Core Viewpoint - The core challenge facing the industry is the pressure on profitability due to oversupply in the market [1] Industry Challenges - The industry is experiencing deep losses due to oversupply, which many participants find unsustainable [1] - There is a need to strictly control new production capacity to stabilize the overall supply [1] - Inefficient production capacity, especially in restricted areas and those failing to meet environmental standards, should be eliminated [1]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Wens Foodstuff Group Co., Ltd. has shown a mixed performance in recent trading sessions, with a year-to-date increase of 13.73% but a slight decline over the past 20 days, indicating potential volatility in the market [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Wens Foodstuff reported a revenue of 75.817 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.53%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 17.98% to 5.256 billion yuan [2]. - Cumulatively, the company has distributed 30.11 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 6.935 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Wens Foodstuff decreased by 10.94% to 81,100, while the average number of circulating shares per person increased by 12.11% to 73,543 shares [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holds 144 million shares, an increase of 5.5013 million shares compared to the previous period, while E Fund's ChiNext ETF reduced its holdings by 19.091 million shares to 113 million shares [3]. Stock Performance - On November 3, the stock price of Wens Foodstuff rose by 2.02% to 18.21 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 311 million yuan and a turnover rate of 0.29%. The total market capitalization reached 121.168 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has experienced a 0.17% increase over the last five trading days, a 1.94% decline over the past 20 days, and a 7.05% increase over the last 60 days [1].

Core Insights - The public funds held convertible bonds accounted for 55.34% of the total market value of convertible bonds as of Q3 2025, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.93 percentage points, indicating a slight rise in positions by 0.09 percentage points [1][7] - Despite a decrease in the total balance of convertible bonds to 572.07 billion yuan, the proportion of convertible bonds held by institutions continues to increase [1][7] Group 1: Public Fund Holdings - As of Q3 2025, public funds held convertible bonds worth 316.57 billion yuan, representing 55.34% of the total market value, an increase of 12.93 percentage points from Q2 [1][14] - The number of public funds holding convertible bonds exceeded 2,009, with 61 funds holding over 1 billion yuan in convertible bonds, accounting for 69.46% of the total value of convertible bonds held by public funds [14][17] Group 2: Convertible Bond Fund Holdings - Convertible bond funds, totaling 40, held convertible bonds worth 121.21 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 42.2% [3][17] - The average position of convertible bond funds rose from 84.99% in Q2 to 87.17% in Q3, while the leverage ratio decreased from 142.08% to 135.17% [19][22] Group 3: Sector Performance - The fastest growth in public fund holdings of convertible bonds was observed in the oil and petrochemical sector, which increased by 59.14% quarter-on-quarter, followed by the electric power equipment sector with a 40.93% increase [4][26] - Significant increases were also noted in the beauty care, computer, steel, and communication sectors, while reductions were seen in the media, non-ferrous metals, social services, and household appliances sectors [4][26] Group 4: Fund Performance - The average annualized return of convertible bond funds in Q3 2025 was 67.31%, outperforming the average annualized return of the Zhongzheng Convertible Bond Index, which was 41.57% [22][24] - Notable performers included the Southern Changyuan Convertible Bond Fund with a return of 172.4% and the Huaxia Convertible Bond Enhanced Fund with a return of 160.4% [22][24]

Core Insights - The article celebrates the 10th anniversary of Wens Foodstuff Group's listing, highlighting its journey of integrating traditional industry with capital markets, achieving significant milestones in revenue and product supply [2] - Over the past decade, Wens has maintained a focus on its core philosophy of being industry-based while leveraging capital, resulting in substantial contributions to the agricultural sector and a remarkable growth story [2] Chapter Summaries Chapter 1: Breaking Ground - Wens' journey to listing began with the vision of its founder to create a strong company that could be publicly traded, culminating in its successful listing in 2015 with a market value exceeding 200 billion yuan on the first day [3] - The current chairman emphasized the importance of using industrial strength to support market trust and the need for effective capital tools to build an ecosystem [3] Chapter 2: Rooting Development - The listing brought social oversight, prompting Wens to enhance its governance and operational standards, ensuring compliance with regulatory requirements and modernizing its management [7][8] - The company established a robust governance structure, transitioning from unilateral decision-making to a more systematic approach, which improved management efficiency [8][9] Chapter 3: Riding the Storm - The African swine fever outbreak in 2018 led to significant challenges for the pig farming industry, with Wens facing its first annual loss post-listing [10] - Despite these challenges, Wens demonstrated resilience by focusing on biosecurity measures and strategic adjustments, including halting new pig farm constructions to safeguard cash flow [10][11] - The company successfully raised capital through bond issuances, enhancing its financial stability during downturns [11][14] Chapter 4: Transforming and Growing - Wens has consistently emerged stronger from industry cycles, achieving record sales figures in 2024, including 30.18 million pigs sold and over 1 billion yuan in revenue [18] - The company has invested in digital technologies and innovative breeding practices, establishing itself as a leader in the industry [18][20] - Wens has committed to green development, investing over 6.64 billion yuan in sustainable practices and significantly reducing carbon emissions [22] Chapter 5: A Decade of Growth and Responsibility - Over the past ten years, Wens has seen its revenue grow from 48.24 billion yuan to 104.92 billion yuan, with a compound annual growth rate of 8.1% [28] - The company has distributed over 28.12 billion yuan in dividends, maintaining a high payout ratio even during losses [28] - Wens has positively impacted its partner farmers, generating 86.66 billion yuan in income for them, reflecting its commitment to social responsibility [28] Chapter 6: The Next Chapter - Wens aims to continue its focus on the agricultural sector, aspiring to become a leading provider of meat, egg, and dairy products in China while enhancing consumer engagement [31] - The company emphasizes a long-term vision of sustainable growth and collaboration with partners to ensure mutual success in the agricultural landscape [31]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [11] Core Views - The agricultural sector is experiencing a mixed performance with significant opportunities in various sub-sectors, particularly in pig farming, cattle, pets, poultry, and planting industries. The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on leading companies with strong profitability and market positioning [3][4][5][6][8][26]. Summary by Relevant Sections 1. Pig Farming Sector - The decline in pig prices has led to a divergence in profitability among companies, highlighting the need to focus on expected differences in the pig farming sector. The average selling price of pigs in Q3 2025 was between 13-14 CNY/kg, down from 14-15 CNY/kg in H1 2025 [3][15]. - Key companies to watch include leading players like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuff, with valuations at historical low levels [3][16]. 2. Cattle Sector - The raw milk price is stabilizing, while the beef cattle sector may be entering a super cycle. The average price for beef cattle in Q3 2025 was 25.88 CNY/kg, up 2.34% from the previous quarter [4][17]. - Companies with mother cow resources or those adopting a "milk-meat linkage" model are expected to have stronger profitability [4][18]. 3. Pet Sector - The pet economy is thriving, with domestic brands rapidly rising. Major pet food companies reported revenues of 4.737 billion CNY for Guibao Pet and 3.860 billion CNY for Zhongchong Co., with growth rates of 29% and 21% respectively [5][19]. - Recommended companies include Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Petty Co. [5][20]. 4. Poultry Sector - The white chicken segment is under pressure, with a focus on the need for improved breeding practices. The average price for white chicken was reported to be 3.5 CNY/kg, with a slight increase [6][21]. - The yellow chicken market is expected to see price recovery due to seasonal demand, with companies like Lihua and Wens showing improved performance [6][23]. 5. Planting Sector - The seed industry is anticipated to recover, with a focus on the commercialization of genetically modified corn. Leading companies in the seed sector include Longping High-Tech and Dabeinong [8][26]. - The report emphasizes the importance of agricultural technology and innovation in enhancing competitiveness [8][27]. 6. Feed and Animal Health Sectors - The feed sector has shown revenue and profit growth among leading companies, with Haida Group reporting a revenue increase of 13.24% [8][28]. - The animal health sector is facing challenges due to competition, but there are opportunities for innovation in vaccine development [8][32].

Core Insights - The report maintains a positive outlook on the agricultural sector, particularly in pig farming, despite ongoing losses in the industry [1][3] - The report highlights a potential acceleration in capacity reduction due to supply pressures and policy guidance [6][19] Group 1: Pig Farming - The number of breeding sows decreased by 0.20% month-on-month in September, with a total of 40.35 million sows reported [20][21] - Pig prices have been on the rise, with the average price for market pigs reaching 12.22 CNY/kg on October 30, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 7.10% [29][30] - The profitability of pig farming remains negative, with losses of 89.33 CNY per head for self-bred pigs and 179.72 CNY per head for purchased piglets as of October 31 [35][37] Group 2: Poultry Farming - The average price for white feather broilers increased to 7.09 CNY/kg on October 31, marking a week-on-week rise of 3.05% [39][42] - The report notes a significant increase in the number of breeding stock, with a 143.18% month-on-month rise in the number of grandparent stock updated in October [39][40] Group 3: Animal Health - The demand for animal health products is expected to rebound, driven by a recovery in breeding cycles and an increase in livestock numbers [48] - The report mentions that several companies are actively developing new products, which may enhance growth prospects for the sector [48] Group 4: Seed Industry - The average prices for wheat, soybean meal, and corn have increased, with wheat and soybean meal rising by 0.9% and 1.3% respectively as of October 31 [52][53] - The report emphasizes the importance of food security and the promotion of biotechnology in the seed industry [52][56] Group 5: Pet Industry - Pet food exports amounted to 823 million CNY in September, showing a year-on-year decline of 6.8% [57][60] - Domestic sales of pet food have continued to grow, with a combined growth rate of 3% across major e-commerce platforms in September [60]

Core Insights - The article highlights the transformation of Wens Foodstuff Group from a traditional livestock farming company to a leading player in China's meat, egg, and dairy supply chain over the past decade since its IPO in 2015 [1] Financial Performance - Wens Foodstuff's revenue increased from 48.24 billion yuan in 2015 to 104.92 billion yuan in 2024, marking a growth of 117.5% and surpassing the 100 billion yuan threshold for the first time [2] - Total assets grew from 32.7 billion yuan to 93.86 billion yuan, a rise of 186.7%, with a compound annual growth rate of 11.1% [2] - The company sold a total of 217 million pigs and 10.584 billion chickens over the decade, with annual sales of pigs increasing from 15.35 million in 2015 to 30.18 million in 2024, and chicken sales rising from 744 million to 1.208 billion in the same period [2] Industry Leadership and Resilience - Despite industry challenges from 2021 to 2023, Wens Foodstuff maintained its leading position and achieved a strong recovery in 2024, supported by reduced costs in pig farming and stable growth in chicken farming [3] - The company invested nearly 5 billion yuan in R&D and over 6.6 billion yuan in environmental protection over the past decade, laying a solid foundation for sustainable development [3] Digital Transformation - Wens Foodstuff has prioritized digitalization and intelligence as core strategic directions, integrating cloud computing, IoT, big data, and AI into its operations, with cumulative investments exceeding 3 billion yuan in digital initiatives [4] - The company has developed a comprehensive breeding management system utilizing digital technologies to enhance genetic evaluation and accelerate the breeding process [4] Collaboration and Innovation - In 2025, Wens Foodstuff deepened its collaboration with Huawei in the digital domain, creating a unified intelligent platform that enhances operational decision-making efficiency [5] - The introduction of AI veterinary services marks a significant innovation in traditional poultry farming practices [5] Social Responsibility and Community Engagement - Over the past decade, Wens Foodstuff has donated 730 million yuan and supported over 7,500 students, while also reducing carbon emissions by 3.85 million tons through various environmental measures [6] - The annual income of cooperating farmers increased from 6.12 billion yuan to 11.84 billion yuan, a growth of 93.5%, with the average income rising from 111,000 yuan to 275,000 yuan, an increase of 147.7% [6] - The "Love Farmers Guardian" program launched in 2024 aims to provide comprehensive support for farmers, reflecting the company's commitment to social responsibility [7]

Core Viewpoint - In 2025, Wens Foodstuff Group (300498.SZ) celebrates its 10th anniversary since its listing, demonstrating resilience and steady development through industry cycles, policy changes, and pandemic impacts, while evolving from traditional farming to a modern agricultural complex [1] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 75.788 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.256 billion yuan [1] - The debt ratio decreased to 49.41%, enhancing financial safety and risk resistance [1] - The company announced a profit distribution plan, proposing a cash dividend of 3 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 1.994 billion yuan, which accounts for 38% of the net profit [1] Business Evolution - Wens Foodstuff has undergone three phases: foundation building (2015-2018), adjustment during the African swine fever crisis (2019-2021), and recovery and optimization (2022-2024) [2][3][4] - The company maintained a leading annual growth rate in pig and chicken output during its initial phase, achieving an average ROIC of around 25% [2] - During the adjustment phase, the company faced challenges but maintained industry-leading liquidity and operational continuity [3] Production and Cost Management - By Q3 2025, pig output increased significantly to 9.736 million heads, a year-on-year growth of 120.63% [4] - The comprehensive breeding cost for pigs decreased to 12.4 yuan per kilogram, solidifying the company's position in the industry [4] - The chicken output reached 948 million heads in the first nine months of 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 8.9% [5] Strategic Initiatives - The company has focused on cost management as a strategic core, establishing a comprehensive cost control system across the entire industry chain [6][10] - Wens Foodstuff has developed a domestic breeding chip to reduce reliance on imports, significantly lowering detection costs [6] - The company is transitioning to a more centralized cooperative model, enhancing efficiency and disease control in its farming operations [8] Market Position and Future Outlook - Wens Foodstuff is positioned as a leading player in the industry, with a dynamic market response and a focus on long-term value creation [11][13] - The company is transitioning from a traditional farming model to a modern agricultural and food group, emphasizing intelligent, green, and branded growth [14][15] - Future strategies include enhancing production efficiency, integrating supply chains, and improving brand value to navigate industry changes and consumer trends [16][17]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Insights - The pork price center has significantly risen, leading to a notable reduction in industry losses. The average price of live pigs has increased to 12.51 CNY/kg, a week-on-week rise of 7.20% [2][13] - The agricultural sector is expected to maintain a good development momentum, with grain production projected to be high this year, including summer grain production of 299.48 billion jin and early rice production increasing by 6.8 billion jin, a growth of 1.2% [1][12] - The industry is currently in a supply-demand tug-of-war, with large-scale pig farms adopting strategies to control supply and raise prices, while demand is expected to improve with the arrival of warmer weather and the pickling season [2][13] Summary by Sections Planting Industry Chain - The agricultural sector is implementing key policies to support rural economic development, with a focus on achieving food security and enhancing crop yields through biotechnology [1][12] - Major beneficiaries in the planting sector include Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development, while in the seed industry, companies like Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech are highlighted for their competitive advantages [1][12] Pig Farming - The pig farming industry is still experiencing losses, but there has been a significant reduction in losses compared to the previous week, with self-breeding farms reporting an average loss of 89.33 CNY per head, down nearly 100 CNY [2][13] - The industry is expected to undergo a process of capacity reduction, with a focus on improving quality and efficiency, leading to the gradual elimination of outdated production capacity [2][13] - Recommended stocks in the pig farming sector include companies like DeKang Agriculture, Jingji Zhino, and Muyuan Foods [2][13] Key Agricultural Product Data Tracking - Corn: The average price is 2241.67 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.66% [27][28] - Wheat: The average price is 2482.11 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.87% [30][32] - Soybeans: The average price is 3996.84 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.06% [41][44] - Cotton: The average price in Xinjiang is 14660 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.15% [46][50] Feed and Vitamin Prices - The average price of pig feed is 2.6 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.38% [53][55] - The average price of Vitamin E is 50.30 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 14.58% [62][63]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The industry is experiencing a downward trend in pig prices, leading to a de-stocking cycle in pig farming. The profitability of the agriculture sector has turned negative due to a significant drop in pig prices, with Q3 2025 profits down by 58.8% year-on-year [5][14] - The overall revenue for the agriculture sector in Q1-Q3 2025 reached 872.718 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.44%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 35.477 billion yuan, up 10.63% year-on-year [5][14] - The average price of pigs in Q3 2025 was 13.81 yuan/kg, down 28.89% year-on-year, with the lowest price of 10.84 yuan/kg recorded on October 13, 2025 [5][14] Summary by Sections Q3 2025 Observations - The agriculture sector's profit has decreased significantly due to unexpected declines in pig prices, leading to a negative profit margin for the sector [5][14] - The sales gross margin for the industry in Q1-Q3 2025 was 11.79%, a slight increase of 0.12 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 4.21%, up 0.21 percentage points year-on-year [6][17] Profitability and Cost Management - The industry is focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvement, with the expense ratio for Q1-Q3 2025 at 6.64%, down 0.58 percentage points year-on-year [6][17] - In Q3 2025, the sales gross margin fell to 10.71%, a decrease of 4.68 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin dropped to 3.13%, down 4.71 percentage points year-on-year [6][17] Market Performance - The agriculture index outperformed the market by 1.88 percentage points during the week of October 27-31, 2025, with the agriculture index rising by 1.99% [26][28] - Key stocks such as Zhongxing Junye, Weilan Biotechnology, and Luoniushan led the gains in the agriculture sector, with increases of 19.60%, 13.23%, and 9.08% respectively [26][31] Price Tracking - As of October 31, 2025, the average price of pigs was 12.49 yuan/kg, an increase of 0.67 yuan/kg from the previous week, while the average price of piglets was 18.13 yuan/kg, up 0.47 yuan/kg [37][38] - The average price of beef was 66.30 yuan/kg, reflecting a slight increase of 0.09 yuan/kg from the previous week [38]