食品饮料/休闲食品 公 司 研 究 二季度增长略低于预期，公司估值性价比较高 甘源食品（002991.SZ） 2024 年 08 月 05 日 ——公司信息更新报告 投资评级：买入（维持） 张宇光（分析师） 陈钟山（分析师） zhangyuguang@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790520030003 chenzhongshan@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790524040001 开 源 证 券 证 券 研 究 报 告 公司信息更新报告 | --- | --- | |-------------------------|-------------| | 日期 | 2024/8/5 | | 当前股价 ( 元 ) | 54.85 | | 一年最高最低 ( 元 ) | 91.36/51.83 | | 总市值 ( 亿元 ) | 51.13 | | 流通市值 ( 亿元 ) | 27.25 | | 总股本 ( 亿股 ) | 0.93 | | 流通股本 ( 亿股 ) | 0.50 | | 近 3 个月换手率 (%) | 111.67 | 公司二季度略低于预期，估值性价比较高，维持"买入"评级 公司 2024H1 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [3][7][10] Core Views - The company reported a revenue growth of 26.14% year-on-year for the first half of 2024, with a total revenue of 1.042 billion yuan and a net profit of 167 million yuan, reflecting a 39.26% increase [1][4] - The company has announced a cash dividend plan, distributing 10.92 yuan per 10 shares, which represents 60.07% of the net profit for the first half of 2024, indicating a strong commitment to shareholder returns [6][7] - The company is expected to see improved revenue growth in the second half of the year following a team adjustment aimed at enhancing organizational capabilities [7] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 1.042 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.14%, and a net profit of 167 million yuan, up 39.26% [1][4] - The second quarter revenue was 456 million yuan, showing a slower growth of 4.90% year-on-year, attributed to seasonal factors and adjustments in the sales organization [1][4] - The gross margin for the first half of 2024 was 34.9%, a slight decrease of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, influenced by rising production costs and lower selling prices in certain product categories [5][6] Sales and Product Performance - The comprehensive nut and bean series saw a significant revenue increase of 48.5% year-on-year, contributing the largest revenue increment, with sales volume up 123.2% [1][4] - The company’s traditional products, including green peas, sunflower seeds, and broad beans, maintained steady revenue growth of 16.9%, 12.8%, and 12.0% respectively [1][4] - The company is focusing on multi-category and omni-channel development, with plans to expand its presence in traditional and emerging sales channels [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Gan Yuan Food (002991) [4] Core Views - Gan Yuan Food achieved revenue of 1.042 billion yuan in H1 2024, up 26.14% YoY, with net profit attributable to shareholders of 167 million yuan, up 39.26% YoY [2] - In Q2 2024, revenue was 456 million yuan, up 4.90% YoY, with net profit attributable to shareholders of 75 million yuan, up 16.92% YoY [2] - The company's product portfolio is well-rounded, with traditional products showing steady growth and new products like mixed nuts and colorful beans performing exceptionally well [6] - Channel optimization is accelerating, with a focus on expanding into high-end membership stores and snack retail chains, while also improving the efficiency of existing distributors [6] - Despite short-term pressure on product structure, the company is committed to cost reduction and efficiency improvement, with a net profit margin increase of 1.68 percentage points YoY to 16.49% in Q2 2024 [6] Financial Performance and Forecast - Revenue for 2024-2026 is projected to be 2.441 billion yuan, 3.031 billion yuan, and 3.609 billion yuan, with YoY growth rates of 32.13%, 24.17%, and 19.05% respectively [6] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024-2026 is forecasted to be 403 million yuan, 502 million yuan, and 615 million yuan, with YoY growth rates of 22.33%, 24.69%, and 22.63% respectively [6] - EPS for 2024-2026 is expected to be 4.32 yuan, 5.38 yuan, and 6.60 yuan per share [6] Product and Channel Strategy - The company has a diversified product portfolio, with mixed nuts and beans, green peas, melon seeds, broad beans, and other series contributing significantly to revenue [6] - Traditional products like green peas, melon seeds, and broad beans continue to grow steadily, while new products like mixed nuts and colorful beans are showing strong growth [6] - The company is actively expanding its sales channels, including high-end membership stores and snack retail chains, while also optimizing its distribution network [6] - E-commerce revenue grew by 9.14% YoY in H1 2024, while distributor revenue grew by 27.72% YoY [6] Valuation Metrics - The current P/E ratio is 13.4x for 2024E, 10.7x for 2025E, and 8.7x for 2026E [7] - The P/B ratio is 2.9x for 2024E, 2.6x for 2025E, and 2.4x for 2026E [7] - EV/EBITDA is 8.0x for 2024E, 6.3x for 2025E, and 5.1x for 2026E [7]

t a particle and SECURITIES CO .. L 证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2024 年 08 月 05 日 淡季经营调整,静待旺季经营修复 甘源食品(002991) | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-------------|--------|---------------------|---------------| | 评级 : | 买入 | 股票代码: | 002991 | | 上次评级: | 买入 | 52 周最高价/最低价: | 91. 36/51. 83 | | 目标价格: | | 总市值(亿) | 53. 77 | | 最新收盘价: | 57. 68 | 自由流通市值(亿) | 28. 66 | | | | 自由流通股數(百万) | 49. 69 | 事件概述 2024 年上半年公司实现营业收入 10.42 亿元，同比+26.14%；实现归母净利润 1.67 亿元，同比+39. 26%; 扣非归母净利润 1.44 亿元，同比+40.02%。 2024Q2 公司实现营业收入 4.56 亿元,同比+4.9%;实现归母净利润0.75 亿元,同比+16 ...

证券研究报告：食品饮料 | 公司点评报告 2024 年 8 月 4 日 公司基本情况 最新收盘价（元） 57.68 总股本/流通股本（亿股）0.93 / 0.50 总市值/流通市值（亿元）54 / 29 52 周内最高/最低价 90.48 / 52.40 资产负债率(%) 19.6% 市盈率 16.11 第一大股东 严斌生 股票投资评级 买入|维持 个股表现 -35% -30% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 2023-08 2023-10 2023-12 2024-03 2024-05 2024-07 甘源食品 食品饮料 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:蔡雪昱 SAC 登记编号:S1340522070001 Email:caixueyu@cnpsec.com 分析师:杨逸文 SAC 登记编号:S1340522120002 Email:yangyiwen@cnpsec.com 甘源食品(002991) 团队调整致收入短期承压，所得税优惠助力利润 表现 ⚫ 事件 公司2024年上半年实现营业总收入/营业收入/归母净利润/扣非 净利润 10.42/10.42/1 ...

甘源食品（002991.SZ）2024 年半年报点评 Q2 短期阶段性增速放缓，强化股东回报 2024 年 08 月 05 日 [盈利预测与财务指标 Table_Forcast] ➢ 事件：公司发布 2024 年中报，24H1 营收/归母净利/扣非净利分别为 10.4/1.7/1.4 亿，同比+26.1%/+39.3%/+40.0%；24Q2 营收/归母净利/扣非净 利 4.6/0.8/0.6 亿，同比+4.9%/+16.9%/+13.6%，收入增速放缓主因淡季消费 需求疲软以及公司组织人员调整等因素影响。 ➢ 经典老三样增长稳健，持续开发新产品拓充品类。分产品看，24H1 青豌豆 /瓜子仁/蚕豆/综合果仁及豆果/其他营收分别为 2.4/1.4/1.2/3.4/2.0 亿元，同比 +16.9%/+12.8%/+12.0%/+48.5%/+24.2%，公司在品种口味方面进行了多种 改良创新，开拓使用蟹黄味、芥末味、咸蛋黄味、台式卤肉味、酱汁牛肉味等新 式口味，不同风味匹配不同产品，在口味与产品丰富度的融合上进行了深度创新， 采取多品种差异化组合的方式充分迎合消费需求，大大降低了单一品类的市场波 动风险。分渠道看 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 甘源食品（002991）2024 年半年报点评 推荐（维持） 淡季推进调整，Q2 环比降速 目标价：70 元 当前价：57.68 元 事项： 公司发布 2024 年半年报。24H1 实现营收 10.42 亿元，同比+26.1%；归母净利 润 1.67 亿元，同比+39.3%；扣非归母净利润 1.44 亿元，同比+40%。单 Q2 实 现营收 4.56 亿元，同比+4.9%；归母净利润 0.75 亿元，同比+16.9%；扣非归 母净利 0.61 亿元，同比+13.6%。同时，公司发布中期分红，拟向全体股东每 10 股派发现金红利 10.92 元（含税），分红率为 60%。 评论： 淡季需求走弱叠加销售团队人员调整，Q2 营收环比降速。分渠道看，24H1 经 销/电商/其他模式实现营收 8.69 亿/1.36 亿/0.33亿，同比+27.7%/+9.1%/+67.7%。 随着 Q2 进入淡季，叠加公司经销团队人员调整，致公司营收增速环比明显放 缓，其中，商超、电商及大客户渠道均相对承压，量贩渠道则凭借品类拓展而 延续稳健增长。分品类看，24H1 老三样/综合果仁及豆果/薯片花生等其他系列 ...

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甘源食品（002991） 公司点评 量贩高增，税收优惠贡献弹性 | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-----------------------------------------------------------------|-------------|-------|----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | | | | 甘源食品 2024Q2点评 | | 投资评级:买入(维持) | | ...

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