[Table_IndNameRptType]2 固定收益 固收周报 曲线能否陡后再平？ ——利率周记（5 月第 2 周） 报告日期： 2025-05-12 [Table_Author] 首席分析师：颜子琦 执业证书号：S0010522030002 电话：13127532070 邮箱：yanzq@hazq.com [Table_Author] 研究助理：洪子彦 执业证书号：S0010123060036 电话：15851599909 邮箱：hongziyan@hazq.com 主要观点： ⚫[Table_Summary] 下周降准实际落地，短端能否进一步下行？ 在上周双降政策公布后，利率曲线陡峭化，短端下行近 5bp，长端横盘。在降 准 0.5 个百分点、降息 10bp 的情况下，短端的 5bp 下行实际不算多，而值得 注意的是央行资金利率 DR007 则出现大幅下行，此前其运行中枢在 1.70%- 1.80%附近，5 月 9 日降至 1.54%。那么，在下周降准实际落地后，短债是否 能够开启补降？ 首先从历史上看，在 2021 年以来降准实际落地后，短端利率下行、震荡、上 行的次数分别为 3 次、2 次与 3 ...

行业周报 电子行业周报：华为首款鸿蒙电脑接入 DeepSeek，模型与芯片深度协同 [Table_IndRank] 行业评级：增持 报告日期：2025-05-11 [Table_Chart] 行业指数与沪深 300 走势比较 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 5/24 8/24 11/24 2/25 电子(申万) 沪深300 [Table_Author] 分析师：陈耀波 [Table_IndNameRptType] 电子 执业证书号：S0010523060001 邮箱：chenyaobo@hazq.com [Table_Author] 分析师：李美贤 执业证书号：S0010524020002 邮箱：limeixian@hazq.com [Table_Author] 分析师：刘志来 执业证书号：S0010523120005 邮箱：liuzhilai@hazq.com [Table_Author] 分析师：李元晨 执业证书号：S0010524070001 邮箱：liyc@hazq.com 相关报告 主要观点： ⚫[Table_Summary] 本周行情回顾 从指数表现来看，本周（2 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [1] Core Views - The report highlights the rapid evolution of artificial intelligence (AI) technology and emphasizes the importance of self-reliance and application-oriented development in AI. Huawei's first HarmonyOS computer integrates AI capabilities, enhancing productivity through deep collaboration between models and chips [5][6] - The report notes a significant increase in smartphone shipments in China, with a 9% year-on-year growth in Q1 2025, driven by state subsidy programs and a rise in replacement demand [14][17] - The report discusses the expected growth in global XR (AR/VR) display shipments, with AR glasses projected to grow by 42% year-on-year in 2025, indicating a shift towards AI-enabled applications [22][24] Market Performance Summary - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.92%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 2.29% during the week of May 6 to May 9, 2025. The semiconductor equipment index showed a decline of 0.44%, while the sensor index rose by 4.14% [4][30] - The best-performing sector was printed circuit boards, with a 5% increase, while the analog chip design sector saw a decline of 2.11% [4][30] Company-Specific Insights - Companies involved in AI infrastructure include Shengyi Technology, Shenhui Technology, and Industrial Fulian, among others [6] - The report identifies leading smartphone manufacturers in Q1 2025: Huawei (20% market share), Xiaomi (19%), and OPPO (16%), with a notable increase in market concentration among the top six manufacturers [14][17] - The report mentions that Samsung Display is set to begin mass production of its first tri-fold smartphone display panels by June or July 2025, indicating innovation in the smartphone market [20]

策略研究 周度报告 如何看待军工行情的持续性？ [Table_RptDate] 报告日期： 2025-05-11 [Table_Author] 分析师：郑小霞 执业证书号：S0010520080007 电话：13391921291 邮箱：zhengxx@hazq.com 分析师：刘超 执业证书号：S0010520090001 电话：13269985073 邮箱：liuchao@hazq.com 分析师：张运智 执业证书号：S0010523070001 电话：13699270398 邮箱：zhangyz@hazq.com 分析师：任思雨 执业证书号：S0010523070003 电话：18501373409 邮箱：rensy@hazq.com 相关报告 1.策略周报《如何看待银行股大跌及 配置价值？—第 18 周》2025-05-05 2.策略月报《持盈保泰—2025 年 5 月 A 股市场研判及配置机会》2025-04-27 3.策略周报《消费行业轮动，行至何阶 段？—第 16 周》2025-04-20 4.策略周报《科技是否迎来主线契机， 哪些消费行业尚未轮动？—第 15 周》 2025-04-13 主要观 ...

[Table_IndNameRptType]2 固定收益 固收周报 双降之后，谁在买入短债？ ——债市机构行为周报（5 月第 2 周） 报告日期： 2025-05-10 [Table_Author] 首席分析师：颜子琦 执业证书号：S0010522030002 电话：13127532070 邮箱：yanzq@hazq.com [Table_Author] 研究助理：洪子彦 执业证书号：S0010123060036 电话：15851599909 邮箱：hongziyan@hazq.com 本周综述： ⚫[Table_Summary] 短端下行 5bp，详细拆解一下买盘 本周双降落地之后，中短端受利好出现明显下行，1Y 国债降至 1.40%， 而长端则在"买入预期、卖出现实"的博弈下表现偏震荡，利率曲线小 幅走陡，而周五尾盘央行货币政策执行报告中提及重启国债二级买卖， 利率由升转降，复盘本周，谁在买入短债？ 先看利率债的交易情况，本周对于国债而言，农商行与外资是短债的主 要推动力量，周度净买入 1Y 以下国债超 100 亿元，农商行本周采取哑 铃型配置，在买入短债的同时也增配 30Y 国债；对于政金债而言，本周 ...

| 投资评级：买入（维持） [Table_Rank] | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 报告日期： | 2025-05-09 | | | [Table_BaseData] 收盘价（元） | | 16.74 | | 近 12 个月最高/低（元） | | 20.90/13.33 | | 总股本（百万股） | | 1,409 | | 流通股本（百万股） | | 1,368 | | 流通股比例（%） | | 97.12 | | 总市值（亿元） | | 236 | | 流通市值（亿元） | | 229 | [公司价格与沪深 Table_Chart] 300 走势比较 -32% -17% -2% 14% 29% 5/24 8/24 11/24 2/25 均胜电子 沪深300 [Table_Author] 分析师：姜肖伟 执业证书号：S0010523060002 电话：18681505180 邮箱：jiangxiaowei@hazq.com 分析师：陈飞宇 执业证书号：S0010525020001 电话：19842726967 邮箱：chenfeiyu@hazq.com [Table_CompanyR ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.156 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 60.1%. In Q1 2025, the net profit reached 263 million yuan, up 33.52% year-on-year [4][5] - The company's revenue for 2024 was 6.238 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.5%, while Q1 2025 revenue was 1.556 billion yuan, up 14.44% year-on-year. Domestic sales slightly declined due to industry conditions, but export sales grew significantly [5] - The company has made continuous investments in R&D, with R&D expenses reaching 167 million yuan in 2024, accounting for 2.68% of revenue. This has led to breakthroughs in high-end products across multiple fields [6] - The company has expanded its upstream production capacity and customer base, establishing four foundries and enhancing its product applications in various industries, including clean energy [7] Financial Summary - The company’s revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 7.282 billion, 8.379 billion, and 9.556 billion yuan, respectively. The net profit forecasts for the same period are 1.447 billion, 1.654 billion, and 1.900 billion yuan, respectively [8][10] - The projected EPS for 2025-2027 is 1.88, 2.15, and 2.47 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 14.8, 12.9, and 11.3 times [8][10] - The company’s gross margin for 2024 is expected to be 38.1%, with a net profit margin of 18.69% [10]

[Table_StockNameRptType] 昊华科技（600378） 公司点评 短期业绩承压，制冷剂景气度有望提升 | 投资评级：买入（维持） [Table_Rank] | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 报告日期： | 2025-05-11 | | | [Table_BaseData] 收盘价（元） | | 25.55 | | 近 12 个月最高/最低（元） | 34.56/24.51 | | | 总股本（百万股） | | 1290 | | 流通股本（百万股） | | 911 | | 流通股比例（%） | | 70.64 | | 总市值（亿元） | | 330 | | 流通市值（亿元） | | 233 | [Table_Chart] 公司价格与沪深 300 走势比较 -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 5/5 7/5 9/5 11/5 1/5 3/5 5/5 昊华科技 沪深300 [Table_Author] 分析师：王强峰 执业证书号：S0010522110002 电话：13621792701 邮箱：wangqf@hazq.com 分析师：潘宁馨 执业证书号：S001052 ...

[Table_StockNameRptType] 昊华科技（600378） 公司点评 短期业绩承压，制冷剂景气度有望提升 | 投资评级：买入（维持） [Table_Rank] | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 报告日期： | 2025-05-11 | | | [Table_BaseData] 收盘价（元） | | 25.55 | | 近 12 个月最高/最低（元） | 34.56/24.51 | | | 总股本（百万股） | | 1290 | | 流通股本（百万股） | | 911 | | 流通股比例（%） | | 70.64 | | 总市值（亿元） | | 330 | | 流通市值（亿元） | | 233 | [Table_Chart] 公司价格与沪深 300 走势比较 -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 5/5 7/5 9/5 11/5 1/5 3/5 5/5 昊华科技 沪深300 [Table_Author] 分析师：王强峰 执业证书号：S0010522110002 电话：13621792701 邮箱：wangqf@hazq.com 分析师：潘宁馨 执业证书号：S001052 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has demonstrated steady revenue growth, with a 25.20% year-on-year increase in revenue for 2024, reaching 2.014 billion yuan, and a 14.40% increase in net profit, amounting to 528 million yuan [2][4] - The gross margin remains stable at 46.93%, although it has decreased by 1.45 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin has decreased by 2.47 percentage points to 26.19% due to increased asset impairment losses [2] - The company is a leader in the photovoltaic laser equipment sector, with significant breakthroughs in packaging equipment and ongoing research in semiconductor and other new fields [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 2.014 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 46.93% and a net profit margin of 26.19% [2][8] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 574 million yuan, a 25.59% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 144 million yuan, an 18.46% increase year-on-year [2] - In the first quarter of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 561 million yuan, a 24.55% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 163 million yuan, a 20.76% increase year-on-year [2] Product and Market Position - The company has a competitive advantage in various photovoltaic product lines, with 99.96% of its revenue coming from the photovoltaic industry in 2024 [4] - The company is actively developing laser processing equipment for consumer electronics, new displays, and integrated circuits, indicating a diversification strategy [4] - The company has secured significant orders, including a 1.229 billion yuan order from a leading photovoltaic enterprise for its back-contact battery laser micro-etching equipment [5][6] Earnings Forecast - The company’s projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.415 billion yuan, 2.840 billion yuan, and 3.546 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 635 million yuan, 838 million yuan, and 1.110 billion yuan [6][8] - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.32 yuan, 3.06 yuan, and 4.06 yuan, respectively [6][8] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the same years are projected to be 25, 19, and 14, reflecting the company's strong market position and innovation capabilities [6][8]