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晨光股份(603899):2024年年报点评:2024Q4暂承压,2025年经营改善可期
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company with a target price of 35.79, down from the previous forecast of 37.86 [2][12]. Core Insights - The company's performance is currently under pressure due to increased expenses, but the advancement of new retail business and trends in emotional consumption are expected to drive performance improvement [3][12]. - The company has adjusted its earnings forecast for 2025-2026, now estimating EPS of 1.63 and 1.80 respectively, down from previous estimates of 2.24 and 2.60 [12]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 24,228 million in 2024 to 31,427 million by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.8% [5]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to recover from 1,396 million in 2024 to 1,838 million in 2027, with a notable increase in net profit margin from 6.0% in 2024 to 6.2% in 2027 [5]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to improve from 15.7% in 2024 to 17.1% in 2027 [5]. Market Performance - The stock has a 52-week price range of 25.28 to 39.86, with a current market capitalization of 26,985 million [6]. - The stock's performance over the last 12 months shows a relative decline of 28% compared to the Shanghai Composite Index [10]. Business Operations - In Q4 2024, the company's traditional business, KeliPu, and new retail segments reported revenues of 20.8 million, 46.7 million, and 3.6 million respectively, with new retail showing a growth of 4% year-on-year [12]. - The company plans to maintain its expansion in the new retail sector, with the number of stores increasing to 741 by the end of 2024, up by 39 from the previous quarter [12].
晨光股份:线下零售延续压力,积极探索IP产品
Xinda Securities· 2025-03-26 12:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the analysis suggests a focus on long-term growth and product innovation, indicating a positive outlook for the company's future performance [1][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 24.228 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.8%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.396 billion yuan, down 8.6% year-on-year [1]. - The traditional core business continues to face pressure, but the company is optimizing its product structure and exploring IP-enabled products to enhance its offerings [2]. - The company is committed to long-term strategies, focusing on product innovation, lean management, and international market expansion to maintain its core competitiveness [1][2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 242.48 billion yuan, with a net profit of 13.96 billion yuan, and a non-recurring net profit of 12.34 billion yuan [1]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 was reported at 18.9%, unchanged from the previous year, while the net profit margin decreased to 5.8% [5][6]. - The company expects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 1.613 billion yuan, 1.854 billion yuan, and 2.123 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 16.7X, 14.6X, and 12.7X [5][6]. Business Segments - The traditional core business (excluding lifestyle stores and科力普) generated approximately 89.18 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, with a slight profit margin decline expected [2]. -科力普 achieved a revenue of 138.31 billion yuan in 2024, marking a 3.9% increase year-on-year, although net profit decreased by 19.7% [3]. - The retail segment, including晨光生活馆 and九木杂物社, reported a revenue of 14.79 billion yuan, with a 10.8% increase year-on-year [3]. Product Development and Strategy - The company is focusing on product innovation and optimizing its product structure to enhance competitiveness, particularly in the stationery and office supply sectors [2]. - There is a strong emphasis on developing IP products to attract younger consumers, with the潮玩 brand experiencing rapid growth [2][3]. - The company is also expanding its retail footprint, with a total of 779 retail stores by the end of 2024, an increase of 120 stores from the beginning of the year [3].
晨光股份(603899):线下零售延续压力,积极探索IP产品
Xinda Securities· 2025-03-26 12:02
证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 投资评级 [Table_StockAndRank] 晨光股份(603899) [Table_S 事件:公司发布 ummary]2024 年年报。2024 年实现收入 242.48 亿元(同比+3.8%), 归母净利润 13.96 亿元(同比-8.6%),扣非归母净利润 12.34 亿元(同比 -11.8%);单 Q4 实现收入 71.14 亿元(同比-5.0%),归母净利润 3.74 亿元 (同比-13.5%),扣非归母净利润 3.06 亿元(同比-23.9%)。传统核心产品 减量提质,优化产品结构,精品文创持续产品创新提供情绪价值;零售大店 延续扩张,提升品牌影响力和市场洞察;科力普积极拓展用户,数字化赋能 运营。虽然宏观消费需求不足,但是公司坚持长期主义,坚持产品创新、精 益管理和国际市场拓展,核心竞争力保持稳健。 传统核心线下延续压力,优化产品结构,IP 赋能文具。根据我们测算,2024 年公司传统核心业务(总收入-生活馆-科力普)实现收入约 89.18 亿元(同 比+2.4%),利润率预计小幅下滑;其中 Q4 收入 20.78 ...
晨光股份(603899):全年稳健收官,文创龙头变革前行
Huafu Securities· 2025-03-26 11:13
华福证券 公 司 研 究 晨光股份(603899.SH) 全年稳健收官,文创龙头变革前行 投资要点: 公 事件:公司发布 2024 年报。全年实现营收 242.28 亿元同比+3.8%,归 母净利润 13.96 亿元同比-8.6%,扣除股份支付后归母净利润 14.7 亿元同比 -2.81%。单 Q4 实现营收 71 亿元同比-5%,归母净利润 3.7 亿元同比-13.5%。 全年拟分红比例为 65.61%。 司 财 报 点 评 传统核心强化内功,新业务稳步发展。分业务:①传统核心:全年营 收 93 亿元同比+2%,其中晨光科技 11.4 亿元同比+33%。公司坚持多渠道 发展,坚持从批发商向零售服务商转型赋能终端经营质量提升,开拓办公 及精品直供创造增量。②科力普:全年实现营收 138 亿元同比+3.9%,产品 端着力拓展营销礼品及 MRO 工业品供应链的开发,客户端存量客户深耕 与增量客户拓展并进,业绩保持稳健增长。③零售大店:实现营收 14.8 亿 元同比+10.8%,其中九木杂物社营收 14.06 亿元同比+13%,零售大店 779 家,九木杂物社 741 家,零售大店年内净开店 120 家。分产品:书 ...
晨光股份(603899):传统业务待恢复,线上、出海表现佳
HTSC· 2025-03-26 08:13
证券研究报告 晨光股份 (603899 CH) 传统业务待恢复,线上/出海表现佳 | 华泰研究 | | 年报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 3 月 | 26 日│中国内地 | 消费轻工 | 晨光股份发布年报,2024 年实现营收 242.28 亿元(yoy+3.76%),归母净 利 13.96 亿元(yoy-8.58%),略低于我们此前预期(15.63 亿元),我们判 断主要系:1)C 端及 B 端行业需求有所放缓,带动传统核心业务及 B 端集 采业务增速下移(据中国文教体育用品协会,24 年全国文教办公用品制造 业营收同比-1.6%);2)渠道建设/品牌推广等销售费用及股份支付等管理费 用增加所致。展望 25 年,公司计划加强产品创新与爆款打造,加强 IP 赋能, 聚焦渠道深耕,传统核心业务有望修复,同时持续发力零售大店,壮大科力 普业务,看好公司收入增长提速,维持"增持"评级。 传统核心业务有待复苏,线上/出海收入表现优秀 分业务看:1)我们测算 24年传统核心业务线下收入为 81.8亿元/同比-1.2%, 我们判断主要系终端需求偏弱影响,25 年公司计划重点聚焦产品力 ...
晨光股份:主业短期承压,提升分红积极回馈股东-20250326
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-03-26 02:36
业绩简评 3 月 25 日公司发布 24 年度报告,24 全年实现营收 242.28 亿元, 同比+3.8%,归母净利润 13.96 亿元,同比-8.6%,扣除股份支付 后的归属于上市公司股东的净利润 14.46 亿元,同比-2.8%。其中 Q4 营收 74.9 亿元,同比-5.04%,归母净利润 3.74 亿元,同比 -13.5%。 经营分析 传统核心:终端动销表现短期承压,积极布局 IP&二次元文创。 传统核心业务 24 年营收 93.3 亿元(+2.1%),Q1/Q2/Q3/Q4 同比 +11.7%/+5.7%/-1.9%/-3.7%。书写/学生/办公文具营收 24.3/34.7/35.7 亿元(同比+6.7%/+0.1%/+1.7%),尽管终端需求偏 弱,但公司仍积极进行产品开发减量提质,提高单款上柜率和销 售贡献,自主孵化及与外部 IP 合作相结合,扶持渠道提升终端动 销。晨光科技延续快速成长,24 年营收 11.44 亿元(+33.5%)。毛 利率角度,24 年书写/学生/办公/其他产品毛利率同比+0.99/持平 /持平/-0.96 pct,后续关注新品产品力提升兑现。 科力普受招标节奏影响阶段性 ...
晨光股份: 上海晨光文具股份有限公司关于变更部分回购股份用途并注销的公告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-03-25 11:46
晨光股份: 上海晨光文具股份有限公司关于变更部 分回购股份用途并注销的公告 证券代码:603899 证券简称:晨光股份 公告编号:2025-010 上海晨光文具股份有限公司 关于变更部分回购股份用途并注销的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示: ? 变更回购股份用途:上海晨光文具股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")拟 将回购专用证券账户中 2022 年股份回购方案的回购股份用途进行变更,由"用 于股权激励或员工持股计划"变更为"用于注销并相应减少注册资本"。 ? 拟注销股份数量:2,858,043 股。 ? 本次变更回购股份用途并注销事项尚需提交公司股东大会审议通过后实 施。 公司于 2025 年 3 月 24 日召开第六届董事会第十次会议,审议通过了《关于 变更部分回购股份用途并注销的议案》。公司拟将回购专用证券账户中已回购的 于注销并相应减少注册资本"。现将相关情况公告如下: 一、回购股份实施情况 股份 2,858,043 股,占公司总股本的比例为 0.31%,回购均价 52.49 元/股,使 用 ...
晨光股份: 关于上海晨光文具股份有限公司非经营性资金占用及其他关联资金往来情况汇总表的专项审计报告(2024年度)
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-03-25 11:35
Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The special audit report for Shanghai M&G Stationery Inc. focuses on the non-operating fund occupation and other related fund transactions for the year 2024, highlighting the financial interactions between the company and its related parties. Group 1: Non-Operating Fund Occupation - The report includes a summary table detailing the non-operating fund occupation by the controlling shareholders, actual controllers, and their affiliated enterprises, although specific figures are not provided in the document [1]. - The total amount of non-operating fund occupation is categorized into different segments, including those from the previous controlling shareholders and other related parties, but specific amounts are not disclosed [1]. Group 2: Related Fund Transactions - The report outlines the related fund transactions, specifying the nature of these transactions and the relationships between the parties involved, although detailed figures are not provided [2]. - It includes a breakdown of the initial balances, cumulative amounts, and repayments related to these transactions, but again, specific numerical data is not included in the document [2].
晨光股份2024年度拟派9.16亿元红包
2024年度轻工制造行业分红排名 晨光股份2024年度拟派9.16亿元红包 3月25日晨光股份(603899)发布2024年度分配预案,拟10派10元(含税),预计派现金额合计为9.16 亿元。派现额占净利润比例为65.61%,以该股2024年度成交均价计算,股息率为3.08%。这是公司上市 以来,累计第11次派现。 公司上市以来历次分配方案一览 | 日期 | 分配方案 | 派现金额合计(亿元) | 股息率(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2024.12.31 | 10派10元(含税) | 9.16 | 3.08 | | 2023.12.31 | 10派8元(含税) | 7.39 | 1.80 | | 2022.12.31 | 10派5元(含税) | 4.62 | 1.01 | | 2021.12.31 | 10派6元(含税) | 5.57 | 0.78 | | 2020.12.31 | 10派5元(含税) | 4.64 | 0.85 | | 2019.12.31 | 10派4元(含税) | 3.68 | 0.99 | | 2018.12.31 | 10派3元(含税) | 2 ...
晨光股份: 上海晨光文具股份有限公司第六届监事会第十次会议决议公告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-03-25 11:13
晨光股份: 上海晨光文具股份有限公司第六届监事 会第十次会议决议公告 证券代码:603899 证券简称:晨光股份 公告编号:2025-005 上海晨光文具股份有限公司 第六届监事会第十次会议决议公告 本公司监事会及全体监事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 一、监事会会议召开情况 上海晨光文具股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")第六届监事会第十次会议 于 2025 年 3 月 24 日上午 9:30 在公司会议室以现场表决方式召开。会议通知已 于 2025 年 3 月 6 日以纸质文件方式发出。会议由监事会主席朱益平召集并主持, 会议应出席监事 3 名,实际出席监事 3 名。会议的召集、召开及表决程序符合 《中华人民共和国公司法》和《上海晨光文具股份有限公司章程》的有关规定, 合法有效。 二、监事会会议审议情况 (一)审议通过《2024 年度监事会工作报告》 表决结果:同意 3 票、反对 0 票、弃权 0 票。 本议案尚需提交股东大会审议。 (二)审议通过《2024 年度财务决算报告》 表决结果:同意 3 票、反对 0 票、弃权 0 票。 ...