Price Objective Change AI capex CY26/27 outlook now up +56%/+16% YoY As we previewed (report), demand for data center/AI semis remains strong. Post-Q4 earnings, our capex tracker (which includes finance/capital leases) indicates Q4 global hyperscale capex at $148bn, up +14% QoQ or +66% YoY, versus prior expectation of $141bn. For CY26/27, capex now points to $748bn/$869bn or +56%/+16% YoY, also well above vs. +36%/+15% two weeks ago. Importantly, much of these CY26 planned capex/capacity have already been c ...

Core Insights - Nvidia has established itself as a leader in the AI chip market, generating record earnings and achieving a market capitalization exceeding $4 trillion last year [1][2] - Analysts predict significant growth in the AI market, with spending from major companies like Alphabet and Amazon increasing, although concerns exist regarding potential overspending relative to demand [2] - Nvidia's upcoming earnings report on February 25 is highly anticipated, with expectations of surpassing $65.55 billion in quarterly revenue [6] Group 1: Nvidia's Market Position - Nvidia has transitioned from primarily serving the video gaming market to becoming a dominant player in AI by designing GPUs tailored for AI technology [4] - The company's revenue has seen substantial growth, exceeding $130 billion in the last fiscal year, with stock prices increasing by 1,200% over the past five years [5] Group 2: Future Expectations - Wall Street anticipates Nvidia will exceed revenue expectations in its upcoming earnings report, reflecting strong demand for its chips and systems [6] - Nvidia's finance chief, Colette Kress, indicated that AI product revenue is expected to surpass an earlier forecast of $500 billion by the end of 2026, driven by increasing demand from cloud companies [7]

Core Insights - Nvidia's significant investment in OpenAI, reportedly up to $100 billion, remains unfinalized, causing stock price fluctuations due to uncertainty despite CEO Jensen Huang's emphasis on a "major" commitment [2] - The company plans to moderately adjust its GPU supply, with an expected 30% reduction in overall supply to the Chinese market for the first quarter of fiscal year 2027, primarily due to DRAM market tightness and a shift towards high-end products [3] - Nvidia's new AI platform, Rubin, has entered mass production and is expected to be deployed by Microsoft and Coreweave in the second half of 2026, showcasing significant performance improvements in training and inference tasks [4] - Nvidia's $2 billion investment in EDA company Synopsys is still progressing, indicating a long-term strategic impact [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the competitive landscape of the AI industry, particularly focusing on the advancements in China and the potential implications for the US market, emphasizing that while US companies like Nvidia and OpenAI assert there is no AI bubble, the dynamics in China could challenge this perspective [2]. Group 1: AI Developments in China - China's AI industry is gearing up for significant developments, with reports of new models emerging that could rival US technologies, such as Alibaba's Qwen-3.5 and Zhipu's GLM-5 [4]. - DeepSeek's AI models were developed at a fraction of the cost compared to US leaders, indicating a potential competitive advantage for Chinese firms [3]. - The pace of AI model releases in China may accelerate, suggesting a shift in the competitive landscape [4]. Group 2: Chip Technology and Infrastructure - Nvidia's Blackwell chips are considered state-of-the-art, with rumors suggesting that some may have been made available to Chinese companies, potentially impacting the competitive balance [5]. - China may have access to Nvidia's H200 chip, but the future of this access is uncertain due to the ongoing US-China trade tensions [5]. - China's electricity capacity is double that of the US, which could provide a significant advantage for AI data centers, especially as energy infrastructure becomes a critical factor in AI development [6].

本文源自：金融界AI电报 瑞银：将英伟达(NVDA.O)目标价从235美元上调至245美元。 ...

Investors are worried that the biggest losers of the artificial intelligence (AI) revolution might be technology companies. Recent improvements in AI models and the release of new AI tools from Anthropic have sparked fears in the market that AI might disrupt the business models of, or even replace, companies that sell software as a service (SaaS companies). This tech stock sell-off is already being branded by some as the "SaaSpocalypse." The idea driving this tech stock downturn is that if AI gets good e ...

瑞银：将英伟达(NVDA.US)目标价从235美元上调至245美元。 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights a significant drop in the stock price of Dassault Systèmes, a European industrial software giant and Nvidia supplier, due to disappointing earnings results and guidance for 2025 and 2026 [1] - The stock experienced a maximum intraday decline of over 21%, triggering a trading halt [1] - The company's financial report indicated that both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the guidance for 2026 fell short of market expectations [1]

Nvidia’s growth story is far from over, given analysts' forecast revenue to increase from $130.5 billion in fiscal 2025 (ended in January) to $575 billion in fiscal 2030. Out of the 50 analysts covering NVDA stock, 44 recommend “Strong Buy,” three recommend “Moderate Buy,” two recommend “Hold,” and one recommends “Strong Sell.” The average NVDA stock price target is $255.34, above the current price of about $190.That transformation is showing up in the numbers. NVDA stock has delivered a staggering 1,230% g ...

Designed to provide broad exposure to the Technology - Broad segment of the equity market, the State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) is a passively managed exchange traded fund launched on December 16, 1998.Retail and institutional investors increasingly turn to passively managed ETFs because they offer low costs, transparency, flexibility, and tax efficiency; these kind of funds are also excellent vehicles for long term investors.Additionally, sector ETFs offer convenient ways to gain low ri ...