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每日机构分析:7月22日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-07-22 11:45
Group 1 - Goldman Sachs reports that global investment, manufacturing employment, spending, and overall economic activity remain robust despite uncertainties and challenges [2] - Global trade remains active, indicating the persistence and importance of international trade, with significant rebounds in stock markets across the Atlantic [2] - Moody's analysis suggests that the outcome of Japan's Senate elections may hinder the government's efforts to advance fiscal consolidation in the post-pandemic era [2] Group 2 - Deutsche Bank strategists warn that if the US confirms tariff increases on August 1 alongside disappointing employment reports, it could trigger renewed recession fears [3] - Concerns over the sustainability of US debt may become a central topic of discussion in the market for the second half of the year, with long-term Treasury yields facing upward pressure [3] - Current 10-year US Treasury yield has risen by 2 basis points to 4.392% [3]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-22 10:32
UBS is reviewing the role of six relationship managers who sold complex currency derivatives to clients who say they didn’t fully understand the risk, sources say https://t.co/Mrf0kIzqhy ...
7月22日电,美国银行全球研究将瑞银集团评级从表现不佳升至中性,将目标价格从30.5美元上调至38.7美元。
news flash· 2025-07-22 09:57
智通财经7月22日电,美国银行全球研究将瑞银集团评级从表现不佳升至中性,将目标价格从30.5美元 上调至38.7美元。 ...
瑞银:稳定币将推高对短期美债净需求 短期债供给仍有吸纳空间
智通财经网· 2025-07-22 04:20
智通财经APP获悉,瑞银此前预计短期美债占可流通债务比重的快速扩张阶段已经过去。然而,《GENIUS 法案》可能带来新一轮增长。 美国财政部长贝森特认为,2 万亿美元是美元稳定币的合理规模,且存在上行风险。财政部借款咨询委员会(TBAC)讨论的情景是:到 2028 年市值达 2 万亿 美元,对应整体交易量增长 7 倍、货币流通速度不变、稳定币交易占外汇现货交易比重升至 10%。 代币化货币市场基金已成替代方案,因其可像基金一样提供收益,而稳定币则通常无收益。稳定币行业的增长还将取决于国际使用范围。 根据该法案,稳定币发行方必须用短期、高流动性且优质的资产维持 100% 的储备支持。获批的储备资产包括:美元现钞、短期美国国债、受保存款机构存 款以及短期国债回购协议。 国际清算银行(BIS)估算,稳定币已购入约 400 亿美元的美国短期国债,规模与最大的一只美国政府货币市场基金相当,且超过多数国家的持有量。在债务 上限问题解决及政府货币市场基金大幅扩张后,目前短期美债市场仍有充裕的吸纳能力。 若《GENIUS 法案》刺激更多短期国债需求,美国财政部可略微推迟扩大附息国债发行规模的时间,也有更大空间回购流动性较差的 ...
Tyra Biosciences Announces Fireside Chat on Achondroplasia and Growth Disorders at UBS Biotech Management Live Call Series
Prnewswire· 2025-07-21 20:05
Company Overview - Tyra Biosciences, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing next-generation precision medicines targeting opportunities in Fibroblast Growth Factor Receptor (FGFR) biology [1] - The company utilizes an in-house precision medicine platform called SNÅP, which enables rapid and precise drug design through iterative molecular SNÅPshots [1] - Tyra has a differentiated pipeline with three clinical-stage programs in targeted oncology and genetically defined conditions [1] Lead Product and Clinical Development - The lead product, TYRA-300, is a potential first-in-class selective FGFR3 inhibitor designed to avoid toxicities associated with FGFR1, FGFR2, and FGFR4 inhibition [1] - TYRA-300's planned clinical development includes three Phase 2 studies: SURF302 for intermediate risk non-muscle invasive bladder cancer, BEACH301 for pediatric achondroplasia, and SURF301 for metastatic urothelial cancer [1] - Other investigational products include TYRA-200, an oral FGFR1/2/3 inhibitor for metastatic intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma, and TYRA-430, an oral FGFR4/3-biased inhibitor for FGF19+/FGFR4-driven cancers [1] Upcoming Event - Company management will participate in a virtual fireside chat as part of the UBS Biotech Management Live Call Series on July 25, 2025 [2] - The event will feature key management personnel including Todd Harris (CEO), Doug Warner (CMO), and Alan Fuhrman (CFO) [2] - The session is scheduled for 11 am ET and will be hosted by Ellie Merle, a US SMID Cap Biotechnology Analyst at UBS [2]
多家外资机构中期策略出炉聚焦中国科技与消费板块
Core Insights - Multiple foreign institutions have released their mid-term investment strategies for 2025, highlighting the attractiveness of Chinese stocks amid global capital reallocation [2][3] - The technology and consumer sectors are identified as key areas of focus, benefiting from AI innovation and policy support, as well as the rise of local brands and digital upgrades [2][4] Investment Trends - There is a strategic rebalancing occurring globally, with investors reassessing their stock exposures and looking beyond the US market [2] - Asian markets, particularly China, are seen as undervalued compared to developed markets, providing a compelling entry point for long-term investors [2][3] Sector Focus - The technology sector is expected to offer excess return opportunities, especially with the increasing prevalence of AI applications and supportive government policies [4] - Specific areas of interest within the technology sector include online gaming, cloud services, online travel services, and electric vehicles, which are viewed favorably due to reasonable valuations and strong profit growth expectations [4]
沪指连续站上3500点,外资看好中国市场上行潜力
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-07-20 09:56
A股持续上攻、沪指站稳3500点之际,外资表态看好中国市场。 上周五(7月18日),沪指报收3534.48点,创年内收盘新高,当日涨幅0.5%。截至目前,沪指已连续7 个交易日站上3500点。资金交投情绪不弱,两市成交金额在本月上旬达到1.71万亿元、创近4个月新高 之后,近期维持在1.4万亿元以上。 第一财经关注到,对于近期的市场表现,多家外资机构称,中国市场股票估值具备吸引力,叠加基本面 改善、房地产市场趋稳、消费展现韧性等因素,具备进一步上行的潜力。 "投资者对中国股市的情绪日益乐观。"景顺亚太区全球市场策略师赵耀庭表示,投资者最初是受到更强 有力的国内政策支持的推动,随着中国人工智能领域的进展,市场情绪进一步升温。 多家外资机构看好中国市场 进入7月以来,沪指多个交易日收涨,月内仅3个交易日收跌。自7月10日站上3500点之后,至今已连续 七个交易日收于3500点上方。 上周(7月14日至18日),A股三大指数继续上扬,创业板领涨,当周涨幅3.17%,深成指周涨幅 2.04%,沪指则累计上涨0.69%。 不过,上周二(7月15日),沪指盘中出现回调,一度失守3500点,当日午盘报3486.88点,但在 ...
超10家全球系统重要性银行盯上了加密赛道
Group 1 - Standard Chartered Group has announced the launch of spot trading services for Bitcoin (XBT/USD) and Ethereum (XET/USD) through its UK branch, becoming the first global systemically important bank to offer such services [1] - Major global systemically important banks (G-SIBs) including Citigroup, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, and others are actively engaging in the cryptocurrency sector, with JPMorgan recently introducing a stablecoin-like token named JPMD for institutional clients [1][2] - The U.S. Congress has passed three bills related to stablecoins and cryptocurrencies, indicating a move towards more favorable regulatory policies for the cryptocurrency market [3] Group 2 - European banks such as UBS, Deutsche Bank, and HSBC are also entering the cryptocurrency space, with UBS successfully piloting a blockchain-based cross-border payment solution and Société Générale issuing a euro-based stablecoin [4] - Several international banks are forming partnerships with Chinese institutions, with HSBC launching a tokenized deposit management solution in Hong Kong and Deutsche Bank collaborating with Ant Group to explore tokenized deposits and stablecoin solutions [4] - The establishment of more platforms and subsidiaries by major banks aims to build a cryptocurrency ecosystem, with JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Société Générale creating dedicated digital asset platforms [5] Group 3 - The behavior of stablecoin users is seen as a threat to traditional banking operations, as businesses increasingly prefer to hold stablecoins for payments and liquidity management, which could weaken banks' control over funds [6] - Banks are responding by seeking to create "tokenized deposits" to enhance liquidity and customer engagement while maintaining regulatory compliance [6]
上半年多项数据表现亮眼,国际投行密集上调中国经济增长预期
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-17 02:53
Core Viewpoint - China's GDP grew by 5.3% year-on-year in the first half of the year, with strong performance in consumption, exports, and industrial production, leading several international investment banks to raise their economic growth forecasts for China in 2025 [1] Group 1: Economic Growth and Forecasts - UBS raised its 2025 GDP growth forecast for China from 4% to 4.7%, citing a robust second-quarter GDP growth of 5.2% supported by "trade-in" subsidies and stable export growth [1] - Morgan Stanley increased its 2025 GDP growth forecast from 4.5% to 4.8%, highlighting export resilience and proactive fiscal measures as key growth drivers [1] - Nomura maintained its GDP growth predictions for the second half of this year and 2026 but slightly adjusted its 2025 forecast upward due to better-than-expected second-quarter GDP growth [4] Group 2: Export Performance and Policy Support - The report indicated that exports outperformed expectations due to factors like "export grabbing" towards the U.S., ASEAN transshipment, and the depreciation of the yuan against non-dollar currencies [2] - Barclays Bank anticipates increased government efforts to boost consumption in the second half, including expanding the "trade-in" policy to more categories and potentially extending subsidies to additional service sectors [4] - UBS expects additional stimulus measures to be introduced by the government in late Q3 or Q4, including an increase in the fiscal deficit ratio by over 0.5 percentage points and interest rate cuts of 20-30 basis points [4] Group 3: Economic Challenges Ahead - Morgan Stanley noted that economic growth is expected to slow further in the second half, with weakening exports becoming a major drag on growth due to the fading "export grabbing" effect and renewed U.S. tariff policies [5] - The marginal effectiveness of fiscal stimulus is expected to diminish, and the impact of the "trade-in" policy on consumption will gradually decline [5] - A stimulus package of approximately 0.5 to 1 trillion yuan may be introduced, with timing potentially in September or October, allowing policymakers to assess economic trends more accurately [5]
利好来了!集体宣布:上调!
券商中国· 2025-07-17 01:28
Economic Growth Predictions - Multiple foreign institutions have raised their GDP growth forecasts for China in 2025, with Morgan Stanley increasing its prediction from 4.5% to 4.8%, Goldman Sachs from 4.6% to 4.7%, and UBS from 4% to 4.7% [1][4] - At least nine U.S. and international banks have adjusted their forecasts for China's economic growth, with Barclays and Morgan Stanley predicting nearly 5% growth for this year [2] Economic Indicators - China's GDP grew by 5.3% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with industrial output increasing by 6.4%, and high-tech manufacturing growing by 8.7% [3] - Retail sales increased by 5.0% year-on-year, reflecting a 0.4 percentage point acceleration from the first quarter [3] Chip Export Developments - AMD plans to resume exports of its MI308 chip to China following U.S. government approval, marking a significant shift in U.S. policy regarding AI chip exports to China [7] - The approval of H20 chip exports to China is expected to enhance Nvidia's profitability and indicates progress in U.S.-China trade negotiations [8] Market Sentiment - Optimism regarding China's economic growth is improving investment expectations in the Chinese stock market, with Citigroup upgrading its rating on the consumer sector from "neutral" to "overweight" [5] - Bridgewater's onshore China fund achieved a 14% return in the first half of the year, reflecting a positive outlook on Chinese equities due to policy support and relatively low valuations [5]