青岛银行（002948.SZ）：不良双降、拨 备提升，盈利大幅改善 ——2025 年业绩快报点评 资产质量继续改善，不良实现"双降"，拨备覆盖率提升。2025 年末，青岛 银行不良贷款余额 38.41 亿、环比减少 2.88 亿；不良贷款率为 0.97%，环比 下降 3bp。拨备覆盖率 292.3%，环比提高 22.3 pct。青岛银行本轮资产质量 指标改善始于 2024 年一季度，近两年不良率生成率降至 0.5%左右，不良贷 款率自 2023 年末 1.18%下降 21bp，不良贷款额仅增加 3 亿。主要得益于制 造业、基建、地产等对公贷款不良率下降。拨备余额较 2023 年末增加 32.3 亿，拨备覆盖率提升 66.3pct，拨备安全垫持续夯实。从前瞻性指标来看，公 司关注贷款率低位平稳（25Q3 末为 0.55%、较年初下降 1bp），逾期贷款率 稳中有降（25H1 末为 1.24%，较年初下降 18bp），潜在不良生成压力不大。 从不良认定标准来看，公司 25H1 末 90 天以上逾期/不良为 82.2%，不良认定 标准严格。 事件：1 月 29 日，青岛银行发布 2025 年业绩快报，2025 年实 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·风电设备 大金重工（002487） 2025 年业绩预告点评：业绩符合预期，向全 套解决方案服务商进发！ 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 4,325 | 3,780 | 6,752 | 9,092 | 11,867 | | 同比（%） | (15.30) | (12.61) | 78.63 | 34.66 | 30.53 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 425.16 | 473.87 | 1,125.70 | 1,786.97 | 2,570.93 | | 同比（%） | (5.58) | 11.46 | 137.55 | 58.74 | 43.87 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.67 | 0.74 | 1.77 | 2.80 | 4.03 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 94.49 | 84.77 | 35.69 | 22.48 | 15.63 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is upgraded to "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The company's performance exceeded market expectations, with a projected net profit of 3.5 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 56.93% [8] - The company is expected to benefit significantly from the high demand in the downstream power and energy storage sectors, with a notable increase in overseas orders and revenue [8] - The company is positioned as a leader in module/pack equipment and structural components, which are expected to benefit from the growth in lithium battery and solid-state battery markets [8] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to grow from 2,448 million yuan in 2023 to 4,370 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 19.86% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 39.95 million yuan in 2023 to 521.29 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 16.27% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.32 yuan in 2023 to 4.12 yuan in 2027, indicating strong growth potential [1] Market Data - The closing price of the stock is 87.09 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 11,011.31 million yuan [6] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 275.60 in 2023 to 21.12 in 2027, suggesting an improving valuation as earnings grow [1][9] Business Strategy - The company is focusing on expanding its overseas business, with overseas orders accounting for 68% of total orders by the end of 2024 [8] - Collaboration with Qingtao Energy for the development of solid-state battery equipment is a key strategic initiative, enhancing the company's technological capabilities [8]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·风电设备 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 2026 年 01 月 29 日 证券分析师 曾朵红 执业证书：S0600516080001 021-60199793 zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 郭亚男 执业证书：S0600523070003 guoyn@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 胡隽颖 大金重工（002487） 2025 年业绩预告点评：业绩符合预期，向全 套解决方案服务商进发！ 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 4,325 | 3,780 | 6,752 | 9,092 | 11,867 | | 同比（%） | (15.30) | (12.61) | 78.63 | 34.66 | 30.53 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 425.16 | 473.87 | 1,125.70 | 1,786.97 | 2 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3]. Core Insights - The company is a leading provider of data and intelligent solutions in the industrial software sector, focusing on digital transformation services for manufacturing and distribution industries. It has a comprehensive product matrix covering key industrial software areas, including PLM, MES, and ERP, with a strong emphasis on AI integration [5][12]. - The company has experienced steady revenue growth, with a reported revenue of 1.614 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 2.63%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 51 million yuan, up 2.40% year-on-year [21][24]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the acceleration of domestic industrial software localization due to external pressures, such as U.S. technology restrictions, which have highlighted the urgency for self-sufficiency in industrial software [42][43]. Summary by Sections 1. Leading Provider of Intelligent Solutions - The company has over 40 years of experience and has become a leading provider of intelligent solutions in China, serving over 50,000 clients across various industries, including equipment manufacturing and automotive parts [5][12]. - The company has expanded its operations to regions such as Taiwan, Vietnam, and Thailand, and has developed a robust product offering that integrates AI and cloud computing technologies [12][15]. 2. Acceleration of Domestic Software Localization - The report highlights significant opportunities for domestic industrial software localization, driven by external disruptions and the need for self-sufficiency in critical software areas [32][42]. - The company has developed a complete product matrix with fully controllable source code and core algorithms, addressing the urgent demand for supply chain security and software autonomy in manufacturing [48]. 3. AI-Driven Demand in Industrial Software - The integration of AI into industrial software is accelerating, with the company actively exploring AI applications and launching innovative AI Agent solutions that enhance operational efficiency for clients [3][5]. - The company's AI-related business revenue grew by 125.91% year-on-year as of mid-2025, indicating successful commercialization of AI applications [5][21]. 4. Investment Strategy - The report suggests that the company is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing trends in industrial software localization and the integration of AI technologies, with projected earnings per share (EPS) of 0.63, 0.75, and 0.93 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [5][21].

买入（维持） 新项目提升竞争力，继续推进规模扩张 宝丰能源（600989）深度报告 2026 年 1 月 29 日 分析师：苏治彬 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340523080001 电话：0769-22110925 邮箱： suzhibin@dgzq.com.cn | 主要数据 2026 年 | 1 | 月 | 28 | 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元) | | 23.82 | | | | 总市值（亿元） | | 1,746.81 | | | | 总股本(亿股) | | 73.33 | | | | 流通股本(亿股) | | 73.33 | | | | ROE（TTM） | | 23.39% | | | | 12 月最高价(元) | | 24.13 | | | | 12 月最低价(元) | | 13.28 | | | 股价走势 资料来源：iFinD，东莞证券研究所 相关报告 本报告的风险等级为中风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 度 研 究 公 司 研 究 证 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation that the stock will outperform the market index by more than 15% in the next six months [3][64]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing rapid growth in its actuator business and is actively expanding into new markets, particularly in the six-dimensional force sensor sector. The demand for its main actuator and sensor products is expected to remain strong, leading to anticipated revenue growth [3][59]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, Hubei Kait Electronics, was established in 1996 and initially focused on automotive temperature sensors. It has since expanded its product range to include controllers, actuators, and power modules. The company went public on the Beijing Stock Exchange in September 2023, raising 133 million yuan [11][14]. Recent Performance - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 826 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.50%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2020 to 2024 was 31.29%. The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was 138 million yuan, up 21.24% year-on-year [33][34]. Product Growth - Sales revenue from actuator products increased from 67 million yuan in 2020 to 327 million yuan in 2024, significantly increasing its share of total revenue from 24.03% in 2020 to 44.91% in the first half of 2025. Sensor product sales also grew from 128 million yuan in 2020 to 295 million yuan in 2024 [34][39]. Automotive Market Trends - Global automotive sales have been recovering since 2021, with total sales increasing from 83.64 million units in 2021 to 95.31 million units in 2024. China has become the largest automotive market, accounting for 32.98% of global production in 2024 [4][48]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 184 million yuan, 234 million yuan, and 310 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 31, 24, and 18 [3][63].

证券研究报告 南方航空(600029.SH) 投资评级： 买入（首次） ——枢纽网络优势巩固，复苏弹性有望释放 孙延 SAC：S1350524050003 sunyan01@huayuanstock.com 曾智星 SAC：S1350524120008 zengzhixing@huayuanstock.com 王惠武 SAC：S1350524060001 wanghuiwu@huayuanstock.com 张付哲 SAC：S1350525070001 zhangfuzhe@huayuanstock.com 联系人 交通运输 | 航空机场 非金融|首次覆盖报告 证券分析师 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 01 月 29 日 投资要点： 风险提示。人民币汇率波动，油价上涨，出行需求不及预期，地缘政治风险。 | | 盈利预测与估值（人民币） | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8.28/5.35 | | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | | 营业收入（百万元） | 159,929 ...

深 度 研 汽车行业 买入（维持） 中国客车龙头，海外业务量价齐升 宇通客车（600066.SH）深度报告 2026 年 1 月 29 日 投资要点： SAC 执业证书编号： S0340521070002 电话：0769-22110619 邮箱： liumenglin@dgzq.com.cn 公 分析师：刘梦麟 行业龙头地位稳固，全品类产品矩阵完善 宇通客车是国内客车行业首 家上市公司，截至2025年，大中型客车销量已连续23年稳居国内第一， 国内市占率超30%。公司产品覆盖公路、公交、校车、机场摆渡及自动 驾驶微循环车等全细分市场，并具备全系列新能源适配能力。 究 研究助理：吴镇杰 财务盈利能力强劲，从规模向效益成功转型 公司业绩呈现"营收稳健、 利润爆发"的特征，2025年前三季度归母净利润同比增长35.4%，显著 高于营收增速，验证了向"效益驱动"转型的成功。受益于海外高毛 利业务占比提升及国内存量置换，公司净利率稳步提升至12.76%的高 水平。 深筑技术护城河，"睿控E平台"领跑智能化 公司拥有全球商用车行 业规模最大、体系最完善的研发团队，持续保持高强度研发投入。依 托自主研发的"睿控E平台"，集 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Qingdao Bank, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock performance relative to market benchmarks [4][19]. Core Views - Qingdao Bank reported significant improvements in profitability, with a 2025 net profit of 5.19 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 21.7% [1][2]. - The bank's asset quality has improved, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 0.97%, down 3 basis points from the previous quarter, and a provision coverage ratio of 292.3%, up 22.3 percentage points [1][3]. - The growth in net interest income is driven by strong loan demand and an improved cost of liabilities, with total loans and assets growing by 16.5% and 18.1% year-on-year, respectively [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2025, Qingdao Bank achieved an operating income of 14.57 billion, an 8% increase year-on-year, with net interest income expected to maintain rapid growth due to stable interest margins [2][4]. - The bank's net profit growth rate is projected to be 21.7% for 2025, with a significant increase in profitability compared to previous quarters [2][4]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan balance decreased to 3.841 billion, with a notable reduction in the NPL ratio, indicating improved asset quality [3]. - The provision coverage ratio has strengthened, reflecting a robust buffer against potential loan losses, with a significant increase in provisions compared to the previous year [3]. Growth Prospects - The bank is expected to continue benefiting from the economic growth in Shandong province, which supports its expansion efforts [4]. - Future net profit growth is forecasted at 21.7%, 20.4%, and 20.2% for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, with corresponding book value per share (BVPS) estimates of 7.35, 8.45, and 9.75 yuan [4][9].