Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the profitability of the breeding chain is expected to see significant growth in H1 2025, with the pet sector maintaining its high prosperity [3][20] - The preliminary ruling on anti-dumping measures against EU pork imports is anticipated to drive domestic pork prices upward, presenting a good opportunity for investment in the pig farming sector [4][14] - The report emphasizes a dual driving force from both fundamental and policy aspects, suggesting that pig prices are likely to rise in H2 2025, improving the investment logic in the pig farming sector [20] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - The Ministry of Commerce has announced preliminary anti-dumping measures on EU pork imports, with a guarantee deposit rate ranging from 15.6% to 62.4% [4][13] - The domestic pork and pork offal import volume reached 1.15 million tons in H1 2025, with EU imports accounting for 52% [14][16] Market Performance (Sept 1 - Sept 5) - The agricultural index underperformed the market by 0.15 percentage points, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 1.18% and the agricultural index down 1.32% [6][24] - The pet food sector led the gains among sub-sectors, with notable increases in individual stocks such as Yuegui Co. (+13.19%) and Honghui Fruits (+9.23%) [6][24][29] Price Tracking (Sept 1 - Sept 5) - The average price of live pigs was 13.77 yuan/kg, up 0.11 yuan/kg from the previous week, while the average price of piglets was 25.4 yuan/kg, down 1.74 yuan/kg [7][35] - The price of corn futures increased by 1.46% to 2219.00 yuan/ton, and soybean meal futures rose by 1.60% to 2536.00 yuan/ton [47][48] Key News (Sept 1 - Sept 5) - The Ministry of Agriculture reported a 5.3% month-on-month increase in the slaughter volume of designated pig slaughtering enterprises in July 2025 [30] - The report indicates that the domestic pig farming sector is expected to benefit from the anti-dumping measures, leading to a potential increase in domestic pork prices [4][14] Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks in the pig farming sector include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and Juxing Agriculture [20] - In the feed sector, companies like Haida Group and New Hope Liuhe are recommended due to strong domestic and overseas demand [20][23]

Industry Overview - The 27th Asia Pet Expo attracted over 510,000 visitors, showcasing the robust growth of China's pet economy, with a market size projected to reach 811.4 billion yuan by 2025, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25.4% from 2015 to 2023 [1] - The pet-related business market in China has expanded from 97.8 billion yuan in 2015 to 592.8 billion yuan in 2023, indicating a significant upward trend [1] Company Performance - The pet sector achieved revenue of 6.381 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 22.03%, with net profit reaching 660 million yuan, up 20.28% [1] - Leading company Guobao Pet reported revenue of 3.221 billion yuan and net profit of 378 million yuan, with growth rates of 32.72% and 22.55% respectively [2] - Zhongchong Co. followed closely with revenue of 2.432 billion yuan and net profit of 203 million yuan, marking a 42.56% increase in net profit, the highest in the industry [2] - Petty Co. experienced a decline in both revenue and net profit, reporting 728 million yuan and 79 million yuan, down 13.94% and 19.23% respectively, attributed to U.S. tariff policies affecting overseas orders [3] - Lusi Co. reported an 11.32% increase in revenue to 391 million yuan but a 12.07% decrease in net profit to 30.46 million yuan due to falling product prices [3] Market Trends - The pet economy is driven by a generational shift in consumer attitudes, with younger generations (90s and 00s) becoming the primary pet owners, leading to a growing "it economy" around pets [5] - The pet food market holds a 52.8% share, followed by pet medical services at 28.0%, with increasing penetration rates in pet diagnosis, training, insurance, and travel [5] - The average cost of pet medical services is rising due to advancements in medical technology and diversified drug supply [5] Regulatory Environment - Recent policies from the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs and the State Administration for Market Regulation have focused on establishing standards for the pet industry [6] - Local governments are incorporating pet industry development into their plans, with initiatives aimed at promoting collaboration across various sectors [6] Investment Activity - The pet industry has seen 634 financing events as of the first quarter of 2025, with online platforms being the most active [6] - The pet economy concept index has risen by 43.21% year-to-date, indicating strong interest from the capital market [7]

Group 1: Industry Overview - The pet market in China is experiencing robust growth, with the urban dog and cat consumption market size increasing from 170.8 billion yuan in 2018 to 300.2 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.86% [6][9] - The pet food segment remains the largest market share at 52.8% in 2024, while the medical market holds 28.0% [6][9] - The concentration of pet food brands in China is relatively low compared to the U.S., with the top ten brands accounting for only 26% of sales in 2024, indicating potential for new entrants [15][18] Group 2: Product Strategies - Companies are adopting multi-brand strategies to diversify their product offerings, with Guobao Pet's brands targeting different market segments, including high-end and low-end products [28][30] - Zhongchong's pet food revenue from snacks is projected to reach 70% in 2024, while its main food revenue is steadily increasing [32][38] - Petty's plant-based chewing gum and meat snacks are significant revenue contributors, with plant-based products accounting for 36.6% of total revenue in 2024 [42][43] Group 3: Research and Development - Guobao Pet leads in R&D spending, with its R&D expenses projected to grow from 44.05 million yuan in 2020 to 85.48 million yuan in 2024 [2][3] - Zhongchong's R&D expenses are expected to increase by 52% year-on-year to 72.68 million yuan in 2024 [2][3] - Lusi's R&D expense ratio is the highest in the industry, reaching 3.04% in 2024 [2][3] Group 4: Capacity Expansion - Companies are expanding their production capacities globally, with Zhongchong establishing factories in North America and Guobao Pet expanding in Thailand [2][3] - Petty's production facilities are distributed across New Zealand, China, and Southeast Asia, while Lusi is developing a factory in Cambodia [2][3] Group 5: Marketing Strategies - Companies are increasing their marketing expenditures to enhance brand influence, with Guobao Pet's sales expense ratio exceeding 20% in 2024 [2][3] - Zhongchong is actively participating in co-branding activities and leveraging authoritative media endorsements [2][3] - Petty focuses on scenario-based marketing, while Lusi emphasizes participation in industry exhibitions [2][3] Group 6: Financial Performance - Guobao Pet shows the highest revenue and net profit growth rates from 2021 to 2024, with a revenue CAGR of 26.8% and a net profit CAGR of 64.2% [2][3] - In 2024, Guobao Pet's domestic revenue is expected to account for 67.7% of its total revenue, while Petty's overseas revenue is projected to be 82.6% [2][3] - As of September 4, 2025, Guobao Pet has the largest market capitalization at 39.6 billion yuan, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 51x [2][3]

Group 1 - The pet economy concept stocks in the A-share market experienced significant gains, with Jieya Co., Ltd. rising over 10% [1] - Yiyi Co., Ltd. hit the daily limit with a 10% increase [1] - Tianyuan Pet increased by over 9%, while Lusi Co., Ltd. rose over 8% [1] Group 2 - Peti Co., Ltd. saw an increase of over 7%, and Chuangyuan Co., Ltd. rose over 6% [1] - Guai Bao Pet and Suo Bao Protein both increased by over 5% [1] - Zhongchong Co., Ltd. and Yuanfei Pet both rose over 4% [1]

Core Insights - The domestic pet industry is transitioning from scale expansion to quality competition, with brand building and diversified market layouts becoming key drivers of profitability [1][9] Group 1: Performance of Leading Companies - Several leading companies in the pet industry reported positive growth in their half-year results, with companies like Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co. showing significant revenue and net profit increases [2][3] - Guibao Pet led with a revenue of 3.221 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.72%, and a net profit growth of 22.55% to 378 million yuan [2] - Zhongchong Co. achieved a net profit growth rate of 42.56%, reaching 203 million yuan, with revenue also increasing by 24.32% to 2.432 billion yuan [2] Group 2: Growth in Pet Food Segment - The pet food segment remains the core revenue growth area for leading companies, with Guibao Pet's pet food revenue reaching 1.883 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 57.09% [3] - Zhongchong Co.'s pet food revenue surged by 85.79% to 783 million yuan, while Yuanfei Pet reported a total revenue of 791 million yuan, with pet food business revenue growing by 55.39% [3] Group 3: Brand Building and Market Diversification - Companies are increasingly focusing on brand building, particularly their own brands, reflecting growing recognition of domestic pet brands among consumers [4] - Guibao Pet's self-owned brand business significantly contributed to its revenue growth, with its main brand "Maifudi" increasing market share from 2.4% to 6.2% from 2015 to 2024 [4] - Lusi Co. launched a new brand "Miaoguan" targeting high cost-performance products, while also enhancing its existing brand through innovation [4] Group 4: International Market Expansion - Leading companies are diversifying their market layouts by expanding into overseas markets to mitigate risks associated with single market fluctuations [5][6] - Zhongchong Co. reported a 17.61% year-on-year increase in overseas revenue to 1.575 billion yuan, accounting for 64.75% of total revenue [5] - Lusi Co. also saw overseas revenue growth of 19.25% to 246 million yuan, with plans to optimize production capacity and expand into international markets [6] Group 5: Performance Declines in Some Companies - Not all companies experienced growth; Petty Co. reported a revenue decline of 13.94% to 728 million yuan and a net profit drop of 19.23% to 79.1 million yuan [7] - Lusi Co. experienced revenue growth of 11.32% to 391 million yuan but saw a net profit decrease of 12.07% to 30.5 million yuan, attributed to declining sales prices [7] - Despite the decline, Petty Co. noted improvements in operational quality, with a focus on long-term advantages in product development and international supply chains [8]

Core Viewpoint - The pet economy has emerged as a resilient sector within the consumer market, attracting significant attention from public funds and investment institutions, indicating its long-term value despite economic fluctuations [1][4]. Group 1: Fund Holdings and Market Trends - As of June 2023, public funds have increased their holdings in leading pet economy stocks, with the proportion of holdings in Guibao Pet reaching 18.25%, and Zhongchong shares rising from 8.06% at the end of last year to 15.74% [1]. - The pet economy index has seen a growth of over 44% this year, with individual stocks like Zhejiang Zhengte increasing by over 90%, and others such as Source Fly Pet and Zhongchong shares rising over 60% [4][5]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Guibao Pet, Zhongchong shares, and Lusi shares reported revenue growths of 32.72%, 24.32%, and 11.32% respectively, with net profits for Guibao Pet and Zhongchong shares increasing by 22.55% and 42.56% [5][6]. - The overall performance of the pet economy is attributed to a recovery in industry performance, with several listed companies seeking to capitalize on this emerging market [4]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The pet industry consists of various segments, including pet food, medical care, and supplies, but lacks a representative and stable index, making it challenging to track through ETFs [7]. - Active funds focusing on the pet economy, such as Zheshang Big Data Smart Selection Consumption and Fuguo Core Assets, have shown strong performance, with Fuguo Industry Driven A achieving a return of over 40% in the past year [8][9]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - The Chinese pet food market is transitioning from rapid growth to high-quality development, emphasizing the importance of brand competition, channel transformation, and consumer upgrades [9]. - Companies are encouraged to adapt to changing consumer demands, strengthen supply chains, and develop comprehensive channel ecosystems to gain a competitive edge in the pet economy [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Buy-A" for Hai Da Group and "Buy-B" for Sheng Nong Development, with several other companies rated as "Increase-A" or "Increase-B" [3][4][5]. Core Insights - The agricultural sector has shown a market performance with the CSI 300 index increasing by 2.71% and the agricultural sector rising by 2.02% during the week of August 25 to August 31 [2][20]. - The report highlights a recovery cycle in the feed industry and marginal improvements in livestock farming, suggesting potential growth opportunities [4][5]. - The report indicates that the current market sentiment may be overly pessimistic regarding the impact of rising pig production capacity on profitability, while it overlooks the positive effects of declining raw material costs and potential macro demand recovery in 2025 [5][6]. Summary by Sections Swine Farming - As of August 29, the average prices for external three yuan pigs in Sichuan, Guangdong, and Henan were 13.25, 14.84, and 13.73 yuan/kg, reflecting a week-on-week change of -2.21%, -3.57%, and 0.00% respectively [3][28]. - The average pork price was 19.94 yuan/kg, down 0.80% from the previous week, while the average wholesale price for piglets remained stable at 26.00 yuan/kg [3][28]. - The self-breeding profit was 32.24 yuan/head, while the profit from purchasing piglets was -148.41 yuan/head [3][28]. Poultry Farming - As of August 29, the weekly price for white feather broilers was 7.33 yuan/kg, remaining unchanged from the previous week, while the price for broiler chicks increased by 0.84% to 3.61 yuan/chick [3][43]. - The profit from broiler farming was reported at 1.37 yuan/chick, and the egg price was 7.24 yuan/kg, down 0.82% [3][43]. Feed Processing - In July 2025, the total industrial feed production in China was 28.31 million tons, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 2.3% and a year-on-year increase of 5.5% [50]. - The report notes a significant decline in the factory prices of feed products, with the proportion of corn in compound feed at 33.1% and soybean meal at 14.1% [50]. Aquaculture - As of August 29, the prices for sea cucumbers, shrimp, and bass were stable at 90.00 yuan/kg, 320.00 yuan/kg, and 50.00 yuan/kg respectively [57]. - For freshwater products, the price of grass carp was 16.73 yuan/kg, up 0.54%, while the prices for crucian carp and carp showed slight fluctuations [57]. Crop and Grain Processing - As of August 29, the spot price for soybeans was 4005.79 yuan/ton, with corn and wheat prices at 2364.71 yuan/ton and 2428.89 yuan/ton respectively, showing slight declines [65]. - The report indicates that the prices for various mushroom products remained stable during the same period [65].

Core Insights - The pet food companies listed on A-shares, including Guobao Pet (301498.SZ), Zhongchong Co., Ltd. (002891.SZ), and Lusi Co., Ltd. (832419.BJ), all based in Shandong, reported revenue growth in their 2025 interim reports [1][2][3] - The total number of pet dogs and cats in China is projected to exceed 120 million by 2024, contributing to a pet consumption market size of 300.2 billion yuan, a 7.5% increase from 2023 [1] Guobao Pet - Guobao Pet leads in revenue and net profit among the listed companies, with a revenue of 3.221 billion yuan and a net profit of 378 million yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting year-on-year growth of 32.72% and 22.55% respectively [1][2] - The company's proprietary brand products generated 3.544 billion yuan in revenue, a 29.14% increase, accounting for 67.59% of total revenue [2][3] - The main product categories include staple food, which saw a revenue increase of 57.09% to 1.883 billion yuan, and snacks, which grew by 8.34% to 1.294 billion yuan [3] Zhongchong Co., Ltd. - Zhongchong Co., Ltd. reported a net profit increase of over 40% in the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching 2.432 billion yuan [1][4] - The company’s pet snacks business generated 1.529 billion yuan, accounting for 62.89% of total revenue, while staple food revenue was 783 million yuan, showing an 85.79% year-on-year growth [4] - The overseas business segment achieved 1.575 billion yuan in revenue, representing 64.75% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 17.61% [4][5] Lusi Co., Ltd. - Lusi Co., Ltd. reported total revenue of 391 million yuan in the first half of 2025, with a significant portion coming from meat products, which generated 220 million yuan [1][6] - The company’s export revenue accounted for 63.92% of total revenue, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 19.25% [6] - Lusi has launched a new brand "Miaoguan" aimed at high cost-performance products, while continuing to innovate under its existing brand to enhance product value [6]

Core Viewpoint - The feed sector experienced a slight decline of 0.09% on September 2, with LuDe Environment leading the drop. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3858.13, down 0.45%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12553.84, down 2.14% [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The feed sector's individual stock performance showed mixed results, with LuSi Co., Ltd. closing at 20.70, up 1.02%, and HaiDa Group at 61.27, up 0.82% [1]. - The overall trading volume in the feed sector was notable, with stocks like DaBeiNong and TangRenShen showing significant trading activity, with volumes of 102.10 thousand and 31.88 thousand respectively [1]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The feed sector saw a net outflow of 204 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 174 million yuan [2]. - The capital flow data indicates that speculative funds had a net inflow of 29.51 million yuan, suggesting a mixed sentiment among different types of investors [2].

Core Viewpoint - The "Pet Economy Index" has reached a historical high, with a year-to-date increase of over 44%, indicating strong performance in the pet industry, supported by solid fundamentals and increased institutional investment [2][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The "Pet Economy Index" has seen a significant rise, with individual stocks like Zhejiang Zhengte increasing by over 90%, and others such as Yuanfei Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Shitou Co. rising over 60% [4]. - Key companies in the pet food sector, such as Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Lusi Co., reported strong revenue growth in the first half of 2025, with revenues of 3.221 billion, 2.432 billion, and 391 million respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 32.72%, 24.32%, and 11.32% [4]. Group 2: Institutional Investment - As of the end of June, public funds held 18.25% of Guibao Pet, making it a top holding for several funds, while Zhongchong Co.'s public fund ownership increased from 8.06% at the end of last year to 15.74% [5]. - Yuanfei Pet's public fund ownership surged from 1.69% to 15.27% within the same period, indicating growing institutional interest [5]. Group 3: Industry Growth Potential - The domestic pet market is recognized for its growth potential, characterized by low industry concentration and a fragmented market structure, with leading brands increasing their market share [6]. - The pet economy is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.3% from 2015 to 2024, significantly outpacing GDP growth [9]. Group 4: Focus Areas - The pet food and pet medical sectors are identified as the two core pillars of the pet economy, with the pet food market expected to reach 158.51 billion by 2024, accounting for 52.8% of the overall pet economy [9]. - The pet medical market is projected to reach 84.06 billion, representing 28% of the pet economy, with a CAGR of 16.39% from 2018 to 2024 [9][10].