立性存在一定担忧， 美欧分歧反复升级，再叠加中东等区域地缘局势不确定上升，共同促使避险资金向贵金属板块集中， 金、银贵金属价格同步突破历史区间，持续刷新历史新高。 1月26日晚间，紫金矿业发布重磅海外并购公告，公司旗下控股上市平台紫金黄金国际，拟以55亿加元 （约合人民币280 ...

Market Performance - A-shares showed a slight increase with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.18% to 4139.9 points, and the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.09%[1] - The Hang Seng Index rebounded, rising 1.35% to 27126.95 points, with the Hang Seng Technology Index up 0.5% and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index up 1.07%[1] - The total market turnover in Hong Kong was 2543.726 billion HKD[1] Currency and Federal Reserve Insights - Trump downplayed concerns over the dollar's depreciation, leading to a significant drop in the dollar index, with the euro rising above 1.20 against the dollar[1][12] - The Federal Reserve is expected to pause its interest rate cuts, indicating a potential consensus on policy direction[1][12] Economic Sentiment - A survey by the People's Bank of China revealed that more households are looking to increase savings and reduce spending compared to before the latest round of the US-China trade war, reflecting a more pessimistic outlook on income[8][12] - The market is closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, with expectations of no changes this week[12]

Summary of Longking Environmental Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Longking Environmental - **Industry**: Environmental Protection Equipment, focusing on air pollution control in both power and non-power sectors - **Market Position**: Leading company with stable market share, primarily in the thermal power auxiliary equipment sector, accounting for 60%-70% of orders [2][3] Key Points and Arguments Business Performance - Longking Environmental's main business is air pollution control, with stable growth expected to maintain profits above 1 billion [3] - The company has a strong order backlog, with approved projects set to be operational by 2027, ensuring revenue certainty for the coming years [2][3] Green Energy Initiatives - Following the acquisition by Zijin Mining, Longking has introduced a green electricity direct connection business, becoming the only smart green electricity player in the market [2][4] - Zijin Mining aims to increase its green energy usage to over 50%, creating significant growth opportunities for Longking, with projected profits exceeding 1 billion and a market value of over 15 billion from current projects [6][4] Mining Card Business - The mining card business is in its early stages, with Zijin Mining requiring 500 units annually. Longking anticipates shipping 100 units by 2026, which could contribute 500 million in profits if demand is met [7] Historical Development and Export Growth - Longking was established in the 1970s, initially importing GE equipment and later achieving full domestic production by 1993, becoming the top brand in the industry [8] - The company has seen stable growth in orders and is entering a high-growth phase, with rapid expansion in export business driven by increasing demand for air pollution control in high-energy-consuming industries [9] Market Confidence and Investment Recommendations - Zijin's share purchase prices indicate market confidence, with significant support levels around 12-16 yuan [10] - Longking is viewed as a stable growth company with substantial potential, suggesting that long-term investors should consider buying during market corrections for better returns [10] Green Electricity Project Viability - Tibet is identified as the most suitable region for green electricity projects due to high electricity costs and weak grid infrastructure, making solar and storage projects economically viable [11] - Zijin Mining has several profitable green electricity projects in Tibet and the Democratic Republic of Congo, with high return rates [12] Future Outlook - Zijin Mining's future prospects are optimistic, with expectations that its new energy business profits will surpass traditional business profits by 2027 or 2029 [14] - The company anticipates a minimum market value of 25 billion, potentially reaching over 50 billion as green projects come online [15]

记者｜董鹏 编辑｜朱益民 紫金矿业（601899.SH）开年首单并购，选择了加拿大的金矿企业。 1月26日，紫金矿业公告，计划通过其控股子公司紫金黄金国际，以44加元/股的现金价格，收购联合黄金全部已发行的普通股，收购对价共计 约55亿加元（约合人民币280亿元）。 后者核心资产，为位于非洲马里、科特迪瓦与埃塞俄比亚的多个金矿，相关项目预计2025年产金11.7～12.4吨，后续经过改扩建及新建产能释 放，到2029年产金将提升至25吨。 紫金矿业2024年调整后的五年产量规划为，2028年矿产金目标为100-110吨，而在2025年公司矿产金已经达到90吨。 后续，一旦对联合黄金的收购完成并实现并表，紫金矿业将提前两年达成百吨产金目标。 此外，近两年随着金、铜价格的上涨，该公司外部并购也呈现出了明显的"项目大型化"特点，新购金矿项目预期产量普遍在5吨/年以上，并且 百亿级收购案明显增加。 根据21世纪经济报道记者此前不完全统计，截至2025年12月下旬，包括紫金矿业、洛阳钼业、江西铜业等在内的多家企业，全年海外金矿资产 收购总额达到297亿元。 "公司认为，在当前金价已大幅上涨的背景下，通过进一步找矿勘探、 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.18% to close at 4139.9 points, with a daily high of 4158.8 points [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.09% to close at 14329.91 points, reaching a peak of 14403.6 points [1] - The ChiNext Index saw a gain of 0.71%, closing at 3342.6 points, with a maximum of 3366.68 points [1] Margin Trading and Securities Lending - The total margin trading and securities lending balance in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 27144.35 billion yuan, with a financing balance of 26969.49 billion yuan and a securities lending balance of 174.86 billion yuan [2] - The margin trading balance decreased by 20.86 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [2] - The Shanghai market's margin trading balance was 13772.62 billion yuan, down by 12.4 billion yuan, while the Shenzhen market's balance was 13371.73 billion yuan, decreasing by 8.46 billion yuan [2] Fund Issuance - Nine new funds were launched yesterday, including the Huabao CSI Photovoltaic Industry Index Fund and the E Fund Stable Bond A [4] - The complete list of newly issued funds includes various mixed and bond funds [4][5] Top Net Purchases on the Dragon and Tiger List - The top ten net purchases on the Dragon and Tiger list included Pingtan Development with a net purchase of 93131.93 million yuan and Dongxin Co., Ltd. with 78225.8 million yuan [6][7] - Other notable net purchases included Huaten Technology and Hongjing Technology, with net purchases of 61389.88 million yuan and 37077.65 million yuan, respectively [7]

2026 年 01 月 27 日 铜铝下游开工率有所回升，高价接受度提升 推荐(维持) 投资要点 | 分析师：傅鸿浩 | S1050521120004 | | --- | --- | | fuhh@cfsc.com.cn | | | 分析师：杜飞 | S1050523070001 | | dufei2@cfsc.com.cn | | 行业相对表现 表现 1M 3M 12M 有色金属(申万) 24.5 37.5 131.2 沪深 300 1.1 -0.2 23.3 市场表现 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 -50 0 50 100 150 (%) 有色金属 沪深300 相关研究 1、《有色金属行业周报：1 月美联 储进一步降息的概率较高，黄金上 行动力较足》2026-01-20 2、《有色金属行业周报：美国非农 就业人数不及预期，贵金属进一步 上行》2026-01-13 3、《有色金属行业周报：LME 铜库 存注销，推动铜价走高》2025-12- 09 ▌贵金属：PCE 数据温和叠加年内仍将降息，支撑贵 金属价格 价格方面，周内伦敦黄金价格为 4946.25 美元/盎司，环比 1 月 16 日+335.20 ...

记者｜董鹏 编辑｜朱益民 紫金矿业（601899.SH）开年首单并购，选择了加拿大的金矿企业。 1月26日，紫金矿业公告，计划通过其控股子公司紫金黄金国际，以44加元/股的现金价格，收 购联合黄金全部已发行的普通股，收购对价共计约55亿加元（约合人民币280亿元）。 后者核心资产，为位于非洲马里、科特迪瓦与埃塞俄比亚的多个金矿，相关项目预计2025年产 金11.7～12.4吨，后续经过改扩建及新建产能释放，到2029年产金将提升至25吨。 紫金矿业2024年调整后的五年产量规划为，2028年矿产金目标为100-110吨，而在2025年公司 矿产金已经达到90吨。 后续， 一旦对联合黄金的收购完成并实现并表， 紫金矿业将提前两年达成百吨产金目标。 此外， 近两年随着金、铜价格的上涨，该公司外部并购也呈现出了明显的"项目大型化"特 点，新购金矿项目预期产量普遍在5吨/年以上，并且百亿级收购案明显增加。 根据21世纪经济报道记者此前不完全统计，截至2025年12月下旬，包括紫金矿业、洛阳钼 业、江西铜业等在内的多家企业，全年海外金矿资产收购总额达到297亿元。 而紫金矿业上述单笔并购金额，便已经与去年中资矿企海外" ...

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index (SHCOMP) slightly up by 0.03% and the CSI 500 down by 0.67% [1] - Total market turnover reached 1.89 trillion RMB, indicating a stable trading environment despite fluctuations [1] Key Points on Market Dynamics - The AI hardware sector regained market focus, particularly in semiconductors and CPO concepts, leading to significant gains [2] - Dongxin Co., Ltd. (688110.SH) saw a 20% surge due to its subsidiary's launch of a new GPU, highlighting the strong interest in AI-related technologies [2] - Conversely, small-cap stocks continued to decline, with the CSI 2000 index dropping by 1.23% [2] - The battery materials sector faced challenges, primarily due to fluctuations in lithium carbonate futures and disappointing annual results from Multi-Flor (002407.SZ), which fell by 7.35% [2] Financial Performance Insights - Industrial profits in December showed a significant year-on-year recovery of 4.9%, contrasting with a decline of 13.0% in November [3] - However, industrial revenue decreased by 5.7% year-on-year, compared to a slight decline of 0.4% in November, indicating a mixed outlook for the industrial sector [3] - Goldman Sachs noted that the volatility in industrial profits exceeded the macroeconomic fundamentals reflected in December's industrial production and PPI inflation [3] Investment Strategy - Current market dynamics suggest a balanced buying and selling strategy, with investments being made in gold, semiconductors, and AI data center (AIDC) sectors while selling off CPO, metals, and aerospace sectors [3]

截至2026年1月28日 09:45，中证沪深港黄金产业股票指数(931238)强势上涨4.32%，成分股晓程科技涨 超12%，中国黄金、莱绅通灵、豫园股份、湖南黄金均涨停。 黄金股ETF(517520)高开高走涨超4%。买贵金属，就看黄金股ETF(517520)。拉长时间看，截至2026年1 月27日，黄金股ETF近1周累计上涨15.09%。 紫金矿业表示，在当前金价已大幅上涨的背景下，通过进一步找矿勘探、经济技术重新评价以及技术升 级改造等措施，联合黄金资源储量有进一步提升空间。 相关机构指出，近期黄金价格的上涨不仅源于其避险属性，也受益于"抛售美国"交易逻辑的再现，市场 对美国资产信心产生动摇、降息周期与地缘局势紧张形成黄金价格上行的合力。目前黄金波动率有所提 高，但市场结构或仍相对健康。展望后市，美联储降息周期、海外不确定性加剧、全球去美元化趋势、 央行和Tether等发行商购金等，黄金的长逻辑仍然稳固。 素有金价放大器之称的黄金股ETF（517520），在金价上涨的阶段呈现出更高弹性！买黄金资产，就买 弹性更大，流动性佳的黄金股ETF（517520）。 永赢$黄金股ETF(517520)$及其联接基 ...