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收紧!台积电出口禁令或将升级
半导体行业观察· 2025-12-20 02:22
Core Viewpoint - Taiwan is considering new export regulations that would restrict TSMC from exporting technologies that are more advanced than two generations behind its leading-edge processes, potentially slowing TSMC's expansion in the U.S. market [1][3]. Group 1: New Export Policy - The new export policy is based on the government's "N-2 rule," which allows only the export of technologies that are two generations behind Taiwan's leading technology. This is a shift from the previous "N-1 rule," which permitted exports of technologies at least one generation behind [3]. - Under the new rule, if TSMC develops a 1.2nm or 1.4nm manufacturing process, only its 1.6nm products would qualify for export [3]. Group 2: TSMC's Manufacturing Capabilities - TSMC's Fab 21 in Arizona can currently produce chips using N4/N5 processes, while in Taiwan, TSMC has multiple fabs capable of 3nm manufacturing and is set to begin mass production of 2nm chips [4]. - Although Fab 21 currently meets the N-2 rule, future production using 3nm processes at the second phase of Fab 21 may not comply with the new regulations, as 3nm is only one generation behind [4]. Group 3: R&D and Workforce - A significant portion of TSMC's R&D personnel remains in Taiwan, ensuring that future process developments are rooted locally, despite the company's overseas capacity and R&D centers [4]. - The concentration of engineers and scientists in Taiwan is seen as a protective measure for intellectual property and human capital in the semiconductor industry [4]. Group 4: Investment Scrutiny - Any future investments by TSMC in the U.S. will be subject to current legal reviews, with projects exceeding certain thresholds requiring scrutiny by an investment committee [5].
3 of the Best Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks to Buy for 2026
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-20 01:38
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that despite the size of major tech companies, there are still significant growth opportunities in AI stocks, particularly for Alphabet, Amazon, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC) as they head into 2026 [1][2]. Alphabet - Alphabet has a market cap of $3.7 trillion, making it one of the most valuable companies globally, just behind Nvidia at $4.3 trillion [4]. - Concerns about Alphabet's ability to maintain its dominance in search due to AI chatbots have led to skepticism among investors, which may contribute to its current valuation not reflecting its true potential [5][8]. - The company has diversified operations, including enhancements in Google Search, YouTube, a growing robotaxi business (Waymo), and an expanding cloud business, which supports its growth prospects [7][8]. - Alphabet's stock trades at a forward P/E multiple of 28, which is modest compared to the Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF's average of just under 30, indicating potential for a higher valuation [8]. Amazon - Amazon's market cap stands at $2.4 trillion, and its stock price has declined by 4% over the past year, suggesting it may be undervalued [9][11]. - The company is known for its online marketplace and Amazon Web Services (AWS), which are significant growth drivers, alongside its own robotaxi business, Zoox [10][12]. - Amazon is expanding its same-day delivery of fresh groceries, which could enhance its competitive position against rivals like Walmart, leveraging its AI capabilities for better market predictions [12][13]. - The stock trades at a forward P/E of 27, indicating that it should be valued higher given its growth opportunities [13]. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC) - TSMC has a market cap of $1.5 trillion and is crucial in the AI industry due to its role in chip manufacturing for major tech companies, including Nvidia [14][15]. - The company reported a 30% revenue increase and a 39% rise in diluted per-share profit for the quarter ending September 30, showcasing strong growth and operating margins around 50% [16]. - TSMC's stock has increased by over 40% this year, and it has a forward P/E of just under 24, making it the cheapest stock among the three discussed [16].
美国丰田卖回日本,特朗普产业回流仍“病入膏肓”
汽车商业评论· 2025-12-19 23:05
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the trend of manufacturing return to the U.S., particularly in the automotive and semiconductor industries, driven by government policies and foreign investments aimed at reducing trade deficits and enhancing domestic production capabilities [4][5][6][15][16]. Automotive Industry - Toyota plans to export three models produced in the U.S. back to Japan, symbolizing a positive gesture towards improving U.S.-Japan trade relations [4]. - Honda intends to shift production of key models like CR-V and Civic from Canada and Mexico back to the U.S., aiming for 90% local production within two to three years [8]. - General Motors announced a $4 billion investment in three U.S. plants to increase production capacity, aiming to exceed 2 million vehicles annually [10]. - Stellantis revealed a $13 billion investment plan in the U.S., which includes reopening a previously closed plant and creating approximately 3,300 jobs [12][13]. - Ford is adjusting its electric vehicle strategy, focusing on hybrid and gasoline models while hiring thousands of workers [10]. - The overall trend indicates a significant increase in domestic production and investment from both foreign and U.S. automakers, responding to government policies [10][14]. Semiconductor Industry - Under pressure from U.S. policies, major semiconductor companies like TSMC are expanding their operations in the U.S., with TSMC increasing its investment from $40 billion to $65 billion for new facilities [16][22]. - Intel has received approximately $11.1 billion in government subsidies and is building new fabs in Arizona and Ohio [20]. - Micron announced a $30 billion expansion plan in the U.S., with government support for its production facilities [22]. - The U.S. government is negotiating with Taiwan to facilitate the transfer of skilled labor to support domestic semiconductor manufacturing [23][24]. - Despite these investments, challenges remain in labor availability and supply chain issues, indicating that the return of manufacturing is still in progress and not yet fully realized [26][27]. Overall Manufacturing Trends - As of September 2025, U.S. manufacturing output was approximately $2.905 trillion, showing only slight growth compared to earlier in the year, with employment levels remaining stable [26]. - Trade deficits have widened, with a reported increase of $112.6 billion (17.2%) compared to the previous year, indicating that the intended reduction in trade imbalance has not yet materialized [26]. - The article highlights that while there are ambitious plans and investments, the actual outcomes in terms of production and job creation are still lagging behind expectations, necessitating further reforms and collaboration to achieve a true manufacturing revival in the U.S. [27][28].
12月20日热门中概股多数上涨 小鹏汽车涨6.80%,满帮跌1.99%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-19 21:22
Group 1: Market Performance - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index (HXC) increased by 0.86% on December 20, with most Chinese concept stocks rising [1][6] - Major US stock indices showed mixed results for the week, with the Dow Jones down 0.67%, the Nasdaq up 0.48%, and the S&P 500 up 0.11% [2][8] - On December 20, the Dow Jones rose by 183.04 points, closing at 48,134.89; the Nasdaq increased by 301.26 points, closing at 23,307.62; and the S&P 500 rose by 59.82 points, closing at 6,834.58 [1][7] Group 2: Top Gainers and Losers - Among the top gainers in Chinese concept stocks, Xpeng Motors rose by 6.80%, Li Auto by 5.07%, and Alibaba by 1.68% [1][7] - The largest decline was seen in NISU, which fell by 46.99%, followed by Tuanche with a drop of 9.76% [5][15] - Other notable gainers included Zhongchi Chefu with a 64.47% increase and Aisuo Aisi with a 47.65% rise [12][13]
Wall Street Bullish on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), Here’s Why
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-19 19:52
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (NYSE:TSM) is one of the Best Non-US Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds. On December 10, Mike Yang from Bank of America Securities reiterated a Buy rating on the stock with a price target of $390. On the same day, Bernstein SocGen Group also reiterated a Buy rating on the stock with a $330 price target. The ratings follow the company’s release of its November 2025 revenue report. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (NYSE:TSM) reporte ...
Intel vs. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing: Which Stock Will Outperform in 2026?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-19 17:05
Key Points TSMC is the undisputed leader in manufacturing advanced chips. Intel's stock outperformed in 2025 after the company was backed by some big investors. TSMC has a clearer growth path between the two companies. 10 stocks we like better than Intel › When it comes to chip manufacturing, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (NYSE: TSM) is the undisputed foundry leader, while Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) is trying to make inroads. However, in 2025, it was Intel's stock that outperformed, up nearly 80% ...
今夜,大涨!降息50个基点
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-12-19 16:29
Group 1: U.S. Market Performance - The U.S. stock market saw significant gains, with the Dow Jones rising over 200 points and the Nasdaq increasing by nearly 1% on December 19 [2] - Major tech stocks led the rebound, with Nvidia and Oracle seeing substantial increases of 2.73% and 6.92% respectively, as investors reassessed the Federal Reserve's potential for future rate cuts [3][4] - The upcoming "triple witching" event, where stock-related derivatives and index options expire, is expected to create volatility, with an estimated $7.1 trillion in nominal open interest set to expire [4] Group 2: Economic Indicators and Analyst Insights - Analysts suggest that recent market fluctuations are more technical and mechanical rather than indicative of fundamental changes, emphasizing that long-term investors should not be overly concerned [5] - U.S. consumer confidence showed a lower-than-expected rebound, influenced by affordability issues, while existing home sales saw only a slight increase due to slowing price growth and declining mortgage rates [5] - The Federal Reserve is likely to maintain a cautious approach to interest rates, as indicated by New York Fed President Williams, who noted no urgent need for further adjustments [6] Group 3: Russian Monetary Policy - Russia's central bank cut its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points to 16%, marking the second consecutive reduction, amid concerns over rising inflation due to upcoming tax increases [7][8] - The central bank highlighted that inflation expectations remain high, which could hinder sustainable inflation reduction, with consumer inflation expectations soaring to 13.7% in December [8] - Despite the rate cuts, high interest rates continue to pressure businesses and households, particularly in non-defense sectors like construction and transportation, which are experiencing increased losses [9][10]
今夜,大涨!降息50个基点
中国基金报· 2025-12-19 16:20
【导读】科技股大涨,俄罗斯降息50个基点 中国基金报记者 泰勒 兄弟姐妹们啊,周五泰勒在香港拍了一天的视频,今晚回到深圳继续写稿,现在先关注一下晚间海外市场的表现。 科技股继续反弹 12月19日晚间,美股三大指数大涨,道指涨超200点,纳指涨近1%。 大型科技股带头反弹,投资者一边防着创纪录规模的期权到期可能引发的剧烈波动,一边重新押注风险资产。 超大盘股中,英伟达领涨,甲骨文大涨7%。过去几天,人工智能概念股的波动明显加剧。市场在重新评估美联储后续降息空 间的同时,股指也出现了较大幅度的来回拉扯。 | 了 筛选 | | 最新价 = | 涨跌幅 = □' | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Sandisk Corporation | | 234.86 | +7.02% | | us SNDK | | | | | 甲骨文 | | 192.49 | +6.92% | | us ORCL | | | | | 美光科技 | | 262.98 | +5.81% | | us MU | | | | | 美国超威公司 | | 210.22 | +4.55% | | US AMD | | | | | ...
台积电美国厂将提前量产3nm!
国芯网· 2025-12-19 14:12
Group 1 - TSMC's Arizona facility will begin equipment installation in Q3 2026, with production of 3nm process expected to start in 2027, one year earlier than originally planned [2] - The third wafer fab, utilizing 2nm process, is set to commence construction in Q2 2026, following the progress of the second factory [2] Group 2 - TSMC is actively transferring capacity to the U.S. while addressing concerns about technology leakage, stating that the most advanced processes will remain in its headquarters [4] - Key technologies will be regulated, and personnel involved will be monitored, ensuring that overseas production will lag behind domestic capabilities by two generations [4] - For instance, the current advanced production process is 2nm (N2), while overseas production will be at 5nm (N5), with a gap of 3nm process in between [4]
台积电日本二厂全面停工 重新评估产线规划
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-12-19 12:32
外媒近日也指出,台积电海外的布局更多源于地缘政治压力,美国、欧洲试图推动制造能力回流以降低 对亚洲供应链依赖,但这些设厂计划能否达成预期效果,前景并不明朗。(完) 台积电日本二厂全面停工 重新评估产线规划 中新社台北12月19日电 台积电位于日本熊本县的第二座芯片工厂(简称"熊本二厂")目前已实际进入停工 状态。综合《经济日报》、中时新闻网等台湾媒体19日报道,此次停工主因是该公司重新评估熊本二厂 产线规划。 据介绍,该厂于今年10月动工,原定2027年投产,但截至12月初,建设现场已全面暂停作业。 台媒分析,全球纯电动车销售量增长不如预期,影响半导体市场复苏,使得台积电熊本第一工厂(简 称"熊本一厂")产能利用率未达预期,出现持续亏损。在需求结构改变、市场不确定性升高的情况下, 台积电选择暂缓二厂施工,以调整中长期制程与产品布局。 台积电称,公司获利受多元因素影响,包括产能利用率、折旧及持续的资本投资等,将在适当时机做详 细说明。 来源:中国新闻网 编辑:熊思怡 广告等商务合作,请点击这里 本文为转载内容,授权事宜请联系原著作权人 中新经纬版权所有,未经书面授权,任何单位及个人不得转载、摘编或以其它方式使用 ...