Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Power (02380) and raises the target price by 7.4% from HKD 3.51 to HKD 3.77 [1] Core Insights - The report indicates an increase in the earnings forecast for 2025 and 2026 by 1% and 1.4% respectively, highlighting an attractive dividend yield of 6% and 7% for these years [1] - Total power generation from January to April showed a slight year-on-year increase of 0.3%, with wind and solar power generation rising significantly by 32.1% and 13.6% respectively [1] - The report notes a decline of over 7% in domestic coal prices (both at ports and inland) compared to the end of March this year, suggesting that the company's thermal power price differential for the first half of the year may exceed the analyst's expectations by approximately 2% [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Kuaishou-W (01024) with a target price of HKD 64, indicating a potential upside of 31% from the current price [1]. Core Insights - Kuaishou's Q1 performance met expectations with total revenue and adjusted net profit of RMB 32.6 billion and RMB 4.6 billion respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 11% and 4% [1]. - The report highlights the impact of increased AI computing power investments offsetting cost optimizations, maintaining the 2025 profit forecast at RMB 20.3 billion, with an adjusted net profit margin of 14%, stable compared to 2024 [1]. - The report emphasizes the commercial potential of Kuaishou's AI capabilities, particularly in video generation, warranting a valuation premium based on a 13x P/E ratio for 2025 [1]. Segment Overview - E-commerce GMV grew by 15% year-on-year, with MAU penetration at 19% and average spending per user also up by 7% [2]. - Online marketing revenue increased by 8% year-on-year, with content consumption and local life sectors showing strong growth [2]. - Live streaming revenue rebounded with a 14% year-on-year increase, alongside significant growth in the number of signed agencies and streamers [2]. - Local life services saw substantial growth in active merchants and product offerings, with monthly paid users increasing by 73% year-on-year [2]. - Internationally, revenue grew by 33% year-on-year, achieving positive operational profit for the first time [2]. - The report anticipates continued growth in Q2, with e-commerce GMV expected to rise by 14% and advertising revenue projected to recover with a double-digit growth rate [2].

行业与大盘一年趋势图 资料来源： FactSet 5/24 9/24 1/25 5/25 -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 行业表现 恒生指数 丁政宁 2025 年 5 月 29 日 医药行业周报 ASCO 大会多项国产创新药重磅数据公布，关注创新+业绩共振机会 交银国际研究 行业更新 行业评级 领先 Ethan.Ding@bocomgroup.com (852) 3766 1834 诸葛乐懿 Gloria.Zhuge@bocomgroup.com (852) 3766 1845 估值概要 | 公司名称 | 股票代码 | 评级 | 目标价 | 收盘价 | | -----每股盈利----- | ----市盈率---- | | | ----市账率---- 股息率 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | FY25E | | | FY26E FY25E FY26E FY25E FY26E | | | FY25E | | | | ...

Industry Investment Rating - The report rates the pharmaceutical industry as "Leading" [1] Core Insights - The ASCO conference has showcased significant data from several domestic innovative drugs, highlighting opportunities for innovation and performance resonance [1][4] - The report emphasizes the increasing competitiveness and international influence of Chinese pharmaceutical companies, with a record number of original research results presented at ASCO [4][5] - The report suggests a positive outlook for the innovative drug sector, driven by favorable policies and low valuations compared to historical averages [4] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index fell by 2.4% during the week, while the Hang Seng Healthcare Index decreased by 1.0%, ranking 7th among 12 industry indices [4][22] - Sub-industry performance varied, with life sciences tools and services up by 3.4%, and biotechnology down by 4.9% [4][22] Company Ratings and Valuations - The report provides a detailed valuation summary for various companies, with most rated as "Buy" and a few as "Neutral" or "Sell" [3][42] - Notable companies with "Buy" ratings include: - AstraZeneca (AZN US) with a target price of 93.30 and a current price of 70.96 [3] - BeiGene (6160 HK) with a target price of 208.80 and a current price of 146.00 [3] - Innovent Biologics (1801 HK) with a target price of 60.00 and a current price of 59.55 [3] ASCO Conference Highlights - The 2025 ASCO conference featured 71 original research results from Chinese pharmaceutical companies, with 11 studies presented as Late Breaking Abstracts [5][6] - Companies like Innovent Biologics and Rongchang Biologics showcased promising clinical data for their innovative therapies [5][6] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong growth potential and clear profitability timelines, such as Rongchang Biologics, Kangfang Biologics, and Innovent Biologics [4] - It also highlights the potential for prescription drug companies like Xiansheng Pharmaceutical and Hansoh Pharmaceutical to expand their valuations due to high growth rates [4] Recent Approvals and Developments - Rongchang Biologics received approval for a new indication for its drug in treating myasthenia gravis [20] - Innovent Biologics published positive results for its dual receptor agonist in a prominent medical journal [20] - BeiGene's clinical research for its drug in small cell lung cancer has shown promising results [20]

交银国际研究 每日晨报 2025 年 5 月 29 日 我们长期看好小米在 AIOT 业务上的执行力，但建议投资者关注短期来自传 统家电厂商的竞争和下半年市场对大家电产品的需求。 上调目标价至 62 港元。我们上调 2025/26 年收入预测至 5,030/6,159 亿 元，上调 2025/26 年经调整 EPS 至 1.87/2.14 元（前值 1.51/1.98 元）。我们 下调小米汽车 2026 年 ASP 至 25.4 万元（前值 27.0 万元）。基于 2026 年手 机 x AIoT 26 倍市盈率和汽车业务 2 倍市销率，综合汇率因素，上调目标价 到 62 港元，维持买入评级。 | 快手 | | 1024 HK | | --- | --- | --- | | | 1 季度业绩符合预期；海外运营层面盈利，可灵 | 评级: 买入 | | 商业化加速 | | | | 收盘价: 港元 48.75 | 目标价: 港元 64.00 | 潜在涨幅: +31.3% | | 赵丽, CFA | zhao.li@bocomgroup.com | | 快手 2025 年 1 季度总收入/经调整净利润同比增 11%/ ...

交银国际研究 财务模型更新 互联网 2025 年 5 月 28 日 拼多多 (PDD US) 收盘价 目标价 潜在涨幅 美元 102.98 美元 135.00↓ +31.1% 业绩不及预期，2 季度利润或仍将承压；下调目标价 2025 年 1 季度业绩不及预期，收入及毛利低于预期主因关税不确定性对 TEMU 的影响令美区全托管 GMV 收缩及短期物流成本上升，内地电商广告收入增速 符合预期，调整后净利润低于预期主因内地电商加大补贴应对国补政策下公 司的不利形势。我们预计2季度上述因素持续，利润继续呈下降趋势。我们下 调 2025 年收入/利润预测 9%/25%，预计商家扶持计划对主站变现、TEMU 短 期战略调整对利润的拖累或在 2026 年得到缓释，利润恢复至常态化水平，我 们基于 2026 年 10 倍市盈率，目标价从 165 美元下调至 135 美元，看好中长期 业务恢复常态化运营后的盈利能力，维持买入。 盈利预测变动 | | | —————2025E————— | | | | —————2026E————— —————2027E————— | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of $60.00, indicating a potential upside of 29.9% from the current price of $46.19 [2][29]. Core Insights - The company reported Q1 profits that exceeded expectations, with a revenue of $494 million, down 12% year-on-year. The decline in revenue was primarily due to a 20% drop in live streaming revenue, attributed to adjustments in non-core voice streaming services and the prior removal of BIGO Live from app stores. However, there are signs of marginal improvement in key developed markets, such as a 4% increase in paying users in North America [2][7]. - Non-live revenue grew by 25%, now accounting for 25% of total revenue, with advertising revenue increasing by 27% and SaaS business growing over 20% [2][7]. - The adjusted net profit for Q1 was $63 million, better than the expected $53 million, and the company has a stable shareholder return plan, including $600 million in dividends and $300 million in buybacks over three years, representing an average annual return of 13% of market capitalization [2][7]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue forecasts for 2025 have been slightly reduced by 3% to $2.122 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 5%. The adjusted net profit forecast for 2025 has been increased to $267 million [5][30]. - The company expects a recovery in BIGO live streaming revenue and accelerated growth in advertising revenue in Q2, which may offset the impact of adjustments in live streaming [2][7]. - The company maintains a strong cash position, with net cash of $3.4 billion, approximately 150% of its current market capitalization [2][13]. Financial Data - The company’s financial performance for Q1 shows a gross profit of $179 million, with a gross margin of 36%. The operating profit was $12 million, with an operating margin of 2% [22][30]. - For 2025, the company anticipates a gross profit of $764 million and a net profit of $212 million, with a projected net profit margin of 10% [30][31].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, YY US, with a target price of $60.00, indicating a potential upside of 29.9% from the current price of $46.19 [1][29]. Core Insights - The first quarter profits exceeded expectations, with revenue reported at $490 million, a year-on-year decline of 12%. The live streaming revenue decreased by 20%, primarily due to adjustments in non-core voice streaming business and the prior removal of BIGO Live. However, there are signs of marginal improvement in key developed markets, such as a 4% quarter-on-quarter increase in paying users in North America [2][7]. - Non-live revenue grew by 25%, now accounting for 25% of total revenue, with advertising revenue increasing by 27% and SaaS business growing over 20% [2][7]. - The adjusted net profit for the quarter was $63 million, better than the expected $53 million [2][7]. - The company has a stable shareholder return plan, with $600 million in dividends and $300 million in buybacks over three years, representing an average annual return of 13% of market capitalization [2][7]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue forecasts for 2025 have been slightly reduced by 3% to $2.122 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 5%. The adjusted net profit forecast for 2025 has been increased to $267 million [5][30]. - The company expects a recovery in BIGO live streaming revenue and accelerated growth in advertising revenue in the second quarter, which may offset the impact of adjustments in the live streaming business [2][7]. - The financial model indicates a stable gross margin expectation despite the anticipated increase in advertising revenue, which typically has a lower profit margin [2][7]. Financial Data - As of the end of the first quarter, the company reported net cash of $3.4 billion, approximately 150% of its current market capitalization [2][13]. - The company has maintained a consistent cash flow, with operating cash flow reported at $58 million for the first quarter [18][31]. - The projected financials for 2025 include total revenue of $2.122 billion, with a gross profit of $764 million and a net profit of $212 million [30][31].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Pinduoduo (PDD US) with a target price adjusted from $165 to $135, indicating a potential upside of 31.1% from the current price of $102.98 [2][3][12]. Core Insights - The company's Q1 2025 performance fell short of expectations, with revenue and gross profit impacted by tariff uncertainties affecting TEMU and rising short-term logistics costs. The mainland e-commerce advertising revenue growth met expectations, but net profit was below forecasts due to increased subsidies in response to national policies [3][7]. - The report anticipates continued pressure on profits in Q2 2025 due to these factors, leading to a downward revision of revenue and profit forecasts by 9% and 25% respectively for 2025 [3][4]. - The long-term outlook remains positive, with expectations for a return to normalized profit levels by 2026, supported by strategic adjustments and merchant support plans [3][4]. Financial Forecast Summary - Revenue projections for 2025 have been revised to RMB 449.83 billion, down from RMB 496.41 billion, reflecting a 9.4% decrease. For 2026 and 2027, revenue is expected to be RMB 556.01 billion and RMB 630.39 billion, respectively [4][15]. - Adjusted net profit for 2025 is forecasted at RMB 104.83 billion, a 25.4% decrease from previous estimates, with further declines expected in 2026 and 2027 [4][15]. - The adjusted operating profit margin is projected to decline from 28.5% in 2024 to 24.6% in 2025, with a gradual recovery anticipated thereafter [4][15]. Performance Metrics - The report highlights a significant drop in adjusted net profit for Q1 2025, which fell 45% year-on-year to RMB 16.92 billion, significantly below consensus estimates [7][8]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was reported at 57%, down from 62% in the previous quarter, indicating pressure on profitability [8][9]. - The company's market capitalization is approximately $143.36 billion, with a year-to-date change of 6.18% [6][10].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, Kuaishou (1024 HK), with a target price of HKD 64.00, indicating a potential upside of 31.3% from the current price of HKD 48.75 [1][24]. Core Insights - The first quarter performance of Kuaishou met expectations, with total revenue and adjusted net profit reaching RMB 32.6 billion and RMB 4.6 billion respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 11% and 4% [5]. - The report highlights that Kuaishou's overseas operations have turned profitable, accelerating commercialization efforts [2]. - The company is expected to maintain a steady growth trajectory, with projected revenues of RMB 142.3 billion in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.2% [25]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for Kuaishou are as follows: RMB 113.5 billion in 2023, RMB 126.9 billion in 2024, RMB 142.3 billion in 2025, RMB 155.6 billion in 2026, and RMB 168.2 billion in 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 20.5%, 11.8%, 12.2%, 9.3%, and 8.1% [25]. - The net profit is expected to grow from RMB 10.3 billion in 2023 to RMB 28.5 billion in 2027, with significant growth in the coming years [25]. - The report notes that the adjusted net profit margin is projected to remain stable at around 14% for 2025, with a slight increase in profitability expected due to enhanced operational efficiencies [5][20]. Segment Performance - E-commerce GMV (Gross Merchandise Volume) grew by 15% year-on-year, with a notable increase in daily active merchants [5]. - Online marketing revenue growth has slowed to 8%, primarily due to high base effects from previous periods and increased support for merchants [5]. - Live streaming revenue has resumed growth, increasing by 14% year-on-year, supported by a rise in contracted agencies and streamers [5]. Market Position - Kuaishou's market capitalization is approximately HKD 173.7 billion, with a 52-week high of HKD 66.35 and a low of HKD 38.15 [4]. - The company has shown resilience in user engagement, with daily active users (DAU) and monthly active users (MAU) maintaining growth trends [7][8].