证券简称：潍柴动力 证券代码：000338 上海荣正企业咨询服务（集团）股份有限公司 关于 潍柴动力股份有限公司 2023年A股限制性股票激励计划 第一个解除限售期解除限售条件成就 之 独立财务顾问报告 2025年12月 1 | | | 一、释义 | 潍柴动力、公司、 | 指 | 潍柴动力股份有限公司 | | --- | --- | --- | | 上市公司 | | | | 独立财务顾问 | 指 | 上海荣正企业咨询服务（集团）股份有限公司 | | 独立财务顾问报告 | | 上海荣正企业咨询服务（集团）股份有限公司关于潍柴动力股份有限公 | | | 指 | 司2023年A股限制性股票激励计划第一个解除限售期解除限售条件成就 | | | | 之独立财务顾问报告 | | 本次激励计划、本 激励计划、本计划 | 指 | 潍柴动力股份有限公司2023年A股限制性股票激励计划 | | | | 公司根据本激励计划规定的条件和价格，授予激励对象一定数量的公司 | | 限制性股票 | 指 | 股票，该等股票设置一定期限的限售期，在达到本激励计划规定的解除 | | | | 限售条件后，方可解除限售流通 | | 激励对象 | 指 ...

南财智讯12月19日电，潍柴动力在投资者关系活动中表示，2025年前三季度公司M系列大缸径发动机销 售超7700台，同比增长超30%；其中数据中心市场销售超900台，同比增长超3倍。受益于AI技术迭代带 动算力基建加速，数据中心备用电源市场需求快速增长，公司大缸径发动机凭借启动快、加载能力强、 高效可靠等优势，已在国内外多个项目完成交付验收，市场认可度持续提升，后续将积极开拓战略客户 以扩大份额。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Weichai Power is focusing on the SOFC (Solid Oxide Fuel Cell) sector, having signed a technology licensing agreement with Xilius in November 2025, which allows the company to master core technologies related to batteries, stacks, systems, and power stations [1] Group 1 - The company is concentrating on key scenarios such as AI data centers and industrial parks, launching a new generation of high-power metal-supported commercial products [1] - Significant improvements have been made in power generation efficiency, volume power density, start-stop cycles, and startup speed [1] - The company has established intention to cooperate with several leading domestic and international enterprises, laying the foundation for large-scale commercialization [1]

Group 1 - Weichai Power (SZ 000338) announced an investor meeting scheduled for December 19, 2025, from 14:00 to 15:30, where company representatives will address investor inquiries [1] - For the first half of 2025, Weichai Power's revenue composition is as follows: 77.74% from transportation equipment manufacturing, 20.63% from agricultural equipment, and 1.62% from other industries [1] - The current market capitalization of Weichai Power is 152.7 billion yuan [2]

Group 1: SOFC Business Development - The company is continuously deepening its SOFC (Solid Oxide Fuel Cell) business through technological innovations and market deployment, aiming to drive the development of this strategic emerging industry [2] - In November 2025, the company signed a technology licensing agreement with Xilius, enabling full mastery of core technologies related to batteries, stacks, systems, and power stations [2] - The company has launched a new generation of high-power metal-supported commercial products, significantly improving power generation efficiency, power density, start-up speed, and operational reliability, establishing a foundation for large-scale commercialization [2] Group 2: Heavy Truck Industry Trends - According to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, from January to November this year, the cumulative sales of heavy trucks in China reached 1.042 million units, a year-on-year increase of 27.5% [3] - Heavy truck exports totaled 308,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.1%, indicating a diversified energy structure in the domestic heavy truck market [3] - The company is optimistic about the future of the heavy truck industry and is laying out multiple technological routes to adapt to short- and medium-term industry trends [3] Group 3: Large Bore Engine and Data Center Business Progress - In the first three quarters of this year, the sales of the M series large bore engines exceeded 7,700 units, representing a growth of over 30% [3] - Sales in the data center market surpassed 900 units, showing a year-on-year increase of over 300%, contributing significantly to the company's performance [3] - The rapid iteration of AI technology is driving the expansion of the data center backup power market, leading to a surge in demand for high-end engines in this segment [3]

Core Conclusions - The 2026 automotive industry investment strategy emphasizes "breaking old and establishing new," suggesting that the industry is at a crossroads similar to 2011 and 2018, with the end of the electric vehicle (EV) boom and the rise of smart technology [2][3] - The report predicts a total domestic demand of 22 million vehicles in 2026, a decrease of 3.5% year-on-year, with new energy vehicle (NEV) sales expected to reach 13.2 million, an increase of 6.4% [2][10] - The commercial vehicle sector is expected to see a wholesale volume of 1.16 million units in 2026, with a slight increase of 1.5% year-on-year, while the bus sector is projected to maintain strong export growth [2][19] Passenger Vehicle Sector - The passenger vehicle sector is projected to experience a total sales volume of 22 million units in 2026, with NEV sales expected to reach 13.2 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.4% [2][10] - The report highlights the impact of a 5% purchase tax on NEVs starting January 1, 2026, which is expected to support domestic demand [10] - Key investment opportunities include BYD and Jianghuai Automobile in the passenger vehicle sector [2][3] Commercial Vehicle Sector - The heavy truck segment is forecasted to have a wholesale volume of 1.16 million units in 2026, with domestic sales expected to decline by 5.5% to 770,000 units, while exports are projected to grow by 18.8% [2][15] - The bus sector is expected to see a total domestic sales volume of 81,000 units, with exports anticipated to grow by over 30% [2][19] Motorcycle Sector - The motorcycle industry is expected to achieve total sales of 19.38 million units in 2026, representing a year-on-year increase of 14%, with large-displacement motorcycles projected to grow by 31% [2][22] - Domestic sales of large-displacement motorcycles are expected to reach 430,000 units, while exports are projected to grow significantly [22] Investment Opportunities - The report identifies key investment opportunities across various segments, including Yutong Bus and King Long in the bus sector, and Spring Power and Longxin General in the motorcycle sector [2][3] - The focus on L4 RoboX investment opportunities highlights the importance of software over hardware in the autonomous driving sector, with recommended stocks including XPeng Motors and Horizon Robotics [2][3] Growth Trends - The report anticipates a continued focus on smart technology and robotics, with significant growth expected in the L4 RoboX industry and AIDC (Automated Identification and Data Capture) sectors [2][3] - The penetration rate of smart driving technology in new energy vehicles is expected to reach 40% by 2026, with a notable shift in chip supplier market shares [13][14]

Core Insights - The report highlights that the macroeconomic environment in 2026 will be influenced by U.S. midterm election pressures, defense demands in Europe and Japan, and China's focus on stable growth, leading to continued policy easing in the first half of the year [2] - The AI boom is expected to enhance efficiency and stock valuations but may also exacerbate job losses and economic K-shaped divergence [2] - The report suggests that the second half of 2026 may see a rebound in inflation due to global liquidity easing, a weaker dollar, and China's anti-involution efforts, potentially causing volatility in high-valuation assets [2] Industry Outlook Chinese Internet Software - 2026 is seen as a critical year for competing for user attention in the AI era, with a focus on lowering usage barriers, enhancing decision-making efficiency, and creating real value [2] - Companies with stable cash flows supporting AI investments and strong operational capabilities are expected to have higher long-term investment value [5] Semiconductor - The report maintains four core investment themes for 2026: AI-driven structural growth, China's semiconductor self-sufficiency trend, high-yield defensive allocations, and industry consolidation [7] - The global semiconductor market is projected to grow by 26% to $975 billion in 2026, with AI-related segments leading the growth [7] Technology - The global tech industry is expected to experience demand differentiation and accelerated AI innovation, with a focus on AI computing infrastructure and end-user AI products [8] - Key companies to watch include Apple, which is anticipated to have a year of innovation with new AI products [8] Consumer Sectors Essential Consumption - The report identifies three main investment themes: deepening consumption stratification, focusing on essential survival needs, and leveraging overseas expansion to hedge against domestic uncertainties [10][20] - Companies in the food and beverage sector, such as Nongfu Spring and China Resources Beverages, are recommended due to their stable demand and attractive valuations [21] Discretionary Consumption - The outlook for the discretionary consumption sector is cautious, with expected retail sales growth of about 3.5% in 2026, slightly down from 4% in 2025 [11] - The report suggests a focus on survival-type consumption and low-cost emotional comfort products, with recommendations for companies like Luckin Coffee and Bosideng [11][21] Automotive - The Chinese automotive industry is expected to show resilience despite pressures from subsidy reductions and tax incentives, with retail sales of passenger vehicles projected to remain stable [12] - Key trends include intensified competition and the introduction of new models, particularly in the new energy vehicle segment [12] Pharmaceuticals - The innovative drug sector has seen significant growth driven by overseas licensing deals, but future catalysts are expected to shift from upfront payments to milestone achievements [13] - The CXO industry is anticipated to continue its recovery in 2026, supported by a rebound in domestic R&D demand [13] Real Estate - The report forecasts a continued contraction in the real estate market, with total residential sales expected to decline by 8% in 2026 [16][17] - Investment themes include focusing on stock market service providers and companies with strong operational capabilities in commercial assets [18][19]

Core Viewpoint - Weichai Power (000338) is accelerating its layout in new business areas, including new energy and new technologies, to meet diverse market demands [1] Group 1: Business Strategy - The company is advancing the research and development of multiple technology routes, including pure electric power systems, fuel cells, and hybrid technologies [1] - Weichai Power aims to leverage its full industry chain advantages to seize opportunities in the new energy sector [1] Group 2: Market Response - The company is focusing on differentiated product offerings and extensive customer channel resources to drive rapid growth in its new energy business [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company is optimistic about the future development of the heavy truck industry, emphasizing a diversified energy structure and the importance of various energy routes in different application scenarios [1] Industry Summary - In the first eleven months of this year, the cumulative sales of heavy trucks in China reached 1.042 million units, representing a year-on-year growth of 27.5% [1] - Heavy truck exports totaled 308,000 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 15.1% [1] - The domestic heavy truck industry is experiencing a trend towards diversified energy sources, with diesel, natural gas, and electric options each having distinct advantages in various applications [1] Company Strategy - The company plans to strengthen its product matrix to provide comprehensive power solutions across all scenarios and cycles [1] - There will be an acceleration in the deployment of new energy products to meet diverse scenario demands [1] - The company aims to deepen its presence in overseas markets by optimizing products and enhancing personnel collaboration to seize growth opportunities abroad [1]

Core Viewpoint - The rapid development of AI is driving a surge in global electricity demand, presenting significant growth opportunities for the power generation industry [1] Company Summary - Weichai Power (000338) is leveraging precise technology and product offerings, along with forward-looking capacity planning, to rapidly expand its market presence in the power generation sector [1] - The company is diversifying its profit sources through its power generation business, which includes a combination of diesel, natural gas, and SOFC products to meet diverse market demands for both backup and primary power sources [1] - Weichai aims to provide efficient, reliable, safe, and clean data center power solutions while establishing a comprehensive ecosystem for high-end global customers in the big data center business [1]