Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that China Galaxy has given Midea Group (000333.SZ) a "recommended" rating based on its strategic moves and market performance [1] - Midea Group's 2B business is advancing further with the acquisition of the international business of Ruike Medical [1] - The domestic home appliance business is supported by ongoing national subsidies, and Midea has raised the price of its air conditioners during the New Year [1]

Core Viewpoint - Under the backdrop of domestic and international monetary policy easing, foreign capital and southbound funds are expected to continue their net inflow trend, leading to a substantial improvement in the profitability of Hong Kong-listed companies, resulting in a market environment of rising profits and valuations [1] Group 1: Market Outlook - The fundamentals of the Hong Kong stock market largely depend on the domestic macroeconomic environment, with stable macro policies expected to maintain economic resilience and inflation likely to recover from low levels [2] - For 2026, the earnings growth forecast for major indices includes a 9.64% year-on-year increase in the Hang Seng Index, a 34.63% increase in the Hang Seng Tech Index, and a 9.9% increase in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index [2] Group 2: Capital Flow - As of December 19, 2025, the market value of Hong Kong Stock Connect holdings accounted for approximately 13.1%, while international intermediaries held about 40.1%, indicating a net increase in domestic capital holdings compared to foreign capital [3] - From the beginning of the year to December 19, 2025, the cumulative net inflow into the Hong Kong stock market via Stock Connect reached HKD 1.4 trillion, a 74% year-on-year increase [3] - Cumulative net inflow from foreign capital into the Hong Kong market from early 2025 to December 17, 2025, was USD 17.689 billion, with expectations of a continued low interest rate environment encouraging further inflows [3] Group 3: Market Performance - As of December 19, 2025, the price-to-earnings ratio of the Hang Seng Tech Index was 23.1 times, an 11.91% increase from the end of 2024, indicating significant room for valuation recovery compared to historical highs [5] - The Hang Seng Tech Index's earnings per share increased by 9.58% compared to the end of the previous year, and its valuation is notably lower than other major global tech indices [5] Group 4: Investment Themes - The technology innovation theme is expected to be a major investment focus, with significant valuation recovery potential for the Hang Seng Tech Index and strong performance anticipated from leading companies [6] - In the context of supply-side reform, sectors such as steel, building materials, electrical equipment, and paper are expected to see improved supply-demand dynamics and rising profit margins [6] - Under the strategy of expanding domestic demand, sectors with growth potential and historically low valuations, particularly in service consumption and new consumption models, are expected to perform well [6]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is expected to remain active and experience an upward trend due to multiple positive factors, with a focus on the technology and consumer sectors for medium to long-term investment opportunities [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market rose by 2.01% last week, with the Hang Seng Technology Index increasing by 4.31% [2] - Among the primary sectors, 7 sectors saw gains while 4 sectors declined, with notable increases in Information Technology (4.54%), Energy (3.97%), and Materials (2.98%) [2] - In the secondary sectors, Semiconductor, Defense, Oil & Petrochemicals, Software Services, and Paper & Packaging led the gains, while Household Products, Durable Goods, Consumer Services, Daily Consumer Retail, and Textiles & Apparel faced declines [2] Group 2: Market Liquidity - The average daily trading volume on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange was HKD 171.19 billion, an increase of HKD 31.26 billion from the previous week [3] - The average daily short-selling amount was HKD 19.93 billion, up by HKD 2.96 billion from the previous week, with short-selling accounting for 11.78% of the trading volume, a decrease of 0.22 percentage points [3] - There was a net outflow of HKD 3.81 billion from southbound funds, a decrease of HKD 6.37 billion compared to the previous week [3] Group 3: Valuation and Risk Appetite - As of January 2, 2026, the Hang Seng Index had a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.09 and a price-to-book ratio of 1.23, both up by 2.36% from the previous week, positioned at the 79% and 56% percentiles since 2010 [4] - The Hang Seng Technology Index had a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.8 and a price-to-book ratio of 3.15, at the 36% and 66% percentiles since 2010 [4] - The risk premium for the Hang Seng Index was 4.08%, which is 1.82 standard deviations below the 3-year rolling mean, placing it at the 4% percentile since 2010 [4]

Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index increased by 2.01% to 26,338.47 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 4.31% to 5,736.44 points, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index gained 2.85% to 9,168.99 points during the week from December 29, 2025, to January 2, 2026 [5][32] - Among the primary sectors, 7 sectors rose while 4 sectors declined. The Information Technology, Energy, and Materials sectors saw increases of 4.54%, 3.97%, and 2.98% respectively, while the Consumer Staples, Utilities, and Healthcare sectors experienced declines of 2.25%, 1.60%, and 0.59% respectively [7][34] Liquidity and Trading Volume - The average daily trading volume on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange was HKD 171.19 billion, an increase of HKD 31.26 billion from the previous week. The average daily short-selling amount was HKD 19.93 billion, up by HKD 2.96 billion, with short-selling accounting for 11.78% of the trading volume, a decrease of 0.22 percentage points from the previous week [13][39] - There was a net outflow of HKD 3.81 billion from southbound funds, a decrease of HKD 6.37 billion compared to the previous week's net inflow [14][40] Valuation and Risk Premium - As of January 2, 2026, the PE and PB ratios for the Hang Seng Index were 12.09 times and 1.23 times, respectively, both up by 2.36% from the previous week, placing them at the 79% and 56% percentiles since 2010 [2][16] - The risk premium for the Hang Seng Index was calculated at 4.08% based on the 10-year US Treasury yield of 4.19%, which is at the 4% percentile since 2010 [21][45] - The Hang Seng Tech Index had a PE ratio of 23.8 times and a PB ratio of 3.15 times, positioned at the 36% and 66% percentiles since 2010 [2][16] Investment Outlook - The Federal Reserve's December meeting minutes indicated a consensus on interest rate cuts, although there were significant disagreements among officials. The manufacturing PMI for December in China was reported at 50.1%, indicating expansion, while the non-manufacturing PMI was at 50.2% [29][50] - The technology sector is expected to remain a long-term investment focus due to multiple favorable factors such as price increases in the supply chain, mergers and acquisitions, and domestic substitution [29][50] - The consumer sector is anticipated to benefit from policy support, with current valuations at relatively low levels, suggesting significant medium to long-term upside potential [29][50]

Core Viewpoint - The central economic work conference emphasizes the continuation of a more proactive fiscal policy, with significant implications for China's economic transition and development strategies [1] Group 1: Fiscal Policy Characteristics - The fiscal policy for 2026 will focus on expanding expenditure while maintaining necessary spending intensity, with the broad deficit rate expected to remain stable compared to 2025 [1] - There will be an optimization of expenditure direction, particularly increasing support for domestic demand and technology, utilizing tools such as ultra-long-term special bonds and fiscal subsidies flexibly [1] - The fiscal policy will adopt a proactive approach, aiming for an "early start and quick use" rhythm to ensure a strong beginning for the 14th Five-Year Plan [1]

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年12月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國銀河證券股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年12月31日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 06881 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 3,690,984,633 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 3,690,984,633 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 3,690,984,633 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 3,690,984,633 | | 2 ...

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年12月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國銀河證券股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年12月31日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： RMB 10,934,402,256 備註： 第 1 頁 共 11 頁 v 1.1.1 FF301 因本公司於中華人民共和國註冊成立，"法定/註冊股本"之概念不適用於本公司。在上述第I部顯示「法定/註冊股本」的資料即本公司的已發行股本。 FF301 第 2 頁 共 11 頁 v 1.1.1 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 06881 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 3,6 ...

Group 1 - The steel industry has shown significant improvement in profitability, with effective cost control measures in place [1] - The demand side is adjusting due to real estate sector changes, while new infrastructure and renewable energy are supporting the demand for manufacturing steel [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has issued a plan for the steel industry, targeting an average annual value-added growth of around 4% from 2025 to 2026 [1] Group 2 - In the first three quarters of 2025, the steel sector achieved a net profit of 20.147 billion yuan, with a significant year-on-year turnaround [2] - The average sales gross margin for the industry increased to 12.35%, up 1.33 percentage points year-on-year, indicating improved profitability [1][2] - The third quarter of 2025 saw the steel sector achieve a net profit of 8.716 billion yuan, marking a 12.16% quarter-on-quarter increase and a significant year-on-year recovery [2] Group 3 - Leading steel companies have demonstrated stable revenue and a faster recovery in profitability, with Shougang Corporation reporting a net profit increase of 368.13% year-on-year [3] - The profitability improvement is broadening, with several companies in the sector achieving a turnaround in net profit [3] - Fangda Special Steel reported a sales gross margin of 10.44% and a net profit margin of 5.97%, highlighting the profitability advantages of high-end special steel products [3]

Core Viewpoint - The domestic EDA industry is currently experiencing a "policy-driven + technological breakthrough + high demand" triple resonance period, suggesting significant investment opportunities in core industry chain targets for the long term [1] Industry Positioning - EDA is a core technology for electronic system design automation, positioned at the upstream of the integrated circuit industry chain, influencing chip design efficiency, production costs, and performance, thereby impacting the global digital economy worth trillions of dollars [2] Market Dynamics - The global EDA market is highly concentrated, with three major players (Synopsys, Cadence, Siemens EDA) holding 74% market share. The global EDA market is projected to reach $18.3 billion by 2026 and exceed $30 billion by 2034. In China, the market size is expected to reach 22.2 billion yuan by 2026, with a growth rate of 20%, significantly higher than overseas [3] Growth Drivers - Three key factors are driving industry growth: 1. Domestic substitution is becoming essential due to U.S. export controls on EDA software, particularly for advanced process tools below 7nm, pushing domestic EDA companies to accelerate localization [4] 2. Technological and demand upgrades are emerging as design costs for advanced processes from 7nm to 3nm increase exponentially, with new demands arising from post-Moore era designs like Chiplet, 3D IC, and heterogeneous integration [4] 3. Industry consolidation is accelerating as the current Chinese EDA market is fragmented, with leading domestic EDA firms enhancing their product lines and overall strength through mergers and acquisitions [4]

Group 1 - The A-share market is entering a critical data validation period in January 2026, influenced by policy implementation, macro data, corporate performance, and liquidity changes, leading to increased volatility and a tendency for phase rebalancing [1] - Sectors that led in December, such as defense, 6G, and satellite internet, require performance or order validation to digest their gains, while themes with clear industrial trends like commercial aerospace and AI computing may still present active opportunities [1] - The strategic resource attributes of certain non-ferrous metal sectors, particularly strategic minor metals like antimony, tungsten, and rare earths, are being revalued by the market due to their essential role in technological breakthroughs and their strategic scarcity [1] Group 2 - Three key industry directions are highlighted: first, strategic resources and cyclical recovery sectors, focusing on upstream resource products with strategic scarcity, including industrial metals (copper), strategic minor metals, and energy metals (potash) [2] - Second, the focus is on technological self-reliance and new productivity sectors, emphasizing clear industrial trends and high visibility in performance for leading companies in areas such as AI computing, digital economy, semiconductor domestic substitution, and commercial aerospace [2] - Third, there is an emphasis on domestic demand recovery and structural improvement, with some domestic demand sectors having attractive valuations after prolonged adjustments [2]