Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the commercial aerospace industry Core Insights - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing significant advancements, with successful launches and developments in various projects, indicating a robust growth trajectory for the industry [3][4][5][9][14][19] Industry Developments - The successful launch of the Lihong-1 suborbital vehicle on January 12, 2026, marked a significant milestone, demonstrating capabilities for microgravity scientific experiments and in-situ exploration [5][6] - The successful launch of the Vesta-1 rocket on January 16, 2026, which deployed four satellites into low Earth orbit, highlights the growing capabilities of China's commercial space sector [9][10] - The completion of the static fire test for the Long March 12B rocket on January 16, 2026, confirms the reliability and feasibility of this new generation reusable rocket [14] - The Beijing Rocket Street project, the first common testing and research production base for commercial aerospace in China, has been completed and is set to enhance the industry ecosystem [16][17] - Zhongke Aerospace has completed its IPO guidance work, indicating a positive trend for capital market participation in the commercial aerospace sector [19] Financing Progress - Sade Satellite completed a B-round financing on January 14, 2026, which will accelerate its development in the commercial satellite manufacturing sector [20][21] Capital Market Performance - The Wind Commercial Aerospace Index experienced a weekly decline of 4.39% during the week of January 12-16, 2026, with a trading volume decrease of 2.64% [25][28] - Among the listed companies in the commercial aerospace sector, 25.40% saw their stock prices increase during the same week, indicating some resilience in the market despite the overall decline [25][28] Industry Conference Preview - Upcoming conferences include the Third Beijing Commercial Aerospace Industry High-Quality Development Conference from January 23-25, 2026, and the Second Commercial Aerospace Industry Development Conference in March 2026 [32][33]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 116.10 CNY [5][18]. Core Insights - The acquisition of DFS's Greater China business is expected to significantly enhance the company's premium capability and international influence in the global luxury goods sector, positioning it as a competitive player in tourism retail [2][3]. - The company forecasts net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 3.947 billion CNY, 5.328 billion CNY, and 6.126 billion CNY respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.91 CNY, 2.58 CNY, and 2.96 CNY [3][4]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 67.54 billion CNY, with a decrease to 56.47 billion CNY in 2024, followed by a gradual recovery to 68.96 billion CNY in 2026 and 87.76 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 28.7% and 27.3% respectively [4][12]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to decline to 4.267 billion CNY in 2024, before increasing to 5.328 billion CNY in 2026 and 6.126 billion CNY in 2027, indicating a recovery trend [4][12]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 7.0% in 2025 to 9.8% in 2027 [4][12]. Acquisition Details - The company plans to acquire DFS's Greater China tourism retail business for up to 395 million USD, which includes 100% equity of DFS Cotai Limitada and key assets in Hong Kong [3][12]. - The acquisition is fully funded by the company's own capital, ensuring that existing operations remain unaffected [3][12]. Strategic Partnerships - The company has signed a strategic cooperation memorandum with LVMH, aiming for deep collaboration in product sales, store openings, brand promotion, cultural exchange, tourism services, and customer experience [3][12].

Group 1: Company Overview - The report highlights that the company Lin Qingxuan has been deeply engaged in the oil-based skincare sector for many years, establishing itself as a pioneer in this field with significant growth potential driven by product expansion and channel development [1][2] - The main brand Lin Qingxuan, founded in 2003, initially focused on natural skincare products and later launched the Camellia Oil Essence in 2014, which has become a leading product in the oil-based skincare category [2][3] - The company has experienced remarkable growth, with revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025 reaching 1.05 billion and 180 million RMB, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 98% and 110% [2] Group 2: Market Position and Growth Potential - The oil-based skincare market is expected to grow significantly, with a projected market size of 5.3 billion RMB in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 43% and a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 42% from 2019 to 2024 [2][3] - Lin Qingxuan holds a leading market share of 12.4% in the facial oil category, significantly ahead of other brands, thanks to its long-term market education and the popularity of its Camellia Oil Essence [2][3] Group 3: Sales Channels and Performance - The company's star product, the Camellia Oil Essence, has seen rapid sales growth, with revenue from this category increasing by 176% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, accounting for 46% of total revenue [3] - Online sales have surged, with a 137% year-on-year increase in online revenue, which now represents 65% of total sales, driven by the popularity of platforms like Douyin [3] - The company has expanded its offline presence, with over 554 stores as of the first half of 2025, indicating significant potential for further growth in physical retail [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Taiping [7] Core Views - China Taiping is expected to see a significant increase in net profit for 2025, projected to grow by 215%-225% year-on-year, primarily driven by improved investment income and favorable tax policies [2][11] - The target price has been raised to HKD 28.60 per share, corresponding to a 2025 P/EV of 0.55 times [11] Financial Summary - Insurance service revenue is projected to increase from HKD 107,489 million in 2023 to HKD 117,071 million in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 5.2% [5] - Net profit is expected to rise from HKD 6,190 million in 2023 to HKD 26,982 million in 2025, representing a substantial growth of 220.0% [5] - The PE ratio is forecasted to decrease from 10.63 in 2023 to 3.04 in 2025, indicating a significant improvement in valuation metrics [5] Investment Drivers - The stabilization of long-term interest rates and a recovery in the equity market are identified as key catalysts for the company's performance [3] - The report highlights that the Shanghai Composite Index is expected to rise by 18.4% in 2025, which, combined with the company's proactive stock allocation, will enhance investment service performance [11] - The anticipated tax policy changes are expected to positively impact the company's net profit, particularly as the tax rate is projected to decrease from 42.2% in 2024 to a more competitive level [11][13] Business Outlook - The report forecasts a robust growth in the new business value (NBV) of life insurance, expected to increase by 20% in 2025, supported by strong customer demand for insurance savings products [11] - The shift towards dividend insurance products is expected to improve the cost of liabilities, further solidifying the profitability of policies [11]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the real estate sector [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the rental yield in major cities has shifted from a negative outlook to a neutral stance due to the CPI turning positive and the continuous decline in risk-free rates. This indicates potential stabilization in asset prices in key cities [2]. - The rental yield in first-tier cities has increased from 1.6% in 2020 to 1.9% in 2025, although it remains below the mortgage loan rates and slightly above the risk-free rates. The "rental yield + CPI" metric is expected to improve as the CPI in some first-tier cities turns positive [4]. - Second-tier cities are showing signs of price stabilization, with the "rental yield + CPI" metric improving from 2.3% in 2023 to 2.6% in 2024 and maintaining that level in 2025. Cities like Hefei and Xi'an are expected to see further improvements in their rental yields [4]. Summary by Sections Rental Yield Analysis - The historical rental yield was 1.5%, but when adjusted for CPI, it is not considered low. The report emphasizes the need to differentiate between actual and nominal yields [4]. - The nominal rental yield is adjusted to account for potential inflation, making it a more comparable metric. The report suggests that the high inflation period has made the first-tier cities' rental yield of 1.5% equivalent to an international nominal yield of 3.5% [4]. Market Trends - The report notes that the rental yield plus CPI in first-tier cities is around 2.5%, which is now higher than the risk-free rate. This indicates a potential shift in market dynamics [5]. - The report also points out that the proportion of declining listing prices has increased, indicating a weakening in the second-hand housing market, with about 19% of listings showing price declines [4][18]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates that as the CPI continues to rise and the risk-free rate declines, asset prices in key cities may transition from a negative outlook to a neutral one. This is particularly relevant for second-tier cities, which are expected to have a stronger rental yield plus CPI metric [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Taiping [7] Core Views - China Taiping is expected to see a significant increase in net profit for 2025, projected to grow by 215%-225% year-on-year, primarily driven by improved investment income and favorable tax policies [2][11] - The report anticipates a stable recovery in investment returns and a positive impact from tax policy changes, which will enhance the company's profitability [11] Financial Summary - **Insurance Service Revenue**: Expected to increase from 107,489 million HKD in 2023 to 117,071 million HKD in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 5.2% [5] - **Net Profit**: Projected to rise from 6,190 million HKD in 2023 to 26,982 million HKD in 2025, representing a staggering growth of 220.0% [5] - **Price-to-Earnings (PE) Ratio**: Expected to decrease from 10.63 in 2023 to 3.04 in 2025, indicating a significant improvement in valuation [5] - **Price-to-Book (PB) Ratio**: Anticipated to remain stable around 0.76 for 2025 [5] Key Catalysts - The stabilization of long-term interest rates and a recovery in the equity market are identified as key catalysts for the company's performance [3]

- The report focuses on the performance of Smart beta portfolios, specifically Value, Growth, and Small-cap styles, constructed based on high beta elasticity and long-term stable excess returns objectives[6][7][9] - Value Smart beta portfolios include Value 50 and Value Balanced 50 portfolios, with weekly returns of -1.15% and 0.38%, respectively, and annual returns of -1.47% and 3.52%[4][7][9] - Growth Smart beta portfolios include Growth 50 and Growth Balanced 50 portfolios, with weekly returns of 2.02% and 2.28%, respectively, and annual returns of 5.52% and 6.00%[4][7][16] - Small-cap Smart beta portfolios include Small-cap 50 and Small-cap Balanced 50 portfolios, with weekly returns of 3.24% and 1.70%, respectively, and annual returns of 7.58% and 8.26%[4][7][22] - The report highlights the relative performance of these portfolios against their respective benchmarks, such as the CSI Value Index, CSI Growth Index, and CSI 2000 Index, showcasing excess returns and maximum relative drawdowns[7][9][16]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the industrial gas industry [2][7]. Core Insights - The average weekly price of liquid oxygen and liquid nitrogen remains stable year-on-year, while the average price of liquid argon continues to rise year-on-year. Rare gases are experiencing low-level fluctuations [3][6]. - The acquisition of South Korean gas company DIG Airgas by Air Liquide has been completed, which will double the number of employees in Korea and increase total sales to €900 million, enhancing the group's position in this growing economy [3][6]. Price Trends - As of January 15, 2026, the weekly price data for gases is as follows: 1. Liquid Oxygen: Average price of 335 CNY/ton, down 0.3% month-on-month, down 8.7% year-on-year 2. Liquid Nitrogen: Average price of 361 CNY/ton, down 0.6% month-on-month, down 5% year-on-year 3. Liquid Argon: Average price of 1179 CNY/ton, down 1.01% month-on-month, up 117.83% year-on-year 4. Rare Gases: High-purity helium (cylinder): Average price of 86.5 CNY/cubic meter, down 0.98% month-on-month, down 12.18% year-on-year; Xenon: Average price of 21,000 CNY/cubic meter, stable month-on-month, down 27.59% year-on-year; Krypton: Average price of 190 CNY/cubic meter, stable month-on-month, down 39.68% year-on-year; Neon: Average price of 110 CNY/cubic meter, stable month-on-month, down 12% year-on-year [6][8][11]. Industry Operating Rates - The average weekly operating load rate for China's industrial gas sector is 66.73% as of December 31, 2025, with a month-on-month decrease of 1.88 percentage points [5][9]. Recommended Stocks - Recommended stocks include Hangzhou Oxygen Plant (杭氧股份) and Shaanxi鼓动力 (陕鼓动力), with related stocks being Zhengfan Technology (正帆科技), Fostar (福斯达), and Zhongtai Co. (中泰股份) [6][7].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to the robotics industry, indicating a projected performance that exceeds the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index by more than 15% [5][26]. Core Insights - The robotics industry is experiencing significant advancements with the release of the "World Model" by 1X Technologies, which enables the NEO robot to achieve autonomous learning, marking a pivotal step towards embodied intelligence [5][7]. - There is a robust demand in the investment and financing market, with notable funding rounds such as Skild AI securing $1.4 billion to develop a general-purpose robot "brain" [5][13]. - The domestic market is witnessing a surge in new products and applications, with companies like Matrix Super Intelligence and Kepler Robotics making strides in humanoid robot capabilities [5][8][10]. Summary by Sections Industry News and Company Developments - 1X Technologies launched the "World Model" for its NEO humanoid robot, allowing it to autonomously learn and execute tasks based on real-world physics [7]. - Humanoid and Schaeffler announced a strategic partnership to integrate humanoid robots into manufacturing, enhancing industrial automation [7]. - The CES 2026 showcased significant participation from Chinese humanoid robot companies, highlighting advancements in technology and applications [12]. Investment and Financing Dynamics - Skild AI raised $1.4 billion from major investors including SoftBank and NVIDIA, emphasizing a shift in focus from hardware to the cognitive capabilities of robots [13]. - The domestic company Self-Variable Robotics completed a 1 billion yuan A++ financing round led by ByteDance, indicating strong investor interest in the sector [13]. - The first robot leasing platform, "Qingtian Rent," successfully completed seed financing, demonstrating a growing business model in the robotics market [13]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on both complete robot manufacturers and core component suppliers, including actuators, motors, reducers, and sensors, with specific companies highlighted for investment [5][18]. - Key recommended companies include Zhaowei Electromechanical, Mingzhi Electric, and Jiechang Drive for actuators and motors, and others for reducers and precision components [18].

Market Performance - Emerging markets continued to rise, with MSCI Global up by 1.9%, MSCI Developed up by 1.3%, and MSCI Emerging up by 6.8%[9] - The Hang Seng Index showed the best performance among emerging markets, increasing by 4.0%[9] - The 10Y U.S. Treasury yield rose significantly, indicating a shift in bond market dynamics[9] Investor Sentiment - Trading volume in the Chinese stock market surged, with the Shanghai Composite Index trading 4.054 billion shares worth $9.94 billion, a week-on-week increase[24] - The short-selling ratio in Hong Kong fell to 12.9%, below the 10-year average, indicating heightened investor confidence[24] Earnings Expectations - U.S. earnings expectations for 2025 were revised upward, with the S&P 500's EPS forecast increasing from +10.3% to +10.4%[68] - The Hang Seng Index's EPS forecast for 2025 was downgraded from -1.8% to -1.9%[68] - European earnings expectations remained stable, with the STOXX50 index's EPS forecast unchanged at -4.6%[69] Economic Outlook - The U.S. economic surprise index rose, influenced by lower-than-expected CPI data and uncertainties regarding the new Federal Reserve chair[9] - The Chinese economic surprise index also increased, supported by the central bank's monetary policy adjustments[9] Capital Flows - Global liquidity showed signs of tightening, with expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut rates decreasing slightly to 1.8 times in 2026[56] - Recent capital inflows into Hong Kong amounted to HKD 240 billion, with significant contributions from the Stock Connect program[65]