Investment Rating - Investment rating is maintained as "Recommended" [2] Core Viewpoints - The issuance of Robotaxi operation licenses in Shanghai marks a significant step towards the commercialization of autonomous taxi services, with potential benefits for the entire industry chain [7][18] - The report highlights three categories of companies to focus on: those with capabilities to upgrade from L2 to L4, taxi companies with license resources, and suppliers of autonomous driving components like lidar and drive-by-wire systems [19] Industry Dynamics - The automotive industry is experiencing a "de-involution" trend, with provinces like Guangdong and Anhui implementing measures to promote healthy competition in the new energy vehicle sector [20] - The report notes that Tesla has begun production of an affordable model, expected to ramp up in the second half of the year [24] - The report also mentions the launch of several new models, including those from Geely and BYD [36] Market Performance - The automotive sector under the Shenwan index saw a weekly increase of 1.03%, lagging behind the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, which rose by 1.69% [38] - The report provides detailed performance metrics for various segments, with passenger vehicles up by 1.33% and commercial vehicles up by 4.26% [38] Data Tracking - In June 2025, retail sales of passenger vehicles reached 2.0851 million units, a year-on-year increase of 18.18% [47] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles in retail sales reached 53.3%, with retail sales of 1.111 million units, up 29.66% year-on-year [64] - The report indicates that the penetration rate of vehicles equipped with L2.5 and above systems reached 24.68% in May 2025 [80]

Core Viewpoint - The military equipment restructuring concept has seen a significant increase, with a rise of 4.08%, making it the second-highest gaining sector on the market as of July 28 [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The military equipment restructuring concept sector includes seven stocks that have risen, with notable increases from Construction Industry (6.93%), Hunan Tianyan (6.23%), and Huachuang Technology (3.94%) [1][2]. - The PCB concept led the market with a rise of 4.33%, while the military equipment restructuring concept followed closely at 4.08% [2]. Group 2: Capital Inflow - The military equipment restructuring concept attracted a net inflow of 949 million yuan from main funds, with five stocks receiving significant inflows [2][3]. - Changan Automobile topped the list with a net inflow of 470 million yuan, followed by Construction Industry (434 million yuan) and Hunan Tianyan (86.5 million yuan) [2][3]. Group 3: Capital Flow Ratios - Changan Automobile, Construction Industry, and Hunan Tianyan had the highest net inflow ratios at 17.28%, 10.05%, and 6.91% respectively [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the automotive industry [7] Core Insights - The automotive industry is experiencing a gradual recovery in growth, with passenger vehicles continuing to show stable and rapid growth [2] - The report highlights the synergy between technological advancements and anti-involution reforms, driving the industry's development momentum [5] Summary by Sections Weekly Market Review (2025.07.19-07.25) - The automotive sector rose by 1.03% this week, with all related sub-sectors also increasing. The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index rose by 1.69% [13] - The commercial vehicle sector saw the highest increase at 4.22%, while individual stocks like Great Wall Motors and BYD also performed well [13][16] Data Tracking (2025.07.19-07.25) - From July 1-20, the national retail sales of passenger vehicles reached 978,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 11%, while wholesale sales were 960,000 units, up 22% year-on-year [21] - In the new energy vehicle segment, retail sales reached 537,000 units, a 23% increase year-on-year, with a penetration rate of 54.9% [21] Industry News (2025.07.19-07.25) - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology proposed a new policy to ban the transfer of new cars to second-hand status within six months of registration to combat zero-kilometer second-hand cars [34][35] - Guangdong and Anhui provinces are implementing measures to promote fair competition in the automotive industry, including commitments from manufacturers to optimize payment processes for suppliers [42] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on technology-driven sectors such as artificial intelligence and autonomous driving, as well as opportunities in the anti-involution segment, particularly in dealership-related areas [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the automotive industry, indicating a positive outlook for long-term growth despite short-term seasonal pressures [1]. Core Insights - The automotive sector is currently facing seasonal pressures, but recent discussions among government departments regarding new energy vehicles (NEVs) are expected to mitigate price wars in the short term and promote high-quality development in the long term [1][29]. - The report anticipates continued strong sales in the terminal market for the second half of the year, driven by new vehicle enthusiasm and inventory reduction [1]. - There is an expectation of policy adjustments for electric vehicles next year, suggesting investors should look for opportunities after market sentiment stabilizes [1]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is promoting future industries such as humanoid robots and low-altitude economy, which may enhance investment themes related to the automotive sector [1]. Data Tracking - In June, new energy vehicle deliveries showed significant growth for some companies: BYD delivered 382,585 units (up 12% year-on-year), Li Auto delivered 36,279 units (down 24.1% year-on-year), and Xpeng delivered 34,611 units (up 224.4% year-on-year) [3][19]. - Traditional automakers also saw growth, with Geely's sales reaching 236,000 units (up 42.1% year-on-year) and SAIC Motor leading with 365,000 units (up 21.6% year-on-year) [3][22]. - The average discount rate in early July was 9.9%, a slight increase from the previous month, indicating competitive pricing strategies among major brands [3]. Industry News - The report highlights various initiatives aimed at improving the competitive landscape of the NEV industry, including quality management and payment practices for suppliers in Guangdong and Anhui provinces [29]. - The Ministry of Transport reported that the coverage rate of charging stations in highway service areas has reached 98.4%, addressing concerns about charging infrastructure for electric vehicles [29]. - The report notes that the retail market for passenger vehicles is expected to reach approximately 1.85 million units in July, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.6% [30]. - Significant new product launches include the Wuling Hongguang EV and the Leapmotor B01, both of which are expected to enhance market competition [30]. Market Performance - The automotive sector saw a weekly increase of 1.23%, ranking 23rd out of 29 sectors, while the broader market indices also experienced gains [7].

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of the Avita Smart Factory marks a significant milestone in the automotive industry, being the world's first fully 5G intelligent AI flexible super factory, developed in collaboration with Changan Automobile, Huawei, and China Unicom [1] Group 1 - The factory utilizes over 40 advanced technologies, including 5G, AI, and digital twin, ensuring that each vehicle produced meets top-tier manufacturing quality standards [1]

Group 1 - Liu Bing, chairman of Fusenmei, has been placed under detention, marking the third major figure in the home furnishing market to face such action in three months [6] - The chairman of First Capital Securities, Wu Lishun, has resigned due to a job transfer to the Beijing State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [9][10] - The former deputy general manager of China Electronics Technology Group, He Wenzhong, has been sentenced to death with a two-year reprieve for accepting bribes totaling nearly 300 million yuan [11] Group 2 - Minsheng Bank has appointed Li Wenshi as its youngest vice president, following the approval of the National Financial Regulatory Administration [8] - Du Gang has resigned as vice president of Bohai Bank after serving in the role for six years, effective July 25, 2025 [7] - Huang Runchong, former secretary-general of the China Banking Association, has been expelled from the Party for destroying and transferring evidence during an investigation [12] Group 3 - Changan Automobile is preparing for a significant event in Chongqing, with the announcement of a new central enterprise name and the introduction of its core management team [5] - Changan has undergone a dramatic transformation, from military manufacturing to a strong presence in joint ventures, and is now focusing on the electric vehicle market [5] - The independent status of Changan as a central enterprise provides greater development space and policy support, while also increasing market competition pressures [5]

发放运营牌照，上海政策助推 Robotaxi 落地 ——行业周报 | 赵旭杨（分析师） | 徐剑峰（联系人） | 王镇涛（联系人） | | --- | --- | --- | | zhaoxuyang@kysec.cn | xujianfeng@kysec.cn | wangzhentao@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790523090002 | 证书编号：S0790123070014 | 证书编号：S0790124070021 | 本周专题：发放运营牌照，上海政策助推 Robotaxi 落地 7 月 26 日世界人工智能大会上，上海新一批智能网联汽车示范运营牌照发放，运 营牌照发放意味着上海的自动驾驶从"道路测试"正式向"规模运营"跃升，有 望进一步推动 L4 自动驾驶的大规模商业化应用。会上还发布《上海高级别自动 驾驶引领区"模速智行"发展行动方案》，总体目标为 2027 年基本建成全球领 先的高级别自动驾驶引领区，形成有国际竞争力的智能网联产业集群。 本周观点：智驾关注技术、政策、产业产生积极变化，行业迈向行稳致远 （1）智驾方面，技术端：特斯拉召开业绩交流，未来仍将大幅提升车端模型参 数量 ...

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods Model Name: Central Enterprise Innovation Index (000861.CSI) - **Model Construction Idea**: The index selects 100 representative listed companies under the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) based on their innovation and profitability to reflect the overall performance of innovative central enterprises[8] - **Model Construction Process**: - **Sample Space**: All listed companies under SASAC[9] - **Step 1**: Rank the securities in the sample space by average daily trading volume over the past year and exclude the bottom 20%[9] - **Step 2**: Select the remaining securities controlled by SASAC and its subsidiaries[9] - **Step 3**: Exclude securities with negative operating cash flow in the past year and negative net profit excluding non-recurring items in the past two years[9] - **Step 4**: Calculate the innovation score for non-financial companies based on R&D expenditure, R&D personnel ratio, patent quality score, and participation in national or industry standards. For financial companies, use revenue, net profit, patent quality score, and participation in standards[9] - **Step 5**: Rank the remaining securities by innovation score and select the top 50% as innovation-themed securities[9] - **Step 6**: Calculate the quality score for non-financial companies based on ROE, net profit growth, earnings quality, and financial leverage. For financial companies, use ROE and net profit growth. Combine the quality score with the scale score (based on market cap) to get a comprehensive score[9] - **Step 7**: Select the top 100 securities by comprehensive score as index samples[9] - **Adjustment**: The index samples are adjusted semi-annually[9] - **Model Evaluation**: The index is designed to reflect the performance of innovative central enterprises, with a focus on maintaining representativeness and accuracy through regular adjustments[8][9] Model Backtesting Results - **Central Enterprise Innovation Index**: - **Cumulative Return Since Inception**: 138.08%[5][10] - **Excess Return Over Major Indices**: - CSI 300: 79.25%[5] - SSE Composite Index: 83.67%[5] - CSI 500: 54.40%[5] - CSI 800: 74.09%[5] - **5-Year Cumulative Return**: 33.70%[10] - **Excess Return Over Major Indices in 5 Years**: - CSI 300: 49.24%[10] - SSE Composite Index: 29.47%[10] - CSI 800: 47.94%[10] Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods Factor Name: Innovation Score - **Factor Construction Idea**: Evaluate the innovation capability of non-financial and financial companies based on specific indicators[9] - **Factor Construction Process**: - **Non-Financial Companies**: - R&D expenditure to market cap ratio (40% weight) - R&D personnel ratio (10% weight) - Patent quality score (40% weight) - Participation in national or industry standards (10% weight)[9] - **Financial Companies**: - Revenue (40% weight) - Net profit (10% weight) - Patent quality score (40% weight) - Participation in national or industry standards (10% weight)[9] - **Calculation**: Sum the weighted scores to get the innovation score[9] Factor Name: Quality Score - **Factor Construction Idea**: Assess the financial quality of companies based on profitability and financial stability[9] - **Factor Construction Process**: - **Non-Financial Companies**: - ROE (30% weight) - Net profit growth (35% weight) - Earnings quality (25% weight) - Financial leverage (10% weight)[9] - **Financial Companies**: - ROE (50% weight) - Net profit growth (50% weight)[9] - **Calculation**: Sum the weighted scores to get the quality score[9] Factor Backtesting Results - **Innovation Score**: - **Top 50% Selection**: Used to identify innovation-themed securities[9] - **Quality Score**: - **Comprehensive Score Calculation**: Combined with scale score to select top 100 securities[9]

Group 1: Strategic Initiatives - JD Group officially launched the "Dish Partner" recruitment plan, investing 1 billion yuan to find partners for 1,000 signature dishes [1][4] - Meituan's "Pin Hao Fan" initiated the "Ten Thousand Brands" plan, aiming to provide support for 10,000 well-known restaurant brands [1][6] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The competition in the food delivery market is shifting from price wars to deeper strategic battles, influenced by recent regulatory actions against malicious price competition [1] - Both JD and Meituan face unique challenges: JD must balance its significant investment with profitability needs, while Meituan needs to enhance integration efficiency among multiple brands [1] Group 3: Company Performance - BYD celebrated the rollout of its 13 millionth new energy vehicle, becoming the first company to reach this milestone globally [3] - BYD's high-end brand, Yangwang, has delivered over 10,000 units, indicating progress in its premium market strategy [3] Group 4: Leadership Changes - Shanghai Electric appointed Hu Xupeng as the new company secretary and Qiu Jiayou as vice president, with a focus on professional backgrounds [7] - Gu Yu was elected as the chairman of Yanghe Co., amid a challenging performance period for the company [8] Group 5: Collaborations - Changan Automobile and Haier Group signed a strategic cooperation agreement to explore new automotive products and personalized modification services [9]

Overall Market - The overall market for new energy vehicles (NEV) in China shows significant growth, with total production and sales reaching 2,400,084 units and 2,490,237 units respectively in June 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 12.4% in production and 15.1% in sales [6][9][11] - The market share of NEVs has increased, with NEVs accounting for 50.2% of total vehicle sales in June 2025, compared to 49.8% in the previous month [9][12][15] Submarket Analysis - The retail sales of NEVs in the first half of 2025 reached 1,111,558 units, reflecting a 29.8% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [6][11][24] - The breakdown of NEV sales by vehicle type shows that sedans accounted for 404,206 units, MPVs for 29,658 units, and SUVs for 422,490 units in June 2025 [21][24] Manufacturer Performance - BYD leads the NEV market with wholesale sales of 377,628 units in June 2025, representing a 30.4% market share [16][19] - Other notable manufacturers include Geely with 122,367 units, Changan with 87,458 units, and Tesla China with 71,599 units, showcasing varying growth rates [16][19] Model Category Analysis - The retail sales of different vehicle categories indicate that sedans, MPVs, and SUVs have shown growth, with sedans experiencing a 30.0% increase, MPVs 53.3%, and SUVs 27.9% in June 2025 [21][24] - The overall market for NEVs has seen a significant increase in penetration rates, with sedans at 53.3%, MPVs at 4.1%, and SUVs at 48.6% [24][25] Brand Positioning - The top ten manufacturers in the NEV market accounted for 76.7% of total wholesale sales, with BYD holding the largest share [16][19] - The competitive landscape is characterized by rapid growth among several brands, with Geely and Changan also showing strong performance in the NEV segment [16][19] Price Positioning - The market is segmented into various price ranges, with significant sales occurring in the 10-20 million yuan range, indicating a strong demand for mid-range vehicles [4][24] - The pricing strategy appears to be effective in attracting a diverse customer base, contributing to the overall growth of the NEV market [4][24]