Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market continued to show weakness, with the Hang Seng Index closing down 0.46% at 23,345.05 points, while the total trading volume decreased to HKD 190.72 billion [1] - The Hang Seng Index saw a weekly increase of 2.09%, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 1.92% and 1.95%, respectively [1] Blue-Chip Performance - NetEase-S (09999) led blue-chip stocks, rising 13.03% to HKD 190, contributing 25.05 points to the Hang Seng Index, with a net income of RMB 28.83 billion for Q1, up 7.4% year-on-year [2] - Other notable blue-chip movements included JD Health (06618) up 3.85% and China Biologic Products (01177) also up 3.85%, while Alibaba-W (09988) fell 4.27%, dragging the index down by 78.74 points [2] Sector Highlights - Pharmaceutical stocks showed strong performance, with 3SBio (01530) rising 11.36% and Shandong Xinhua Pharmaceutical (00719) up 8.95% [3] - The gold sector rebounded, with notable increases in stocks like Tongguan Gold (00340) and China Gold International (02099) following a significant rise in international gold prices [4][5] - Robotics concept stocks were active, with Horizon Robotics-W (09660) up 5.26%, driven by predictions of a massive market for humanoid robots [6] Notable Stock Movements - Melco International Development (00200) surged 21.4% after announcing a rights issue to raise funds for debt repayment [7] - Financial One Account (06638) rose 14.88% amid a proposed privatization plan at a premium to its previous closing price [8] - Fourth Paradigm (06682) increased 11.63% following a strong Q1 report showing a 30.1% year-on-year revenue growth [9] - Alibaba-W (09988) faced pressure, down 4.27%, after reporting Q4 revenue of RMB 236.45 billion, which was below market expectations [11]

Core Insights - Tencent dominates the April 2025 popular game rankings, with "Delta Action" leading the downloads and "Honor of Kings" and "Peacekeeper Elite" securing the second and third positions respectively [1] - "Delta Action," a cross-platform FPS game, has gained significant popularity since its launch, topping the iOS free game chart on its release day and achieving over 12 million daily active users [4][5] - The game features innovative gameplay that integrates domestic military elements, setting it apart from competitors and contributing to its success in a saturated market [4] Download Rankings - The top three games in the download rankings for April 2025 are: 1. Delta Action (Tencent) 2. Honor of Kings (Tencent) 3. Peacekeeper Elite (Tencent) [1] - Seven new games entered the download rankings in April, with "Seven Days World" making a notable impact by topping the iOS free game chart upon its mobile release [7][9] Revenue Rankings - The revenue rankings for April 2025 are led by: 1. Honor of Kings (Tencent) 2. Peacekeeper Elite (Tencent) 3. Endless Winter (Point Interactive) [15] - Three new games entered the revenue rankings, including "NBA All-Star" which successfully captured the audience with its realistic gameplay and NBA licensing [16] Market Trends - The mobile gaming market in April 2025 showcased a vibrant competition among both new and established titles, with Tencent and NetEase leading the charge [18] - Tencent's "Delta Action" and "Honor of Kings" continue to perform strongly in both download and revenue categories, while NetEase's "Seven Days World" has carved out a niche in the open-world genre [18] - The integration of cultural elements into gameplay, as seen with "Subway Surfers" and "I Am the Great Boss," reflects a trend towards enriching player experience through cultural engagement [11][13]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, NetEase (NTES US), with a target price raised from $124 to $143, indicating a potential upside of 16.5% [1][2][13]. Core Insights - The company's performance in Q1 2025 significantly exceeded expectations, driven by strong game revenue growth and effective cost control. Game revenue increased by 15% year-on-year, contributing to a 32% rise in adjusted net profit [1][6][7]. - The report highlights the positive trends in the gaming sector, with notable contributions from titles such as "Marvel Duel," "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds," and "Identity V." The company plans to enhance its game update cycles and establish a competitive ecosystem to stabilize game metrics [1][6][7]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Projections**: The total revenue for 2025 is projected at RMB 114,279 million, reflecting an 8.5% growth rate. Game and value-added services revenue is expected to reach RMB 93,768 million, with a growth rate of 9.0% [5][14]. - **Profitability Metrics**: The adjusted operating profit for 2025 is forecasted at RMB 41,298 million, with an operating profit margin of 36.1%. The adjusted net profit is projected at RMB 36,899 million, representing a net profit margin of 32.3% [5][14]. - **Quarterly Performance**: In Q1 2025, the company reported a net income of RMB 10,301 million, an 18% increase from the previous quarter, with a net profit margin of 36% [7][8]. Market Position and Trends - The company has a market capitalization of approximately $146.5 billion, with a year-to-date stock price increase of 37.61% [4][14]. - The gaming segment is expected to continue its upward trajectory, with deferred revenue increasing by 16% quarter-on-quarter, setting a solid foundation for future revenue growth [1][6][7].

和谈超预期是事实，这从本周A股、美股的上涨，A债、黄金的下跌中，可见一斑。 伙伴们，大家好，这周前面四天没更新，大家催更的私信等，就不一一回复了，感谢大家的惦念 ，借用一图，略表此刻的心情。 本公众号会继续为大家，每日用大白话解读一下金融市场的时事，尽可能剥开底层的逻辑，这些 初心都不会变。 ...... 这周，从中美贸易和谈超预期开始，又有周三银行股一度飙涨的戏码，显然算是很刺激的一周， 我积 累了一些想聊且有意义的话题 ，正好趁今天，把本周的重要事件，总结为8条，和大家简单展开一下。 1、短期来看，中美和谈超预期，但到今天为止，对利好交易的差不多了。 高血压的那边 ，虽然4月的CPI和PPI数据，都没有显示通胀进一步走高的态势，但是市场普遍判断，是 因为此前的库存发挥了作用，而昨晚 沃尔玛 发布最新一季财报后，也明确表示，这个月就要开始提 价，即使是30%的关税，也很可能导致部分商品，有两位数以上的涨价——以沃尔玛在美国的零售市场 占比看，这是一个很明确的微观信号。 另外， 鲍师傅 昨天也出来表示，货币政策的框架可能会优化，说的很绕，其实我总结一下就是，后续 多看少动，即使通胀起来了，也不会阶段性打压，表 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for NetEase, with a target price increase to USD 130 from USD 120, implying a 21.4% upside from the current share price of USD 107.11 [6][11][100] Core Insights - NetEase's recent earnings report showed a 25% beat in earnings, a 5% beat in game revenue, and an 11% beat in deferred revenue, leading to a revision of EPS growth to +18% year-on-year in 2025 [2][11] - The strong deferred revenue growth of 19% year-on-year indicates potential for accelerating game revenue growth in the upcoming quarters [2][97] - Upcoming game launches, including Marvel Mystic Mayhem and Destiny Rising, are anticipated to be key focus areas following the annual product launch event [2][11] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, NetEase reported total revenue of RMB 28,829 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7% [91] - Online game revenue grew by 15% year-on-year, driven by strong performances from titles such as Identity V, Where Winds Meet, and Marvel Rivals [94] - The gross profit margin (GPM) for games and related value-added services (VAS) was reported at 67%, with a non-GAAP operating profit of RMB 11,393 million, representing a 34% year-on-year increase [91][94] Game Highlights - Mobile game revenue only fell by 4% year-on-year, outperforming consensus expectations of a 6% decline, thanks to strong performances from Identity V and Where Winds Meet [3][94] - PC game revenue saw an impressive growth of 85% year-on-year, significantly above the consensus estimate of 67%, driven by contributions from WWM PC and Blizzard titles [3][94] - The launch of Once Human mobile resulted in 6 million new users in its first week, boosting the PC version's revenue by 500% [3][94] Margin Discussions - The report notes an increase in games and related VAS gross profit margin quarter-on-quarter, attributed to a reduced focus on non-game businesses and a shift towards profitability [4][94] - The report anticipates that it will take a few quarters for sales and marketing expenses as a percentage of revenue to normalize [4] Valuation Metrics - The report provides estimates for future financial performance, projecting revenue of RMB 116,721 million for 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 11% [98] - The estimated price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for 2025 is 12.6, indicating a favorable valuation compared to historical averages [7][14] Pipeline and Future Outlook - The report highlights key upcoming titles such as Ananta, expected to launch in 2026, which could significantly contribute to future revenue streams [2][90] - The successful return of Overwatch in China has set new records for peak concurrent users, indicating strong market demand for NetEase's offerings [94]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for NetEase Inc. (NTES) with a 12-month price target of $140.00, indicating an upside potential of 30.7% from the current price of $107.11 [1]. Core Insights - NetEase reported a strong performance in 1Q25, with game revenue increasing by 15% year-over-year (yoy) and operating profit rising by 34% yoy, alleviating concerns regarding its legacy and mobile games [1][22]. - The growth is expected to continue due to the success of newly released titles, a recovery in legacy titles, and improved promotional strategies [1][18]. - The report anticipates low to mid-teens yoy game revenue growth and further margin expansion for the remainder of 2025 [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1Q25, PC games revenue surged by 84% yoy, driven by successful titles such as Marvel Rivals and Where Wind Meets, alongside contributions from Blizzard games [2][22]. - Historical profit margins are at a high due to disciplined expense management and sequential gross profit margin (GPM) expansion [3]. Revenue and Earnings Forecasts - Revenue forecasts for 2025E have been revised upwards by 1.3% to 114,803.9 million RMB, with net profit estimates increased by 10.4% to 38,685.9 million RMB [20][21]. - The report projects a total revenue growth of 9.0% for 2025, with EBITDA growth of 18.6% and EPS growth of 16.6% [12]. Game Pipeline and Strategy - NetEase is focusing on a globalization strategy, with plans to release more titles targeting international markets, particularly in the PVP genre [17][25]. - Key upcoming titles include Marvel Mystic Mayhem and Destiny: Rising, with a focus on competitive gameplay to leverage R&D expertise [25][38]. Market Position and Valuation - The stock is currently trading at a P/E ratio of 14X for 2025E, which is considered a discount compared to peers and historical averages [18]. - The report highlights that international games revenue is expected to grow to 12.6% of total revenue by 2025E, driven by new global titles [33].

Group 1 - HHLR Advisors reported a total market value increase from $2.887 billion to $3.539 billion, a nearly 23% rise in Q1 2025 [1] - HHLR's top ten holdings include Pinduoduo, Alibaba, Futu Holdings, BeiGene, NetEase, Beike, Legend Biotech, JD.com, Vipshop, and WNS Holdings, with 9 out of 10 being Chinese concept stocks [1][2] - HHLR made new investments in 10 companies including Atour Group, Huazhu Group, Baidu, and Li Auto, with significant increases in holdings for Yum China, Li Auto, and Baidu [2] Group 2 - Jinglin Asset Management's Hong Kong subsidiary reported a total market value of $3.228 billion, showing an increase from the previous year [3] - Jinglin's new investments include Alibaba and Hesai Technology, while it increased holdings in Meta, Beike, TSMC, and New Oriental, and reduced positions in Google, Microsoft, and Nvidia [3] - The market value increase for both HHLR and Jinglin is attributed to the revaluation of Chinese concept stocks, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rising by 13.33% in Q1 2025 [4] Group 3 - The rapid development of AI models like DeepSeek is reshaping the valuation of Chinese tech companies, moving away from traditional pricing models that undervalued growth potential [5] - The shift in valuation logic is driven by the transition of Chinese AI companies from relying on foreign platforms to establishing their own technological capabilities [5]

Group 1: Automotive Industry - The automotive supply chain sector in the A-share market experienced a surge, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit up [2][4] - A new mandatory national standard for light vehicle automatic emergency braking systems (AEBS) has been drafted and is now open for public consultation, set to replace the existing standard by June 30, 2025 [3][4] - The new standard expands the requirement for AEBS to include not only passenger cars (M1 category) but also light commercial vehicles (N1 category), indicating a significant market shift [4][6] Group 2: Robotics Sector - The robotics concept stocks saw a notable increase, with companies like Greebo and Haon Electric hitting the daily limit up, and several others rising over 10% [9][10] - China Unicom announced a partnership with Huawei to launch a home robot product, indicating a growing interest in domestic robotics [10] - The domestic robotics industry is expected to enter a mass production phase by 2025, driven by advancements in data accumulation and hardware cost reductions [10] Group 3: Market Performance - The overall A-share market showed low volatility, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.52% and the Shenzhen Component Index slightly up by 0.08% [2] - In the Hong Kong market, NetEase saw a significant increase, with its stock price rising over 16% during the session [17][19]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent quarterly holdings of major investment firms, highlighting significant investments in Chinese stocks and the impact of the revaluation of Chinese tech stocks on their portfolios [2][8]. Group 1: HHLR Advisors Holdings - HHLR Advisors reported a total holding value increase from $2.887 billion to $3.539 billion, a nearly 23% rise in Q1 2025 [2]. - The top ten holdings of HHLR include Pinduoduo, Alibaba, Futu Holdings, BeiGene, NetEase, Beike, Legend Biotech, JD.com, Vipshop, and WNS Holdings, with nine of these being Chinese stocks [2]. - HHLR made new investments in ten companies, including Atour Group, Huazhu Group, Baidu, Yuchai International, and Li Auto, with significant increases in holdings for Yum China, Li Auto, and Baidu [4]. Group 2: Performance of New Investments - New investments by HHLR in Yuchai International saw an 80% increase, while BOSS Zhipin and Li Auto rose by 34% and 20%, respectively, as of May 14 [4]. - HHLR increased its holdings in eight companies, including Futu Holdings and Pinduoduo, with Futu Holdings experiencing a 40% rise and Pinduoduo a 23% rise [4]. - HHLR reduced its positions in Alibaba and BeiGene, with Alibaba's stock rising by 56% and BeiGene by 47% during the same period [4]. Group 3: Jinglin Asset Management Holdings - Jinglin Asset Management reported a total holding value of $3.228 billion as of Q1 2025, showing an increase from the previous year [6]. - New investments included Alibaba and Hesai Technology, while they increased holdings in Meta, Beike, TSMC, and New Oriental, and reduced positions in Google, Microsoft, and others [6]. - The top ten holdings of Jinglin include Meta, Pinduoduo, NetEase, and others, with a total holding value of $2.784 billion, representing 86.24% of their total U.S. stock holdings [6]. Group 4: Market Trends and Revaluation - The increase in holdings for HHLR and Jinglin is attributed to the revaluation of Chinese tech stocks, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rising by 13.33% in Q1 2025 [8]. - The rapid development of AI models like DeepSeek is reshaping market perceptions of Chinese tech companies, moving away from traditional valuation methods [8]. - The shift in valuation logic is driven by the emergence of independent technological capabilities in Chinese AI firms, leading to a reassessment of their long-term growth potential [9].

Group 1: A-Share Market Overview - The A-share market experienced overall low-level fluctuations in the morning, with the automotive industry chain sector leading the gains, becoming one of the important highlights of the market [1][4] - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.52%, while the Shenzhen Component Index slightly increased by 0.08%, and the ChiNext Index rose by 0.16% [4] - A significant number of stocks in the automotive industry chain hit the daily limit, including companies like Haoen Electric and Tianqimo [4][5] Group 2: Automotive Industry Standards - A new mandatory national standard for light vehicle automatic emergency braking systems (AEBS) has been drafted and is now in the public consultation phase, set to replace the current standard GB/T 39901-2021 [5][6] - This new standard expands the scope to include N1 class light commercial vehicles, requiring all passenger cars (M1 class) and light commercial vehicles (N1 class) to be equipped with AEBS [6][8] - The implementation of this mandatory standard indicates a countdown for large-scale pre-installation of AEBS in the Chinese automotive market [8] Group 3: Robotics Sector - The robotics concept saw a rise, with stocks like Greebo and Haoen Electric hitting the daily limit, and several others increasing by over 10% [12] - China Unicom announced the launch of a home robot product in collaboration with Huawei, indicating a growing interest in the robotics sector [13] - The domestic robotics industry is expected to enter a mass production phase by 2025, driven by data accumulation and hardware cost reductions [13] Group 4: New Stock Listings - Two new stocks were listed in the A-share market, both experiencing significant price increases, with Hanbang Technology rising over 140% [18] - Hanbang Technology focuses on chromatography technology and provides solutions for the pharmaceutical and life sciences sectors [18][19] - Another new stock, Zerun New Energy, saw a price increase of over 120%, specializing in photovoltaic component junction box solutions [20] Group 5: Hong Kong Market Overview - The Hong Kong market also experienced low-level fluctuations, with NetEase-S seeing a significant increase, reaching a peak of over 16% [21][23] - NetEase reported a net income of RMB 28.8 billion for Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.4%, with its gaming and related services net income rising by 12.1% [25][26]