Core Viewpoint - Changan Automobile's misinformation reporting center has issued a statement addressing the spread of false information regarding a traffic accident involving 15 vehicles in Nanning, Guangxi, which has been inaccurately linked to the "Aviator driving assistance system malfunction" [1] Group 1 - The company emphasizes that the dissemination of unverified information has severely distorted facts and misled the public, causing significant harm to the Aviator brand's reputation [1] - Aviator Technology released a statement on January 17 to clarify the situation surrounding the incident [1] - The company asserts that the online space is not beyond the law and will take legal action against any defamatory behavior that harms its legitimate rights and interests [1] Group 2 - The company encourages the public to report any entities spreading false information through its misinformation reporting center's official account [1] - The statement highlights the importance of maintaining a clear online environment and fair market competition order [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the automotive industry, indicating that the industry index is expected to outperform the benchmark index by more than 10% [6]. Core Insights - The automotive industry is entering a phase of low growth, with a focus on high-quality development opportunities. Key areas of interest include high-growth automotive companies and structural opportunities within the supply chain, particularly in commercial vehicles and automotive technology [4][34]. - The China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM) forecasts that total vehicle sales in China will reach 34.75 million units in 2026, representing a year-on-year growth of 1%. Passenger vehicle sales are expected to grow by 0.5%, while commercial vehicle sales are projected to increase by 4.7% [3][35]. - New energy vehicles (NEVs) are anticipated to play a crucial role in driving industry growth, with expected sales of 19 million units in 2026, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 15.2% [3][35]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Market Review (January 10-16, 2026) - The automotive sector index increased by 0.49%, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 1.06 percentage points. The automotive services sector saw the highest growth at 4.51% [12][15]. 2. Weekly Data Tracking (January 10-16, 2026) - From January 1-11, 2026, retail sales of passenger vehicles in China totaled 328,000 units, a 32% decrease year-on-year. Wholesale figures were 381,000 units, down 40% year-on-year [20][21]. 3. Industry News (January 10-16, 2026) - Significant developments include partnerships for advanced driving technologies and the introduction of new vehicle models by major manufacturers, indicating ongoing innovation in the sector [25][29][31]. 4. Key Manufacturer Sales Rankings (2025) - BYD led the passenger vehicle market with sales of 4.55 million units, followed by Geely and Chery. In the NEV segment, BYD also dominated with a market share of 29.7% [23][24]. 5. Future Outlook - The report emphasizes the importance of macroeconomic policies and industry governance in sustaining growth. The focus will be on maintaining competitive advantages in electric and intelligent vehicle technologies [34][36].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the automotive industry, indicating a positive outlook for certain segments within the sector [6]. Core Insights - The automotive industry is expected to experience low growth in 2026, with total vehicle sales projected to reach 34.75 million units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1%. Passenger vehicle sales are anticipated to grow by 0.5%, while commercial vehicle sales are expected to rise by 4.7%. The new energy vehicle (NEV) segment is projected to grow significantly, with sales expected to reach 19 million units, a 15.2% increase year-on-year, highlighting its role as a key growth driver [3][35]. - The report emphasizes the importance of macroeconomic policies and GDP growth targets in influencing vehicle sales, particularly in the passenger vehicle segment. The report suggests that sustained policy support is crucial for maintaining sales momentum [3][35]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Market Review (January 10-16, 2026) - The automotive sector index increased by 0.49%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.06 percentage points. The automotive services sector saw the highest gains, with a 4.51% increase [12][15]. 2. Weekly Data Tracking (January 10-16, 2026) - Retail sales of passenger vehicles from January 1-11 totaled 328,000 units, a 32% decrease year-on-year. Wholesale figures showed a similar trend, with 381,000 units sold, down 40% year-on-year. The NEV market also faced declines, with retail sales of 117,000 units, down 38% year-on-year [20][21]. 3. Industry News (January 10-16, 2026) - Key developments include partnerships for advanced driving technologies and initiatives to promote autonomous vehicle testing in regions like Hong Kong. Additionally, the report highlights the ongoing negotiations between China and the EU regarding electric vehicle trade, which could stabilize market conditions [25][28][30]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on structural opportunities within the automotive sector, particularly high-growth companies and regions, as well as the recovery of commercial vehicles and advancements in automotive technology [4].

Core Insights - Changan Automobile is transitioning from a traditional car manufacturer to a smart low-carbon mobility technology company, showcasing its commitment and capabilities through the "Beidou Tianshu" strategy [1][3] Group 1: Strategic Development - Since the launch of the "Beidou Tianshu" strategy in 2018, Changan has completed the 1.0 phase, achieving significant breakthroughs in intelligent technology and improving market performance, with vehicle sales increasing from 1.76 million in 2019 to 2.91 million projected for 2025, marking a continuous growth over seven years [3] - The company has established a central integrated software and hardware architecture (SDA platform) and seven core technology systems, focusing on intelligent driving, intelligent cockpit, and intelligent chassis, utilizing over 2,500 key technologies to implement more than 500 functional scenarios, including 48 industry-first features [3] Group 2: Technological Achievements - Changan has made significant advancements in intelligent driving, achieving 17 milestone results, including the first domestic 2,000-kilometer intelligent driving test and the continuous iteration of APA 5.0-7.0, establishing a technological advantage [3] - The company received a level 3 autonomous driving permit from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the first official license plate for level 3 autonomous driving in China, marking a transition from technical validation to mass production and compliant commercial use [4] Group 3: Future Plans - The "Beidou Tianshu 2.0" strategy, announced in February 2025, aims to build a smart architecture centered around the Tianshu model, enhancing intelligent driving from "rule-based" to "flexible response," and creating a cockpit that provides emotional security [5] - Changan plans to explore level 3 autonomous driving for consumers in 2026, scale up level 3 and demonstrate level 4 Robotaxi in 2027, achieve partial level 4 applications in 2028, and reach complex scenario level 4 goals by 2030 [5] Group 4: Industry Perspective - The company emphasizes that the scaling of autonomous driving is a test of ecological collaboration, requiring the establishment of standards, data sharing, and risk-sharing to transform China's scene advantages into industrial strengths [6] - Changan is constructing a future mobility paradigm of "1+N+X," which includes one core brain, multiple diverse carriers (cars, humanoid robots, flying cars), and various service agents, promoting the evolution of mobility towards safety, intelligence, three-dimensionality, and sharing [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook for the automotive industry, expecting a rebound in vehicle sales in Q1 and focusing on investments in intelligent driving, robotics, and liquid cooling technologies [3]. Core Insights - The automotive sector is experiencing significant dynamics, including sales, pricing, exports, and robotics developments [2]. - The report highlights that January's early sales data shows a substantial year-on-year decline, primarily due to subsidy reductions and rising vehicle prices, leading to consumer hesitation [5]. - The report anticipates that the pressure on vehicle prices will be managed through strict enforcement of anti-competitive practices, aiming to stabilize prices and profit margins [5]. - The export market is expected to grow rapidly, supported by agreements that lower trade barriers for electric vehicles, enhancing profitability for manufacturers and dealers [5]. - The robotics sector is gaining traction, with the Optimus V3 generating market excitement and expectations for product launches [5]. Data Tracking - In early January, the average discount rate remained stable, with a 9.6% increase year-on-year, and the average discount amount reached 22,259 yuan, up by 2,192 yuan year-on-year [4]. - December's wholesale vehicle sales were reported at 2.85 million units, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 8.7% and a month-on-month decline of 6.3% [4]. - Notable sales performance in December included significant year-on-year growth for new energy vehicle manufacturers like NIO and Li Auto, while traditional automakers like SAIC and Changan showed mixed results [6]. Industry News - The report discusses various industry developments, including the price commitments for electric vehicles between China and Europe, which aim to facilitate trade [27]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is focusing on enhancing the competitiveness of the new energy vehicle sector and regulating market practices to prevent price wars [27]. - Recent data indicates a significant drop in retail sales of passenger vehicles in early January, with a 32% year-on-year decline [27]. Market Performance - The automotive sector saw a weekly increase of 0.71%, ranking 8th out of 29 sectors, while the overall market indices showed mixed results [10].

Core Viewpoint - The light commercial vehicle (LCV) market in China has shown a consistent growth trend, achieving a year-on-year increase of 12% in December 2025, marking the ninth consecutive month of growth, with total sales reaching 4.45 million units [2][3][21]. Market Performance - In December 2025, the overall bus market in China sold 63,900 units, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 20% and a year-on-year increase of 5% [2]. - The light bus segment accounted for 69.55% of the total bus market sales in December, a decrease from 76.14% in the previous month [2]. - For the entire year of 2025, the light bus market's share reached 78.07%, up from 77.18% in 2024, indicating a nearly 1 percentage point increase [2]. Sales Trends - December 2025 marked the highest sales volume for light commercial vehicles in the past five years, with 4.45 million units sold, surpassing the lowest sales in December 2022 by approximately 8,000 units and exceeding December 2024 sales by about 4,700 units [5]. - Cumulatively, the light commercial vehicle market in 2025 achieved total sales of 448,100 units, a year-on-year growth of 11%, maintaining the same growth rate as after November [7][15]. Company Performance - In December 2025, the top ten companies in the light commercial vehicle market collectively held a market share of 95.9%, with Changan leading at 14,500 units sold, representing a 32.5% market share [13]. - Among the top ten companies, eight experienced sales growth compared to December 2024, with notable increases from Changan (15%), Dongfeng (46%), and Chuangwei (222%) [10][17]. - For the entire year, five of the top ten companies saw sales increases, with Changan, Jiangling, and Dongfeng capturing 29.3%, 22.2%, and 20.6% of the market share, respectively, totaling 72.0% for the top three [18][19]. Market Dynamics - The light commercial vehicle market has experienced a shift in rankings among the top companies, with Chuangwei entering the top five for the first time and Xiamen Jinlong and Yutong also moving up in rankings [13][19]. - The overall market dynamics indicate that while some companies have improved their standings, others have seen declines, reflecting a competitive landscape [10][19].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the power equipment industry, particularly in the renewable energy sector, with significant investments and technological advancements expected to drive growth [1][2][4]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the State Grid's investment during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period is projected to reach 4 trillion yuan, marking a 40% increase compared to the previous plan [2]. - The report emphasizes the stability in polysilicon prices and the continuous rise in battery component prices, with N-type battery prices increasing to 0.40 yuan per watt [15][16]. - The report identifies three key areas of focus: supply-side reform leading to price increases in the industry chain, long-term growth opportunities from new technologies, and industrialization opportunities from perovskite GW-level layouts [16]. Summary by Sections 1. New Energy Generation 1.1 Photovoltaics - Polysilicon prices remain stable, while battery component prices are on the rise, with N-type battery prices reaching an average of 0.40 yuan per watt [15]. - The report notes that leading component companies are responding to industry self-discipline by raising component prices, with distributed sales prices reaching 0.72 yuan per watt [15][16]. - Key companies to watch include Tongwei Co., GCL-Poly, LONGi Green Energy, JA Solar, and Trina Solar [16]. 1.2 Wind Power & Grid - The UK AR7 offshore wind auction results exceeded expectations, with a total scale of approximately 8.4GW, validating the upward trend in European offshore wind [17]. - The State Grid's investment is expected to enhance transmission capacity significantly, addressing bottlenecks in renewable energy delivery [18]. - Companies to focus on include Goldwind, Yunda Wind Power, Mingyang Smart Energy, and Sany Heavy Energy [18]. 1.3 Hydrogen & Energy Storage - By 2025, the production and sales of fuel cell vehicles in China are projected to reach 7,797 units, reflecting a 44% year-on-year increase [20]. - The report anticipates that new energy storage installations will reach 58.6GW/175.3GWh by 2025, with significant growth expected in the energy storage sector [21]. - Key players in the hydrogen sector include Shuangliang Energy, Huadian Heavy Industries, and Shenghui Technology [20]. 2. New Energy Vehicles - Solid-state batteries are gaining traction, with several automakers making progress towards mass production by 2026 [29]. - Companies such as BYD, Changan Automobile, and Chery are expected to achieve significant milestones in solid-state battery technology [29]. - The report suggests monitoring companies like Xiamen Tungsten, Hailiang Co., and Nanjing Advanced Lithium Battery [29]. 3. Industry Trends - The report notes a 0.4% increase in the new energy equipment sector from January 12 to January 16, 2026, with a cumulative increase of 5.3% since the beginning of the year [12]. - The photovoltaic equipment sector saw a 3.52% increase, while the wind power equipment sector experienced a decline of 1.28% during the same period [13].

Core Insights - The first batch of L3-level conditional autonomous driving vehicles in China officially began road testing in Chongqing on December 26, 2023, following the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's approval on December 15, 2023 [1][3] Group 1: L3 Autonomous Driving Vehicles - The first two models approved for L3-level conditional autonomous driving are the Deep Blue SL03 from Changan Automobile and the Arcfox Alpha S from BAIC, equipped with their respective intelligent driving systems [3][4] - The L3 autonomous driving function will initially be available on specific roads in Chongqing, with plans for expansion through OTA updates as policies evolve [3][4] - The approval of L3 vehicles marks a significant transition from technical validation to practical application, paving the way for future commercialization [4][9] Group 2: Consumer Access and Market Outlook - Currently, L3 vehicles are not available for consumer purchase, but consumers can experience the autonomous driving features through ride-hailing services [5] - Experts predict that L3-level autonomous driving will gradually achieve mass production in specific scenarios within the next two years, while widespread adoption may take 3 to 5 years or even longer due to technological, regulatory, and cost factors [5][6] - The recent approval is fundamentally different from previous temporary testing licenses, as it signifies that the vehicles have passed rigorous national evaluations and are qualified for legal road use [9] Group 3: Future of Autonomous Driving - L3-level autonomous driving is seen as a transitional phase, with L4-level expected to enable fully autonomous driving in specific environments, allowing drivers to focus on other activities [10] - The implementation of L4-level autonomous driving could revolutionize urban transportation, reducing congestion and accidents while lowering travel costs [10]

Core Insights - The electric vehicle (EV) industry in China is transitioning from reliance on government policies to market-driven growth, marking the end of the "policy infusion" era and the beginning of "self-sustaining" operations [2][4][17] Group 1: Market Dynamics - In 2025, the penetration rate of new energy vehicles (NEVs) in China surpassed 50%, reaching 59.5% by November, indicating a significant shift towards electric vehicles [5][25] - The charging infrastructure has improved significantly, with a total of 19.32 million charging points by the end of November 2025, a 52% year-on-year increase, and over 5,000 battery swap stations established [5][25] - The competition landscape has changed, with Tesla's retail sales in China declining by 4.8% to 625,698 units, while domestic brands like BYD, Geely, and Changan have seen substantial growth [5][27] Group 2: Sales Performance - BYD led the NEV sales in 2025 with 3.48 million units sold, despite a 6.3% year-on-year decline, holding a market share of 27.2% [6][27] - Geely and Changan reported significant sales increases of 81.3% and 26.8%, respectively, with Geely selling 1.56 million units and Changan 789,141 units [6][27] - New entrants like Leap Motor and Xiaomi have emerged as strong competitors, with Leap Motor's sales increasing by 86.3% to 529,503 units and Xiaomi entering the rankings with 411,837 units, a 200.9% increase [6][27] Group 3: Technological Advancements - The focus on "intelligent driving" has intensified, with companies like BYD, NIO, and Xpeng launching advanced driver-assistance systems and AI-driven models [11][32] - Despite advancements, there remains a gap between technology and user experience, with consumers expressing concerns over the reliability of intelligent driving systems [11][35] - The industry is witnessing a shift towards more comprehensive AI models that aim to enhance decision-making capabilities in complex driving scenarios [12][33] Group 4: Future Outlook - Starting in 2026, the EV industry will face new challenges as the government reduces subsidies, shifting the focus to market-driven strategies and user experience [15][38] - The competitive landscape is expected to evolve with a mix of pure electric, hybrid, and range-extended vehicles, as traditional automakers and new entrants adapt to changing consumer preferences [19][40] - Companies are increasingly looking to expand internationally, marking a new phase of competition that emphasizes technology depth, cost efficiency, and brand loyalty [20][41]

Overall Situation of Automobile Exports - In 2025, China's automobile manufacturers are expected to export a total of 7.1 million vehicles, representing a year-on-year growth of 21%, maintaining the position as the world's largest automobile exporter [1] - The export growth is characterized by an increase in both volume and value, with a significant enhancement in product added value [1] Export Growth Drivers - Passenger vehicles have become the core engine of export growth, significantly outpacing the growth of bus exports [2] - The main export destinations remain Europe, ASEAN, and South America, with a notable performance in countries along the "Belt and Road" initiative [2] Structure of Exporting Enterprises - The structure of automobile export enterprises has undergone significant changes, with a trend of increased concentration among leading companies, the rise of private enterprises, and a reduction in the market share of foreign-funded enterprises [4] - Domestic brands have shown remarkable performance, with their export share increasing from 22% in 2024 to 24% in 2025 [4] Performance of Major Automobile Groups - BYD leads the industry with an export volume of 1.05 million new energy vehicles, particularly excelling in high-end markets such as Europe and Japan [5] - SAIC Group exported 950,000 vehicles, leveraging its joint ventures and domestic brands to maintain a leading position in ASEAN and South American markets [5] Export Performance of Different Types of Enterprises - Different types of automobile enterprises show varied export performance, with leading companies demonstrating strong results [7] - New energy vehicle companies like BYD, Leap Motor, and Xpeng have seen significant year-on-year growth in export volumes [8] Challenges and Recommendations - The industry faces challenges such as overseas trade barriers, supply chain risks, and intensified global market competition [1] - Companies are advised to increase investment in core technology research and development, optimize export products, and strengthen localized production and services to enhance global supply chain influence [1]