Investment Rating - The steel industry is rated as "Positive" and the non-ferrous metals industry is also rated as "Positive" [4] Core Views - The report highlights a rebound in steel prices, driven by downstream replenishment intentions and macroeconomic "anti-involution" messages, while cautioning against price volatility due to speculative demand [4][16] - The report emphasizes the potential for demand growth in special steel sectors due to high-altitude corrosion environments [3][16] - The report notes that aluminum prices are expected to fluctuate in the short term due to insufficient fundamental support, despite positive macro sentiment [3][48] - Lithium prices are supported by "anti-involution" news, but there are concerns about oversupply and speculative demand [3][54] - The report indicates a significant increase in China's rare earth exports in June, with expectations for further growth in July [3][67] Summary by Sections Steel Industry - Steel prices have rebounded, with downstream purchasing intentions increasing; however, speculative demand may lead to price fluctuations [4][16] - As of July 25, the total steel inventory was 13.30 million tons, down 0.11% from the previous week and down 22.78% year-on-year [26] - The average price index for steel on July 25 was 3,606.18 CNY/ton, up 4.16% from the previous week [39] Copper - The copper market is experiencing tight supply and low inventory, which supports prices; however, the market is currently in a seasonal lull [41] - As of July 25, LME copper spot prices were 9,800 USD/ton, up 1.25% from the previous week [46] Aluminum - The aluminum market is under pressure from seasonal demand, with expectations of inventory accumulation; however, macroeconomic sentiment remains positive [48] - As of July 25, LME aluminum spot prices were 2,700 USD/ton, up 2.53% from the previous week [49] Precious Metals - Gold prices are under pressure due to reduced risk aversion following trade agreements between the US and other countries [51] - As of July 25, COMEX gold closed at 3,338.50 USD/oz, down 0.51% from the previous week [51] New Energy Metals - The lithium sector is expected to see accelerated capacity clearance, with prices for battery-grade lithium carbonate rising to 74,000 CNY/ton, up 12.12% from the previous week [55] - The report highlights the potential for new demand in the lithium sector due to government policies supporting solar energy [54] Rare Earths and Minor Metals - The report notes a significant increase in the price of light rare earths, with praseodymium-neodymium oxide priced at 513,500 CNY/ton, up 7.31% from the previous week [67] - Tungsten concentrate prices rose to 188,000 CNY/ton, up 4.44% from the previous week [69]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the non-ferrous metals industry [2]. Core Views - Precious metals are expected to continue their upward trend, with gold prices rising and a favorable long-term outlook. The gold-silver ratio has reached a peak of over 100 this year, and as gold prices stabilize, silver prices are expected to rise to restore the ratio [5]. - Industrial metal prices are on the rise, driven by significant infrastructure projects, such as the Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project, which is expected to boost overall demand and support metal prices [5]. - The report highlights a positive outlook for the non-ferrous metals sector, particularly in precious metals, as the Federal Reserve enters a rate-cutting cycle and domestic monetary policies strengthen [5]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Data Review 1.1 Precious Metals - Gold prices have increased by 0.26% and silver by 2.24% in the week of July 21-25, 2025. The gold-silver ratio has decreased to 86.13, indicating potential for silver price increases [5]. 1.2 Industrial Metals - Prices for copper, aluminum, lead, zinc, tin, and nickel have increased by 1.8%, 1.7%, 0.7%, 3.4%, 3.7%, and 3.7% respectively. The overall demand is expected to rise due to major infrastructure projects [5][28]. 1.3 Minor Metals - Prices for praseodymium-neodymium oxide have increased by 7.5% weekly, with a year-on-year increase of 41.3%. Tungsten prices have also risen significantly, indicating a recovery in manufacturing demand [5][30][32]. 1.4 Energy Metals - Lithium concentrate prices have risen by 10.5% weekly, while cobalt prices remain stable. Nickel prices have also increased, reflecting growing demand in the energy sector [5][35]. 2. Market Data - The non-ferrous metals sector has seen a 6.70% increase, with specific segments like industrial metals and energy metals rising by 4.72% and 12.40% respectively during the week [36]. 3. Important Events Review - Notable events include President Trump's visit to the Federal Reserve, where discussions on interest rates took place, indicating potential future monetary policy changes that could impact the metals market [43].

Core Viewpoint - The market shows a strong sentiment with significant sector rotation, indicating potential investment opportunities in undervalued sectors like photovoltaics and technology [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of July 29, 2025, the CSI A500 Index (000510) increased by 0.14%, with notable gains in stocks such as Tianfu Communication (300394) up 12.77% and Tiger Medical (300347) up 11.05% [1]. - The A500 ETF fund (512050) rose by 0.10%, with the latest price at 1.02 yuan [1]. Group 2: Sector Analysis - Short-term analysis suggests a significant rotation effect in the market, with a focus on undervalued sectors like photovoltaics for potential valuation recovery [1]. - Long-term, the technology sector is expected to provide narrative effects, with recommendations for a barbell strategy that includes increasing allocations to technology and communication sectors while maintaining dividend stock allocations [1]. Group 3: Index Composition - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI A500 Index include Kweichow Moutai (600519), Contemporary Amperex Technology (300750), and Ping An Insurance (601318), collectively accounting for 20.67% of the index [2]. - The top ten stocks by weight are as follows: - Kweichow Moutai: 0.09% increase, 3.81% weight - Contemporary Amperex Technology: 1.58% increase, 2.88% weight - Ping An Insurance: 0.73% decrease, 2.58% weight - China Merchants Bank: 0.20% decrease, 2.46% weight - Industrial Bank: 0.61% decrease, 1.68% weight - Yangtze Power: 0.07% increase, 1.59% weight - Midea Group: 0.76% decrease, 1.53% weight - Zijin Mining: 1.06% decrease, 1.39% weight - BYD: 0.79% increase, 1.30% weight - Eastmoney Information: 0.62% decrease, 1.26% weight [4].

Group 1 - The metal zinc sector experienced a decline of 1.74%, ranking among the top losers in the concept sector, with *ST Zhengping hitting the limit down, and Zhejiang Fu Holdings, Huaxi Nonferrous, and Hunan Gold also showing significant declines [1] - The main funds in the metal zinc sector saw a net outflow of 955 million yuan, with 29 stocks experiencing net outflows, and 6 stocks seeing outflows exceeding 50 million yuan [2] - The stock with the highest net outflow was Xingye Yinxin, with a net outflow of 131 million yuan, followed by Zhejiang Fu Holdings, Huayu Mining, and Hunan Silver, with net outflows of 123 million yuan, 81.92 million yuan, and 78.92 million yuan respectively [2] Group 2 - The top gainers in the market included PCB concept (+4.33%), military equipment restructuring concept (+4.08%), and PET copper foil (+4.03%), while the coal concept and metal zinc were among the top losers [2] - The net inflow of main funds was observed in stocks such as Zijin Mining, Hongda Co., and Western Mining, with net inflows of 47.60 million yuan, 24.09 million yuan, and 17.70 million yuan respectively [2][3] - The trading volume and turnover rates varied among the stocks, with notable outflows from stocks like Xingye Yinxin (-2.67%, turnover rate 3.41%) and Zhejiang Fu Holdings (-6.00%, turnover rate 9.02%) [3]

Group 1 - The metal lead concept declined by 1.70% as of the close on July 28, ranking among the top declines in the concept sector, with companies like Zhejiang Fu Holdings, Huaxi Nonferrous, and Hunan Gold experiencing significant drops [1] - The metal lead concept saw a net outflow of 1.204 billion yuan from main funds today, with 26 stocks experiencing net outflows, and 8 stocks seeing outflows exceeding 50 million yuan. The largest net outflow was from Chifeng Gold, which had a net outflow of 233 million yuan [2] - The stocks with the largest net outflows in the metal lead concept included Chifeng Gold, Xingye Silver Tin, and Zhejiang Fu Holdings, with net outflows of 233 million yuan, 131 million yuan, and 123 million yuan respectively [2][3] Group 2 - The top gainers in the concept sectors today included PCB concept with a gain of 4.33%, while the metal lead concept was among the top decliners with a drop of 1.70% [2] - The main funds saw net inflows in stocks such as Zijin Mining, Western Mining, and Tibet Summit, with net inflows of 47.6 million yuan, 17.7 million yuan, and 7.3 million yuan respectively [2]

Group 1 - Zhejiang Dingli achieved a net profit of 1.051 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 27.49% [1] - The company reported an operating income of 4.336 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.35% [1] - Basic earnings per share were 2.08 yuan [1] Group 2 - Dexin Technology announced that its shareholder plans to reduce its stake by no more than 1%, equating to 2.3351 million shares [1] - The company specializes in the research, design, manufacturing, and sales of lithium battery cutting molds and precision components [1] Group 3 - Fangda Group signed new orders worth 970 million yuan in the second quarter of 2025 [1] - The total amount of signed but uncompleted contracts reached 4.916 billion yuan by the end of the second quarter [1] Group 4 - Warner Pharmaceutical's shareholder plans to reduce its stake by no more than 1.3 million shares, which is approximately 0.9899% of the total share capital [3] - The company focuses on the research, production, and sales of chemical raw materials and traditional Chinese medicine [3] Group 5 - Zijin Mining's vice president plans to reduce his holdings by no more than 250,300 shares [4] - The company is engaged in the exploration and development of mineral resources, including gold, copper, and lithium [4] Group 6 - Shenkong Co. received government subsidies totaling 14.9 million yuan [6] - The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of large-diameter silicon materials and semiconductor products [6] Group 7 - Jincai Hulin's shareholder plans to reduce its stake by no more than 2.5%, which amounts to 19.4798 million shares [1] - The company is involved in heat treatment equipment manufacturing and related services [1] Group 8 - New Media Co. plans to reduce its stake by no more than 6.8434 million shares, approximately 2.99% of the total share capital [1] - The company focuses on IPTV, internet audio-visual services, and content copyright [1] Group 9 - Aidi Pharmaceutical received a drug registration certificate for its product in Zanzibar, allowing for commercial sales [8] - The product is a new drug developed for the treatment of HIV-1 infection [8] Group 10 - Changlan Technology plans to reduce its stake by no more than 1%, equating to 1.9311 million shares [10] - The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of power cable accessories [10] Group 11 - Qiaofeng Intelligent announced that two shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 2.14% of the total share capital [12] - The company focuses on the research, production, and sales of CNC machine tools [12] Group 12 - Junxin Co. signed a tripartite preliminary agreement to build a solid waste disposal power facility valued at approximately 280 million USD in Almaty [13] - The company specializes in waste incineration power generation and related environmental services [13] Group 13 - Qinglong Pipe Industry signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement with Tian Shan High-tech [14] - The company is involved in the research, production, and sales of high-quality water supply pipes [14] Group 14 - Defang Nano's shareholder plans to reduce its stake by no more than 1%, equating to 2.7954 million shares [1] - The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of lithium-ion battery materials [1] Group 15 - ST Lutong's specific shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 3%, including 2 million shares through centralized bidding and 4 million shares through block trading [1] - The company focuses on cable television network equipment and smart control systems [1] Group 16 - Tongzhou Electronics reported a net profit of 203 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a significant turnaround from a loss of 36.08 million yuan in the previous year [17] - The company achieved an operating income of approximately 540 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 606.52% [17] Group 17 - Rebecca reported a net profit of 9.3759 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15.31% [18] - The company achieved total operating revenue of approximately 598 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.20% [18] Group 18 - Ruixin Technology's shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 4.9493 million shares, which is up to 3% of the total share capital [20] - The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of precision aluminum alloy components [20]

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities has raised the target price for Zijin Mining to HKD 26 and reiterated a buy rating, despite a forecasted increase in copper and gold costs for the year [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Zijin Mining's management predicts copper production for the year will be between 10,700 to 10,800 tons, consistent with last year's levels [1] - The company remains optimistic about the long-term potential of the Kamoa-Kakula project [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - Following President Trump's announcement of a 50% tariff on imported copper, copper prices initially fell but have since continued to rise [1] - The average copper price year-to-date is USD 9,469 per ton, reflecting a 4% year-on-year increase [1] - The forecasted copper price for this year is USD 9,557 per ton, also a 4% year-on-year increase, with an expected price of USD 9,634 per ton in the second half, a 2% increase from the first half [1] Group 3: Financial Projections - Bank of America Securities has adjusted Zijin Mining's net profit forecast down by 2% for this year, but has increased the forecasts for 2026 and 2027 by 1% and 5%, respectively [1] - The target price for Zijin Mining has been raised from HKD 23 to HKD 26 [1]

Market Overview - The FTSE China A50 Index showed mixed performance among bank stocks, while oil, coal, and electric power stocks declined [1][6] Banking Sector - Everbright Bank had a market capitalization of 242.84 billion with a trading volume of 0.38 billion, closing at 4.11, up by 0.03 (0.74%) [3] Insurance Sector - China Life Insurance had a market capitalization of 382.10 billion, with a trading volume of 1.46 billion, closing at 59.62, up by 1.12 (2.99%) [3] - China Pacific Insurance had a market capitalization of 371.44 billion, with a trading volume of 1.02 billion, closing at 38.61, up by 1.54 (2.65%) [3] - Ping An Insurance had a market capitalization of 1,085.69 billion, with a trading volume of 5.02 billion, closing at 8.64, up by 0.17 (2.01%) [3] Alcohol Industry - Kweichow Moutai had a market capitalization of 1,806.43 billion, with a trading volume of 3.41 billion, closing at 122.78, down by 16.99 (-1.17%) [3] - Shanxi Fenjiu had a market capitalization of 221.85 billion, with a trading volume of 1.14 billion, closing at 1438.01, down by 3.73 (-2.01%) [3] - Wuliangye had a market capitalization of 476.58 billion, with a trading volume of 1.31 billion, closing at 181.85, down by 0.76 (-0.62%) [3] Technology Sector - Haiguang Information had a market capitalization of 246.59 billion, with a trading volume of 1.20 billion, closing at 341.73, down by 0.23 (-0.07%) [3] - Northern Huachuang had a market capitalization of 282.22 billion, with a trading volume of 4.45 billion, closing at 674.60, up by 1.30 (0.19%) [3] - Cambricon Technologies had a market capitalization of 32.38 billion, with a trading volume of 1.79 billion, closing at 139.31, down by 2.18 (-1.54%) [3] Energy Sector - Sinopec had a market capitalization of 269.58 billion, with a trading volume of 5.34 billion, closing at 5.88, down by 0.11 (-1.27%) [3] - PetroChina had a market capitalization of 1,566.66 billion, with a trading volume of 8.05 billion, closing at 8.56, down by 0.06 (-1.08%) [3] Automotive Sector - BYD had a market capitalization of 1,846.26 billion, with a trading volume of 5.87 billion, closing at 37.78, down by 0.47 (-2.26%) [3] Securities Sector - CITIC Securities had a market capitalization of 363.53 billion, with a trading volume of 32.66 billion, closing at 29.86, up by 0.41 (2.03%) [4] Consumer Electronics - Luxshare Precision had a market capitalization of 272.89 billion, with a trading volume of 23.13 billion, closing at 28.83, up by 0.17 (0.59%) [4] Home Appliances - Gree Electric had a market capitalization of 228.16 billion, with a trading volume of 10.44 billion, closing at 25.72, down by 0.09 (-0.19%) [4] Pharmaceutical Sector - Heng Rui Medicine had a market capitalization of 404.93 billion, with a trading volume of 4.53 billion, closing at 48.52, up by 4.61 (8.17%) [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that gold prices have been significantly influenced by speculative demand and short-term arbitrage, but long-term demand from central bank purchases and financial investments is expected to support gold prices, leading to a potential rise above $3,700 per ounce by the end of the year [1] - The market anticipates that the Federal Reserve may signal interest rate cuts, which would support liquidity and consequently gold prices, amidst ongoing geopolitical uncertainties [1][2] - The gold stock ETF has shown a year-to-date net value increase of 29.36%, with a historical one-year profit probability of 100% [3] Group 2 - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Hong Kong and Shanghai Gold Industry Index account for 66.13% of the index [4] - The performance of the top ten holdings in the gold stock ETF shows mixed results, with some stocks experiencing declines while others, like Zijin Mining and Chow Tai Fook, have seen slight increases [7] - The gold stock ETF fund has a management fee rate of 0.50% and a custody fee rate of 0.10%, indicating a relatively low cost for investors [3]

截至2025年7月28日 09:56，中证A500指数上涨0.25%，成分股光迅科技10cm涨停，兴森科技上涨9.29%，胜宏科技上涨8.36%，恒瑞医药上涨6.35%，金发科 技上涨5.98%。A500ETF嘉实(159351)红盘蓄势。 A500ETF嘉实紧密跟踪中证A500指数，中证A500指数从各行业选取市值较大、流动性较好的500只证券作为指数样本，以反映各行业最具代表性上市公司证 券的整体表现。 数据显示，截至2025年6月30日，中证A500指数前十大权重股分别为贵州茅台、宁德时代、中国平安、招商银行、兴业银行、长江电力、美的集团、紫金矿 业、比亚迪、东方财富，前十大权重股合计占比20.67%。 申万宏源证券指出，目前阶段，时间已经是牛市的朋友，因为时间是基本面改善和增量资金流入的朋友。反内卷显著提升了2026年中游制造供需格局改善的 可见度。远期有困境反转预期的情况下，2025年下半年经济验证承压可能只会带来短期波折。居民全面增配权益的条件仍有欠缺，但赚钱效应已加速累积。 A股全面增量博弈的时间可能提前。 华泰证券表示，当前交易性资金热度仍在、政策窗口期临近下，市场或仍偏强运行，底部升高，高位 ...