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金融行业事件点评:降准降息,股票投资的风险因子进一步调降10%
Dongguan Securities· 2025-05-07 09:27
| | | | 金融行业 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 银行:超配(维持) | | | 降准降息,股票投资的风险因子进一步调降 10% | | 保险:超配(维持) | | | 金融行业事件点评 | | 2025 年 5 7 日 | 月 | 分析师:吴晓彤(SAC | 执业证书编号:S0340524070001) | | | | 电话:0769-22119302 邮箱 | wuxiaotong@dgzq.com.cn | 事件: 5 月 7 日,国务院新闻办公室举行新闻发布会,介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情 况,央行表示将推出降准降息等十项货币政策措施,金融监管总局近期将推出 8 项增量政策。 点评: 外围扰动下,国内政策加码必要性增强。随着各项政策继续发力显效,我国一季度在经济增长、就业、 物价以及国际收支四大方面实现平稳起步、良好开局。但同时也要看到,国内有效需求增长动力不足, 经济持续回升向好的基础仍需进一步巩固,特别是目前外部环境更趋复杂严峻,美国滥施关税带来诸 多不确定性,国内经济持续回升任务比较繁重。为加强逆周期调节,稳定经济大盘,国内政策保障仍 需进一步 ...
天奈科技(688116):2024年及2025Q1业绩点评:碳纳米管导电剂龙头,单壁放量有望提升盈利能力
Dongguan Securities· 2025-05-07 08:54
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation that the stock will outperform the market index by more than 15% in the next six months [10]. Core Insights - The company, Tianai Technology (688116), is a leading global producer of carbon nanotube conductive agents, with a focus on single-walled carbon nanotubes, which are expected to enhance profitability [4][8]. - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1.448 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.13%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 15.8% to 250 million yuan due to prior year gains from subsidiary equity transfers [8]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 335 million yuan, reflecting a 9% year-on-year growth, and a net profit of 58 million yuan, up 8.1% year-on-year [8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Tianai Technology is recognized as the market leader in carbon nanotube conductive paste, holding a 53.2% market share in the domestic market for carbon nanotube conductive pastes [8]. Financial Performance - The company reported a gross margin of 35.18% in 2024, an increase of 1.58 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 17.19%, down 4.14 percentage points [8]. - For Q1 2025, the gross margin was 33.19%, a decrease of 1.26 percentage points year-on-year, with a net margin of 17.25%, down 0.2 percentage points [8]. Product Development and Market Position - The company has developed four generations of carbon nanotube conductive paste products, with significant performance advantages in high-density, fast-charging battery applications [8]. - The demand for single-walled carbon nanotubes and related composite products is expected to grow, particularly in solid-state battery applications, with the company having secured substantial orders from battery manufacturers [8]. Future Outlook - The company completed a private placement raising approximately 800 million yuan, aimed at expanding production capacity for single-walled carbon nanotube conductive materials, which is anticipated to enhance profitability [8]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.11 yuan and 1.44 yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 40 and 31 [8].
徐工机械(000425):2024年报及2025年一季报点评:2025Q1业绩环比增长,经营质量提升明显
Dongguan Securities· 2025-05-07 08:54
事件:徐工机械发布2024年报及2025年一季报。 机械设备行业 点评: 本报告的风险等级为中风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息,关于信息的准确性与完整性,建议投资者谨慎判断,据此入市,风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 买入(维持) 2025Q1 业绩环比增长,经营质量提升明显 徐工机械(000425)2024 年报及 2025 年一季报点评 2025 年 5 月 7 日 投资要点: 分析师:谢少威 SAC 执业证书编号: S0340523010003 电话:0769-23320059 邮箱: xieshaowei@dgzq.com.cn ◼ 2025Q1 盈利能力环比提升。2024 年公司实现营收为 916.60 亿元,同比 -1.28%;归母净利润为 59.76 亿元,同比 12.20%。毛利率为 22.55%,同 比+0.17pct;净利率为 6.53%,同比+0.89pct。2024Q4 实现营收为 229.34 亿元,同比+8.29%,环比+20.11%。归母净利润为 6.67 亿元,同比+36.94%, 环比-58.39%。毛利率为 19.32%,分别同环比-1.32pct、-6.22pct;净 ...
汇川技术(300124):2024年报及2025年一季报点评:2025Q1业绩同比高增,AI+机器人助迎新增长点
Dongguan Securities· 2025-05-07 05:56
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][6]. Core Insights - The company achieved a significant year-on-year revenue growth of 21.77% in 2024, with total revenue reaching 370.41 billion yuan, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 9.62% to 42.85 billion yuan [6]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 89.78 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 38.28% and a net profit of 13.23 billion yuan, which is a 63.08% increase compared to the same period last year [6]. - The company is focusing on AI and humanoid robots as new growth drivers, aiming to transform manufacturing through industrial AI technology [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's revenue was 370.41 billion yuan, with a net profit of 42.85 billion yuan. The gross margin was 28.70%, and the net margin was 11.73% [6]. - For Q1 2025, the revenue was 89.78 billion yuan, with a net profit of 13.23 billion yuan. The gross margin improved to 30.98%, and the net margin was 14.96% [6]. Business Segments - The general automation segment showed improvement in Q1 2025, with revenue of approximately 41.00 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of about 29.00%. Key products like general frequency converters and servo systems saw significant growth [6]. - The company's revenue from the new energy vehicle sector reached approximately 160.00 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of about 70.00% [6]. Future Outlook - The company projects EPS of 1.96 yuan, 2.46 yuan, and 2.90 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 37x, 29x, and 25x [6].
市场全天高开高走,沪指重新站上3300点
Dongguan Securities· 2025-05-07 01:18
证券研究报告 2025 年 5 月 7 日 星期三 【A 股市场大势研判】 市场全天高开高走,沪指重新站上 3300 点 市场表现: | 指数名称 | 收盘点位 | 涨跌幅 | 涨跌 | 上证指数分时图 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 3316.11 | 1.13% | 37.08 | | | 深证成指 | 10082.34 | 1.84% | 182.51 | | | 沪深 300 | 3808.54 | 1.01% | 37.97 | | | 创业板 | 1986.41 | 1.97% | 38.38 | | | 科创 50 | 1026.52 | 1.39% | 14.10 | | | 北证 50 | 1373.90 | 3.21% | 42.77 | | 资料来源:东莞证券研究所,iFinD 数据 板块排名: | 申万一级涨幅前五 | | 申万一级跌幅前五/ | | 热点板块 n | 涨幅前五 | 热点板块涨幅靠后 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 涨幅靠后 | ...
2025Q1主动权益基金深度分析:超额回归持仓港股市值创历史新高
Dongguan Securities· 2025-05-06 11:03
本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息,关于信息的准确性与完整性,建议投资者谨慎判断,据此入市,风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 市场概览:2025Q1除了纯债型基金外,主要基金指数均录得正收益,主动 权益基金跑出超额。从总规模上来看,今年一季度公募基金总规模保持 稳定,主动权益基金规模微涨,结构上变化不大。类固定收益基金仍然 占比较重,达68.8%,而主动权益基金规模占比仅11%,有较大的发展空 间。 SAC 执业证书编号: 主动权益基金持仓分析:共重仓持有2638家上市公司,持股总市值约为 2.96万亿元,增长2.18%,股票仓位略有提高,重仓持有港股市场的市值 大幅增加。重仓行业方面,通信行业在本季度退出了前十大重仓行业, 而有色金属则新晋跻身前十大重仓行业之列,与内需消费息息相关的商 贸零售和轻工制造板块在行业下跌时市值在逆市增长,或指向基金逆市 增持。重仓持有的个股方面,腾讯控股跃升为第一大重仓个股,美的集 团和立讯精密出现逆市减仓。 基 金 专 题 集中度分析:行业和个股集中度更高,具体来看前十大重仓个股占比从 18.41%提升至20.14%,前十大重仓行业占比从70.19%提 ...
东莞证券:2025年5月份股票组合
Dongguan Securities· 2025-05-06 10:55
证券研究报告 2025 年 5 月份股票组合 2025 年 5 月 6 日 重要提示: n 本文推荐理由和目标价仅供参考,并不构成买卖建议,股市有风险,投资需谨慎。 2025 年 5 月份股票组合 东莞证券 2025 年 4 月份股票组合表现 | 证券代码 | 证券名称 | 收盘价 | 收盘价 | 区间 | 区间最大 | 4 月份 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | (25/3/31) | (25/4/30) | 最高价 | 涨幅 | 涨幅 | | 601336 | 新华保险 | 51.50 | 48.11 | 52.96 | 2.83% | -6.58% | | 600036 | 招商银行 | 43.29 | 40.74 | 43.78 | 1.13% | -5.89% | | 000831 | 中国稀土 | 31.67 | 31.22 | 35.96 | 13.55% | -1.42% | | 601899 | 紫金矿业 | 18.12 | 17.46 | 18.76 | 3.53% | -3.64% | | 603288 | 海天味业 ...
新股发行跟踪(20250506)
Dongguan Securities· 2025-05-06 10:51
证券研究报告 2025 年 5 月 6 日 星期二 【新股发行跟踪(20250506)】 从周度上市新股表现来看,上上周无新股首日破发。 表 1:周度新股上市概况 | 期间 | | 新股上市数(主 | | 首发募资 | 首日破 | 首日涨超 | 首日涨跌幅范围 | 首日涨跌幅 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 板/双创) | | (亿元) | 发率 | 100%数量 | | 均值 | | | 4-28 | 至 4-30 | 0 | (0/0) | 0.00 | 0% | 0 | (0.00%,0.00%) | 至 4-28 | 4-30 | | 4-21 | 至 4-25 | 3 | (2/1) | 48.02 | 0% | 1 | (24.06%,179.39%) | 至 4-21 | 4-25 | | 4-14 | 至 4-18 | 3 | (2/1) | 11.71 | 0% | 3 | (165.08%,312.58%) | 至 4-14 | 4-18 | | 4-7 至 | 4-11 | 3 ...
2025年5月份投资策略报告:继续企稳修复-20250430
Dongguan Securities· 2025-04-30 12:10
月度策略/A 股市场 2025 年 4 月 30 日 继续企稳修复 2025 年 5 月份投资策略报告 分析师:费小平 SAC 执业证书编号: S0340518010002 电话:0769-22111089 邮箱:fxp@dgzq.com.cn 分析师:尹炜祺 SAC 执业证书编号: S0340522120001 电话:0769-22118627 邮箱: yinweiqi@dgzq.com.cn 分析师:曾浩 SAC 执业证书编号: S0340523110001 电话:0769-22119276 邮箱: zenghao@dgzq.com.cn | 市场主要指数 | 4 | 月份表现 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 收盘点位 | 涨跌幅 | | 上证指数 | 3279.03 | -1.70% | | 深证成指 | 9899.82 | -5.75% | | 沪深 300 | 3770.57 | -3.00% | | 创业板指 | 1948.03 | -7.40% | | 北证 50 | 1331.13 | 4.72% | | 科创 50 | 1012.42 | -1.01% | 资料来源:东莞 ...
开放式基金策略双周报:港股通创新药主题基金反弹力度较强-20250430
Dongguan Securities· 2025-04-30 11:42
基 金 研 究 开放式基金策略双周报(20250416-20250429): 港股通创新药主题基金反弹力度较强 2025 年 4 月 30 日 投资要点 本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息,关于信息的准确性与完整性,建议投资者谨慎判断,据此入市,风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 分析师:李荣 S0340521010001 F4520000001431 电话:0769-26628039 邮箱:lirong@dgzq.com.cn 报 告 资料来源:东莞证券研究所,Wind 资讯 基础市场回顾:权益市场方面,关税政策冲击后A股市场窄幅震荡,波 动率显著下降。主要宽基指数中国证2000和沪深300指数涨幅靠前。债券 市场方面整体表现较好,中证转债上涨0.31%表现最好,纯债市场中仅中 证信用债下跌。 基金市场回顾:近两周中国基金指数上涨0.46%,各类型基金均录得正 收益,其中表现最好的是QDII基金和另类型基金,涨幅分别为2.46%和 1.13%。QDII基金中涨幅靠前的主要是关税冲击下超跌反弹的资产,如油 气和港股市场;权益基金略微上涨,但是大部分基金录得正收益,FOF 基金中正收益占比 ...