铜铜铜铜 铜铜铜 2 0 2 6 / 1 / 2 7 作者：刘诗瑶 联系人：周小鸥 从业资格证号：F3041949 从业资格证号：F03093454 交易咨询证号：Z0019385 邮箱：zhouxiaoou@zjtfqh.com 邮箱：liushiyao@zjtfqh.com 审核：李文涛 交易咨询证号：Z0015640 我公司依法已获取期货交易咨询业务资格 本周观点 ◼ 上周，铜价探低回升，沪期铜最高触及99500元/吨附近支撑表现良好，LME铜短线支持位在12700美元/吨。本周初来看，有色板块在贵金属点 燃市场情绪下，开始走高，预计铜价短期内有望上探前期历史高位，等待更高的机会出现新一轮上攻。 ◼ 特朗普最新的倡议是他的"和平委员会"——在达沃斯高调发布。该委员会的抱负如今显然已远远超出最初稳定和重建加沙的目标。特朗普 政府正在做的是打造一个联合国以外的替代性论坛。市场更担忧的在于，特朗普政府任期还剩三年，他反复无常的举动引发重大危机的可能 性相当高——从全球经济到国际政治体系，再到美国自身民主与社会的稳定。在这种情况下，对于美国的盟友而言，对美国"去风险化"似 乎是唯一理性的策略。但在一个美国仍然是 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant surge in gold prices, with spot gold breaking through $5300 per ounce, marking a historical high and a cumulative increase of nearly $1000 in January, representing a rise of over 22% [1] - The current price of gold in various markets shows a notable increase, with London gold at $5304.613 per ounce, up 2.37%, and COMEX gold at $5288.7, up 4.06% [2] - Domestic gold jewelry prices have also surged, with major brands quoting prices above 1600 RMB per gram, reflecting the international price increase [2] Group 2 - Gold mining companies are reporting strong earnings forecasts, with Zhongjin Gold expecting a net profit of 4.8 to 5.4 billion RMB for 2025, an increase of 41.76% to 59.48% year-on-year [5] - Hunan Gold anticipates a net profit of 1.27 to 1.608 billion RMB for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 50% to 90% due to rising sales prices of gold and other products [5] - Zijin Mining forecasts a net profit of approximately 51 to 52 billion RMB for 2025, a significant increase from 32.051 billion RMB in the previous year, driven by strong international gold prices [6]

- The financing balance of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets increased by 139.05 billion yuan to 26,969.49 billion yuan last week[13][16] - The top five stocks with the highest net financing purchases last week were Ping An Insurance (601318), New Easys (300502), Zijin Mining (601899), Tianfu Communication (300394), and Industrial Bank (601166)[48][50] - The top five stocks with the highest net securities lending sales last week were BYD (002594), Chifeng Gold (600988), BlueFocus (300058), Kweichow Moutai (600519), and Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138)[48][52] - The financing balance of the ETF market was 1142.77 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.40 billion yuan from January 20[43] - The top five ETFs with the highest net financing purchases were Huaxia SSE 50ETF, Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300ETF, GF CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank ETF, Huaan Gold ETF, and Harvest CSI 300ETF[45][46]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a significant surge in the non-ferrous metal sector driven by rising risk aversion and expectations of interest rate cuts, with the Penghua Non-Ferrous ETF (159880) rising over 7.3% and 14 constituent stocks hitting the daily limit up [1] - Southwest Securities indicates that both precious metals and industrial copper sectors are showing positive expansion, with resource-advantaged companies continuously increasing reserves and production, and upcoming production from marine gold mining projects [1] - As of January 28, 2026, the Guozheng Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Index (399395) has surged by 6.31%, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as Silver Non-Ferrous (up 10.04%), China Aluminum (up 10.02%), and Yunnan Copper (up 10.02%) [1] Group 2 - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the Guozheng Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Index (399395) include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and others, collectively accounting for 51.65% of the index [2] - The Penghua Non-Ferrous ETF (159880) closely tracks the Guozheng Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Index, which selects 50 securities from the non-ferrous metal industry based on size and liquidity, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in this sector [1][2]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.27%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.09%. However, the ChiNext Index fell by 0.57% after opening high and dropping over 1% during the day [1] - Over 3,600 stocks in the market experienced declines [2] Sector Performance - Resource stocks led the market, with significant gains in precious metals, oil and gas, and electrolytic aluminum sectors. Notable performances included China Gold with four consecutive trading days of gains, Hunan Gold with three consecutive gains, and China Aluminum hitting a 16-year high [2] - The dyeing and finishing chemicals sector saw collective gains, with Zhejiang Longsheng, Runtou Co., and Yabong Co. reaching their daily price limits [3] - The storage chip sector was active, with Zhongwei Semiconductor and Qipai Technology both hitting their daily price limits [4] - Conversely, the pharmaceutical and medical sectors faced significant declines, with Baipusais and Bibete dropping over 10%, and Heng Rui Pharmaceutical experiencing 11 consecutive days of decline [5] Trading Volume - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.97 trillion yuan, an increase of 704 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [6] Individual Stock Highlights - Zijin Mining had a trading volume exceeding 27.2 billion yuan, while Zhongji Xuchuang reached over 20.8 billion yuan in trading volume [7] - Notable individual stock performances included: - Zijin Mining: +4.16%, latest price 42.30 yuan, trading volume 27.285 billion yuan [8] - Zhongji Xuchuang: +2.01%, latest price 628.00 yuan, trading volume 20.819 billion yuan [8] - BlueFocus: -8.29%, latest price 20.36 yuan, trading volume 18.446 billion yuan [8] - Ningde Times: +0.17%, latest price 339.99 yuan, trading volume 15.638 billion yuan [8] - Sunshine Power: -3.34%, latest price 152.90 yuan, trading volume 14.757 billion yuan [8]

1月28日，沪深两市成交额合计2.97万亿元，较上一交易日放量约704.29亿元。其中，沪市成交额1.37万 亿元，深市成交额1.6万亿元。紫金矿业成交额居首，为272.85亿元。其后是中际旭创、蓝色光标、宁德 时代、阳光电源，成交额分别为208.19亿元、184.46亿元、156.38亿元、147.57亿元。 ...

花旗预计，公司收购已投产的金矿将提升紫金的黄金产量和盈利能力。当前金价下，收购价格具吸引 力。但本次收购尚待Allied Gold股东大会批准、加拿大安大略省高等法院批准，以及包括加拿大和中国 监管机构在内的主要监管批准。并相信此次收购进一步证明紫金通过紫金黄金国际发展其黄金资产组合 的承诺。 智通财经APP获悉，紫金矿业(02899)涨超3%，截至发稿，涨3.09%，报44.74港元，成交额56.49亿港 元。 消息面上，近日，紫金矿业及紫金黄金国际联合公布，紫金矿业控股的紫金黄金国际与联合黄金签署 《安排协议》，紫金黄金国际拟以44加元/股的现金价格，收购联合黄金全部已发行的普通股，收购对 价共计约55亿加元(约合人民币280亿元或40亿美元)。"联合黄金"指 Allied Gold Corporation，一家总部 位于加拿大的黄金矿业公司。联合黄金旗下项目均为在产或即将投产的大型露天开采金矿，并购当年即 可贡献产量与利润。 ...

紫金矿业（601899）(02899)涨超3%，截至发稿，涨3.09%，报44.74港元，成交额56.49亿港元。 花旗预计，公司收购已投产的金矿将提升紫金的黄金产量和盈利能力。当前金价下，收购价格具吸引 力。但本次收购尚待Allied Gold股东大会批准、加拿大安大略省高等法院批准，以及包括加拿大和中国 监管机构在内的主要监管批准。并相信此次收购进一步证明紫金通过紫金黄金国际发展其黄金资产组合 的承诺。 消息面上，近日，紫金矿业及紫金黄金国际联合公布，紫金矿业控股的紫金黄金国际与联合黄金签署 《安排协议》，紫金黄金国际拟以44加元/股的现金价格，收购联合黄金全部已发行的普通股，收购对 价共计约55亿加元(约合人民币280亿元或40亿美元)。"联合黄金"指Allied Gold Corporation，一家总部位 于加拿大的黄金矿业公司。联合黄金旗下项目均为在产或即将投产的大型露天开采金矿，并购当年即可 贡献产量与利润。 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The non-ferrous metal sector experienced a significant rise, with major companies like Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum seeing substantial gains [1][4] - The oil and gas extraction sector also strengthened, with "three major oil companies" collectively rising, including China National Offshore Oil Corporation increasing over 7% [8] - The overall market sentiment towards resource stocks extended to other cyclical sectors such as chemicals, steel, and coal, all of which saw upward movement [1][11] Group 2: Specific Sector Performance - Precious metals led the gains in the non-ferrous metal sector, with stocks like Zhaojin Mining, Sichuan Gold, and Hunan Gold hitting the daily limit [5][7] - The chemical sector benefited from price increase themes, with specific products like epoxy propylene and glyphosate seeing price hikes [11][12] - The semiconductor sector was also active, with companies like Zhongwei Semiconductor rising over 14% after announcing price increases of 15%-50% for certain products due to supply chain pressures [14] Group 3: Economic Indicators - The US dollar index fell significantly, reaching a near four-year low, influenced by market speculation regarding potential currency interventions by the US and Japan [10] - Analysts predict that oil prices may see a bottoming out and potential recovery in mid-2026, driven by demand recovery and global inventory accumulation [10]

21世纪经济报道记者 叶麦穗 北京时间1月28日，现货黄金突破5250美元/盎司，最高触及5257.468美元/盎司，年内涨幅突破21%，继 续刷新历史最高纪录。 21世纪经济报道记者注意到，当天黄金板块也跟着水涨船高，截至中午收盘，黄金板块大涨3.88%，板 块包括晓程科技、恒邦股份、招金黄金、四川黄金、湖南黄金和西部黄金在内的个股集体涨停。 | 10 20.01 ** 479226 | 301500 飞暗曲源 | | | 21,11 | 352 | 2131 | | | | 0.00 | | 1853 | 21.31 | 1820 | 17.59 | 44.42 | 24176 | 国家治理 | 1. 38 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2.3 20.01 | 300139 龄图科技 | 1 | | 70.60 | 11.77 | TO 60 | - 585551 | | 13 | 0. ...