Core Viewpoint - The company,拓荆科技, is focused on high-end semiconductor equipment, particularly in the development and industrial application of thin film deposition equipment, which has seen significant demand in the semiconductor manufacturing sector [1][4]. Group 1: Company Performance and Product Development - The company held a performance briefing on December 4, 2025, discussing its operational results and financial metrics for Q3 2025 [1]. - The company has established industrial bases in Shenyang and Shanghai, with a production capacity exceeding 700 sets per year, and is expanding its capacity with a new factory in Shenyang [1]. - The thin film deposition product series, including PECVD, ALD, SACVD, HDPCVD, and Flowable CVD, has achieved industrial application in the storage chip manufacturing sector, with a full order book indicating strong future demand [1][4]. Group 2: Technological Advancements and Market Trends - The company is continuously expanding its thin film deposition product series and increasing production scale, with new equipment platforms and advanced processes entering mass production [2]. - The semiconductor industry is transitioning into a post-Moore era, with rapid technological iterations and the emergence of new structures and materials, driving demand for advanced semiconductor equipment [3]. - The rise in storage prices reflects strong demand in the storage chip market, which may lead to increased production capacity among manufacturers, further driving the need for advanced thin film equipment [4]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The company plans to maintain its core competitiveness through high-intensity R&D investments, focusing on thin film deposition and three-dimensional integration equipment, while expanding into new products and processes required for advanced manufacturing [3]. - The ongoing complexity in storage chip processes and structures is expected to significantly boost the demand for thin film equipment, as manufacturers seek to enhance performance with advanced materials [4].

Core Insights - The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index increased by 1.64% during the week of November 24-28, 2025, with the machinery equipment sector rising by 3.91%, ranking 7th out of 31 in the Shenwan primary industry classification [2][5] - The printing and packaging machinery sub-sector performed the best, with a growth of 9.01% [2][5] - The PE-TTM valuation for the machinery equipment industry increased by 0.33% [2][5] Machinery Equipment Sector - The top three sub-sectors with the highest PE-TTM increases were: engineering components (+13.92%), printing and packaging machinery (+3.61%), and building equipment (+3.42%) [2][5] - The three sub-sectors with the largest declines were: refrigeration and air conditioning equipment (-4.21%), machine tools (-2.5%), and rail transportation III (-2.06%) [2][5] Industry Developments - In the humanoid robot segment, automotive manufacturers are leveraging their technological advancements in intelligent driving to accelerate the development of humanoid robots [2] - Dongfeng Motor plans to launch two self-developed humanoid robots by 2026, targeting 4S stores and smart factories [2] - Changan Automobile intends to invest 225 million yuan to establish a new company focused on the robotics industry, promoting synergy between the automotive and robotics sectors [2] Semiconductor Equipment - Thin film deposition equipment accounts for approximately 22% of global semiconductor equipment sales and is crucial for wafer expansion [3] - Global investment in 300mm wafer fabs is expected to grow by 20% to $116.5 billion in 2025 and by another 12% to $130.5 billion in 2026 [3] - Chinese manufacturers are accelerating capacity and technology development, with companies like Tuojing Technology and Weidao Nano making significant investments in high-end semiconductor equipment [3] Controlled Nuclear Fusion - Private investment in global nuclear fusion has surged from 9.9 billion euros to 13 billion euros in three months, marking an eightfold increase since 2020 [4] - The Chinese Academy of Sciences has initiated an international scientific program for plasma combustion, with global collaboration being emphasized [4] - The fusion technology sector is expected to transition from demonstration to initial scale applications during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, expanding the industry chain [4] Investment Recommendations - Focus on leading robot manufacturers that are enhancing product cost efficiency and expanding distribution channels [4] - Pay attention to domestic equipment suppliers in the thin film deposition and storage testing sectors [4] - Monitor the controlled nuclear fusion supply chain, particularly in tungsten materials and temperature control systems, as they are likely to benefit from ongoing reactor projects [4]

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: Liquidity Impact Coefficient Model - **Model Construction Idea**: This model measures the liquidity impact of index adjustments on individual stocks by calculating the ratio of net fund flows to the stock's recent average daily trading volume[12][13] - **Model Construction Process**: The liquidity impact coefficient for a stock is calculated as follows: $$ impact_{i} = \sum_{k=1}^{N} \frac{\Delta weight_{k,i} \times AUM_{k}}{amt\_avg_{i,20}} $$ - \( \Delta weight_{k,i} \): Estimated weight change of stock \( i \) in index \( k \) - \( AUM_{k} \): Total assets under management of passive products tracking index \( k \) as of the end of November - \( amt\_avg_{i,20} \): Average daily trading volume of stock \( i \) over the past 20 trading days as of the end of November[12][13] - **Model Evaluation**: The model provides a quantitative framework to estimate short-term liquidity shocks caused by index adjustments, but it is subject to data discrepancies and assumptions, which may lead to deviations from actual results[13] --- Model Backtesting Results Liquidity Impact Coefficient Model - **Top 5 Stocks with Highest Positive Impact Coefficients**: - Zhangjiagang Bank (002839 CH): 11.55[15] - Jiangzhong Pharmaceutical (600750 CH): 11.44[15] - Tower Group (002233 CH): 11.04[15] - Jichuan Pharmaceutical (600566 CH): 10.14[15] - Zhengbang Technology (002157 CH): 9.99[15] - **Top 5 Stocks with Highest Negative Impact Coefficients**: - Shenzhen Expressway (600548 CH): -24.95[16] - Vanward Electric (002543 CH): -20.90[16] - Aviation Materials (688563 CH): -14.06[16] - Huaxi Biology (688363 CH): -10.81[16] - Ninghu Expressway (600377 CH): -10.54[16] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. Factor Name: Net Fund Flow Factor - **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor estimates the net fund inflow or outflow for stocks due to index adjustments, based on changes in index weights and the total AUM of passive products tracking the index[9][10] - **Factor Construction Process**: - Outflow Amount: Total AUM of linked products multiplied by the stock's actual weight in the index as of the end of November - Inflow Amount: Total AUM of linked products multiplied by the estimated weight of the stock in the index post-adjustment - Weight estimation is based on free-float market capitalization and index-specific weighting rules, such as dividend yield weighting or market capitalization weighting[9][10] - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor provides a transparent and systematic approach to estimate fund flows, but it is sensitive to assumptions about future index weights and AUM changes[9][10] --- Factor Backtesting Results Net Fund Flow Factor - **Top 5 Stocks with Highest Net Fund Inflows**: - Victory Precision (300476 CH): 112.61 billion CNY[10] - Dongshan Precision (002384 CH): 99.32 billion CNY[10] - Guangqi Technology (002625 CH): 77.81 billion CNY[10] - Sugon Information (603019 CH): 65.44 billion CNY[10] - Top Group (601689 CH): 53.07 billion CNY[10] - **Top 5 Stocks with Highest Net Fund Outflows**: - China Mobile (600941 CH): -40.02 billion CNY[11] - CRRC Corporation (601766 CH): -36.40 billion CNY[11] - Aluminum Corporation of China (601600 CH): -34.29 billion CNY[11] - TCL Zhonghuan (002129 CH): -30.07 billion CNY[11] - Huagong Tech (000988 CH): -27.44 billion CNY[11]

Core Viewpoint - The company,拓荆科技, is intensifying its focus on the high-end semiconductor equipment sector by planning to raise up to 4.6 billion yuan through a private placement to enhance its core competitiveness in the thin film deposition equipment field and support its growth in the semiconductor industry [1][2] Group 1: Fundraising and Investment Plans - The company plans to raise no more than 4.6 billion yuan, with the issuance targeting no more than 35 specific investors and not exceeding 30% of the total share capital prior to issuance [1] - The raised funds will be allocated to three main areas: 1.5 billion yuan for the construction of a high-end semiconductor equipment industrialization base, 2 billion yuan for a cutting-edge technology research and development center, and 1.1 billion yuan for supplementing working capital [2] Group 2: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 4.22 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 85.27%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 557 million yuan, up 105.14% year-on-year, indicating strong business growth [5][6] - The company’s stock price reached 303.3 yuan per share as of November 28, 2025, with a cumulative increase of 97.72% since the beginning of the year, resulting in a total market capitalization of 85.28 billion yuan [1][6] Group 3: Research and Development Focus - The company emphasizes research and development, with R&D expenses increasing significantly from 288 million yuan in 2021 to 756 million yuan in 2024, and a total of 2.484 billion yuan spent over the past five years [6] - As of September 30, 2025, the company had 678 R&D personnel, accounting for 40.72% of the total workforce, with 59 holding doctoral degrees and 416 holding master's degrees [6]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call on Global Semiconductor Capital Equipment Industry Overview - The focus is on the **Wafer Fabrication Equipment (WFE)** market, particularly imports to **China**. - The data indicates a **year-to-date (YTD)** increase of **7%** in WFE imports to China as of October 2025, reflecting strong demand in the region [2][34]. Import Data Highlights - **October 2025** WFE imports to China totaled **USD 3.23 billion**, showing a **month-over-month (MoM)** decrease of **35%** but a **year-over-year (YoY)** increase of **11%** [2][23]. - The **YTD total** for WFE imports reached **USD 32.2 billion**, maintaining a **YoY growth of 7%** [24]. - The largest segment of imports in October was **Lithography**, accounting for **USD 1.03 billion** (32% of total imports), with a **YoY increase of 90%** [24][57]. Equipment Type Performance - **Lithography**: MoM decrease of **25%**, YTD YoY decrease of **10%** [3][24]. - **Deposition**: MoM decrease of **42%**, YTD YoY increase of **13%** [3][24]. - **Dry Etch**: MoM decrease of **27%**, YTD YoY increase of **58%** [3][24]. - **Process Control**: MoM decrease of **66%**, YTD YoY increase of **11%** [3][24]. Regional Insights - The share of imports from **US, Malaysia, and Singapore** increased to **38%** YTD, up from **33%** last year, while Japan's share decreased to **23%** from **26%** [3][42]. - **Shanghai** and **Guangdong** accounted for **58%** of total imports YTD [3]. Company-Specific Insights - **ASML**: Expected to see **China sales** reach **EUR 2.55 billion** in Q4, up **9% sequentially** and **33% YoY**, driven by strong lithography imports [4][68]. - **LRCX**: Anticipated **China revenues** to decrease by **28% QoQ** in December, with China exposure at **32%** of total revenues [5][87]. - **AMAT**: Reported a **23% QoQ decline** in China revenues, with actual exposure at **29%**, lower than regression estimates [6][90]. - **TEL**: Projected a **17% YoY decline** in China revenue [8]. - **Screen**: Expected a significant **84% YoY decline** in China revenue [9]. Investment Implications - **NAURA**: Rated **Outperform** with a target price of **CNY 480.00**, benefiting from domestic WFE substitution in China [12]. - **AMEC**: Rated **Outperform** with a target price of **CNY 380.00**, recognized for its technology and market share gains [13]. - **Piotech**: Rated **Outperform** with a target price of **CNY 375.00**, noted for product innovation [14]. - **Tokyo Electron**: Rated **Outperform** with a target price of **¥39,400**, expected to gain market share [15]. - **Advantest**: Rated **Market-Perform** with a target price of **¥20,400**, benefiting from increased testing intensity [16]. Conclusion - The WFE market in China shows robust demand despite some month-over-month declines, with significant implications for major players in the semiconductor equipment sector. The data suggests a complex landscape with varying performance across different equipment types and companies, highlighting both opportunities and challenges in the market.

Industry Overview - The Chinese bonding machine industry is experiencing rapid development and transformation, playing an irreplaceable role in the manufacturing of integrated circuits, power devices, and optoelectronic devices [1][15] - The industry is driven by continuous national policy support, expanding downstream application markets, and ongoing technological innovation [1][15] Import and Market Trends - In 2024, China's import volume of wire bonding machines is projected to be 10,873 units, a year-on-year increase of 22.78%, with an import value of 4.403 billion yuan, up 22.56% [1][15] - However, in the first three quarters of 2025, the import volume is expected to decline to 7,124 units, a decrease of 13.68%, with an import value of 2.963 billion yuan, down 7.97% [1][15] Domestic Market and Competition - Domestic companies have achieved a certain level of substitution in the mid-to-low-end bonding machine market, but still rely heavily on imports for high-precision and high-efficiency high-end wire bonding machines [1][15] - The industry is characterized by high technical barriers and significant market concentration, with international giants dominating the market while domestic companies strive to catch up [16][17] Key Companies - Major domestic companies include Maiwei Technology, Aotwei, and Tuojing Technology, which are focusing on high-end semiconductor equipment and have shown significant revenue growth [16][18][19] - For instance, Maiwei Technology reported a revenue of 127 million yuan in the semiconductor and display industry for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 496.9% [18] Industry Development Stages - The bonding machine industry in China has gone through five stages, from complete reliance on imports to achieving breakthroughs in high-end bonding technology [6][7] - The current phase is marked by increasing domestic market share for bonding machines, particularly in the mid-to-high-end market, driven by national policies and market demand [7][15] Policy Support - The industry has received multiple policy supports aimed at accelerating high-end and domestic development, including guidelines for equipment updates and technology upgrades [7][8] Future Trends - The future of the bonding machine industry will focus on technological advancements, including ultra-high precision and smart manufacturing [20][21] - There will be a shift towards integrated solutions that combine multiple functions, moving from standalone bonding processes to comprehensive micro-assembly platforms [22]

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices collectively rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.34% to 3888 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.85%, and the ChiNext Index up 0.7% [1] - The total market turnover was 1.6 trillion yuan, a decrease of 125.4 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with over 4100 stocks rising [1] Semiconductor Sector Performance - The semiconductor sector continued to rise, with several ETFs related to semiconductor materials and equipment increasing by over 3% [1] - Specific ETFs such as the Sci-Tech Semiconductor ETF and the Sci-Tech Semiconductor Equipment ETF saw gains of 3.36% and 3.11% respectively [2] Investment Opportunities in Semiconductor Equipment - The Sci-Tech Semiconductor ETF tracks the Sci-Tech Board Semiconductor Materials and Equipment Index, focusing on hard-tech companies in the semiconductor equipment and materials sectors, which are crucial for domestic substitution [5] - The semiconductor equipment ETF closely follows the China Securities Semiconductor Materials and Equipment Index, with 61% in semiconductor equipment and 22% in semiconductor materials, covering key areas like photolithography and etching equipment [5] Growth Projections - A report from DIGITIMES forecasts that global wafer foundry revenue could reach $199.4 billion by 2025, with a year-on-year growth of over 25% and a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.3% from 2025 to 2030 [6] - Domestic semiconductor equipment demand is strong, with companies like North Huachuang reporting Q3 revenue exceeding 10 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 38.31% [7] Capital Expenditure Trends - It is expected that domestic storage manufacturers will contribute significantly to capital expenditures for wafer fabs, driving demand for semiconductor equipment [7] - The capital expenditure forecast for leading internet companies in China and the U.S. is expected to grow rapidly, reaching $430.6 billion in 2025 and $602 billion in 2026, supporting future demand for computing chips [8]

Group 1 - Tianyue Advanced increased by over 9% [1] - Jingyi Equipment and Shenkong Co., Ltd. rose by over 7% [1] - Crystal Integrated, Tuojing Technology, and Weidao Nano also saw gains [1]

Group 1 - The semiconductor sector showed strength on November 28, 2025, with the Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board Chip Index rising by 1.22% [1] - Key stocks such as Jinghe Integrated rose by 11.32%, Tuojing Technology by 6.55%, and Tianyue Advanced by 6.13% [1] - The Chinese semiconductor industry is expected to see the chip design sector exceed 1 trillion yuan by 2030, indicating strong long-term growth potential [1] Group 2 - Dongguan Securities forecasts that artificial intelligence will remain the main innovation line in the technology sector through 2026, benefiting multiple segments including computing power, storage, equipment, and advanced packaging [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board Chip Index account for 60.55% of the index, with major companies including Haiguang Information, Cambricon, and SMIC [1] Group 3 - The Sci-Tech Chip ETF (588200) tracks the Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board Chip Index, providing a convenient tool for investing in the chip sector [2] - Investors without stock accounts can access domestic chip investment opportunities through the Sci-Tech Chip ETF Linked Fund (017470) [3]

Core Insights - The semiconductor equipment sector experienced a significant surge, with the popular semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) rising by 1.79% and achieving a trading volume exceeding 1 billion yuan [1][5] - Key stocks in the sector saw substantial gains, including Jingyi Equipment up 9.53%, Tuojing Technology over 7%, and Tianyue Advanced, Shanghai Xinyang, both over 6% [1] - The report indicates a strong demand for domestic technology and a rise in semiconductor equipment imports, with a projected import value of 4.204 billion USD in September 2025, marking an 18.86% year-on-year increase and a 60.20% month-on-month increase [2][3] Semiconductor Sales Growth - The global semiconductor sales have shown consistent growth since the beginning of 2023, driven by demand from AI and new energy vehicles, with global and Chinese semiconductor sales increasing by 25.13% and 14.94% year-on-year respectively in September 2025 [3] - China's semiconductor sales reached a cumulative total of 149.88 billion USD in the first nine months of 2025 [3] Memory Chip Price Surge - The global memory chip market has experienced a rare price increase, particularly in the DDR5 segment, where prices jumped from 7.68 USD to 15.5 USD in just one month, reflecting a 102% increase [4] - The demand for DRAM and NAND is significantly driven by AI, with expectations of a global memory supercycle, benefiting China's advanced storage capabilities [4] ETF Performance - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) has shown a year-to-date increase of 47%, with the maximum increase exceeding 80% during the period [5][7] - The ETF tracks key companies in the semiconductor industry, with a high concentration in upstream and midstream sectors, accounting for over 72% of the index [7]